Tag: shutdown

Trump’s Super Rambling Declaration of National Emergency Over the Wall

Posted on February 19, 2019 in Trump, Uncategorized

Trump gives a rambling speech where declares a national emergency so he can build his wall. One of the weirdest presidential speeches I’ve ever heard. I was going to include it in my weekly recap, but it got to be too long.

You can read an annotated version of the full transcript, as delivered, here, but below are some highlights.

  1. My favorite part is from 22:08 to 22:48 here. (And by the way, his Muslim ban as written did not survive the Supreme Court as he says here. The Supreme Court basically told him how he would need to change the ban to make it appear constitutional.)
  2. He says he’ll spend $8 billion on the wall.
  3. He starts out his emergency declaration for the wall by talking about China, trade, tariffs, the UK, Syria, North Korea, and what a great job he’s doing with the military and economy.
  4. He confuses journalists by talking about China and Russia living up to their requirements on the border (the Korean border?). And confuses them again by saying someone’s been taking advantage of the U.S. and billions have been paid to them. I think he might be talking about the UN.
  5. One of the reasons he gives for the national emergency is the influx of drugs, so he plans to siphon off money from existing drug programs.
  6. He says Democrats are lying when they say that drugs mostly come to the U.S. through ports of entry. He’s wrong, according to the DEA’s 2018 National Drug Threat Assessment (heroine, bottom of page 19; cocaine, pages 52-54; marijuana is the one drug that comes in between ports of entry and it’s also grown domestically).
  7. Trump brings up his debunked story of women being trafficked across the border with their mouths taped shut.
  8. He talks about the great job the military is doing at the border putting up concertina wire, ignoring that Nogales, AZ is suing to have it removed; just one border town that opposes it.
  9. Trump also plans to pull money from military construction funds, though they currently have a backlog of over $100 billion. Military families recently provided testimony about the deplorable living conditions on some of our military bases.
  10. He overstates the number of murders in Mexico by about 25%.
  11. And then again with the list of people killed by undocumented immigrants. Did he list the people killed by native-born mass shooters too? Um, no. No he didn’t.
  12. He apparently blames the influx of drugs on our own addictions. Actually, that might be correct.
  13. He seems to be pushing for the death penalty for drug dealers. Just a reminder, President Duterte of the Philippines is doing that, but with no due process.
  14. Then he talks about Japan, China, the stock market, and how the market would’ve tanked if Democrats had won in 2018 (counter to all economic indicators at the time).
  15. Trump sort of says that the reason he didn’t get the wall settled during the two years of Republican control is that he was too new to the job.
  16. He then admits that they haven’t really built any new “wall” but have been renovating existing “wall” (which is really “fence”). But then he later says he’s built a lot of wall. He has a lot of money.
  17. And finally he brings up MS-13, as usual.
  18. Trump repeatedly criticized Obama for executive overreach, but when a journalist calls him out on that after the speech, Trump says he went through Congress for this. Huh?
  19. Trump says this is all about the 2020 elections. So it’s not an emergency or it is?
  20. He blasts the immigration lottery, catch-and-release (another way to phrase it in such a way as to dehumanize migrants) and chain migration (which is how many of us got here).
  21. He admits to getting information on immigration from Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh.
  22. Trump brings up a poll by outlier Rasmussen that shows his approval at 52% (his aggregate is just under 41%).
  23. He comments on the large number of undocumented immigrants in our federal prisons, ignoring the fact that just the condition of being here illegally can land you in federal prison. Plus, federal inmates make up a very small percent of our overall prison population.
  24. He ignores a reporter who says this: “I’m asking you to clarify where you get your numbers, because most of the DEA crime reporting statistics that we see show that drugs are coming across at the ports of entry, that illegal immigration is down and that the violence is down.” Refer to the DEA report linked above if you want to find out who’s right.
  25. He says that Obama told him he was close to starting a war with North Korea. This sounds pretty dubious.
  26. Trump says that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe nominated him for a Nobel Peace Prize for his work with North Korea. He doesn’t mention that the U.S. asked Abe to do that.

Week 107 in Trump

Posted on February 12, 2019 in Politics, Trump

In honor of the Green New Deal, let’s talk climate change. 2018 was the fourth hottest year on record, behind 2015, 2016, and 2017. This could lead some to think things are cooling down again; but if you look at the graph above, you’ll see many spikes followed by a few cooler years. But the trend is still up. Here’s some food for thought:

  • There were 14 weather and climate disasters in the U.S. in 2018 that cost $1 billion or more each.
  • Climate change and natural disasters cost the U.S. over $91 billion and 247 human lives in 2018.
  • 73% of Americans believe that climate change is real. That’s up 10 points from just three years ago.
  • The Trump administration concludes in the National Climate Assessment that global warming is “transforming where and how we live and presents growing challenges to human health and quality of life, the economy, and the natural systems that support us.”
  • So climate change is no longer something we have to look forward to. It’s here now.
  • Global emissions are at their highest level.

Will the Green New Deal fix any of this? Time will tell.

Here’s what happened in politics last week…

Missed from Last Week:

  1. Correction: For several weeks I’ve been referring to Trump’s nominee for Attorney General as Andrew Barr. It’s actually William Barr.

State of the Union:

  1. Trump gives his “unifying” State of the Union address, but beforehand he lunches with a group of television anchors where he blasts a host of Democratic politicians.
  2. I won’t get into the whole address, but a few highlights are below. Here’s the full text, with the New York Times annotations.
    • He starts with a unifying message, but moves into some partisan issues like the Mueller investigation, the border wall, and late-term abortion.
    • He starts out fairly truthful, but the false statements increase as he goes on. I find this odd, because there’s no reason to fudge his economic numbers right now.
    • His two main points are the strong economy and the border crisis that he says necessitates the wall.
    • He says the economy will crash if the Russia investigations continue or if Congress blocks the withdrawal of troops from Syria.
    • He says there can’t be any legislation as long as there are also investigations.
    • He says he’ll end the HIV epidemic in the U.S. by 2030 and will include paid family leave in his budget.
    • He notes the increase in women in the workforce and in Congress, which elicits a huge response from the Congressional women, many of whom dressed in suffragette white.
  1. Stacey Abrams, the 2018 Democratic candidate for Governor in Georgia, delivers the Democratic response. Her focus is voter rights.

Border Wall/Shutdown:

  1. The Trump administration continues to issue new waivers on environmental impact reviews to replace and add fencing at the border.
  2. The National Butterfly Center files an emergency restraining order against constructing the wall across their reserve.
  3. Mick Mulvaney blames Democrats for refusing to fund the wall… which Republicans have also refused to do for two years.
  4. Negotiations over border security are close to agreement, with funding for new technology, more border patrol agents, and fencing in certain border areas. Border security would be funded at around $2 billion, which Trump says he’ll accept. There’s no mention of a wall.
  5. And then what happened?? Budget negotiations to avoid another government shutdown are stalled. Again. We have until Friday to come to an agreement.
  6. And now they’re on track again.

Russia:

  1. Congress delays Michael Cohen’s testimony until February 28 “in the interest of the investigation.”
  2. Federal prosecutors in New York subpoena documents from Trump’s inaugural committee. They’re looking for info about donors (including foreign donors), vendors, contractors, payments, and bank accounts.
    • The subpoena includes documents related to fundraising activities. Rick Gates, who’s already pled guilty in a case related to Paul Manafort, headed up Trump’s fundraising operation.
  1. Federal prosecutors in New York request interviews with senior members of the Trump Organization.
  2. Adam Schiff, the new Chair of the House Intelligence Committee, announces new hearings into whether Russia or any other foreign government has leverage over the current administration, potential obstruction into investigations, and whether the administration has tried to influence U.S. policy in favor of foreign interests.
  3. The House Intelligence Committee sends Mueller transcripts of previous committee interviews in the Russia investigation. They had been unable to comply with Mueller’s request until Republicans finally seated all their members on the committee.

Legal Fallout:

  1. The South Dakota U.S. Attorney indicts Paul Erickson on charges of wire fraud and money laundering. Erickson was dating Maria Butina and helped her get access to the NRA and to political operatives in the GOP. These charges are unrelated to Butina’s espionage charges—it seems he was just bilking everyday people out of their money.
  2. The House Ways and Means Committee holds their first hearing on requiring presidential candidates to release their tax returns. The committee plans to request Trump’s tax returns under an IRS provision that allows it.
  3. A federal judge orders the DOJ to release redacted versions of the search warrant for Michael Cohen’s home and office.
  4. This story oh-so-weirdly fits in this section. Jeff Bezos accuses American Media, Inc. (parent company of the National Enquirer) of trying to extort and blackmail him.
    • AMI releases texts that show Bezos was cheating on his wife.
    • So Bezos starts his own investigation into how AMI got his texts. He suggests it was politically motivated, but is also looking at his mistress’s brother as the culprit.
    • Bezos says AMI threatened to release nude photos and racy texts between him and his mistress if he didn’t drop his investigation.
  1. Some background:
    • Bezo’s Washington Post not only employed Jamal Khashoggi but has been relentless in reporting on the incident. AMI has been talking with Saudi Arabian financiers to help shore up their business.
    • AMI entered into a plea agreement with federal prosecutors last year in which they agreed to commit “no crimes whatsoever” for three years.
    • So now federal prosecutors are once again investigating AMI, this time to determine whether they violated the cooperation agreement by committing a crime.
  1. Federal prosecutors are investigating three major lobbying firms to determine if they should’ve been registered as foreign agents for their work with Paul Manafort for the former president of Ukraine.
    • This is major because of the high-profile players involved, both Democrat and Republican.
    • It has lobbyists anxious because the investigation underscores the crackdown on lobbyists who have lucrative deals with foreign entities.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The number of federal appeals court judges nominated by Trump and confirmed by the Senate is more than any other president at this point in their term, with 30 so far.
  2. Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker testifies to the House Judiciary Committee. He says he hasn’t spoken to Trump about Mueller’s investigation. Not surprisingly, it was another nutty hearing with lots of grandstanding.
    • While he’s being questioned by the committee Chair (Jerry Nadler), Whitaker tells the Nadler that his five minutes are up.
    • Whitaker didn’t want to testify without a guarantee that he wouldn’t be subpoenaed. He testified anyway.
  1. Ruth Bader Ginsburg makes her first public appearance after her recovery from surgery.
  2. Missouri’s Supreme Court orders new limits on how long a suspect can be held without a hearing and the amount of cash bail they can be charged. The effects of the cash bail system are onerous and lasting, especially for low-income people.
  3. William Barr makes it through the Senate Judiciary Committee so now the full Senate can vote on his nomination to Attorney General.

Healthcare:

  1. The Supreme Court temporarily blocks a new Louisiana law that placed tight restrictions on clinics that perform abortions. If left in place, the restrictions will close most abortion clinics in Louisiana.
  2. Though Trump pledges to stop the HIV epidemic in the U.S. within ten years, already in his term he’s cut almost $1 billion in global funding to fight HIV/AIDS, he’s rolled back patient protections for people with [the pre-existing condition of] HIV, and has cut health benefits for the LGBTQ community that were put in place under Obama.
  3. Ironically, just this week the Department of Heath and Human Services announces new proposals that would allow medical practitioners to withhold treatment based on closely held religious or moral beliefs, which is likely to affect the LGBTQ community.
  4. Utah’s State Senate passes a bill to override the vote of their residents and replace the Medicaid expansion plan that voters approved last November. According to the Center of Budget and Policy Priorities, the voters’ plan would add coverage for about 150,000 low-income residents; the Senate plan would add coverage for about 100,000 and would cost $50 million more in just the first two years. Idaho’s GOP legislature is trying something similar. Maine’s Governor did the same a year ago.
  5. The Massachusetts lawsuit against Purdue Pharma alleges that the company devised a strategy to become the end-to-end provider of pain relief. The plan, called Project Tango, was that they’d sell both addictive opioids AND the drugs to treat the addiction.
  6. The board members of Purdue Pharma, mostly members of the Sackler family, netted over $4 billion in profits in the process.

International:

  1. Gen. Joseph Votel, head of US Central Command (in the MidEast), testifies that Trump didn’t consult with him before making the decision to pull troops out of Syria and Afghanistan.
  2. A new report from the Pentagon’s Inspector General asserts that ISIS will likely take back lost territory if the US withdraws from Syria. ISIS will also use our withdrawal as part of a PR campaign declaring victory against us.
  3. Trump says that officials will soon announce that we have taken back 100% of the ISIS-claimed lands in Syria and Iraq. ISIS still holds territory in Afghanistan, Libya, Africa, and the Sinai.
    • His plan is to remove all U.S. troops from Syria by the end of April, and to move a couple hundred troops from Syria to Iraq to keep an eye on Iran.
  1. The Trump administration refuses to release a report to Congress on whether Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince was responsible for the murder of Jamal Khashoggi.
  2. Rep. Michael McCaul (TX), the top Republican on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, releases a statement criticizing the administration’s handling of Saudi Arabia and the Khashoggi murder. He says they failed to meet the requirements of the Magnitsky Act and calls on them to comply.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. The House holds its first gun violence hearing in eight years. What’s happened in those eight years? The Seal Beach salon shooting, Aurora theater shooting, the Wisconsin Sikh temple shooting, the Empire State Building shooting, the Sandy Hook shooting, the Washington Navy Yard shooting, the Charleston church shooting, the Waco motorcycle shootout, the Harris County shooting, the Roseburg shooting, the San Bernardino terror attacks, the Pulse nightclub shooting, the Dallas police shooting, the Mississippi shooting, the Plano football shooting, the Las Vegas shooting, the Sutherland Springs church shooting, the Parkland school shooting, the Santa Fe school shooting, the Pittsburg synagogue shooting, and the Thousand Oaks country bar shooting.
    • These are just the ones where eight or more people died (and I think I missed a few).
    • There’ve been 31 mass shootings so far this year (defined as 4 or more people shot in one incident).
    • There were 323 mass shootings in 2018.
  1. During the gun violence hearing, Freedom Caucus member Matt Gaetz (R-FL) tries to switch the conversation to crimes committed by undocumented immigrants. Two fathers of murdered Parkland children protest. So Gaetz tries to have them thrown out of the hearing.
    • For the record, mass shootings by undocumented immigrants are extremely rare. In fact, I haven’t been able to find one conviction yet, but I’m still looking.
  1. The House Subcommittee on Environment and Climate Change holds the first hearing on climate change in over five years. During those five years, the military has called climate change one of our greatest national security threats.

Family Separation:

  1. A senior Health and Human Services official tells the House Energy and Commerce Committee that he warned three Trump appointees about the health risks of their plan to separate migrant families at the border. He first learned of the plan in February of 2017.
    • Now the administration says that taking children away from their sponsors to reunite them with their families would be too traumatic. You know what’s really traumatic? Being taken away from your family in the first place!
    • The HHS Deputy Director of Refugee Resettlement says this about why kids shouldn’t be removed from their sponsors:
      “Disrupting the family relationship is not a recommended child welfare practice.”
      I don’t even know how to dissemble that. These people are monsters.
    • The administration says it would be impossible to find all the separated children because it would be too hard and cost too much.
  1. Currently, there are thousands of children separated from their families (we’ll never know exactly how many because they kept no records), and these children might not ever be returned. Can you imagine that? How far would you go to get your child back?

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. The governor of New Mexico, Lujan Grisham, orders a withdrawal of most of the National Guard troops deployed at New Mexico’s southern border. She says they’re only here on a “charade of border fear-mongering” by Trump.
  2. Our troops at the border have been stringing concertina wire just along the top of existing fencing, but now they’re also putting it along the entire height in some areas.
    • Nogales, Arizona adopts a resolution that condemns using concertina wire as a deterrent at the border. They say it’s an indiscriminate use of lethal force, and demand that it be removed.
    • The mayor of Nogales sits down with CBP officers to discuss why he wasn’t notified this was going to happen. CBP says there are rapists, murderers, drug dealers, and lots of fence jumpers. This was news to the police chief.
  1. Even though CBP is one of the largest law enforcement agencies in the world, they are only able to process about 10 asylum seekers a day at each port of entry. With 5,100 waiting in Tijuana alone, people could be stuck there until summer.
    • Mexican border cities like Tijuana don’t have the resources to handle the influx, which is creating dangerous conditions. American relief agencies are down there helping out, so no matter how you look at it, Americans are paying for this.
    • In Tijuana, they moved the migrant camps so far from the border that they can’t walk there—it’s a 30-minute drive.
    • Several lawsuits are pending against CBP because they’re illegally turning away asylum seekers at ports of entry.
  1. There are seven lawsuits against the administration for their attempts to add a citizenship question to the 2020 Census. In one case, a federal judge blocked the question and that case is awaiting Supreme Court consideration. In another case, a district judge declined to block the question.
  2. Tennessee legislators introduce the Natural Marriage Defense Act again. It’s failed twice before, and would cost the state around $9 billion. The act would void the Supreme Court decision to allow gay couples to marry.
  3. Tampa has a ban on gay conversion therapy for minors, but a judge rules that it violates the first amendment rights of therapists.
  4. A federal judge says the Trump administration is discriminating against Puerto Ricans and violating their equal protection rights.

Climate/EPA:

  1. Representatives Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) and Ed Markey (D-MA) announce the outline for their Green New Deal. It’s vague on details but calls for a 10-year national shift away from fossil fuels and toward clean energy, upgrading buildings to be more energy efficient, working with farmers to reduce methane gases, and overhauling our transportation systems (including more high-speed trains and fewer planes).
  2. Trump nominates David Bernhardt to succeed Ryan Zinke as Secretary of the Interior. Bernhardt is currently the deputy chief, and is a former oil lobbyist.
  3. The EPA appoints several new Science Advisory Board members. One is a climate change denier, one denies the dangers of formaldehyde, one criticizes efforts to minimize radiation leaks at nuclear facilities, and one is skeptical about the dangers of lead to children.
  4. 2018 was the fourth hottest year on record.
  5. A new assessment says that at least a third of the Himalayan ice cap will melt by 2100 if we curb emissions now. If we don’t, two-thirds will melt.
  6. Scientists discover a growing cavity about 2/3 the size of Manhattan in a West Antarctic glacier. Most of that ice has melted in the past three years.
  7. Michigan’s governor becomes the 20th to join the U.S. Climate Alliance (New Mexico and Illinois also recently joined).

Budget/Economy:

  1. Trump nominates David Malpass to lead the World Bank’s board. Malpass is an outspoken critic of the agency who says it creates “mountains of debt without solving problems.”
  2. The GOP promised higher paychecks as a result of their 2017 tax reform bill, so the Trump administration pressured the IRS to change withholding rules so that less was taken out of paychecks rather than more. This was especially important to them in the run-up to the midterm elections. Now, people are surprised to find out they owe more at the end of the year than expected or that they’re getting a smaller refund. Because of all the obfuscation, I can’t tell yet whether taxes went up or down for most people.
  3. The 30-year-old founder and CEO of Quadriga dies, taking his password with him. Around $137 million in cryptocurrencies are frozen and can’t be accessed. The founder’s poor widow has been searching for the password to repay the 115,000 affected people.
  4. Trump tells upstate New York residents who are unhappy with the local economy to move somewhere else.
    • New York officials say tax collections are down about 50%, and that the GOP tax plan hit New York hard because of the limits on SALT deductions.
    • Trump says those limits shouldn’t hurt upstate New York because it only affects the wealthy. Reporters have to clarify for him the effects of limiting SALT deductions.
  1. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau proposes weakening the rules that protect consumers from payday lenders. Just a reminder, the APR on these loans can end up being more than 1,000%.

Elections:

  1. The Clark County Commission appoints two women to vacant state Assembly seats, making Nevada the first state to have a majority-female legislature.
  2. A federal judiciary panel denies Ohio their request to delay a gerrymandering lawsuit that could force them to redraw their districts by 2020.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Only 54% of Trump’s civilian executive branch nominees have been confirmed. On top of that, these are all only acting positions: Chief of Staff, Attorney General, Secretary of Defense, Secretary of the Interior, Office and Management and Budget director, and EPA Administrator. The administration has yet to fill more than half of the positions in the Departments of Labor, Justice, and Interior.
  2. Ugh. What’s going on in Virginia? We have racist photos of the Governor, two accusations of sexual assault against the Lt. Governor, and the Attorney General said he dressed up as his favorite rap artist in the 80s and darkened his skin. And then it turns out the Majority Leader in the State Senate was the editor of a yearbook that contained a bunch of racist material. No one’s stepped down yet. Calls for Governor Northam’s resignation seem to be waning, calls for Lt. Governor Fairfax to resign are still strong, but I haven’t heard calls for Attorney General Herring’s resignation.
  3. The Trump administration issues new rules on exporting weapons outside the U.S., making it easier to sell semi-automatic weapons, flamethrowers, and grenades, among others. These changes were originally considered under Obama, but were shelved after the Sandy Hook shootings.
  4. A federal court rules against Ajit Pai and the FCC in their attempt to gut the Lifeline program, which brings high-speed internet to rural areas.
  5. Where does Trump find these guys? Trump’s doctor performs a physical and writes a letter that concludes with “I am happy to announce the President of the United States is in very good health and I anticipate he will remain so for the duration of his presidency, and beyond.” This leads doctors across the country to wonder where they can get training in this kind of predictive medicine.
    • Last year his [different] doctor said he has incredible genes.
  1. In the midst of a polar vortex last week, the heat and electricity goes out at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn. It doesn’t get turned back on until crowds protest outside the center in the freezing cold for days.
  2. And what’s wrong with sports fans? Police arrest over 30 people for sex trafficking during the Super Bowl in Atlanta. They also rescue four victims.
  3. We receive another leak of Trump’s schedule. Mick Mulvaney is working hard to root out the leaker(s).
  4. So far, Trump has appointed eight people to senior administration positions who are or were members at Mar-a-Lago.

Polls:

  1. 34% of Americans think it’s OK to wear blackface as part of a costume.

Week 105 in Trump

Posted on January 28, 2019 in Politics, Trump

The shutdown has finally come to an end, at least for now; but furloughed workers and the companies they owe will take some time to recover. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that this past month cost us $11 billion, $3 billion of which we won’t make back. A complete waste of time and energy. Let’s get back to the business of governing and fixing the problems of the world.

Here’s what happened last week in politics…

Missed from Last Week:

  1. The new Democratic governor of Maine makes good on her promise to expand Medicaid by signing an executive order that should give healthcare coverage to around 70,000 Mainers. Even though voters approved Medicaid expansion over a year ago, former governor Paul LePage refused to implement it.
  2. Also, missed from last year: The DOJ’s Office on Violence Against Women changed its definition of domestic violence. The definition was expanded under Obama and vetted by domestic violence experts. The new definition excludes psychological, mental, and emotional abuse; only felony acts can now be considered domestic violence.

Border Wall/Shutdown:

  1. Nancy Pelosi sends Trump a letter saying she’s postponing his State of the Union address due to security concerns from the government shutdown. Trump says he’ll do it anyway… until someone tells him that Pelosi has to invite him and she can uninvited him.
    • Trump says he’ll find another venue for it, possibly the Senate or maybe a rally. And then he says he’ll postpone it until after the shutdown.
  1. Meanwhile, both sides in both chambers of Congress work on deals to end the shutdown.
  2. The House Ways and Means Committee cancels a hearing on how the shutdown is affecting American taxpayers because Steve Mnuchin refuses to appear.
  3. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross says he doesn’t understand why furloughed and unpaid federal workers are using food banks. I guess when you have over $700 million, something like this can be hard to understand.
    • Ross says “There’s no reason why some institution wouldn’t be willing to lend.” His own department’s credit union charges federal workers 9% interest on emergency loans, while other lending institutions and cities begin offering them interest-free loans.
    • Because the Trump administration rescinded Obama’s payday lending regulations, the annual interest rate for payday loans in Missouri averages over 400%.
  1. Trump says you can just talk to your grocer if you’re a furloughed worker who can’t pay their bills. And that grocer will float you until you get paid. Sure.
  2. Nancy Pelosi defends the federal workers, saying they can’t just call their fathers for money.
  3. The House has passed bills at least 11 times to reopen the government. Meanwhile, the Senate fails to pass any bills to reopen the government, even those that were introduced by majority GOP members.
  4. The White House prepares a draft declaration of national emergency for the southern border as a possible means to end the shutdown.
  5. The FAA briefly halts flights into New York’s La Guardia airport over safety concerns due to lack of air traffic control personnel. This causes flight delays across the country and especially in New Jersey, Philadelphia, Orlando, and Atlanta.
  6. 14,000 unpaid IRS employees don’t show up to work. IT staffers at the IRS are finding work elsewhere.
  7. Irony alert 1: The State Department delays its upcoming conference on border security because of the shutdown.
  8. Irony alert 2: A lack of funding because of the shutdown hampers the FBI’s ability to fight child trafficking, violent crime, and terrorism according to the FBI Agents Association.
  9. Five former Homeland Security secretaries sign a letter to Trump asking him to end the shutdown for national security reasons. The signers are John Kelly, Tom Ridge, Michael Chertoff, Janet Napolitano, and Jeh Johnson.
  10. The most under-covered story of this shutdown seems to be the protests in DC over the shutdown. Hundreds of federal workers and supporters have been protesting in government offices for more than a week.
  11. All nine Representatives for the southern border districts say a wall isn’t the right solution. Trump’s demeaning rhetoric about migrants is pushing the area toward Democrats—only one district there is represented by a Republican.
    • Interesting side note: Trump’s rhetoric about immigration and the wall worked best for elections in states that are furthest from the wall, like Montana and North Dakota. Closer to the border, residents resent the implications.
  1. Trump and Congress reach a deal to end the shutdown for three weeks (that’s until February 15). They create a committee to negotiate a deal for DHS funding, including border security.
  2. The deal is basically the same deal that House Democrats offered all along—reopen for three weeks and negotiate border security in the interim.
  3. In his speech announcing an end to the shutdown, Trump continues to call it a wall. He doesn’t seem to understand the optics he’s created around that terminology. But he also says we don’t need 2,000 miles of concrete wall and says some can be steel slats.
    • Trump says he’d shut the government down again if needed, or declare a state of emergency.
    • He repeats the false claims that drug smugglers turn right and then make a left turn into the U.S. and that women are all taped up and trafficked over the border.
    • He claims that in the history of the WORLD it’s never been this bad.
    • He repeats false claims about gang members removed by ICE and about the number of crimes committed by undocumented immigrants. He just can’t help himself from lying about this.
  1. Republicans in the Senate face much pressure from constituents. Their meetings get heated, with a bit of finger pointing (mostly at McConnell) and a lot of yelling. IMO, it’s because they aren’t leading with what they know is right on this issue.
  2. Trump promises federal workers they’ll receive their back pay very fast (the government still hasn’t completed the back pay from the 2013 shutdown).
  3. By the end of the week, the government will owe unpaid federal workers $6 billion in back pay.
  4. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the shutdown cost the U.S. taxpayers $11 billion.

Russia:

  1. Here’s a simple breakdown of where the Russia investigation stands right now—who’s been charged, who’s guilty, and how they’re related.
  2. The New York Times also has a clear breakdown of the over 100 contacts between Trump associates (including Trump himself) and Russia.
  3. Rudy Giuliani tries to walk back his previous claims that the discussions for Trump Tower Moscow were still going on into November 2016.
  4. Donald Trump Jr. states again that “we” (and by that I assume he means the Trumps) didn’t know anything about Trump Tower Moscow. He blames Michael Cohen for the whole thing. I give you exhibits a and b. There are also allegedly hundreds of pages of documents and plans.
    1. A 2013 tweet
    2. A letter of intent
  5. Michael Cohen delays his public testimony before Congress indefinitely after Trump makes vague comments that could be construed as threats of retaliation against Cohen’s family.
    • The Senate Intelligence Committee subpoenas him to appear before them in a closed-door hearing.
  1. Armed FBI agents raid Roger Stone’s home before dawn and arrest him on seven counts, including obstruction, lying, and witness tampering. Here are some claims in the indictment:
    • Stone communicated with the Trump campaign about the hacked emails in WikiLeaks’ possession.
    • Senior Trump campaign officials told Stone to find out more about WikiLeaks plans (WikiLeaks is “Organization 1” in the indictment).
    • Stone lied about having evidence to support these accusations, and he tried to get other witnesses to lie and withhold evidence.
    • Stone has always said (even on TV) that he had a middleman who actually contacted WikiLeaks. From this indictment it looks like there were two middlemen: “Person 1” is believed to be Jerome Corsi (confirmed by Corsi), and “Person 2” is believed to be Randy Credico.
    • After a release of hacked documents, a senior member of the Trump campaign was instructed to contact Stone to find out about any more planned releases. Stone kept this person informed of his progress. The senior member is assumed to be Steve Bannon, but this is only according to one source so far.
    • Emails and texts indicate that Stone was in frequent communication with the Trump campaign, Person 1, and Person 2 about the schedule for dumping the hacked emails as well as the content of those emails. (WaPo has a pretty thorough timeline of the messages.)
    • It was Corsi’s idea to start the rumors that Hillary is old, her memory’s bad, and she had a stroke.
    • There was a reporter who was aware of what was going on. Instead of covering it as the news it was, he or she was rooting for the emails to uncover something to destroy Hillary’s campaign.
    • After the dump of John Podesta’s emails, an associate of an unnamed senior campaign official sent Assange a message: “Well done.”
  1. Jerome Corsi says the indictment is accurate.
  2. The indictment quotes a bunch of documentary evidence supporting their charges, including emails and text messages between Stone and Person 1 and between Stone and Person 2.
  3. Stone pleads not guilty and is released on $250,000 bond. He says he’ll never make up lies against Trump, but he would be willing to testify to Mueller. Update: Whoops! He doesn’t plead not guilty until the following week.
  4. Stone is a decades-long advisor to Trump. He started his misinformation techniques on the Nixon campaign and has a tattoo of Nixon on his back.
  5. A Kiev court rules that the pro-Russian politician that Paul Manafort lobbied for, former President Viktor Yanukovych, committed treason. Yanukovych invited Russia to invade Ukraine, and has been accused of working for Russia, not Ukraine, while in office. He gets a 13-year prison sentence.
  6. Manafort has a court hearing over his alleged breach of his plea deal. The judge says she needs more information, and schedules a closed-door hearing for the first week of February.
  7. The Trump administration officially lifts the sanctions against Oleg Deripaska’s companies.
  8. It’s been three months since we determined that Russia violated the Chemical and Biological Weapons Control and Warfare Elimination Act, but the Trump administration still hasn’t imposed the required sanctions as punishment for it.

Healthcare:

  1. The Department of Health and Human Services releases their changes to health insurance guidelines for 2020. If enacted, these changes are expected to increase premiums for ACA and employer plans, cut subsidies, and raise prescription costs.
    • The HHS says this will drop hundred of thousands of people off their insurance.
    • And I quote: “The savings to the Treasury are consistent with the idea that consumers would have to pay more.”
  1. The Massachusetts attorney general sues Purdue Pharma and members of the Sackler family who own it. The lawsuit alleges that they’re responsible for deceptive sales tactics for OxyContin. The AG accuses the family of engineering the opioid crisis.
  2. New York passes a bill to update their outdated abortion laws to protect and expand abortion rights in the state. It expands allowances for abortions after 24 weeks to include cases where the fetus is no longer viable and where the woman’s health is at risk (previously it only included when her life is at risk.) The bills also remove abortion from the criminal code and move it to the health code.
    • Pro-choice activists cheer the changes to the law law. Pro-life activists say the law allows abortion right up to birth. (It doesn’t. Also, just 1.4% of abortions occur after 21 weeks.)
  1. A state judge rules that Iowa’s fetal heartbeat abortion law is unconstitutional. It’s one of the country’s most restrictive abortion bans, as the heartbeat can be detected as early as 6 weeks in some cases.
  2. Washington state declares a state of emergency due to a measles outbreak. There are 35 confirmed cases, and measles can be fatal in young children and older people with lowered immunity. Measles was considered to be eliminated from the U.S. in 2000, but has seen a resurgence after some people stopped vaccinating their kids.

International:

  1. In the middle of U.S. trade negotiations with China, China grants Ivanka’s company preliminary approval for five new patents.
  2. The Taliban attacks a military base, killing dozens of Afghanistan intelligence agents. Taliban insurgents control over half of Afghanistan, but American, Afghan, and Taliban negotiators say they’re closing in on a truce.
  3. The U.S. officially quits UNESCO. Trump made the announcement last year, just as UNESCO was cleaning up most of the issues the U.S. had with the organization.
  4. After Nicolas Maduro announces he’s won the country’s presidential election, opposition leader Juan Guaidó says he won and even has his own swearing in.
    • The U.S. and most Latin American countries recognize Guaidó as the interim president and urge Maduro to give up power.
    • Maduro, in turn, gives U.S. diplomats 72 hours to leave. They refuse to leave.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Senate Republicans are working to shorten the length of time the Senate can spend debating a presidential nomination.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. The Supreme Court decides not to take up Trump’s DACA case for now, so Dreamers get another reprieve while the DACA program remains in place.
  2. But then…in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court allows Trump’s ban on transgender troops serving in the military to go into effect while the lower courts figure it out.
  3. The U.S. denies one of the stars of Roma, a 10-time Oscar nominated film, the visas needed to travel to the U.S. for the Oscars. Jorge Guerrero is a Mexican actor who’s been denied visas three times, despite letters from producers confirming his invitations. This isn’t the first time artists have been denied visas. Several South by Southwest artists were denied visas in 2017 after the initial Muslim ban.
  4. U.S. officials begin sending asylum seekers at the southern border back to Mexico to await the processing of their cases.
  5. The federal government issues a waiver that allows federally funded foster care agencies in South Carolina to deny services to same-sex or non-Christian couples.
  6. New York passes legislation to support Dreamers by allowing undocumented students to apply for assistance for college and by letting undocumented families take advantage of college savings programs. The bill also creates a college scholarship fund.
  7. The Trump Organization starts firing undocumented workers at its country clubs in New York. This is likely a reaction to a New York Times article that exposed them for not only hiring undocumented workers, but for also assisting these workers in obtaining false documents.
  8. Japan’s Supreme Court upholds a law that says if someone wants to change their gender on official documents, they must have their reproductive organs removed.
  9. Court records show that the police officer who led an investigation into a violent clash between anti-fascists and neo-Nazis in California focused his investigation on the anti-fascists.
    • The officer recommended charges be filed against 100 anti-fascists and against none of the neo-Nazis.
    • The officer researched the political leanings of the anti-fascists and not the neo-Nazis.
    • The officer considered the sticks for the flags carried by anti-fascists to be weapons; but then said that the sticks for the flags carried by the neo-Nazis weren’t weapons.
  1. In addition to the governor of Kansas reinstating protections for LGBTQ government workers, the governors of Wisconsin, Ohio, and Michigan do the same. Florida’s governor, on the other hand, omits LGBTQ people from an executive order on diversity in government.
  2. New York votes to ban conversion therapy for gay minors.

Climate/EPA:

  1. Under the Trump administration, civil penalties against polluters drop to their lowest level since 1994. And that’s not because companies stopped polluting.
  2. A Swedish teenage climate activist inspires youth rallies across Europe to bring attention to the lack of action on climate change. At Davos, she says:
    “Adults keep saying we owe it to the young people, to give them hope. But I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. I want you to act. I want you to act as you would in a crisis. I want you to act as if the house is on fire, because it is.”
  3. 73% of Americans now believe that climate change is real, an increase of 10 percentage points over 2015. But it’s also about the same as 2009. We’ve literally gotten nowhere on this.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Furloughed and unpaid government workers will still be counted in the January jobs report as employed. Contractors who lost work because of the shutdown are considered unemployed for the jobs report.
  2. The Los Angeles teachers strike ends. Here’s what they get:
    • Smaller class sizes.
    • A nurse in every school, plus more counselors and librarians.
    • Steps against charter schools (privatization was a major issue of the strike).
    • Concessions on demands around immigrant rights, racial profiling, and green spaces at schools.
  1. Teachers are reviving the use of the strike as a worker weapon, something that’s been in decline for a while.
  2. More teacher strikes are on the horizon. Denver, Oakland, and Virginia teachers are talking about it.
  3. Union membership is at just 10.5%, down from 20.1% in 1983. The decline of unions is one of the causes for wage stagnation.
  4. The National Association of Business Economics finds that the 2017 tax reform bill hasn’t had a major impact on business investment or hiring plans.
  5. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross says that China and the U.S. are miles and miles away from ending the trade war.

Elections:

  1. Another state lawmaker changes party affiliation from Republican to Democrat. This time it’s San Diego Assemblymen Brian Maienschei, who says it’s partly because of Trump and partly because he’s changed.
  2. A judge in North Carolina denies Republican Mark Harris’s request to certify his election to Congress. His narrowly won election is still under dispute due to accusations of voter fraud and illegal ballot harvesting.
  3. A federal court decides on new district maps for Virginia’s House of Delegates districts. The maps would move the districts in favor of Democrats, which is no surprise since the gerrymandered lines were put in place by GOP legislatures.
  4. Even though ex-felons who’ve served their time can get their voting rights reinstated, several are saddled with incredible debt and owe restitution that they can’t afford. States are arguing right now whether to reinstate voting rights with or without full payment of restitution.

Miscellaneous:

  1. A 21-year-old man shoots and kills five people in a bank in Sebring, FL.
  2. Another 21-year-old man shoots and kills one man in a Pennsylvania bar and injures two others (one of whom later dies from his wounds). The shooter then breaks into a home and kills the homeowner and then himself.
  3. And yet another 21-year-old man shoots and kills five people in Louisiana, including his parents his girlfriend, and his girlfriend’s father and brother. He’s later arrested in Virginia.
  4. A new report from the Anti-Defamation League finds that there were at least 50 extremist-related killings in the U.S. last year, and that every one of those was linked to at least one extreme right-wing movement (although one had switched to Islamic extremism). White supremacists were responsible for most killings.
  5. Jared Kushner’s security clearance was rejected by two career security specialists, but their supervisor, Carl Kline, overruled them. Kushner was one of at least 30 people in the administration for whom Kline overrode security clearance rejections.
  6. When Kushner’s security clearance request was bumped up to the CIA for the super-classified “sensitive compartmented information” (SCI) clearance, CIA officers called the White House security division to find out how Kushner ever got his original lower-level clearance.
  7. Trump says that he told Sarah Huckabee Sanders to stop having press briefings. SHS justifies this by saying reporters were just trying to make themselves into stars.
  8. Over the previous weekend, a viral video appeared to show students from an all-boys Catholic school mocking and disrespecting a Native American elder after the March for Life. This week, Twitter suspends the account apparently responsible for making the video go viral, calling it a fake account. (There are many interpretations of the hours and hours of video, and I’m not going to wade into that controversy. We’re all seeing it differently.)

Polls:

  1. Trump’s aggregated approval rating after the shutdown is around 39.4%.
  2. Trump’s losing his fight against the media:
    • Voters trust CBS more than him by 52% to 38%.
    • They trust NBC and the Washington Post more than him by 51% to 38%.
    • They trust ABC and the New York Times more than him by 51% to 39%.
    • They even trust CNN more than him by 49% to 39%.

Things Politicians Say:

“I am afraid it will be on my gravestone. ‘Rudy Giuliani: He lied for Trump.’”

~Rudy Giuliani, to The New Yorker

Trump has a “revolving door of deeply flawed individuals — amateurs, grifters, weaklings, convicted and unconvicted felons — who were hustled into jobs they were never suited for, sometimes seemingly without so much as a background check via Google or Wikipedia.”

~Chris Christie, in Let Me Finish

Week 104 in Trump

Posted on January 22, 2019 in Politics, Trump

Tijuana, Mexico--where the border wall meets the Pacific Ocean and people sit on the fence and dream. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull, File)

I’m so not ready for this… the 2020 campaign season is already starting, with a bunch of Democrats declaring a presidential run. And that means that the disinformation campaigns are already out in force. So please remember to check your facts and don’t believe everything you hear. Here’s some advice for trolls that’s circulating on 4Chan to make Democrats sound conflicted or negative about Elizabeth Warren:

“Pose as a concerned Democrat and criticize her for being white,” one wrote. “Criticize her for being a woman. Do whatever it takes to further divide the left and prevent them from unifying behind a candidate for 2020. If we can manufacture another Bernie/Hillary split, they’ll get crushed in the general election.”

Here’s what really happened last week…

Missed from Last Week:

  1. In late December, Trump signed an executive order that expands logging on public lands. The EO also orders the clearing of underbrush on 4 million acres and treating pests on another 1.5 million acres. Trump says this will help prevent forest fires, but experts say this is only useful when done near homes. The EO could mean a 30% increase for the logging industry.

Border Wall/Shutdown:

  1. Here’s some fallout from the shutdown this week:
    • The Federal Aviation Administration calls back furloughed safety inspectors to work without pay. The IRS does the same with its employees, and the FDA brings back food safety inspectors (without pay). U.S. Fish and Wildlife bring back some workers so people can hunt on wildlife refuges.
    • The Coast Guard becomes the first branch of the armed services to not get paid.
    • FBI agents are now working without pay.
    • The SEC stops processing initial public offerings.
    • The NTSB suspends investigations of fatal accidents.
    • The State Department is calling furloughed diplomats to come back to work without pay.
    • Trump’s economists double their estimation of how much economic growth is being lost each week of the shutdown.
    • Some states begin allowing federal workers who are working but not being paid to receive unemployment benefits. The Trump administration has said these workers don’t qualify for benefits.
    • Over 40,000 immigration hearings have been cancelled due to the shutdown. Immigrants who miss their hearings are being given new dates years from now.
    • Businesses are doing their part to help furloughed workers by helping them to delay payments and reorganize loans, and by providing free services and free food.
    • The NY Met gives free tickets to furloughed workers to see their performances.
  1. A federal judge denies requests from federal employees and unions 1) to require that air traffic controllers be paid, and 2) that employees who are essential shouldn’t be forced to work without pay.
  2. The House passes a package to reopen the government, and, for the third time this year, Mitch McConnell block bills to reopen the government in the Senate.
  3. Sarah Huckabee Sanders says it’s Democrats fault that Trump had to feed the Clemson Tigers champion football team fast food.
  4. Nancy Pelosi sends Trump a letter saying they need to postpone the State of the Union address until after the shutdown ends due to security concerns. The White House asks Mitch McConnell if he can invite them to do it in the Senate instead.
  5. In apparent retaliation, Trump postpones Pelosi’s congressional delegation (codel) trip where Pelosi planned to visit NATO officials in Brussels and then troops in Afghanistan. The codel was already on a bus on the way to the plane and Capitol Police already had their people on the ground in Europe awaiting their arrival.
  6. Trump orders that government officials can’t use military planes until the shutdown is over. Then he sends Melania to Mar-a-Lago on a military plane.
  7. Trump says Pelosi and her group can take a commercial flight if she wants. Recent history note: Trump took an official plane to Iraq during the shutdown.
  8. Pelosi says she’s now postponing even their commercial flight abroad because Trump took divulged the codel’s travel plans to the public.
  9. Nearly 400 immigrants tunneled under a border wall in Arizona and present themselves to border patrol agents for asylum.
  10. While border crossings are down, family units now makes up 80% of apprehensions. And they’re mostly seeking asylum.
  11. Trump starts telling stories about women trafficked over the border who’s mouths are taped with electrical tape. He morphs the story to include multiple kinds of tape and body parts. People who work with anti-trafficking NGOs at the border say it’s possible, but they haven’t seen it.
  12. Trump offers Democrats a three-year reprieve for people currently protected by DACA and TPS, saying he won’t try to deport them during that time if they fund his wall. Soooo he tried to take away DACA and TPS, and now he says he’ll give them back if Democrats give him the wall. Again, the courts have struck down his actions on DACA and TPS, so they’re currently protected by the courts.
    • Conservative pundits call this amnesty. To be clear, this is not what amnesty looks like.
  1. Here’s where Pelosi says Democrats want border funding to go toward:
    • Increased infrastructure investments at our ports of entry including additional ports and roads;
    • Advanced technology to scan for drugs, weapons and contraband and to detect unauthorized crossings;
    • More customs personnel including filling the more than 3,000 customs and border patrol vacancies; and
    • More immigration judges.
  1. The House cancels January recess in order to deal with the shutdown.
  2. The DOJ hires two lawyers likely to deal with issues of eminent domain at the border.

Russia:

  1. Mueller’s team subpoenas three new Jerome Corsi associates to testify before the grand jury. The Senate Intelligence Committee subpoenas Corsi himself.
  2. Both Mueller and Manhattan prosecutors are investigating a breakfast event held at the Trump International Hotel in DC two days before Trump’s inauguration. In attendance were Michael Flynn, Devin Nunes, and several foreign diplomats.
  3. The House votes to overturn the Treasury Department’s decision to lift sanctions on a company that Oleg Deripaska has a stake in. 57 Senators, including 11 Republicans, also vote to keep sanctions, but it falls short of the 60 votes required to overturn the decision.
    • Under the Treasury decision, Deripaska must reduce his stake in two companies and the other sanctions against him remain. But a binding and signed document shows that it allows Deripaska to get rid of $100s of millions in debt and for him and his associates to retain a large share of ownership.
    • The primary company involved is a major aluminum producer, and the sanctions are hurting American companies.
    • With an overwhelming majority, the House passes a resolution of disapproval for rolling back the sanctions.
  1. Last year, I refrained from reporting on Anastasia Vashukevich, who says she was Deripaska’s mistress and that she has tapes of him bragging about how Russia stole our 2016 elections. She was subsequently arrested in Thailand on charges of prostitution. So I was waiting to see what would come of this, if anything. This week, Thailand releases her and deports her to Belarus… with a layover in Moscow where officials there arrest her at the airport in dramatic fashion.
  2. BuzzFeed releases a report that starts out with a bang but quickly fizzles. (Note that I don’t typically use BuzzFeed as a source, but the story generated a lot of buzz, so I figured it was newsworthy.)
    • BuzzFeed reports that Trump personally directed Michael Cohen to lie to Congress about the duration of the Trump Tower Moscow negotiations to hide Trump’s involvement.
    • Trump’s legal team reaches out to Mueller’s office about this.
    • Mueller’s office disputes parts of the reporting, but not the substance. This is important because his office rarely jumps in with statements on news stories. They issue this statement:
      “BuzzFeed’s description of specific statements to the Special Counsel’s Office, and characterization of documents and testimony obtained by this office, regarding Michael Cohen’s Congressional testimony are not accurate.”
    • BuzzFeed stands by their story, but they’re also working to learn what specific parts Mueller’s team is disputing.
    • If the reporting turns out to be right, it would mean Donald Jr. perjured himself during his testimony to Congress.
  1. Rudy Giuliani says Trump and Cohen were discussing building a Trump Tower in Moscow throughout 2016, possibly into November.
  2. Giuliani also admits that the Trump campaign colluded with Russia, but he maintains that Trump did not. He later says he doesn’t know if there was any collusion.
  3. Cohen’s testimony before Congress next month will be limited so as not to interfere with Mueller’s investigation. So if you were expecting the full scoop, you’re not going to get it.

Legal Fallout:

  1. A new report from the Inspector General for the General Services Administration says that GSA officials chose to ignore the constitution’s anti-corruption clauses when they continued leasing the Old Post Office Building to the Trump International Hotel after Trump took office.
    • An example of why this is an issue: Last year when T-Mobile needed approval from the Trump administration for a merger, nine T-Mobile executives booked rooms at the hotel with one of them staying there at least 10 times.
  1. Michael Cohen confirms that he paid a tech firm to rig online polls in Trump’s favor during the 2016 elections. He also says this was “at the direction of and the sole benefit of” Trump. I don’t think this is illegal, but it is ironic given that Trump kept complaining about how rigged the polls are.
    • Fun fact: Cohen also used this company to promote himself as a sex symbol on Twitter.
  1. Court filings show that Paul Manafort attempted to fill Trump’s administration with his allies, but it’s not clear how successful he was.

Courts/Justice:

  1. William Barr, who’s currently being evaluated for confirmation as Attorney General, once said that the DOJ might need some “political supervision.” He thinks that we went too far in pushing the DOJ to be independent following Watergate.
    • Barr doesn’t say he wouldn’t jail journalists if they report on things that “might hurt the country.”
    • Barr says it’s vitally important that Mueller be able to complete his investigation, but he refuses to recuse himself even though he has expressed opinions on the case previously without full knowledge of the evidence obtained so far.
    • It takes Trump by surprise to learn during Barr’s testimony that Barr has been friends and colleagues with Mueller for 30 years. I would’ve thought that would come out in the vetting process. Was there a vetting process?
    • Unlike Jeff Sessions, Barr says he won’t go after marijuana sales in states where it’s legal.
  1. A district judge says Susan Rice and Ben Rhodes must answer questions for a court case in writing, but denies a request to make them sit for depositions. The conservative group Judicial Watch filed a FOIA lawsuit against the State Department last year over the handling of missing emails. Rice and Rhodes will answer questions about the talking points used after the Benghazi attacks. Because that hasn’t been investigated enough yet.

Healthcare:

  1. A federal judge issues a nationwide injunction against Trump’s attempted rollback of the ACA’s birth-control mandate. Just previous to that, a different judge blocked the rule for several states just hours before it was to take effect.
    • If successful, Trump’s rollback would let employers avoid providing contraceptive coverage as part of the insurance policies they offer to their employees. Under the ACA, they must provide this at no cost.
  1. WHO issues a list of the top 10 most significant health issues facing us today (in no particular order):
    • Air pollution and climate change
    • Noncommunicable diseases (like heart disease, cancer, diabetes)
    • A global flu pandemic
    • Fragile and vulnerable settings (caused by things like drought, famine, and war)
    • Antimicrobial resistance to existing treatments
    • Weak primary healthcare
    • Anti-vaccination movements
    • High-threat pathogens (like Zika, Ebola, and SARS)
    • Dengue fever
    • HIV
  1. An appeals court vacates a previous ruling that stopped Texas from defunding Planned Parenthood. In the original case, Texas tried to oust Planned Parenthood from their Medicaid program based on the videos that purported to show Planned Parenthood workers discussing illegal sales of fetal material. This doesn’t reverse the ruling, but instead throws the ball back into the original judge’s court and forces him to use a different standard to review the case.
  2. The Senate fails to get the 60 votes needed to pass a bill that would permanently ban federal funding for abortions and place new restrictions on abortions.

International:

  1. Trump has privately and repeatedly pushed withdrawing from NATO. At the NATO summit last summer, he told his national security officials that he didn’t see the point of the coalition. Both Jim Mattis and John Bolton spent the summit scrambling to make sure there was no mention of a withdrawal.
  2. Turkish President Erdogan says Trump called him up and said that he’s still going to withdraw troops from Syria.
  3. The UK Parliament fails to pass Theresa May’s Brexit deal with a vote of 432 to 202, a huge defeat for her government.
    • As a result, May faces a vote of no confidence, which she wins.
    • The official Brexit due date is March 29. May can try to ask the EU for more concessions, but they’ve drawn a firm line.
    • It’s possible this will lead to another vote on Brexit, but it’s not clear that if voters decide to NOT Brexit that it wouldn’t happen anyway.
    • Parliament could amend the EU Withdrawal Act to force May to request an Article 50 extension on the Brexit deadline if there is no agreement on an exit plan.
  1. An explosion in Syria kills two U.S. troops and two civilians, with the Islamic State claiming responsibility. Just a few weeks ago, Trump said ISIS was defeated and we’re pulling troops out of Syria.
    • On the day of the explosion, Mike Pence states that “the caliphate has crumbled and ISIS has been defeated.”
    • Brett McGurk, former special envoy to the Global Coalition to Counter ISIS, says that Trump’s choice to withdraw troops is giving IS fighters new life.
  1. Trump plans another North Korea summit with Kim Jong Un in February. A new report claims there are at least 20 previously undisclosed ballistic missile sites in North Korea.
  2. The Trump administration rejects a deal with Russia to keep the Nuclear Forces Treaty, which is intended to contain nuclear arms proliferation. They say there’s no way to verify Russia is keeping their end of the deal. This sets the stage for a six-month withdrawal from the treaty starting next month.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Three GOP Members of Congress have either had their committee assignments stripped or won’t get any assignments due to misconduct:
    • Steve King: Stripped of assignments due to racist comments.
    • Duncan Hunter: Indicted (when elected)
    • Chris Collins: Indicted (when elected)

Family Separation:

  1. An audit finds that the Trump administration has separated thousands more children than was publicly known. They started separating families over six months before they announced it, and they didn’t track those families. So we don’t know exactly how many, where the parents or children are, or whether they’ve been reunited.
    • The first separations started no later than October of 2017; Jeff Sessions didn’t announce the policy until May of 2018.
    • The separations continued after Trump ended the policy in June of 2018 (largely due to a court order).
    • Amnesty International estimates 8,000 “family units” were separated. I’m not sure what they mean by family unit.
  1. Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR) asks the FBI to open an investigation into whether Kirstjen Nielsen lied under oath to Congress when she said that the administration never had a policy for family separation.
  2. Merkley gave NBC News a draft of a 2017 memo from the DHS and DOJ that describes plans to separate families, to deport minors and deny them asylum hearings, and to force asylum seekers to wait for their hearings in Mexico instead of the U.S.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. A judge blocks the Commerce Department from adding a citizenship question to the 2020 Census, and rakes Secretary Wilbur Ross over the coals in his ruling. He says Ross and his aides broke a “smorgasbord” of federal rules, cherry-picked facts, twisted evidence, hid their deliberations, and lied under oath.
  2. The Pentagon extends the mission of the troops assisting DHS along the border through September. There are about 2,300 troops still at the border, down from 5,900.
  3. The Virginia Senate ratifies the ERA (yes, this is still a thing). If the GOP-led House of Delegates follows suit, we’ll have enough state ratifications to finally ratify it. Interesting history note: The original draft of the amendment was created almost 100 years ago, in 1921. Can we get this done already? We shouldn’t need to!
  4. The House passes a resolution nearly unanimously condemning white supremacy and white nationalism. Even Steve King, at whom the resolution is directed, voted for it. The lone nay vote, Democrat Bobby Rush, doesn’t think the wording is strong enough.
  5. While Representative Tony Cárdenas was speaking on the House floor, a Republican representative yelled “Go back to Puerto Rico!” The congressman later called Cárdenas to apologize and said he wasn’t addressing him, he was referring to the Democratic contingent that had a retreat in Puerto Rico earlier this year. At the time, the House was trying to pass a continuing resolution to reopen nine departments.
  6. Hundreds of thousands show up across the country for the third annual Women’s March. The marches have gotten smaller each year, and this year the National March in DC was marred by accusations of anti-Semitism.
  7. New York bans gay conversation therapy, and adds gender identity and gender expression to their anti-discrimination laws.
  8. The new Democratic governor of Kansas reinstates protections for LGBTQ state employees.
  9. The Trump Organization received at least 192 visas for foreign workers last year. That’s the highest number since 2008.

Climate/EPA:

  1. On top of learning earlier this month that the oceans are warming waaaay faster than we thought, now we learn that the Antarctic is now losing six times as much ice each year as it was in the 80s. It’s gone from 40 billion tons a year to 252 billion tons.
  2. The U.S. is increasing oil and gas drilling faster than any other nation, even though scientists say we have just 11 years to sort out this whole climate change thing.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Representative Maxine Waters (D-CA) becomes the first woman and the first African American to chart the Financial Services Committee in the House.
  2. Los Angeles County teachers strike for higher wages and an increase in staffing levels. They’re trying to bring attention to the needs of public schools.
  3. Our six biggest banks (JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs) made $100 billion in profit last year. That’s a first, it’s expected to grow when 4th quarter numbers come in, and it’s due to the tax cuts.
  4. The Trump administration refuses to extend emergency food assistance to Puerto Rico, calling it “excessive and unnecessary.”
  5. Economists worry that the extended shutdown could push us into a contraction. A contraction starts when there are two consecutive quarters of GDP decline.
  6. Economic growth was already slowing in the last quarter of 2018, with downward pressures including the trade war with China, the fading effects of the $1.5 trillion tax cut, and slower global growth in general. The government shutdown is expected to slow it further.

Elections:

  1. A federal judge blocks parts of the lame duck bills passed in Wisconsin aimed at disenfranchising typically Democratic voters. The judge blocks attempts to curb early voting, to limit the use of student IDs, and to limit the use of receipts for people with exceptional barriers to getting IDs.
  2. McConnell accuses Democrats of encouraging voter fraud and trying to swing elections toward one party with their sweeping election reform bill. His exact words are “power grab” and “naked attempt to change the rules of American politics to benefit one party.”
    • There’s a general summary of the bill here (under Legislation): http://cjrules.com/week-102-in-trump/
    • The point of the bill is to make sure every citizen can vote and none are disenfranchised from their right to vote. So I guess if more people voting swings elections toward one party…
  1. New York passes election reform bills to allow early voting, preregistration of minors (so they’re able to vote upon turning 18), and voting by mail.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump officials reverse an Obama-era safety rule (this is so commonplace that it isn’t even news). This rule required trains that carry flammable material (like oil) to install special brakes to reduce the risk of derailment and explosion. The move was proposed just over a year ago, right around the time the Amtrak train derailed in Washington.
  2. A federal judge finds four women guilty after they enter a national park and leave food and water for immigrants crossing the border. The charges include entering a national refuge without a permit, driving a vehicle in a national refuge, and leaving things behind in a national refuge.
  3. Ouch. Betsy DeVos breaks her pelvis and hip socket in a biking accident.

Polls:

  1. 57% of American voters say they’ll definitely vote against Trump in 2020.
    • 30% say they’ll vote for Trump in 2020.
    • 13% say they have no idea who they’ll vote for.
  1. 72% of federal workers oppose the shutdown, with 64% strongly opposed.
    • 21% support the shutdown, with 14% strongly supporting.
  1. 56% of federal workers oppose building the wall, with 45% strongly opposed.
    • 34% support building the wall, with 25% strongly supporting.

Week 103 in Trump

Posted on January 15, 2019 in Politics, Trump

A fence or a wall? Both are designed to separate, both disrupt migration for both people and animals. Is one better than the other?

Poor Mick Mulvaney. He was just trying to help. When Trump was negotiating with Congressional leaders over the budget for the wall, Mulvaney attempted to find middle ground by proposing that both sides give a little. Trump didn’t really like that much, and said, “You just fucked it all up, Mick.”

Here’s what else happened this week…

Missed from Last Week:

  1. Last week I reported that Ford scrapped plans to build a plant in Mexico in favor of expanding U.S. operations. I was wrong. This story was from two years ago, before Trump took office. This rumor recirculated when Donald Trump, Jr. retweeted a two-year-old story.
  2. Trump starts off a meeting with Members of Congress over the shutdown with 15 minutes of profanity-laced talk about impeachment. He also says he prefers to call it a “strike” and not a “shutdown.” (from the Wall Street Journal)
  3. It took two weeks after shutting down for the administration to realize that a shutdown would cause 38 million Americans to loose SNAP benefits and that, without continued HUD assistance, thousands of people could be evicted.

Border Wall/Shutdown:

  1. After requesting $5.7 billion for the wall and spurning Mike Pence’s negotiations to find a middle ground, Trump ups the ante and asks for $7 billion.
  2. A group of Senate Republicans work on a deal to reopen the government, but Trump shoots that one down too.
  3. The National Governors Association, a bipartisan group, calls on Trump and Congress to end the shutdown.
  4. Last week I gave a link to a summary of the misrepresentations and lies being told about the border and illegal crossings. Well, the lies continue this week, so here’s another helpful explainer.
  5. Trump holds a televised address from the Oval Office to talk about immigration policies, the wall, and the shutdown. Network stations agree to carry the address, even though they refused to air Obama’s speech on immigration policy because it was too political.
    • Fact checkers abound, but it’s not really necessary because he doesn’t say anything we haven’t already heard before.
    • Following the Oval Office address, Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer give a rebuttal.
    • The address doesn’t change anyone’s mind, according to polls. But more people are now blaming Trump and Republican lawmakers than they were before. Which is weird because those earlier polls were before Democrats officially took back the House.
    • Trump tells TV anchors in an off-the-record lunch that he doesn’t really want to give the Oval Office address nor does he want to visit the border in Texas. His advisors talked him into it.
  1. A second federal employees union sues the Trump administration over the shutdown. The named plaintiff in the case is a Customs and Border Patrol officer. In a similar suit brought against Obama’s administration during the 2013 shutdown, the court took the side of federal workers.
  2. Trump storms out of a border security meeting with Democratic leaders. Trump says Democrats refused to negotiate; Democrats say Trump threw a temper tantrum.
  3. The Coast Guard Support Program advises furloughed Coast Guard employees to have garage sales or become mystery shoppers to help make ends meet. The program warns that bankruptcy is the last option. Jeez… I hope the government isn’t going to bankrupt any of its employees.
  4. Despite claiming hundreds of times (at least 212 just on the campaign trail) that Mexico would pay for the wall, Trump now says he never meant that Mexico would directly pay for the wall. Historical note: His campaign website featured a memo at one point suggesting that Mexico would pay a one-time fee of $5-$10 billion.
  5. Trump cancels his trip to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland because of the shutdown. He blames Democrats, though—and I can’t say this enough—the shutdown happened under full Republican control.
  6. The first federal workers start missing their paychecks, and around 1,000 of them start GoFundMe accounts. Restaurants start offering them free meals. By the end of the week, there are over 10,000 GoFundMe accounts.
    • Interesting bit of shutdown history: Government workers are still waiting for back pay from the 2013 shutdown, and the government doesn’t even know how much they owe.
  1. The House passes bills to reopen parts of the government, but Mitch McConnell refuses to bring them to a vote in the Senate. Democratic Senate leader Harry Reid did the same thing in 2013.
  2. Around 100 landowners near the border have received letters from the government requesting access to their land for surveying for the wall. This is the first step in the process of eminent domain.
    • The landowners promise a legal battle to stop the land grab. It’s worth noting that lawsuits from use of eminent domain related to the 2006 Secure Fences Act are still being fought in court.
  1. Another migrant caravan is organizing in Honduras, and Mexico is preparing a strategy to manage them. Trump says the only thing that will stop them is a big wall, though CBP has done a pretty good job of stopping the current caravan.
    • The number of people coming in caravans represents a minuscule proportion of the total number of border apprehensions. But caravans are cheaper and safer than coyotes, so they might become the new norm.
  1. Donald Trump Jr. posts on Instagram comparing the wall to the “walls” that separate animals and people at the zoo. First, is he comparing migrants to animals? And second, if the animals are separated from us by walls, how can we see them?
  2. The shutdown becomes the longest in history.
  3. Trump reiterates his desire to declare a national emergency and use funds earmarked for other purposes for the wall. Also, Border apprehensions are at some of the lowest levels in decades.
  4. Trump considers using FEMA disaster relief funds (that is, those tagged for Puerto Rico, Florida, the Carolinas, and so on) to pay for his wall.
  5. Trump and his advisors think if they declare an emergency, it would reopen the government but the declaration of emergency would be stuck in the courts for so long, that it might never actually happen. So the government would reopen and Trump could save face.
  6. The DOJ furloughs 5,000 intelligence analysts, special agents, lawyers, and other employees. They also freeze funds for ongoing investigations.
  7. The Mayors of McAllen, TX, and its sister city across the border, Reynosa, oppose building a wall between the two cities. The two mayors often work together on initiatives to improve both cities. Also, McAllen is rated the 7th safest city in the U.S., according to FBI statistics. Trump just visited the border there to gin up support for the wall.
  8. GoFundMe says they’ll refund all the donors who donated a collective $20 million to go toward building the wall. The creator of the GoFundMe account had originally said all the money collected would go to the government to help build the wall, but he has since created a non-profit where he wants to direct the funds. His plan is to start building the wall himself, but that goes against his original GoFundMe mission.
  9. Nine Republican Senators introduce a bill that would put an end to government shutdowns, including the current one.
  10. Trump orders many of the activities that were prohibited under previous shutdowns to resume. Those include processing tax refunds, SNAP, mortgage processing, flood insurance programs, and national parks.
    • However, the FDA stops routine inspections of food-processing plants.
  1. The mortgage industry lobbies to restart the IRS’s income verification service so that loans can be processed. Trump complies.
  2. Mexican officials discover another tunnel under the border. This is the third tunnel they’ve found this month, adding more questions about how effective a wall would be.
  3. Kevin Hassett, the chief economic adviser, says furloughed workers are better off because of the shutdown. They didn’t have to use any vacation days to get time off over the holidays.
  4. Trump tweets misleading crime statistics for undocumented immigrants, citing numbers up to three times higher than they actually are. Now’s a good time for a reminder that crime rates for immigrants, documented or otherwise, are lower than crime rates for native-born Americans.
  5. It turns out that this shutdown was at the urging of Freedom Caucus Reps. Mark Meadows and Jim Jordan. The Tea Party is just the gift that keeps on giving. It completely took Mitch McConnell and a few others by surprise, because they thought they had a deal to avoid this.
  6. McConnell, Ryan, and McCarthy all warned Trump against the shutdown, yet none of the three did anything to stop it. And McConnell and Ryan had the power to override it.
  7. A passenger was able to board a flight from Atlanta to Tokyo carrying a firearm. That’s a pretty good argument for ending the shutdown and letting TSA workers get back to doing their jobs.
  8. A group of Democrats catch flack from the right for heading to Puerto Rico during the weekend to attend a retreat, which includes the opening of Hamilton there. I’m torn—part of the reason for the opening is to support Puerto Rico’s recovery efforts, so it’s not all play.

Russia:

  1. Federal prosecutors in Manhattan indict Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya (of Trump Tower meeting fame) for obstructing a money laundering investigation. This isn’t tied to the Trump Tower case, but it confirms her ties to Russian government officials.
  2. Mueller interviewed Blackwater’s Erik Prince (Betsy DeVos’s brother) about meetings with Russians in the Seychelles two years ago. This week, Prince says he’d rather have a proctology exam than sit down with Mueller’s team.
  3. A (Trump-appointed) federal judge scolds Russian company Concord Management, which was charged by Mueller. The judge says their brief was inappropriate, unprofessional, and ineffective. The brief quoted the movie Animal House. One of their previous briefs quoted Casablanca.
  4. The Supreme Court refuses to vacate a lower-court order forcing a foreign-owned corporation to comply with a subpoena in the Russia investigation.
  5. It seems Manafort’s lawyers accidentally reveal collusion (by Manafort, not by Trump). They fail to thoroughly black out redacted information in a court filing, and reporters were easily able to see the redacted text by copying and pasting the PDF.
    • The filing shows that one of the things Mueller thinks Manafort lied about was that he shared Trump campaign polling data with alleged Russian spy Konstantin Kilimnik (who’s also criminally charged in the Russia investigation).
    • Mueller accuses Manafort of lying about a text message asking if someone could use Manafort’s name to get an “in” with Trump.
    • The filing also shows that Manafort and Kilimnik talked about a Ukraine peace plan, something Manafort previously denied. In 2016, the Trump campaign altered the GOP platform to block a provision for the U.S. to arm Ukraine in their fight against Russia. Michael Cohen has also confirmed work on a Ukraine peace plan that would benefit Russia.
    • There are three more breaches of the plea agreement that are not yet public.
  1. A new report says that Mueller’s office has spoken with Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio.
  2. Steve Mnuchin briefs House committee leaders on why the administration plans to lift sanctions on Russian companies associated with Oleg Deripaska, who’s implicated in Russia’s meddling in our 2016 elections. Democrats complain that most of the information they got was unclassified and that Mnuchin gave them little information. They call for a delay in dropping the sanctions.
  3. Michael Cohen will give public testimony to the House Oversight Committee next week.
  4. We learn that FBI counterintelligence opened an investigation into Trump following the firing of James Comey. They were looking into whether Trump was working on behalf of the Russian government against American interests (either with knowledge or unwittingly).
    • Even though they became suspicious during the 2016 campaign, the FBI hesitated to open the case, unsure how to handle such an unprecedented situation.
    • We don’t know if the investigation is still ongoing.
  1. Trump confiscated the interpreter notes from his Hamburg meeting with Putin, and now we have no reliable record of what was discussed. Democrats discuss subpoenaing the interpreter, which is dicey since they’re supposed to keep their info confidential.
  2. In case you were wondering whether Maria Butina and Alexander Torshin’s plans to infiltrate the NRA were sanctioned by the Russian government, it turns out that the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs signed off on it.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Ruth Bader Ginsburg misses oral arguments for the first time in 25 years while she’s at home recovering from lung surgery. She’s out all week recovering, and Trump and Republican lawmakers start talking about how they’ll be able to seat another conservative judge. Morbid.
  2. Rod Rosenstein is expected to leave the Justice Department if and when a new attorney general is confirmed. Other sources say Rosentstein will stay until the Mueller investigation is complete. He’s not being forced out.
  3. An appeals courts rules that politicians can’t block people on social media. This echoes a similar case against Trump, where it was ruled that he can’t block people on Twitter.
  4. William Barr, Trump’s nominee for Attorney General begins speaking with members of the Senate Judicial Committee, or at least Republican members.
    • At first he refuses meetings with committee Democrats until one of them makes that public.
    • He drafts a memo saying a president can’t obstruct justice in the process of exercising his official powers. The memo also questions Mueller’s authority.
    • Interesting history: Barr is the reason that every person involved in the Iran-Contra affair got pardoned by Bush Sr.
    • Despite his previous criticism of Mueller’s investigation, Barr tells Senators that it’s vitally important that Mueller complete his investigation.

International:

  1. Despite Trump’s claim that he’s removing troops from Syria by the end of the month (and they’ve already started removing equipment), John Bolton places conditions on removal that will slow it down.
    • The remaining bits of the Islamic State must be defeated.
    • Turkey must guarantee they won’t attack our Kurdish allies.
    • This kind of falls on Bolton. He’s mostly ended internal policy debates that allow administrations to flesh out and plan decisions like this. Bolton was taken by surprise with Trump’s decision, and has had to scramble to create a plan that in normal times would take weeks, if not months, to complete.
  1. When asked if Trump made a mistake on this, Lindsey Graham says “This is the reality setting in that you’ve got to plan this out.” And this is why Trump as president makes people nervous. Planning isn’t in his nature.
  2. Turkey’s President Erdogan harshly criticizes Bolton for saying Turkey has to promise not to attack the Kurds.
  3. The month-long protests in Hungary against the autocratic regime of prime minister Viktor Orbán continue to spread. Orbán is another anti-immigrant hardliner trying to control the press and the judiciary. He’s working toward one-party rule in Hungary, and wants anti-immigrant leaders to take over the EU. He’s already created a coalition with the like-minded leaders of Poland and Italy.
  4. The Trump administration reinstates the diplomatic status of the EU’s delegation to the U.S.
    • Trump quietly downgraded that status in December, and only brought it back temporarily and only because they protested it.
    • We only found out about it when the delegate’s name wasn’t called in the correct order during George W. Bush’s funeral.
    • Unlike every previous modern president, Trump views the EU as a foe.
  1. In anticipation of Brexit, banks and financiers move $1 trillion from Britain into other EU countries. That’s about 10% of UK’s financial sector.
  2. Mike Pompeo gives a speech in Egypt, criticizing Obama’s handling of the region. One of the biggest departures from the Obama administration is that there wasn’t any focus on democracy or human rights. Another difference was the venue: Obama chose one where he addressed the people, Pompeo chose one where he addressed elites and government officials.
  3. U.S. officials say that the White House requested plans to launch an attack on Iran last year after an attack on the U.S. embassy in Baghdad by a military group associated with Iran.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. The CEO of the Tornillo migrant child detention facility says that the head of the Office of Refugee Resettlement kept pressuring him to hold more minors at the facility. He says the reason the facility is being closed is that he refused to accept any more because ORR wasn’t releasing any of them.
    • The facility was able to rapidly release all the children in custody because HHS waived the new stringent vetting requirements for the children’s sponsors. In other words, U.S. taxpayers were paying to detain these children when they could’ve been staying with family or guardians who would’ve paid for their needs. Because what this administration really wants to do is deport people.
  1. A judge rules that Sandy Hook families suing InfoWars can access InfoWars internal marketing and financial documents, among others. Next week, the judge will decide whether the families’ attorneys can depose Alex Jones.
  2. Around 1.4 million Floridians become eligible to vote. Last year, voters there passed a referendum ending the practice of reinstating ex-felons’ rights on a case-by-case basis. The new rule automatically gives ex-felons their voting rights back after they’ve served all time and probation (excluding certain violent criminals).
  3. A judge temporarily prohibits ICE’s new practice of conducting unannounced raids on Cambodian immigrants’ homes and businesses. Sudden deportations to Cambodia were up 279% last year. Deportees don’t get to talk to their lawyers or loved ones first, they haven’t been to Cambodia since childhood, and Cambodia doesn’t want them.

Climate/EPA:

  1. Carbon emissions in the US increased by 3.4% in 2018, despite the large number of coal plant closures last year. This is likely tied to the uptick in manufacturing, and is a reversal from the previous 12 years during which emissions declined.
  2. Trump threatens to halt FEMA payments to victims of the California wildfires, and then he later tweets that he’s already ordered FEMA to stop sending money. It’s not clear whether he actually did that and if he did, whether it’s legal.
  3. I feel like this was already reported last year, but a new study shows that oceans are warming 40% faster than previously expected. 2018 is the warmest year for oceans, with 2017 coming second and 2016 coming third.
    • Oceans absorb nearly 93% of the heat trapped by greenhouse gases.
    • Heat causes the water to expand, and that accounts for most of the rise in sea levels that we’ve seen so far.
  1. State legislatures across the east and west coasts introduce bills to fight Trump’s expansion of offshore drilling, including Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New York, Oregon, and Rhode Island. California has already passed such a bill into law.

Budget/Economy:

  1. China starts buying soybeans from the U.S. again, and they’ve cut tariffs on American cars. They say they’ll stop demanding corporate secrets from companies doing business in China.
  2. Trump puts a freeze on the planned $10,000 pay raises for Mike Pence’s staff.
  3. Democrats propose rescinding the tax breaks for the top 1% to fund raises for the country’s teachers.
  4. One year into the new tax plan, it hasn’t panned out as planned. Federal tax revenues fell by 2.7%, despite strong annual economic growth of 3%. The last time growth came close to this, tax revenues increased by 7%.

Elections:

  1. Democratic Senator Doug Jones officially requested an investigation into the social media disinformation campaign run by a Democratic group in Alabama when Jones got elected. The group ran test cases against Jones’ opponent using Russian disinformation methods on social media.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump has had twice as much staff turnover as any other president at this point in their presidency. He’s at 12; Clinton is the next highest with six.
  2. In 2013, Mike Pence harshly criticized Obama for some of the same things he’s supporting Trump on now in regard to government shutdowns.
  3. Three top Republican members of the House rebuke Representative Steve King for wondering what’s wrong with the phrases white nationalist and white supremacist. When King made racist statements prior to the 2018 midterms, only one member of the House said anything.
  4. Former GOP Senator Jon Kyl turns down Trump’s offer to take over as Secretary of Defense.

Polls:

  1. Here’s a great summary from Pew Research of their polling on immigration and the wall.
  2. 74% of Americans say the shutdown is embarrassing; 72% say it’s hurting the U.S.
  3. During the first days of the shutdown polls showed that between 43% and 47% blamed Trump for the shutdown and around 1/3 blamed Democrats. Now, 47% to 51% blame Trump, while 1/3 still blame Democrats.
    • What’s weird about this? Right before the shutdown, Trump took complete responsibility for any shutdown, Democrats weren’t even in power when it happened, and the Senate had a veto-proof majority to override Trump’s veto. So why weren’t more blaming Trump then?
    • Interesting history note: The country was similarly split during the 2013 shutdown, with 53% of Americans blaming Republicans.
  1. 59% of Americans oppose the wall, and 39% support it.
    • 74% of Republicans support the wall, but that percentage drops for Republicans who live within the vicinity of the border.
  1. 69% of Americans are against declaring a national emergency over the wall.
  2. Trump’s approval rate is trending downward, now at 40.6%. His disapproval rate is trending up, now at 54.3%.

Things Politicians Say:

  • “White nationalist, white supremacist, Western civilization—how did that language become offensive?”
    —Rep. Steve King (R-IA) to the     New York Times
    Thank you, Iowa, for continuing to force this racist on the rest of the United States.
  • “When during the campaign I would say Mexico is going to pay for it. Obviously I never said that and I never meant they are going to write out a check.” —Donald J. Trump, this week.“It’s an easy decision for Mexico: make a one-time payment of $5-10 billion to ensure that $24 billion continues to flow into their country year after year.” —Donald J. Trump,three years ago.

Week 102 in Trump

Posted on January 8, 2019 in Politics, Trump

(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

We have a new Senate and a new House, and our government is still shutdown. For the record, I’m confused by how Trump can blame the shutdown on Democrats when the shutdown started while Republicans controlled both the Senate and the House. It’s almost as if the outgoing Republican House set up the new Democratic House for an immediate clash with Trump.

Here’s what happened last week…

Border Wall/Shutdown:

The shutdown and wall deserve their own category, since they’re front and center of what’s been happening.

  1. A brief timeline; I’m sure we can all see the dysfunction at work here:
    1. In December, the Republican Senate passes two bills to keep the government running.
    2. Just before the outgoing Republican House was ready to pass those bills, Trump says he won’t approve them without funding for his wall.
    3. The Republican House fails to pass them.
    4. The government shuts down.
    5. Trumps says he won’t re-open the government until he has border wall funding.
    6. The new Democratic House passes the same two bills the Republican Senate did last year, but the Senate has to vote on them again since it’s a new session.
    7. Mitch McConnell refuses to bring the bills to a vote because Trump disapproves, even though there’s a veto-proof majority in the Republican Senate.
  2. Trump and his administration put out a number of “facts” about the illegal border crossings, but many are misleading or flat-out incorrect. Here’s a summary.
  3. As a defense for his wall, Trump says that the Obamas have a 10-foot wall around their house. Pictures of the property show that they don’t. They have a little retaining wall around the front of their property that looks to be about two feet hight, to which they added a security fence. They also added chain link fencing in the back for the Secret Service. People need to learn the difference between a fence and a wall. Jeez.
  4. Trump says he’ll keep the government shut down for months or even years if that’s what he has to do in order for his wall to be built.
  5. A federal workers union files a lawsuit against the Trump administration saying that the shutdown is illegally forcing federal workers to work without pay.
  6. Trump says he’ll consider declaring a state of emergency if that’s what it takes to get his border wall funded. It’s been three years since he started talking about his border wall; I think he’ll have a hard time proving there’s any imminent threat.
  7. As an example of how NOT a crisis this is, average monthly border apprehensions under Trump are just over a third what they were under Bush. They’ve been decreasing for decades.
  8. Though Trump tries to blame Democrats for the shutdown, he doesn’t deny it’s his fault when asked by reporters whether he’s still proud to call it his shutdown (as he said in a public meeting with Pelosi and Schumer in December).
  9. The idea of trading wall funding for a pathway to citizenship for DACA comes back up, but Trump refuses to consider that.
    • Just a reminder, last year, Democrats offered Trump full funding for his wall ($25 billion) in return for citizenship options for DACA and Trump turned it down.
  1. Security experts fear that since the wall has taken over the narrative, they won’t be able to get any of the other needed reforms around immigration.
  2. TSA screeners start calling in sick to work because they can’t afford to get to work without their wages. Some are finding part-time work that actually pays them for what they do. (Reports that air traffic controllers are calling in sick appear to be unfounded.)
  3. The largest airline pilots union sends a letter to Trump imploring him to end the shutdown out of concern for air safety.
  4. Senior administration officials say that the Trump administration is only just now starting to realize the longterm effects of a shutdown, such as delays in processing tax refunds, SNAP recipients being unable to buy food, and HUD assistance being withheld.
  5. Lawmakers on both sides request that their paychecks either be withheld or donated during the shutdown.
  6. The Trump administration sends a letter to congressional leaders indicating that there is no compromising on a wall. Though he does soften his language to say physical barrier.
  7. Mike Pence is tasked with negotiating a deal, and he brings a $2.5 billion compromise to the table. Which Trump promptly shoots down.
  8. Sarah Huckabee Sanders says that most illicit drugs in the U.S. come in through the border. The vast majority of drugs come in through legal ports of entry—by land, water, and air. Even Chris Wallace calls her out on that one.
  9. Trump gets a little reprieve from some of the lawsuits he’s facing when Manhattan federal courts shut down civil litigation due to the government shutdown.
  10. Trump has opted to leave national parks open during the shutdown despite lack of staff, while Obama closed them during his shutdown for safety reasons against much criticism. Three park visitors have died during the current shutdown.
  11. Polling shows that government employees really hate the shutdown. 71% oppose it while 22% support it. Trump says that they’re behind him and that he can relate to furloughed workers who can’t pay their bills. Sure.

Russia:

  1. A judge extends Mueller’s grand jury for another six months. The jury is coming up on the end of its 18-month term.
  2. Russia detains a U.S. marine, accusing him of spying. Two things:
    • The marine has citizenship in four countries.
    • Russian politicians suggest they might be interested in swapping him for Maria Butina, the Russian national who pleaded guilty to espionage.
  1. Igor Korobov, who has run the GRU military intelligence agency since 2016, dies after a “long illness.” The agency is accused of meddling in U.S. elections and hacking our election systems, and Korobov is suspected to be behind the poisonings of Russian ex-pats.
  2. About that dossier, here’s a good summary of how it’s stood the test of time so far.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Supreme Court agrees to hear two gerrymandering cases—one from North Carolina and one from Maryland. Two lower courts found the district maps violated the constitution. The Supreme Court has avoided ruling on gerrymandering, but with the gutting of the Voting Rights Act, the issue has become more urgent.

Healthcare:

  1. After years of taking steps to put abortion rights at risk at the state level, new state legislatures start proposing bills to make a woman’s right to choose more secure.

International:

  1. The Democratic Republic of Congo holds a chaotic presidential election where fake results start circulating on social media. So they cut internet and messaging service in the entire country.
  2. The State Department issues a warning that U.S. citizens could be randomly detained if they travel to China.
  3. National Security Advisor John Bolton says the U.S. won’t withdraw troops from Syria until Turkey promises not to attack the Kurds (who’ve been helping us in the region). Trump had previously said he wanted the withdrawal to happen quickly.
  4. The private information of hundreds of German politicians was hacked and released on Twitter. This affected every group except the far right.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. The new Democratic-majority House gets sworn in and officially take their seats. There are 111 new representatives and senators, which includes 42 women and 24 people of color. This is the most diverse congress in history, but women still make up just 25%.
  2. The House elects Nancy Pelosi to Speaker of the House. Kevin McCarthy becomes the House Minority Leader and Steny Hoyer becomes the House Majority Leader. No surprises there.
  3. Hours after being sworn in to Congress, Michigan Representative Rachida Tlaib recounts a conversation she had with her son where she told him “…we’re going to go in and impeach the motherfucker.” That creates lots of fodder for conservative circles.
  4. House GOP members boo Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as she places her vote for Nancy Pelosi as House Speaker. They really have it in for her.
  5. The new House immediately passes two bills to re-open the government. They are basically the same bills that the Senate passed before Christmas, but now that Trump refuses to support those bills, Mitch McConnell refuses to bring it to a vote in the Senate. Even though the Senate had veto-proof support.
  6. Trump tells a group of legislators that he can’t sign the two House bills because it would make him look foolish. I’m sure there are plenty of furloughed workers thinking that it’s better for him to look foolish than for them to keep losing their wages.
  7. Trump meets with congressional leaders for a border security briefing, hoping to reach a compromise.
  8. The evening before the new Congress begins, the Senate confirms 77 of Trump’s nominees in a bipartisan effort. They include the ambassador to Yemen, a Census director, a National Drug Control Policy director, and just a few judicial nominees. Most were for executive branch positions.
  9. This is the first time since the current budget process was put in place 42 years ago that Congress has transferred power with major parts of the government shut down.
  10. Democrats in the House make climate change a priority and create a select committee to focus on it.
  11. The first major bill put forward by the Democrats is a major elections reform bill. It includes:
    • Making it easier for citizens to vote.
    • Cracking down on voter suppression policies like voter roll purges and gerrymandering.
    • Reinstating parts of the Voting Rights Act that prohibit discrimination against groups of voters.
    • Making money in politics more transparent by disclosing donors and ad buyers.
    • Helping House candidates who can’t raise as much money by matching their fundraising with federal dollars.
    • Placing limits on super PACs.
    • Forcing presidential candidates to release their tax returns and requiring them to have ethics plans once elected.
    • Prohibiting House members from serving on corporate boards.
    • Prohibiting House members from using federal dollars to pay out sexual harassment settlements.
    • Cracking down on lobbyists.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Three teens with the migrant caravan in Tijuana are kidnapped, tortured, and held for ransom. When they can’t pay (because OF COURSE THEY CAN’T), the kidnappers kill two of them and the third manages to escape.
  2. A DOJ memo shows the Trump administration is thinking about rolling back parts of the Civil Rights Act known as “disparate impact.” Disparate impact labels actions as discriminatory if they have an uneven impact on different groups of people.
  3. The DOJ acknowledges errors in a report it issued last year linking immigration and terrorism, but once again refuses to correct the errors.
    • The report claims that nearly 75% of convicted terrorists are foreign-born. Of the people they included in this statistic, over 1/3 were never charged with a crime related to terrorism.
    • The report makes misleading statements about sex offenses committed by immigrants, claiming they were responsible for nearly 70,000 offenses in three years when it was actually over a 55 year period. The number also represents arrests, not convictions.
    • The report cherry-picks examples to support a policy of ending chain migration.
  1. Trump falsely claims that CBP has apprehended 3,775 known terrorists at our southern border. The numbers come from a DHS briefing, but the briefing doesn’t say where the apprehensions occurred. In reality, this number refers to apprehensions mostly at airports and across the globe, not just the U.S. Many of these were stopped simply because their name matched an entry on the terrorist watch list and not necessarily because they themselves were terrorists.
  2. Kirstjen Nielsen says they’ve apprehended 3,000 special interest aliens at the southern border (but didn’t specific a time period). For the record, anyone not from the Western Hemisphere who crosses the border legally or otherwise is classified as special interest.
  3. Maine’s outgoing Governor Paul LePage repeats his debunked claim that 90% of drug dealers in Maine are out-of-state blacks and Hispanics, and that they impregnate Maine’s white women. And then he pardons a former Republican (white) lawmaker who was convicted on drug trafficking charges.
  4. Trump’s administration stops cooperating with human rights investigations in the U.S. by the UN.
  5. Trump’s crackdown on MS-13 gangs caught up and deported high school students who had no criminal background and who were not actually associated with the gang. Many were here legally, but were deported anyway, destroying their American dream.

Climate/EPA:

  1. Despite Trump’s efforts to resuscitate the coal industry, more coal plants have closed in Trump’s first two years than in Obama’s entire first term. The decline is expected to speed up in 2019 as coal consumption continues to fall.

Budget/Economy:

  1. The unemployment rate ticked up in December even though employment increased by 312,000. But that’s not bad news; it went up because more people have moved back into the job market. Wages were also up in December.
  2. Putin says that Russia will fill in the trade gap left by the U.S. by providing soybeans and poultry to China.
  3. Trump blames the stock market’s worst month since the Great Depression on a glitch.
  4. The U.S. national debt rises to $21.974 trillion. It’s grown $2 trillion in Trump’s first two years.
  5. Ford scraps plans to build a new plant in Mexico and will instead expand operations in Michigan. They’ll still move some production to Mexico though.

Elections:

  1. Another Republican Senator, Pat Roberts of Kansas, announces he won’t run for re-election.
  2. Courts in Virginia issue documents around congressional voting district maps, saying the current districts are gerrymandered. The court is redrawing the maps, but the case is before the Supreme Court.
  3. Elizabeth Warren kicks off her 2020 campaign for president. Julián Castro and John Delaney are also running.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Mitt Romney pens an op-ed criticizing Trump and saying that he hasn’t risen to the mantle of his office. Lindsay Graham warns him that criticizing Trump will hurt him and hurt Utah.
  2. Thirteen years after launch, NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft visits Ultima Thule, the most distant object we’ve explored. New Horizons is sending back pictures of the 20-mile-long object.
  3. There’s another mass shooting this week, this time at a bowling alley in Torrance, CA. Three people are dead, two are injured.
  4. Trump holds a stream-of-consciousness press conference. Here are a few highlights.
    • In the midst of a government shutdown where hundreds of thousands of workers aren’t getting paid, he confirms that Pence and his cabinet get a $10,000 raise.
    • He says he’ll use Eminent Domain to take land from people who own it near the border so he can build his wall (or fence, or whatever he’s calling it now). He says he can do this without congressional approval.
    • He says he might declare a national emergency to get the wall built without congressional approval.
    • He claims that other presidents have told him they wished they built the wall themselves. (They haven’t. In fact, all four living presidents and a spokesperson for the late Bush Sr. deny having any such conversation.)
    • He calls Rashid Tlaib’s comment about impeachment and calling him a motherfucker “disgraceful.” He’s not that far off base here, but he’s also the pot calling the kettle black.
    • He says you can’t impeach someone who’s doing a great job (even Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), standing behind him, couldn’t help but chuckle).
    • He claims we’ve already built a lot of the wall. (We haven’t; we’ve only worked on existing fences.)
    • He claims drugs are pouring into the country and they don’t go through ports of entry. (The majority of drugs entering the country come in through legal ports of entry.)
    • The updated NAFTA deal will pay for the wall. (It won’t. If it did, he wouldn’t be asking for money. He also says the deal is brand new, which it isn’t.)
    • He says Russia’s not happy we’re pulling out of Syria. (Russia says their happy we’re pulling out of Syria.)
    • He takes credit for lower gas prices, and says he averted a recession. (Turns out the market for oil just relaxed on the realization that sanctions against Iran won’t create a shortage.)
    • He says the U.S. has taken in many billions of dollars of tariffs, apparently not understanding that the American people actually pay for the tariffs.
    • And it wouldn’t be complete if he didn’t say there was no collusion; that he won and Hillary lost; and that he’s done more in two years than any other president.
  1. Trump holds a cabinet meeting where he:
    • Compares the border wall to the walls in the Vatican (not the same thing).
    • Says there are 30-35 million undocumented immigrants in the U.S. (there are closer to 11 million).
    • Says his generals are better looking than Tom Cruise.
    • Says he knows more about drones than anybody.
    • Claims that Obama gave Iran $150 billion and $1.8 billion in cash. This has been debunked a gazillion times, but as a reminder, the first amount was the release of frozen Iranian assets (in other words, property of Iran that we were holding) and the second amount was repayment of a debt owed.
  1. In a repeat of his first cabinet meeting, members took their turn at heaping praise on Trump.
  2. And in the realm of “draining the swamp,” a former Boeing executive runs the DOD, a former coal lobbyist runs the EPA, a former pharma lobbyist runs Health and Human Services, and a former fossil fuel lobbyist runs the Department of the Interior. Winning!

Week 101 in Trump

Posted on January 7, 2019 in Politics, Trump

Yep, we're still shut down. (ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP/Getty Images)

This is a catch up entry for the week ending 12/30/18. Thankfully it was a slow news week because of the holidays, but unthankfully the holiday week was marred by the government shutdown and ongoing chaos at the border.

Here’s what happened in week 101…

Russia:

  1. House committees conclude their investigations into Russia’s meddling in our elections and into the investigations into the investigation. In a letter to the DOJ, Republican committee leaders reiterate their concerns over how the investigations were handled.
  2. We learn that when Marine Le Pen needed extra cash for her campaign for president in France, she took out a 9.4-million-euro loan from a Russian bank. The bank has since gone under and now Russian officials are demanding payment.
  3. UPDATE: I don’t know how this one slipped under my radar, but a former Mossad chief reiterates that Russia worked to make Trump president, and that their online disinformation campaigns are the greatest threat to democracy and the world order right now.

Legal Fallout:

  1. Trump’s lawyers request a delay in the emoluments case against him due to the government shutdown.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg is released from the hospital following surgery to remove tumors from her lungs.

International:

  1. Russia sends two Tu-160 bombers to Venezuela. These bombers have nuclear capability.
  2. Hot on the heels of an NBC story about how Trump is the first president to not visit any troops over the Christmas holiday, Trump and Melania pay a surprise visit to troops in Iraq.
  3. Following his visit, Iraqi officials demand the complete withdrawal of U.S. troops from their country. Iraqi government officials are reportedly angry that Trump didn’t visit the Prime Minister while he was there.
  4. Trump posted a video following his visit that revealed the identities and location of a SEAL team, traditionally protected information.
  5. Israel’s government announces that the Knesset will dissolve and new elections will be held in April. Netanyahu has a narrow majority, and his defense minister resigned recently.
  6. The acting secretary of defense, Patrick Shanahan, says he won’t push back against Trump’s ideas the way James Mattis did.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Merry Christmas, refugees. ICE drops off 200 refugees at a bus stop in El Paso with no assistance two days before Christmas. Because of the government shutdown, the local officials had no warning. ICE drops off another 1,000 by the end of the week.
  2. A new lawsuit alleges that in Vermont, ICE placed spies inside migrant activist groups and attempted to hack into their networks. Vermont’s DMV helped them out by passing on drivers permit information about undocumented immigrants. ICE used the information to target activists.
  3. A second migrant child dies in DHS custody. Trump blames the deaths on Democrats. Kirstjen Nielsen says there are more sick migrant children coming to the U.S., but doctors who are examining the children dispute that assertion.
  4. Trump begins readying Americans for what a barrier at the border might really look like. He starts using terms like “wall system” and “fence”, indicating that he realizes a big wall across the entire border is not achievable or practical.
  5. The FBI and state investigators are looking into Trump’s Bedminster golf club for their alleged practice of hiring undocumented workers and helping them to get papers to cover it up.
  6. After Mollie Tibbetts’ murderer was arrested, several immigrant workers fled the town. Mollie Tibbetts’ mother adopted one of their children so he could finish out his school years in the town he grew up in. So please stop making political hay about the fact that the murderer was an undocumented immigrant. Her family doesn’t want that.

Climate/EPA:

  1. A tugboat pushing 15 coal barges in the Ohio River hits a bridge, causing six of those barges to sink into the river and spilling tons of coal into the water. The cleanup effort is going on 24/7, but workers aren’t getting paid because of the government shutdown.
  2. The Trump administration announces a new policy that would loosen limits on pollutants emitted by coal powered plants, including mercury. Under the Obama policy that is being changed, mercury pollution has been reduced by 80%.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Trump discusses firing Fed chairman Jerome Powell.
  2. Trump says federal employees support his government shutdown over the wall. Federal workers take to Twitter to say otherwise. #ShutdownStories
  3. Trump says most of the workers who are furloughed because of the shutdown are Democrats. So not true.
  4. On Christmas Day, Trump says he’ll keep the government closed until he gets funding for his wall. Then he says he’ll shutdown the border if Democrats don’t cave in and give him his wall. Shutting down the border would cost an estimated $1 billion per day.
  5. Trump suggests that furloughed workers offer to help their landlords with chores in return for reduced rent (because landlords love to use amateur electricians and carpenters). The administration actually sends them a draft letter that they can use to make such an offer. The administration also gives them advice on how to survive financial hardship by negotiating with lenders and utilities.
  6. Mitch McConnell, the Senate Majority Leader, says it’s not his job to end the shutdown.
  7. Trump institutes a pay freeze for federal civilian employees. Merry Christmas!

Elections:

  1. North Carolina’s election board dissolves following a court decision that it was unconstitutional. This throws the one remaining congressional race that the board refused to certify into further chaos.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump spends most of Christmas Eve attacking his perceived enemies on Twitter, including Democrats, Republican Senators, the fake news, our former envoy to the anti-ISIS coalition, and the Federal Reserve, among others.
  2. His tweet storm seemed to be a drag on the stock markets, which fell again on Christmas Eve.
  3. Trump tells troops in Iraq that he got them a giant pay raise — 10% — after a decade of no raises. In reality, they’ve received raises of between 1% and 4% each year for the past 10 years, and there is no 10% raise this year.
  4. Departing Chief of Staff John Kelly gives an exit interview in which he says:
    • The wall isn’t actually a wall (I’m guessing he means it’s more like a fence). In fact, he says that they gave up on the idea of a wall a long time ago, but Trump still uses it to stir up his base.
    • The family separation coming from the zero-tolerance policy at the border was Jeff Sessions’ fault.
    • Trump surprised Kelly with his Muslim Ban order.
  1. An American becomes the first person to complete a solo crossing of Antarctica.
  2. A tsunami in Indonesia caused by an underwater volcanic eruption kills over 400 people with many still missing.

Week 100 in Trump

Posted on December 26, 2018 in Politics, Trump

Happy government shutdown! What better way to mark the 100th week under Trump? Just a reminder, he told Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer he’d take ownership of a shutdown, then he said he wouldn’t cause a shutdown, then he caused a shutdown, and then he blamed it on Democrats. Here’s what Trump had to say in 2013 about the shutdown under Obama:

“You have to get everybody in a room. You have to be a leader. The president has to lead. He has to get (the Speaker of the House) and everybody else in a room, and they have to make a deal. You have to be nice and be angry and be wild and cajole and do all sorts of things, but you have to get a deal… And, unfortunately, he has never been a dealmaker. That wasn’t his expertise before he went into politics and it’s obviously not his expertise now. But you have to get the people in a room and you have to get a deal.”

Here’s what else happened in week 100…

Missed from Last Week:

  1. Democratic legislators in New Jersey rethink their plans to essentially make gerrymandering permanent in the state after receiving pushback from Republicans, Democrats, progressives, their Democratic governor, Eric Holder, and others. It’s no secret I’m for independent commissions drawing these lines; lawmakers should never be able to draw their own districts.
  2. The reasoning behind Betsy DeVos’s decision to end the policy of making sure minorities are not disciplined more harshly than white students is that it will help end school shootings. Huh? I don’t think any of the shootings have been perpetrated by a minority student.

Russia:

  1. We’re at the end of Trump’s second year in office, and there are 17 known investigations into Trump and Russia from seven different prosecutors (and not including congressional investigations). Here’s a list with the current status of each (all are still ongoing):
    • Russian government meddling in our elections: 25 indicted, 1 guilty plea, and 1 cooperation agreement.
    • Wikileaks: 2 Trump campaign associates implicated, with 1 of them breaking their plea agreement.
    • MidEast countries seeking to influence the Trump campaign: 2 cooperation agreements, but no public court activity.
    • Paul Manafort: 4 guilty pleas, 1 broken plea agreement, 1 indicted, and 1 convicted.
    • Trump Tower Moscow: 1 guilty plea
    • Trump campaign/transition team contacts with Russian officials: 2 guilty pleas, 16 people are known to have made contact.
    • Obstruction of justice: no public court activity.
    • Campaign involvement with Trump Organization finances: 1 guilty plea, 2 cooperation agreements.
    • Foreign donations to the inaugural committee and to Trump’s super PAC: 1 cooperation agreement, no public court activity.
    • Americans lobbying for foreign governments without registering as foreign agents: 2 charged, 1 cooperation agreement.
    • Russian spy embedded in the NRA: 1 guilty plea (Maria Butina).
    • Internet Research Agency’s election activities: 2 investigations and 2 indictments.
    • Michael Flynn’s activities in regard to Turkey: 1 guilty plea.
    • Tax fraud by Trump and Trump Organization: no indictments yet.
    • Campaign finance fraud and self-dealing by the Trump Foundation: Foundation closed.
    • Violations of the emoluments clause: making its way through court.
  1. Republicans in the House Judiciary and Oversight committees question James Comey again behind closed doors about the investigation into Hillary’s emails, the Steele Dossier, and Russian meddling in our elections. The transcript is made public the next day. There’s not really anything new to learn.
  2. Comey blasts the congressional hearings, saying they’re just wasting time and attacking U.S. intelligence agencies. He says Republican legislators need to stand up for American values and stop fearing their base.
  3. Comey explains his press conference in 2016 about the email investigation, saying he was worried about the leaks coming from the New York FBI office (to Rudy Giuliani) and felt he needed to get out ahead of those leaks.
  4. Comey accuses Trump of lying about the FBI to discredit investigations.
  5. New documents show that Trump had signed a letter of intent for the Trump Tower Moscow project on October 28, 2015. Giuliani previously said no one ever signed a letter of intent.
  6. Donald Trump Jr.’s testimony to Congress contradicted Cohen’s current testimony. Jr. also contradicted the letter of intent when he said all activity on the Trump Tower Moscow project ended in 2014.
  7. The judge for Michael Flynn’s sentencing rips into Flynn for selling out his country and asks the prosecutors if there’s anything else they can charge Flynn with. He asks Flynn if he wants a delay in sentencing in order to cooperate more fully, which Flynn accepts. A few things here:
    • The judge has access to the redacted information in the court documents that we can’t see.
    • Conservative pundits praise the judge in the days leading up to Flynn’s hearing. Not so much in the days after.
    • Flynn supporters demonstrate outside the courthouse for leniency.
    • Flynn seemed to be on the road to getting the lightest possible sentence (if any), but the judge is irked by Flynn’s lawyers’ attempt to blame the FBI for entrapping Flynn when they questioned him. The judge gets Flynn’s lawyers to retract those accusations.
    • The judge says that Flynn worked as a foreign agent while in the White House, which he later corrects. Flynn’s foreign activities had ended by the time he got to the White House.
    • Trump wishes Flynn luck before the hearing.
  1. Two of Michael Flynn’s associates are arrested over their activities on Turkey’s behalf. Prosecutors in Northern Virginia charge Bijan Rafiekian and Ekim Alptekin with conspiracy to “covertly and unlawfully” influence U.S. politicians.
  2. Mueller releases a redacted memo describing the lies Flynn told in his interviews with FBI agents. The two major lies are:
    • He said he didn’t try to sway the UN Security Council’s vote on Israeli settlements during the transition period.
    • He said he didn’t tell Russian Ambassador Kislyak not to retaliate over Obama’s sanctions against Russia during the transition period.
  1. For the third time, Mitch McConnell blocks Jeff Flake’s bill to protect Mueller’s investigation.
  2. It turns out that Russian trolls were behind a campaign to smear Mueller by claiming that he was corrupt, that he had worked with radical Islamic groups, and that Russian interference in our elections is all just conspiracy theories.
  3. The Trump administration plans to lift sanctions against three Russian companies with ties to Oleg Deripaska. Deripaska has had close financial ties to Paul Manafort.
  4. After consulting with ethics officials who tell him to recuse himself from any Russia investigations, Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker refuses to do so.
  5. Putin accuses the U.S. of risking a collapse in the control of nuclear arms because Trump is threatening to pull out of a Cold War treaty limiting missile development. Putin also says the world is underestimating the threat of nuclear war.

Legal Fallout:

  1. The Donald J. Trump Foundation agrees to dissolve as part of an ongoing investigation and lawsuit. The Foundation will also give away its remaining assets. The New York attorney general accuses the foundation of providing money to Trump’s businesses and for his personal use, and of illegally providing campaign funds.
  2. Under the lawsuit, the foundation might have to pay restitution, and Trump, Trump Jr., Ivanka, and Eric could be barred from serving on other charity boards.
  3. Despite emails showing funds from the foundation being used for campaign purposes, Trump signed filings each year saying that the foundation never engaged in political activities.
  4. During the 2016 election cycle, the Trump campaign funded ad buys through groups accused of illegally coordinating between the campaign and the NRA. The groups used a shell company to hide their activities. The Trump campaign stopped funding the groups after the 2016 election, but now Trump’s 2020 campaign is using the same groups and the same shell company.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The federal judges assessing the 83 ethics complaints against Brett Kavanaugh dismiss all complaints, not because they don’t think the complaints are justified but because lower court judges have no authority to discipline Supreme Court justices.
  2. A judge rules that four people who brought a lawsuit against Trump and his organization over sham businesses can stay anonymous. They made the request to use pseudonyms over fear of retaliation, which the judge agreed with; she says “The manner in which the president has used his position and platform to affect the course of pending court cases is really without precedent.”
  3. The Supreme Court refuses to overturn a lower court ruling that Trump can’t immediately deport people who cross the border illegally to seek asylum. The administration argues that they can use the illegal action of crossing to deny asylum. Our law is pretty explicit that the administration is wrong—anyone who comes to the U.S. can apply for asylum no matter how they got here.
    • Not surprisingly, Justices Thomas, Kavanaugh, Alito, and Gorsuch support the administration’s argument. Ruth Bader Ginsberg voted in opposition from her hospital bed as she was recovering from lung surgery.

Healthcare:

  1. Senate Democrat send a letter to the head of the Health and Human Services Department accusing them of violating a federal court order by directing funds toward abstinence-only pregnancy prevention programs. The court order was put in place when a court found that the administration had illegally cancelled a pregnancy prevention program in favor of abstinence-only education.
  2. Ohio Governor Kasich signs a strict abortion bill into law, effectively banning abortions after 12 weeks of gestation. He vetoes a similar, more restrictive heartbeat bill (which would ban abortions after 10 weeks).
    • Ohio legislators say they’ll try to override his heartbeat bill veto.
    • Both bills would face uphill battles in courts.
  1. The VA hasn’t spend millions of dollars that were supposed to be used for suicide prevention for veterans.

International:

  1. Trump orders all U.S. troops out of Syria within 30 days. How’d that all go down? Oy…here’s a breakdown:
    • Trump speaks to Turkey’s President Erdogan on the phone. Erdogan can’t understand why the U.S. still arms Syrian Kurdish fighters (Turkey views the Kurds as a threat).
    • Trump says the Islamic State has been defeated in Syria (they haven’t; there are an estimated 14,500 IS fighters in Syria). Erdogan says their fighters can take care of what’s left.
    • Trump says, “You know what? It’s yours. I’m leaving.” And boom. The deed is done.
  1. Kurdish fighters consider releasing over 3,000 Islamic State prisoners.
  2. General Jim Mattis resigns as Secretary of Defense as of the end of February. Could this be related to Trump totally taking Mattis by surprise with his announcement on Syria? Oh yeah. Turns out it’s related, all right.
    • In his resignation letter, Mattis says he and Trump have different views on how to respect and work with our allies and how to deal with authoritarian leaders. He says Trump deserves a Secretary of State who sees things more closely to the way Trump does. His letter reads as a mild rebuke of Trump’s foreign policies.
    • After tweeting about Mattis’s distinguished service, Trump decides to remove him two months early and says Mattis will be out by the New Year. Trump was apparently unhappy over the news coverage of the implications of the resignation letter.
    • Mattis wanted to stay on long enough to ensure a smooth and informed transition.
    • Trump installs Deputy Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan as Acting Defense Secretary. Shanahan has no military, international, or counterterrorism experience.
  1. On the heels of Mattis’s resignation, Brett McGurk, the U.S. envoy to the coalition to fight ISIS, resigns in protest of Trump’s abrupt decision to pull troops out of Syria.
  2. Trump says he’s withdrawing 7,000 troops from Afghanistan—around half of all our troops there. The Taliban then declares victory in Afghanistan.
  3. Trump creates a new “Space Command,” a precursor to the Space Force (a new 6th branch of the military).

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Voter rights groups file lawsuits against the lame duck bills passed by Republicans in the Wisconsin state legislature to cut the power of the incoming Democratic officials, specifically the bill cutting early voting periods.
  2. Congress passes a long-overdue prison reform bill. Here’s what’s in it:
    • Makes the conditions of the Fair Sentencing Act of 2010 retroactive.
    • Eases mandatory minimum prison sentences.
    • Provides more incentives for good behavior by prisoners.
    • Provides more incentives for prisoners to participate in rehabilitation programs.
  1. Outgoing Representative Bob Goodlatte blocks the Savannah Act from getting out of committee. Outgoing Senator Heidi Heitkamp brought up the bill to address the number of missing and murdered Native American women.
  2. The Senate passes a bill making lynching a federal crime. There have been attempts to pass this legislation for over a century.
  3. Trump urges Mitch McConnell to change the Senate rules to get rid of the filibuster so they can get funding for the wall. McConnell refuses, which could imply there aren’t enough Republican votes to support the wall.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. The World Economic Forum estimates that if the gap in economic opportunities between men and women keeps narrowing at its current rate, they will be equal in 202 years. Iceland, Norway, Sweden, and Finland have the most economic equality; the U.S. ranks 51st.
  2. The judge who blocks Jeff Sessions‘ policy removing asylum protection from victims of domestic and gang violence also orders that anyone who was deported based on this policy be returned to the U.S. for a fair hearing. The judge (who is the same one overseeing Michael Flynn’s sentencing) says the policy violates the Immigration and Naturalization Act.
  3. U.S.-based anti-LGBTQ hate groups start working to meet, train, and support anti-LGBTQ groups in Italy. Good job, America—let’s spread the hate.
  4. A GoFundMe campaign raises about $14 million to help build the wall. So they’re about 1/100 of the way to raising enough to build about 1/8 of the wall.
    • The originator of the fundraiser is a triple-amputee Iraq vet.
    • The originator also lost his Facebook page, which trafficked in right-wing conspiracy theories.
    • Republican legislators question whether that money can be used for a wall.
    • What happens to that money if none of the wall gets built?
  1. The Air Force fires two HIV-positive service members despite them both passing the fitness assessments. They were found unfit for duty because of Trump’s policy for “deploy or get out.” The policy removes service members who can’t be deployed abroad for more than 12 months, and HIV-positive members fall into that category.
  2. Video evidence shows that the Proud Boys initiated the violence with protestors when one of their members spoke at a Republican Club in New York City earlier this year.
  3. The Trump administration prevents a Yemeni mother whose child is on life support in Oakland, CA, from coming to the U.S. to say goodbye because she’s from a country included in the Muslim ban. The child has a rare brain disease, and his father (who is a U.S. citizen) brought him here for treatment. After public pressure, the Trump administration relents and allows her to come visit.

Climate/EPA:

  1. The Interior Department takes a step forward in opening the Arctic Refuge for oil exploration and drilling by releasing its draft environmental impact report.

Budget/Economy:

  1. The Senate passes a short-term funding bill to keep the government open until February 8. It still needs to be passed by the House and signed by Trump, but then…
  2. Trump is too chicken to tell us himself right before Christmas that he won’t sign the temporary spending bill to keep the government open until February because it doesn’t fund the wall. So he makes Paul Ryan tell us. We’re looking at a shutdown the weekend before Christmas. Merry Christmas everyone!
  3. A shutdown means that more than 420,000 federal workers will work without pay and 380,000 will be furloughed. This also affects federal programs that help people obtain home and business loans, among other services.
  4. Trump blames Democrats for the shutdown even though when he met with Schumer and Pelosi, we all heard Trump say that he’d take full credit for a shutdown. He said he’d own it; he’d take the mantle.
  5. Because of the shutdown, Trump cancels his holiday trip to Mar-a-Lago and Senators who flew home turn right back around and get on a flight back to D.C.
  6. The Fed raises interest rates for the fourth time this year, but they’re also lowering expectations for the 2019 economy.
  7. The stock market has the worst week in a decade and the worst month since before the Great Depression. The market is on track to close down for the year.
  8. The Dow is up 18% so far under Trump; it was up 45% at this point under Obama. In fairness, Obama was starting from a Dow that was less than half what it was when Trump took over, so 45% was only around a 3,600 point gain under Obama. 18% under Trump is closer to a 3,000 point gain.
  9. Trump says it isn’t his fault that the stock market is down (even though he blamed Obama every time the market dropped under his administration).
  10. There’s a 23% chance of a recession in the next year.
  11. Steven Mnuchin tries to calm the market by making phone calls to certain financial CEOs, which only serves to confuse them. He wanted to reassure them that Trump isn’t planning to fire the Fed chairman as is rumored.
  12. Those CEOs say political noise is making the markets uncertain, including James Mattis’ departure, tariff threats, and the government shutdown.
  13. Trump authorizes the second rounds of bailout payments to farmers to help them get through the fallout from the tariffs, about $4.9 billion. China purchased no soy from the U.S. in November.
    • The USDA says some of the payments will be delayed due to the government shutdown.
  1. The House passes a new tax bill that provides disaster tax relief, delays and repeals some ACA taxes, fixes parts of last year’s tax cuts, improves the IRS, and repeals the Johnson Amendment (which bars nonprofits from endorsing political candidates).
  2. Sonny Perdue, head of the USDA, proposes changes to SNAP that would require “able-bodied” people between 18 and 49 with no dependents to either work or register for a training or education program if they’re on food stamps for three months or more. It’s estimated that this will drop 755,000 people from SNAP benefits.

Elections:

  1. In the 2017 Alabama senate elections where Democrat Doug Jones defeated Republican Roy Moore, a group of social media experts used tactics perfected by Russian trolls to try to sway support for Jones. Even though it was a small-scale operation, Jones calls for an FEC investigation to make sure no laws were violated.
    • The efforts were funded by a LinkedIn cofounder.
    • It was such a small effort that it likely did not effect the outcome of the election.
    • Alabama’s secretary of state says they were aware that groups from both sides were doing this but that they couldn’t get any help from Facebook or Twitter to stop it.
  1. Trump’s re-election committee and the Republican National Committee announce they’ll merge, which will strengthen his hold over the party and form a formidable fundraising machine. This is a first for a presidential campaign.
  2. The Mercers, who were implicated in the Russian social media influence campaigns in our 2016 elections, pull back on financial support to Republicans in opposition to Trump’s policies.

Miscellaneous:

  1. The Trump administration issues a regulation banning bump stocks. Anyone who already owns one has 90 days to turn them in or destroy them.
  2. Trump is already beginning to sour on Mick Mulvaney, who he just appointed as acting chief of staff. Trump’s not happy recently surfaced videos from before the election where we can hear Mulvaney calling Trump a terrible human being and describing Trump’s take on the border wall simplistic, absurd, and childish.

Week 99 in Trump

Posted on December 18, 2018 in Politics, Trump

So much happened last week, but my favorite part of the week was when Trump surprised Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer with a meeting with the press when they thought they were having a closed-door meeting. As far as transparency goes, that was awesome. But things went downhill fast, with a lot of shouting, a lot of misinformation, a bit of man-splaining, and some name-calling; only Nancy Pelosi was trying to talk policy. Pelosi came out of it not only looking like the adult in the room but also firmly pinning any potential government shutdown on Trump. It’s easy to see how she got the votes for Speaker.

Here’s what else happened this week…

Missed from Last Week:

  1. NASA spacecraft OSIRIS-REx arrived in the orbit of an asteroid named Bennu. OSIRIS-REx launched two years ago and will spend the next year surveying and mapping the asteroid and hopefully bring us back some rock samples. Seriously. We sent a spacecraft to an ASTEROID!
  2. The week had some hate:
    • Jehovah’s Witnesses have been targeted with hate crimes 5 times this year in Washington state. The latest attack destroyed a church in a fire.
    • Again in Washington, eight self-professed neo-Nazis assault a black man, yelling racist slurs as they attack him.
    • Someone spreads anti-Semitic pamphlets throughout Pittsburgh, and a student plasters State University of New York’s Purchase College with Nazi-themed posters.

Russia:

  1. Maria Butina pleads guilty to acting as an illegal foreign agent and agrees to cooperate with federal investigators. She’s the first Russian charged to admit trying to influence the 2016 elections.
  2. Here are some highlights:
    • In 2015, Butina began working with Alexander Torshin to establish “unofficial” lines of communication with political leaders for the benefit of the Russian Federation (because official lines weren’t working).
    • Butina targeted Republicans because she thought a Republican would win the presidency in 2016.
    • She worked with her boyfriend, South Dakotan Paul Erickson, on her plan and also to make the contacts she needed.
    • Butina planned to use the NRA to lay the groundwork because of their influence over the Republican party.
    • She received funding from a Russian billionaire.
    • In the middle of all this, Butina obtained a student visa so she could stay in the U.S.
    • She worked to meet with Trump’s advisors once he was elected. Butina and Erickson also tried to set up meetings between Trump advisors and Russian officials.
  1. As of this week, we know through court filings and guilty pleas that at least 16 Trump business and campaign associates had contact with Russians during the 2016 campaign. And every one of them lied about it.
  2. Newspapers and businesses across the country receive bomb threats, suspected to come from Russian hackers. The hackers ask for bitcoin in order to not detonate the (non-existent) bombs.
  3. Everything was going so well for Michael Flynn, who was probably on track to serve no jail time. And then, his lawyers file a court document claiming that the FBI didn’t let him know he maybe needed a lawyer during the interviews where he lied to investigators (which led to the charges against him). They say that the FBI tricked Flynn into lying but still don’t say why Flynn lied.
  4. Mueller says Flynn is an experienced military man in a high-level government position. He should know better than to lie to U.S. intelligence in any situation, and there was no coercion for him to lie.
  5. Two of Flynn’s associates say he was meeting with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak during the 2016 elections to talk about cooperation between Russia and the U.S. Russia would help end the Syrian conflict and the U.S. would ease sanctions.
    • The talks continued even after U.S. intelligence agencies told Trump’s campaign that Russia was behind the DNC hacks and subsequent leaks.
  1. On judge‘s orders, Mueller turns over their documentation of the interviews with Flynn where he is said to have lied.
  2. Texts and emails show that Paul Manafort was advising the Trump administration on ways to discredit Mueller’s investigations. Manafort recommended attacking the FBI, the DOJ, the Steele Dossier (and the Clinton campaign’s involvement) and any Obama officials involved in getting the FISA warrant. He recommended accusing the DNC of colluding with Ukraine.
  3. Studies commissioned by the Senate Intelligence Committee find that clearly all of the messaging coming from Russian entities was designed to benefit the Republican party and later Trump specifically.
    • One report finds that Russians used every major social media platform to influence the elections in 2016.
    • The other report analyzed how the Russian company Internet Research Agency targeted specific demographics for political messaging. IRA targeted blacks and other minorities to either discourage them from voting and turn them against Democrats.
    • Russian trolls and bots put a lot of time into dividing us on gun rights and immigration issues. They’d embed themselves in specific circles using authentic content, and then start posting provocative misinformation.
    • Posts on Instagram generated more than twice the user engagement than other major platforms.

Legal Fallout:

  1. Trump says he never told Cohen to break the law, but didn’t dispute that he told Cohen to pay off his mistresses to keep them quiet about their affairs. Trump says Cohen should’ve known what was legal; Cohen says he was under Trump’s sway.
  2. Sources says that Trump was involved in meetings where Cohen and David Pecker (of American Media Inc. (AMI)) talked about the payments.
  3. In his sentencing hearing, Cohen implies that he has more to talk about than just hush money payments. He gets a three-year sentence plus fines.
    • As a reminder, he pled guilty to: tax evasion, campaign finance violations, lying to banks, and lying to Congress. These are not all his known crimes.
    • Sean Hannity deletes all his tweets linking him to Cohen just before Cohen is sentenced.
  1. AMI is also in a cooperation agreement and has agreed to tell prosecutors everything they know about Trump. If you remember, AMI also has a vault of the negative stories about Trump that they killed in the run-up to the 2016 elections.
  2. David Pecker also admits to the hush money payments. AMI says the payments were to influence the elections, giving even more credence to the allegation that these were illegal campaign donations.
  3. Investigators are looking into donations to Trump’s inaugural committee and to a pro-Trump super PAC. They say foreign agents from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE might have disguised donations to buy influence over U.S. policy. Not surprisingly, Manafort it involved in this.
  4. When Trump and his siblings inflated invoices for their shell company decades ago, they also used those invoices as justification to inflate rent increases in their apartment buildings. This has caused the rent in those buildings to be artificially inflated for decades, even though the Trumps no longer own them.
  5. In a defamation lawsuit, Roger Stone admits to telling lies on InfoWars. Stone says he didn’t do his research and took the word of Sam Nunberg about alleged foreign donations to Hillary Clinton’s campaign. “Didn’t do his research” is how all this BS gets spread around in the first place so do your research!

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Supreme Court refuses to hear cases about blocking funding for Planned Parenthood. This leaves in place the lower court rulings that say states can’t cancel Medicaid contracts with Planned Parenthood offices.
  2. The Senate confirms Jonathan Kobes to a federal appeals court despite the ABA questioning his knowledge of the law and ability to understand complex legal analysis. This is Trump’s second unqualified but confirmed judicial nominee.
  3. The chief justice of California’s Supreme Court changes her party affiliation from Republican to No Party Preference. She says it’s been coming for a while, but Kavanaugh’s confirmation was the nail in the coffin.

Healthcare:

  1. The Trump administration shuts down an HIV research project in Montana because they use fetal tissue to research a cure for HIV/AIDS. Restrictions on the use of fetal tissue have been shutting down research projects across the country.
  2. The Senate votes against a bill that would extend VA benefits for thousands of vets who were exposed to Agent Orange. The House passed this bill unanimously.
  3. A federal judge in Texas rules that without the mandate, certain parts of the ACA are unconstitutional. Trump says that’s great news, but even legislators who tried to kill the ACA aren’t thrilled with this ruling. Many are even confused by it. The White House assures us that the ACA will remain in place through the appeals process. Oh, and the ruling comes the day before open enrollment ends.

International:

  1. Trump rejects the information given by U.S. intelligence agencies in his daily briefings on world events. Specifically, he’s denied that Russia interfered in the 2016 elections, he says North Korea will halt their nuclear weapons program, and he disagrees with them about Iran’s nuclear ambitions, climate change, and the role of the Saudi Crown Prince in Khashoggi’s murder.
  2. Theresa May delays a vote to approve her Brexit deal, and then survives a vote of no confidence. She then returns to Brussels to negotiate once more, but returns empty-handed.
  3. On top of weeks of protests across France, a shooter kills three people and injures 13 at a Christmas market in Strasbourg, putting all Christmas Markets in France on high alert and launching a manhunt. Police later find and shoot the gunman.
  4. A cyber attack on the Marriott earlier this year accessed the personal information of around 500 million guests. Investigators blame the cyber attack on Chinese intelligence.
  5. Trump continues to stand by Saudi Arabia and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman despite GOP Senators standing against him on this. Interesting side note: Some members of the Saudi royal family would like to stop MbS from being crowned king, but support from the U.S. and Trump could sway them.
  6. The Senate passes a resolution that declares MbS is not only involved in Khashoggi’s murder but is responsible for it.
  7. The Senate passes a recommendation to end support for the Saudi-led war in Yemen.
  8. Party members in Hungary that are normally in opposition to one other unite in protest against Prime Minister Viktor Ordan’s authoritarian rule. Rallies and protests have spread across the country, taking the Prime Minister and his Fidesz party by surprise. Ordan has been steadily increasing his power while weakening democratic institutions and processes.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. The Senate reverses a Trump policy that helped hide information about donors to political non-profits. With the Senate bill, donors must be disclosed to the IRS.
  2. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker signs a series of lame duck bills into law, curtailing the power of the office he is leaving because the person taking his place is a Democrat. From what I can see, the GOP plan seems to be: 1) Gerrymander districts so the other party can’t ever get a majority (even with a majority of votes statewide); and 2) When the populace finally votes your party out, change all the rules of government to make sure they can’t get anything done. Such a bad precedent.
    • Lawsuits against these bills are already in the works. Several of North Carolina’s attempt at passing bills to weaken incoming Democratic officials two years ago are still stuck in the courts.
    • Republicans in Wisconsin’s state legislature started working on these bills months ago just in case there was a shift in parties.
  1. Florida’s governor-elect Ron DeSantis wants to delay implementation of the voter approved ballot initiative that restored voting rights to felons who’ve served their time (excepting certain violent crimes).
  2. The House passes a bill to prevent states from holding children in adult jails and to ban the practice of shackling pregnant girls. The bill also funds tutoring, mental health assistance, and drug and alcohol programs for juvenile offenders.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. The number of migrant minors held in U.S. custody is now nearly 15,000. A big reason for the backlog is that sponsors for these children are afraid to come forward for fear of being deported themselves.
  2. Church leaders form an interfaith protest at the U.S.-Mexico border in support of those seeking asylum. Officials arrest 32 faith leaders and activists at the protest.
  3. Officials in Ohio arrest a man who was plotting to kill people in a Jewish synagogue. Hate crimes against Jews have increased more than any other type of hate crime.
  4. Immigration judges for the most part want to make the right choices and not send people back to their home countries to get killed. The Global Migration Project at Columbia University recently found over 60 people who were killed or harmed after being sent home.
  5. The Trump administration starts working once again to deport refugees from the Vietnam war who’ve lived in the U.S. for decades.
  6. Trump says the updated NAFTA deal means that Mexico will pay for his wall. In case you were wondering, it doesn’t.
  7. A seven-year-old migrant girl dies after getting sick eight hours after being taken into custody. Homeland Security says that she didn’t have anything to eat or drink for days before being detained, but her family says that’s not true. The fastest way to get her medical assistance was a 90-minute bus ride, during which she worsened until she was no longer breathing when they arrived. An investigation is underway.
  8. Trump uses the shooting in Strasbourg as a reason we need to shore up our borders, but it turns out the shooter was born in Strasbourg.
  9. Trump claims that the migrants coming in to this country are spreading contagious diseases. There’s no evidence of this.
  10. Trump says a lot of his wall is already built and that it has decreased illegal migration significantly. He seems to be referring to fencing built or fixed between 1992 and 2016.
  11. Trump says says migrants crossing the border illegally are pouring drugs into the country, but according to the DEA most drugs come in through legal ports of entry.
  12. In referring to illegal immigration over the southern border, Trump says: “We caught 10 terrorists over the last very short period of time. Ten.” I’m not sure what he means by ‘the last very short period of time,’ but most terrorists are blocked from entry into the U.S. at airports. And a State Department study found “no credible information that any member of a terrorist group has traveled through Mexico to gain access to the United States.”
  13. Betsy DeVos moves to rescind Obama-era guidance over school discipline that prevented minority students from receiving harsher punishments than their white classmates.
  14. Miss USA, Miss Columbia and Miss Australia are caught on tape mocking other Miss Universe contestants’ English-speaking skills.

Climate/EPA:

  1. A new study that compares past and future climates suggests that over the past 200 years, human activity has reversed millions of years of cooling. So yes, our climate changes, but generally not as rapidly as now.
  2. At the UN climate talks, Trump’s top climate and energy advisor is greeted with laughter when he gives a talk that includes pitching coal, the fossil fuel largely responsible for climate change. Turns out that most of the audience is there merely to protest; the U.S. couldn’t get enough people who are serious about climate change to attend.
  3. At the same talks, nations discuss the latest IPCC report which calls for dramatic cuts in emissions. Oil producing nations want to keep the report out of the final agreement, and the U.S. backs them. They end up welcoming the “timeliness” of the report as opposed to the content of the report.
  4. Even more interesting, though, is the fact that U.S. officials were working behind the scenes to continue making contributions to the Paris agreement.
  5. The Trump administration wants to reclassify nuclear waste so we don’t have to be so cautious in disposing of it, making disposal cheaper. Though this is the same administration that says a little radiation every day is good for you!
  6. The Trump administration proposes weakening the clean water rules that were created by George H.W. Bush and expanded on under Obama. The changes loosen protections against pollutants, pesticides, and toxic waste in certain waterways.
  7. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke resigns in the middle of more than a dozen ethics investigations into his political activity, travel expenses, and possible conflicts of interest. Zinke used his position roll back environmental protections and to exploit federal lands with the goal of global energy dominance.
  8. Deputy Secretary David Bernhardt will take over for Zinke temporarily. Bernhardt was a fossil fuels and water industry lobbyist before coming to the department (whose mission, by the way, is to be a good steward of our public lands).
  9. The Trump administration auctions off leases that will allow fracking on public lands near Utah’s national parks.
  10. A new study shows that Australia’s Great Barrier Reef might be adapting to the warmer waters caused by climate change. The harm done to the reef this year was less than expected despite warmer waters.

Budget/Economy:

  1. China agrees to cut tariffs on U.S. automobiles to 15%.
  2. Trump says he’ll shut down the government if the spending bill doesn’t fund his border wall. He even says he’ll be proud to shut it down.
  3. Trump signs an executive order to help fund underserved communities known as “opportunity zones.”
  4. Trump wants to get rid of subsidies for electric vehicles, which would give foreign automakers an advantage in EV development.
  5. The budget deficit for the first two months of fiscal year 2019 is double what it was in the first two months of fiscal year 2018. The administration predicts the deficit will be over $1 trillion for three straight years.
  6. In 2010, Wells Fargo incorrectly foreclosed on around 545 homeowners due to a computer glitch. Most of these people lost their homes, their current and future equity, and in some cases their pets because they had to move. To make up for it, Wells Fargo sends the borrowers checks that grossly under-compensated them for their losses.
  7. A few months ago, the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau put out a report showing that Wells Fargo was price-gouging student borrowers. The Trump administration has been sitting on that information.
  8. Betsy DeVos loses a court battle and now has to cancel $150 million in federal student loan debt. The loan forgiveness affects 15,000 borrowers who were cheated by for-profit colleges.

Elections:

  1. A federal court in Virginia hands down documents in a case that concluded that 11 of Virginia’s districts are illegally gerrymandered. The case is pending before the Supreme Court, but the legislature must redraw the district lines anyway. One of the documents includes a variety of plans, but none of them redraw less than 21 districts.
  2. Things aren’t looking good for Mark Harris, Republican candidate for Congress in North Carolina’s 9th District. It turns out that he sought to hire Leslie Dowless to help win the 2018 race after losing a race in 2016, knowing Dowless’ reputation for using sketchy means to win elections. Dowless illegally harvested ballots according to witnesses.
  3. George Papadopoulos feels like he’s ready to run for Congress. Now that he’s done his jail time for lying about Russian contacts, that is.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Time Magazine names a group of journalist as their Person of the Year. The group, which Time calls The Guardians, include the slain journalists at the Capital Gazette and Jamal Khashoggi, among others. One of the reasons for this choice is that “manipulation and abuse of truth is really the common thread in so many of this year’s major stories.”
  2. The House Judiciary Committee questions a Google executive for over three hours because Republicans think Google searches bring up results that aren’t fair to conservatives. Both parties are concerned about privacy issues.
  3. Stormy Daniels has to pay Trump nearly $300,000 in legal fees because her defamation suit against him was dismissed.
  4. A Kansas state senator switches party affiliations from Republican to Democrat after being ostracized for supporting the Democratic candidate for governor over Kris Kobach.
  5. The Trumps cancel the White House tradition of a holiday press party. Last year, they held the event but declined the tradition of taking pictures with anyone who wanted one.
  6. After Nick Ayers turns down the chief of staff position, Chris Christie takes himself out of the running as well. Jared Kushner’s in the running, but then Trump picks Mick Mulvaney to be acting chief of staff. Mulvaney is already wearing a couple different hats.
  7. The Trumps plan to take a 16-day trip to Mar-a-Lago over the holidays.
  8. Voyager 2 becomes the second human-made object to leave our solar system (Voyager 1 was the first). Voyager 2 was launched in 1977 and its equipment still functions.

Polls:

  1. Trump’s approval rating in rural areas is 61% compared to 31% in urban areas and 41% in suburban areas.

Week 52 in Trump

Posted on January 22, 2018 in Politics, Trump

In honor of Martin Luther King Day, here’s something to remember if the current atmosphere of protests makes you uncomfortable. Gallup polls show that King’s favorability ratings weren’t that high in the 60s. We might revere and respect him now, but we didn’t then. And people were just as uncomfortable with his protests. So just as a reminder of how history looks back on current events, here are a sampling of his ratings. We should all think about how history will look back on us, even if it means ruffling some feathers in the here and now.

  • 1963: 41% positive and 37% negative
  • 1964: 43% positive and 39% negative
  • 1965: 45% positive and 45% negative
  • 1966: 32% positive and 63% negative (the last year using this same type of polling)
  • 1999: MLK was ranked the second most admired person of the 20th century

Shutdown:

  1. Trump says he’ll sign anything bipartisan for a funding agreement with DACA protections. Congress comes up with an agreement, and Trump says no. Later, Trump and Schumer make an agreement, which is great until Trump’s extremist advisors say no and Trump follows suit.
  2. Here’s a timeline of events from the New York Times and my own notes:
    • 1/20/2017: Trump tells Senator Dick Durbin not to worry about Dreamers, because “we’re going to take care of those kids.”
    • 9/5/2017: Trump ends the DACA program and puts a deadline on their status, affecting over 800,000 people
    • 9/6/2017: Congress approves a bipartisan increase to the debt limit, and Trump tells Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi he wants to help Dreamers.
    • 9/13/2017: Trump, Schumer, and Pelosi come up with an agreement over dinner.
    • 9/14/2017: Immigration hardliners say no way.
    • 10/1/2017: The new fiscal year begins and we start running on stopgap funding. CHIP expires, putting children under medical care in danger of losing their coverage.
    • 10/8/2017: Trump makes the following demands in exchange for a Dream Act: full funding for the wall, increased border control personnel, tougher asylum laws, stopping grants to sanctuary localities, strict use of E-Verify, and more.
    • 12/7/2017: Democrats cave on their condition that a Dream Act be included in any funding measure, and agree to a two-week funding measure.
    • 12/20/2017: Democrats again agree to a short-term funding measure, this time with a promise from McConnell that they’ll get the Dream Act.
    • 1/9/2018: Trump appears to agree to a pathway to citizenship for all undocumented immigrants.
    • 1/11/2018: Dick Durbin and Lindsay Graham bring Trump a bipartisan immigration measure that could save Dreamers and pave the way to a budget agreement. It’s a good compromise on both sides, helping Dreamers and increasing border and immigration control.
    • 1/11/2018: During a meeting about the bipartisan compromise, Trump calls Haiti and African nations shithole countries, ending a process that was progressing well. This blows up the bipartisan agreement.
    • 1/18/2018: Trump tweets that CHIP shouldn’t be part of a short-term solution, causing confusion in the House, which thought Trump was on board with their plan. Aides say this came from watching Fox & Friends and nearly derailed negotiations in the House.
    • 1/18/2018: After clarifying Trump’s stance, the House passes a one-month stopgap funding measure. The Senate doesn’t and the shutdown begins at midnight.
    • 1/20/2018: The government partially shuts down on the one-year anniversary of Trump’s inauguration.
    • 1/20/2018: Democrat Claire McCaskill calls for not ending military pay during the shutdown and Mitch McConnell objects.
    • 1/20/2017: Democrats propose legislation that would prevent lawmakers from being paid during a shutdown. It doesn’t pass, though some say they’ll forego their paycheck (I’m not sure they can actually do that).
  1. Democrats demand that CHIP and DACA get resolved before we move forward.
  2. Of note, the federal government has never been shut down when one party controls both Houses and the executive branch.
  3. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham says this has become a total “shitshow.”
  4. Before the shutdown, Trump blames Democrats for wanting a shutdown. Even though the bipartisan plan gave Trump much of what he wanted, he’s already blaming Democrats.
  5. Before the shutdown, conservatives say they can’t “support any spending bill that paves the way for a future immigration deal that could favor Democrats,” according to NPR.
  6. My analysis? Trump put a time bomb on DACA and Republicans put a time bomb on CHIP. In doing so they created bargaining chips in the most callous way.
  7. Trump’s own words from the 2013 shutdown surface. He said back then that any shutdown is the president’s fault.
  8. According to Lindsay Graham: “Every time we have a proposal it is only yanked back by staff members. As long as Stephen Miller is in charge of negotiating immigration, we’re going nowhere.”
  9. Some Republicans try to play the shutdown against the Democrats, saying they’re putting the needs of immigrants above children and the military. There’s literally no reason not to include the bipartisan bill that includes DACA as a condition of passing a spending bill. Almost every legislator is for this, at least privately.
  10. And always the grownups in the room, the White House changes their outgoing message:

“Thank you for calling the White House. Unfortunately, we cannot answer your call today, because Congressional Democrats are holding government funding, including funding for our troops and other national security priorities, hostage to an unrelated immigration debate. Due to this obstruction, the government is shut down. In the meantime, you can leave a comment for the president at www.whitehouse.gov/contact. We look forward to taking your calls as soon as the government reopens.”

Russia:

  1. Robert Mueller subpoenas Steven Bannon in the Russia investigation. For now, Bannon won’t appear before the grand jury.
  2. Bannon meets with the House Intelligence Committee behind closed doors, and says he won’t answer questions about the transition period nor his time in the White House. The committee immediately issues a subpoena. After the subpoena, Bannon’s lawyer calls the White House, and it seems Bannon was told to not say anything.
  3. Bannon does admit that he talked to both Reince Priebus and Sean Spicer as well as a legal spokesperson about the Trump Tower meeting with Russian lawyers last year.
  4. White House Counsel, Don McGahn, advises Bannon on what he can say despite the fact that McGahn himself is a witness to the events under investigation.
  5. Hundreds of Twitter accounts controlled by the Kremlin call for the release of a memo commissioned by Devin Nunes that accuses the DOJ and FBI of having anti-Trump bias (even though these agencies tend to be more conservative than liberal).
  6. House Republicans have been sharing the memo among themselves, but refuse to share it with Democrats, the FBI, or the DOJ.
  7. A federal judge rejects Mueller’s bid to start Paul Manafort’s trial in May. It’ll probably start in September instead.
  8. Mueller is looking at financial transactions by Russian players, including by former Russian Ambassador to the U.S. Sergei Kislyak in the days around the election.
  9. Last week, Dianne Feinstein released Glenn Simpson’s (Fusion GPS) testimony for the Senate Intelligence Committee. This week, the House Intelligence Committee releases Simpson’s testimony for them.
  10. The financial aspect of the Russia investigation includes looking at the NRA, which spent $30 million on getting Trump elected.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Nothing major this week!

Healthcare:

  1. And so it begins. After Trump gives states more leeway in Medicaid spending, Kentucky is the first to get permission to require that certain recipients work, among other requirements. An estimated 90,000 people will lose Medicaid coverage as a result. This is a big turnaround in Kentucky, which was a poster child for making the ACA work for it’s residents under their previous governor.
  2. Trump creates a new Conscience and Religious Freedom Division in the Department of Health and Human Services. The purpose of this group is to protect health workers who oppose abortion, gender confirmation surgery, and other procedures or drugs based on religious beliefs. So a nurse can’t be reprimanded for refusing to assist in an abortion or a pharmacist can’t be reprimanded for refusing birth control—even if these are medically necessary.
  3. The number of Americans without insurance increased by 3.2 million last year.

International:

  1. Trump says Russia’s been helping North Korea get around sanctions by providing fuel to North Korea.
  2. As part of the expansion of the definition of which threats can be met with a nuclear response, the Pentagon proposes that cyberattacks could result in nuclear retaliation.
  3. Trump cuts aid to Palestine in half.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. No legislation this week. Lawmakers were too busy fighting with each other and tripping themselves up so they can shut down down the government.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Sarah Huckabee Sanders explains that Trump can’t be racist because he was on “The Apprentice” and they wouldn’t give him a TV show if he was racist. Huh?
  2. After his shithole comments last week, Trump apparently said he doesn’t care what the Congressional Black Caucus thinks.
  3. This falls under the category of “Don’t campaign on issues you don’t grasp.” According to Chief of Staff John Kelly, Trump’s campaign promises about building a border wall were uninformed and that we won’t build a physical wall across the entire border as Trump had promised. He also says that Mexico was never going to pay for it.
  4. Even so, Trump continues to repeat his promise to build the wall, and says that Mexico will pay for it indirectly through NAFTA renegotiations. Translation: You and I will pay for it with increased cost of goods from Mexico and less trade.
  5. Contrary to his campaign promise, Trump says that parts of the wall “will be, of necessity, see through and it was never intended to be built in areas where there is natural protection such as mountains, wastelands or tough rivers or water.”
  6. ICE plans a major sweep in the Bay area, targeting 1,500 undocumented immigrants and whatever collateral they find along the way. This is largely seen as retaliation for California’s sanctuary status (which they worked out with the Sheriff’s department, in case you were wondering).
  7. Kirstjen Nielsen testifies to Congress, and says that the DHS wants to prosecute state and local leaders who won’t comply with Trump’s deportation methods.
  8. More than 100 Jews from across the country arrive in D.C. to support a Dream Act and Dreamers. They refuse to move and 86 are arrested while being surrounded by Dreamers.
  9. Carl Higbie, Trump’s appointee to head the Corporation for National and Community Service, resigns based on his past disparaging comments about minorities and women. Higbie also once said that PTSD in soldiers is a sign of a weak mind.
  10. The DOJ asks the Supreme Court to review the lower court order that required the government to restart the DACA program.
  11. Trump really hates Haitians. He removed them from the list of countries eligible for H-2A and H-2B visas, which allow agricultural and seasonal workers to come here from foreign countries.
  12. The House proposes a bipartisan bill that would prevent taxpayer dollars from being used to settle sexual misconduct cases by lawmakers.
  13. Fifteen Syrian refugees are found frozen to death. Apparently they were trying to flee to Lebanon over the mountains and got caught in a storm.
  14. Trump tweets that 75% of people convicted on terrorism charges are foreign-born, even though the DOJ/DHS report this is based on says it doesn’t have final information on most of those convicted yet.
  15. Costa Rica legalizes same-sex marriage, making it legal in 20 countries in the Americas.

Climate/EPA:

  1. Nine of the 12 National Park System Advisory Board members resign out of frustration with the Secretary of the Interior, Ryan Zinke. Zinke has refused to meet with them, and at one point suspended all outside committees pending review. This board designates national historic and natural landmarks.
  2. Scott Pruitt gets schooled when he asks climate scientists what the ideal temperature is. Hint: It’s not about temperature; it’s about temperature change and the speed of change. Our civilization developed in a relatively stable climate.
  3. Robert Murray, head of Murray Energy, gave Trump an action plan to influence policy and regulation changes. The plan also recommends replacing all members of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). What’s important here is that it’s not legal for industries to instruct the government this way, specifically on who to hire or fire.
  4. NASA says that 2017 was the second-hottest year in recorded history, and NOAA says it’s the third hottest. (They use different methodologies. Why don’t they use the same one? Because that would skew the trends for the agency that has to switch.) Both agencies agree that the past four years were the hottest period in recorded history. Both also agree that 2017 was the hottest year without an El Nino influence.
  5. Mexico and New Zealand are leading an international effort to protect the oceans, and Belize is ending offshore oil activity in order to preserve their barrier reefs.
  6. The U.S. shatters its previous record for spending on natural, weather, and climate disasters, hitting $306 million. The previous high was $214 million and before that, $126 million.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Almost 40% of American students who started college in 2003 or 2004 are at risk for defaulting on their loans. The risk is highest for students who attended for-profit universities, like Trump University, and for black students.
  2. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau plans to reconsider last year’s decision to restrict payday lenders. The lenders serve a purpose for people in need of quick cash, but they charge astronomical fees and interest and some people think they prey on the needy.
  3. And finally for some truly good news that came out of the tax plan, Apple announces that it will reinvest $350 billion in repatriated money into a new campus and U.S. manufacturing. No strings, no associated layoffs. Several other companies plan bonuses or reinvestments, mostly airlines and banks.
  4. The U.S. Treasury estimates that 90% of workers will have more take-home pay in their checks starting in the middle of February. However, with the rush to get this implemented, it’s possible the IRS will be taking out too much or too little, giving you a big surprise on tax day 2019. So be sure to check your paystubs on Feb. 15.
  5. Housing prices could take a hit in some areas because of the new caps on mortgage interest deductions and property taxes, along with rising interest rates.
  6. On top of loosening up oversight by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Director Mick Mulvaney didn’t request any funding for it this year.
  7. The Koch brothers spent millions to support the tax bill last year, and donated $500,000 to Paul Ryan after the plan passed.

Elections:

  1. Trump travels to Pennsylvania to campaign for Rick Saccone, though to get around election laws he claims that it was official White House business.
  2. Democrat Patty Schachtner wins a State Senate seat in a district in Wisconsin that went for Trump by 17 percentage points.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Activist groups start filing the first of many lawsuits against the FCC’s decision to repeal net neutrality. Attorneys general from 22 states file a lawsuit to block the repeal as well.
  2. An effort by Senate Democrats to restore net neutrality only needs one more Republican vote to reverse the FCC’s decision under the Congressional Review Act.
  3. Trump’s doctor gives him a clean bill of physical and mental health, saying he’s in excellent health overall (even though he’s one pound away from being obese).
  4. Trump’s lawyer paid $130,000 to a porn star last year for her to keep quiet about an alleged affair with Trump when he was newly married to Melania. In Touch magazine held back from publishing the porn star’s story after they were threatened by said lawyer.
  5. On the same day that Jeff Flake compares Trump’s treatment of the press with Stalin, Trump hands out his fake news awards. Ironic because he’s one of the biggest perpetrators of fake news, and reliable journalists work their butts off to keep us informed.
  6. There’s a warrant out for Sebastian Gorka in Hungary for “firearm or ammunition abuse.” The entire time he worked at the White House, he had a warrant out for his arrest. Confusing. Because they know where to find him.
  7. Tom Cotton issues a do-not-call-or-write notice to some of his more activist constituents. No judgement here. I don’t know what those activists were doing or saying.
  8. Federal prosecutors say they’ll drop charges against most of the protestors that were arrested on inauguration day, though not all of them.
  9. More than a million people march across America in the 2nd Women’s March over the weekend, along with sister marches around the world. This follows the March for Life, where thousands of pro-lifers took to the streets. I’m having a hard time getting solid numbers on either of these marches.
  10. Trump appears via video at the March for Life in D.C. where he told marchers “We are with you all the way.” This is the first time a president has really taken a position on the abortion issue while in office. They usually leave it to the courts.

Polls:

  1. A recent poll shows that 42% of Republicans think that negative but accurate news stories are fake news, compared to 17% of Democrats who think the same.
  2. 52% of Americans think that Trump’s first year in office was a failure.
  3. 61% of Americans think that Trump is dividing the country.
  4. Trump’s approval at the end of one year is 37%, a low compared to other presidents in recent history.