Tag: brexit

Week 115 in Trump

Posted on April 13, 2019 in Politics, Trump

The economy has added jobs for a record 102 months, since October of 2010.

Here’s a stealth release of last week’s recap (ending April 7) because I’m so darn late with it. My typing fingers are still recovering from rock climbing earlier this week.

This week reminds me that while soundbites are easy to remember and fun to say, we should beware of politicians who talk in soundbites and don’t actually talk about specific policies. I know policies are boring as hell, but I’d rather elect someone who can tell me about their policies than someone who’s still trying to figure out how policies work.

Here’s what happened last week in politics…

Russia:

  1. I know this isn’t news, but it was quite a thing to watch. Trump tells reporters to look into the oranges of the Russia investigation. Yes, oranges. He says this three times.
  2. The House Judiciary Committee votes to authorize the use of subpoenas, if necessary, to force the release of the full and unredacted Mueller report to Congress.
  3. House Committees have so far been ignored by over half of the entities from whom they’ve requested documents in obstruction and corruption investigations. The deadline was March 18.
  4. Trump goes from saying that the Mueller report should be released in its entirety to putting out hostile tweets about Democrats who want it released.
  5. Members of Robert Mueller’s team say that Attorney General William Barr’s initial assessment of the final report undermines the seriousness of their findings, as well as how damaging those findings are to Trump. Note that these are all just leaks right now.
    • They also say they created completely unclassified summaries of each section, which Barr could easily release now.
    • The House Judiciary Committee requests that Barr release these summaries.
  1. The DOJ defends Barr, saying every single page of the report must be combed through because they all contain protected grand jury information.

Legal Fallout:

  1. A former Trump campaign staffer files a lawsuit alleging that Trump sexually assaulted her during the 2016 campaign. She says he grabbed her and kissed her.
  2. The House Ways and Means Committee formally requests six years worth of Trump’s personal and business tax returns from the IRS, as is their right per the IRS tax code. Steve Mnuchin has said he wouldn’t do that.
  3. Trump’s lawyers say handing over the tax returns would be a dangerous precedent… even though every presidential nominee in recent history has released their tax records.
  4. Michael Cohen says he just found a trove of files that could be valuable to investigators. He requests a delay or shortening of his sentence so he can review them.

Courts/Justice:

  1. We learn that DOJ officials invited William Barr to meet with them last year on the same day he published his memo criticizing Mueller’s investigation and claiming a president can’t commit obstruction of justice.

Healthcare:

  1. The number of measles cases is at its second highest in nearly 20 years. The disease was considered to be eradicated in the U.S. in 2000, but a lower rate of vaccination has brought it back.
    • In an effort to control the outbreaks, some municipalities ban unvaccinated people under 18 from being in public places.
  1. After Mitch McConnell warns him the Senate won’t take it up, Trump says he’ll put off a Congressional vote for an ACA replacement until after the 2020 elections. Probably because they don’t have a replacement and they aren’t close to having one.
  2. Last week, the DOJ announced they wouldn’t defend the ACA in any lawsuits, so I’m not clear what Trump’s change of direction means for this. The ACA could be struck down at any moment, and there is no plan to replace it.
  3. Despite there being no backup plan, Mick Mulvaney says no one will lose their healthcare coverage if the ACA is struck down.
  4. The House passes a non-binding resolution condemning Trump’s support for the lawsuit to strike down the ACA.
  5. The Trump administration proposes a new inspection system for the meat industry, which would put companies more in charge of checking for things like salmonella and E. coli. Currently, testing for those two is required; under the new plan, they wouldn’t be.
  6. A group of states sue the Trump administration over its reversal of Obama’s nutritional standards for school lunches.
  7. China bans fentanyl, cutting off its supply to the U.S.

International:

  1. The Saudi Arabian government has given Jamal Khashoggi’s (grown) children million-dollar homes as well as large monthly payments to compensate them for their father’s murder. Officials want to be sure that the family exercises restraint in criticizing the government over their father’s death.
  2. The British Parliament fails to pass any of the four new options for Brexit. The votes result in even more defections from the parties.
  3. Even though Brexit hasn’t happened yet, England’s already taking a financial hit. Investment has slowed down and major corporations have moved jobs and assets (over $1 trillion) out of England to other European cities in preparation.
  4. The House passes a resolution demanding an end to U.S. participation in the Yemeni war. The Senate has already passed such a resolution, and Trump will likely veto it.
  5. Trump says there are still key issues to work out in order to get a trade deal with China, and he won’t meet with Xi Jinping until those issues are settled.
  6. Turkey’s strongman president Erdogan might be seeing his support fade. His party loses municipal elections in the capital, Ankara, and the biggest city, Istanbul.
  7. Reminiscent of our own elections, a network of fake Twitter accounts smear Benjamin Netanyahu’s opponents in the run-up to Israel’s election.
  8. India’s elections get hit with fake news and fake social media accounts as well.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. The House passes a stronger version of the Violence Against Women Act (VAWA).
    • A sticking point in the Senate will likely be a provision that prevents stalkers from purchasing guns. Because what could go wrong with a stalker with a gun?
    • Republicans are also concerned about provisions that give Native Americans more jurisdiction to deal with domestic violence that occurs on their lands.
  1. Senator Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) introduces a constitutional amendment to ditch the Electoral College and let the popular vote pick the president and vice-president.
  2. Mitch McConnell triggers the “nuclear option” to reduce debate time on lower-level nominees.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. Regarding a border wall, Pope Francis says, “Those who build walls will become prisoners of the walls they put up.”
  2. Trump visits the border wall at Calexico, CA, where Kirstjen Nielsen attached a plaque with Trump’s name on it to the fencing. Trump says this is where he’s built part of his wall, though it was actually a program begun under Obama to update existing fencing.
    • Fun fact: To date in Trump’s term, no new fencing has been completed; only repairs to existing fencing.
  1. California, in coordination with 19 other states, launches a lawsuit seeking an injunction against Trump’s declaration of national emergency to fund his border wall. At the same time, California’s governor Gavin Newsom goes to El Salvador to learn why so many people are fleeing.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Trump is considering appointing an immigration czar. Not a bad idea, until you look at his potential candidates. Kris Kobach has pushed for and implemented many anti-immigration policies and works for WeBuildtheWall Inc. Ken Cuccinelli has pushed to get rid of birth-right citizenship.
  2. Trump says his father was born in Germany. Except for that he was born in New York City. This isn’t the first time he’s said that. He also says Obama was born in Kenya, so maybe he’s just bad with geography.
  3. The Mormon church announces that they no longer consider same-sex couples to be apostates (people who renounced their faith). Their children can now be baptized in the church. Likely the change came because after they put their previous policy in place, over 1,500 people left the church.
  4. Trump backs down on his promise to shut down the border with Mexico.
    • Even so, staffing shortages cause huge slowdowns in border transit. The previous week, the Trump administration pulled border agents from their positions at ports of entry to help process asylum seekers.
    • At key economic crossings, the wait to drive into the U.S. can be more than 10 hours.
    • The delays are hurting business production schedules and deliveries, and costing companies in both countries millions. But Mexico is being hurt the worst, facing contract cancellations and massive layoffs if this continues. None of those laid off workers will try to come here to work, right?
  1. In a huge raid, ICE arrests over 280 people at a phone repair company near Dallas. This is part of ICE’s new focus on businesses that hire people without the proper documentation.
  2. Trump tells reporters we need to get rid of family-based migration, the visa lottery, the whole asylum system, and the practice of releasing asylum seekers while they await their hearings. He also says we should get rid of judges and not everyone should get a court case (not everyone does).
    • I didn’t quote his dehumanizing language directly. He used the loaded terms “chain migration” and “catch-and-release” (what are they, fish?).
  1. Trump pulls his nomination to head ICE, Ronald Vitiello, saying he wants to go in a tougher direction.
    • It’s a huge surprise to DHS officials. Vitiello has worked at U.S. Border Patrol for 30 years, and he’s currently the top official.
    • White House advisor Stephen Miller has always opposed Vitiello, and despite his failed policies, Miller has Trump’s ear on immigration.
  1. Trump decides not to close the southern border as he’d previously threatened to do.
  2. Kirstjen Nielsen abruptly resigns as Secretary of Homeland Security following a meeting where she angers Trump by telling him it would violate the law to force asylum seekers to choose between keeping their children and being deported back to their country (another Stephen Miller idea).
    • Fun fact: For a few months now, Trump has been pushing to reinstate blanket separation of migrant families at the border. He‘s convinced that this has been the most effect deterrent to asylum seekers. Interviews with asylum seekers show most don’t know about this policy until they reach the border.
  1. Trump puts CBP Commissioner Kevin McAleenan temporarily in charge of Homeland Security. A good choice if Trump is looking for bipartisan support.
  2. The U.S. revokes the travel visa of the International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor over allegations that she’s investigating war crimes in Afghanistan.
  3. Officers arrest a New York man who threatened to kill Representative Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) because she’s a Muslim. He says she’s a terrorist.
  4. Trump defends adding a citizenship question to the census because otherwise the census is “meaningless.” I don’t think he understand the purpose of the census.
    • The next day, a third judge rules against the plan to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census. The judge says that Wilbur Ross made up a fake reason to justify adding the question.
    • Fun fact: The Census Bureau itself has consistently recommended against adding the question.
  1. At a gathering of donors and Jewish Republicans, Trump says the U.S. is full, so refugees should just turn around and go back. That anyone in the room laughed at this is remarkable given the criticism of the U.S. for turning away an ocean liner carrying Jewish refugees in WWII.
    • I heard this while driving through empty swaths of land in southern California. The irony was not lost on me. We are not full.
  1. Even though far-right extremism, white nationalist and supremacist groups, and domestic terrorism are all on the rise, last year the Department of Homeland security disbanded a group focused on analyzing those very threats.
  2. Motel 6 agrees to a $12 million settlement for giving ICE personal information on 80,000 of their guests with Latino sounding last names. Big brother is watching… that’s why they leave a light on for you.

Climate/EPA:

  1. California strengthens protections for their wetlands and streams that will lose federal protections when the Trump administration rolls back the Clean Water Act.
  2. A new study from the Canadian Environment and Climate Change Department finds that Canada is warming at about double the rate of the rest of the globe.
  3. After Trump disbanded a climate panel put together under Obama, the formed a new independent group, the Independent Advisory Committee on Applied Climate Assessment. This week, they release a new report aimed at helping communities mitigate the negative effects of climate change.
  4. At an NRCC fundraiser, Trump says that the noise from wind turbines causes cancer. Studies dispute this (yes, it’s actually been studied), as do the two Republican Senators in the state where Trump said it (Iowa).

Budget/Economy:

  1. The Trump administration proposes tightening work requirements for SNAP participants, which would likely cut more than 750,000 people from the program.
  2. The first quarter of 2019 saw the U.S.’s highest level of layoffs since 2015 (and the highest in the first quarter since 2009, during the Great Recession).
  3. After February’s dismal job numbers (with only 33,000 jobs added), March rebounds with 196,000 jobs added.
    • Fun fact: This is the 102nd month in a row of job gains, the longest period of job growth on record. That’s 8 1/2 years, or since October of 2010.
  1. Trump plans to nominate Herman Cain and Stephen Moore to the Federal Reserve board. Moore is dicey because he owes so much in back taxes. Cain is dicey because of all the sexual harassment accusations against him (among other qualifying issues).
  2. The Fed says they don’t plan any rate hikes this year, indicating that while the economy is strong, it’s also losing some of its tax-reform momentum. Trade uncertainty with China is also a drag on the economy.
  3. As of January, 19 states had raised their minimum wage. This could help with wage growth, which has been stagnant.
  4. We’re in the middle of a labor shortage. That’s a good sign for the economy, but we don’t have enough workers to fill blue-collar jobs. And with the administration’s restrictions on legal immigration, those jobs will stay empty.
  5. Directors at the World Bank select Trump’s nominee, David Malpass, to run the bank. A weird choice for them, because Malpass has been critical of the bank. But then no one else stepped up to run for the position.
  6. The Senate and House are deadlocked over disaster funding, with the House wanting more funding for Puerto Rico than the Senate will agree to.

Elections:

  1. New Mexico becomes the 14th state to enact the National Popular Vote. Once enough states sign on, these states will give all their electoral votes to the national popular vote winner.
  2. Federal prosecutors indict Robin Hayes, the chairman of North Carolina’s Republican Party for bribery, wire fraud, and making false statements.
    • Fun fact: Hayes was also one of the original architects of the GOP’s REDMAP plan, which led to unlawfully gerrymandered legislative districts. Many of the involved states have faced legal challenges to their district lines for the past 8 years (and most have lost).

Miscellaneous:

  1. The Secret Service arrests a Chinese woman who entered Mar-a-Lago with two passports, four cell phones, a laptop, a thumb drive containing malware, and a hard drive.
  2. Trump says Puerto Rico isn’t part of the United States. It is.
  3. Earlier this year, Trump asked Mitch McConnell to prioritize the confirmation of his nominee for chief counsel for the IRS over that of his nominee for attorney general.
  4. Even though David Bernhardt, Trump’s nominee for Secretary of the Interior, legally ended his lobbyist status is 2016, he was still working as a lobbyist at least into April of 2017.

Polls:

  1. About the same number of voters don’t trust Trump (59%) or the GOP (58%) to improve healthcare.
  2. 53% of voters trust Democrats to improve it, a surprisingly low number, IMO.

Week 99 in Trump

Posted on December 18, 2018 in Politics, Trump

So much happened last week, but my favorite part of the week was when Trump surprised Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer with a meeting with the press when they thought they were having a closed-door meeting. As far as transparency goes, that was awesome. But things went downhill fast, with a lot of shouting, a lot of misinformation, a bit of man-splaining, and some name-calling; only Nancy Pelosi was trying to talk policy. Pelosi came out of it not only looking like the adult in the room but also firmly pinning any potential government shutdown on Trump. It’s easy to see how she got the votes for Speaker.

Here’s what else happened this week…

Missed from Last Week:

  1. NASA spacecraft OSIRIS-REx arrived in the orbit of an asteroid named Bennu. OSIRIS-REx launched two years ago and will spend the next year surveying and mapping the asteroid and hopefully bring us back some rock samples. Seriously. We sent a spacecraft to an ASTEROID!
  2. The week had some hate:
    • Jehovah’s Witnesses have been targeted with hate crimes 5 times this year in Washington state. The latest attack destroyed a church in a fire.
    • Again in Washington, eight self-professed neo-Nazis assault a black man, yelling racist slurs as they attack him.
    • Someone spreads anti-Semitic pamphlets throughout Pittsburgh, and a student plasters State University of New York’s Purchase College with Nazi-themed posters.

Russia:

  1. Maria Butina pleads guilty to acting as an illegal foreign agent and agrees to cooperate with federal investigators. She’s the first Russian charged to admit trying to influence the 2016 elections.
  2. Here are some highlights:
    • In 2015, Butina began working with Alexander Torshin to establish “unofficial” lines of communication with political leaders for the benefit of the Russian Federation (because official lines weren’t working).
    • Butina targeted Republicans because she thought a Republican would win the presidency in 2016.
    • She worked with her boyfriend, South Dakotan Paul Erickson, on her plan and also to make the contacts she needed.
    • Butina planned to use the NRA to lay the groundwork because of their influence over the Republican party.
    • She received funding from a Russian billionaire.
    • In the middle of all this, Butina obtained a student visa so she could stay in the U.S.
    • She worked to meet with Trump’s advisors once he was elected. Butina and Erickson also tried to set up meetings between Trump advisors and Russian officials.
  1. As of this week, we know through court filings and guilty pleas that at least 16 Trump business and campaign associates had contact with Russians during the 2016 campaign. And every one of them lied about it.
  2. Newspapers and businesses across the country receive bomb threats, suspected to come from Russian hackers. The hackers ask for bitcoin in order to not detonate the (non-existent) bombs.
  3. Everything was going so well for Michael Flynn, who was probably on track to serve no jail time. And then, his lawyers file a court document claiming that the FBI didn’t let him know he maybe needed a lawyer during the interviews where he lied to investigators (which led to the charges against him). They say that the FBI tricked Flynn into lying but still don’t say why Flynn lied.
  4. Mueller says Flynn is an experienced military man in a high-level government position. He should know better than to lie to U.S. intelligence in any situation, and there was no coercion for him to lie.
  5. Two of Flynn’s associates say he was meeting with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak during the 2016 elections to talk about cooperation between Russia and the U.S. Russia would help end the Syrian conflict and the U.S. would ease sanctions.
    • The talks continued even after U.S. intelligence agencies told Trump’s campaign that Russia was behind the DNC hacks and subsequent leaks.
  1. On judge‘s orders, Mueller turns over their documentation of the interviews with Flynn where he is said to have lied.
  2. Texts and emails show that Paul Manafort was advising the Trump administration on ways to discredit Mueller’s investigations. Manafort recommended attacking the FBI, the DOJ, the Steele Dossier (and the Clinton campaign’s involvement) and any Obama officials involved in getting the FISA warrant. He recommended accusing the DNC of colluding with Ukraine.
  3. Studies commissioned by the Senate Intelligence Committee find that clearly all of the messaging coming from Russian entities was designed to benefit the Republican party and later Trump specifically.
    • One report finds that Russians used every major social media platform to influence the elections in 2016.
    • The other report analyzed how the Russian company Internet Research Agency targeted specific demographics for political messaging. IRA targeted blacks and other minorities to either discourage them from voting and turn them against Democrats.
    • Russian trolls and bots put a lot of time into dividing us on gun rights and immigration issues. They’d embed themselves in specific circles using authentic content, and then start posting provocative misinformation.
    • Posts on Instagram generated more than twice the user engagement than other major platforms.

Legal Fallout:

  1. Trump says he never told Cohen to break the law, but didn’t dispute that he told Cohen to pay off his mistresses to keep them quiet about their affairs. Trump says Cohen should’ve known what was legal; Cohen says he was under Trump’s sway.
  2. Sources says that Trump was involved in meetings where Cohen and David Pecker (of American Media Inc. (AMI)) talked about the payments.
  3. In his sentencing hearing, Cohen implies that he has more to talk about than just hush money payments. He gets a three-year sentence plus fines.
    • As a reminder, he pled guilty to: tax evasion, campaign finance violations, lying to banks, and lying to Congress. These are not all his known crimes.
    • Sean Hannity deletes all his tweets linking him to Cohen just before Cohen is sentenced.
  1. AMI is also in a cooperation agreement and has agreed to tell prosecutors everything they know about Trump. If you remember, AMI also has a vault of the negative stories about Trump that they killed in the run-up to the 2016 elections.
  2. David Pecker also admits to the hush money payments. AMI says the payments were to influence the elections, giving even more credence to the allegation that these were illegal campaign donations.
  3. Investigators are looking into donations to Trump’s inaugural committee and to a pro-Trump super PAC. They say foreign agents from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE might have disguised donations to buy influence over U.S. policy. Not surprisingly, Manafort it involved in this.
  4. When Trump and his siblings inflated invoices for their shell company decades ago, they also used those invoices as justification to inflate rent increases in their apartment buildings. This has caused the rent in those buildings to be artificially inflated for decades, even though the Trumps no longer own them.
  5. In a defamation lawsuit, Roger Stone admits to telling lies on InfoWars. Stone says he didn’t do his research and took the word of Sam Nunberg about alleged foreign donations to Hillary Clinton’s campaign. “Didn’t do his research” is how all this BS gets spread around in the first place so do your research!

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Supreme Court refuses to hear cases about blocking funding for Planned Parenthood. This leaves in place the lower court rulings that say states can’t cancel Medicaid contracts with Planned Parenthood offices.
  2. The Senate confirms Jonathan Kobes to a federal appeals court despite the ABA questioning his knowledge of the law and ability to understand complex legal analysis. This is Trump’s second unqualified but confirmed judicial nominee.
  3. The chief justice of California’s Supreme Court changes her party affiliation from Republican to No Party Preference. She says it’s been coming for a while, but Kavanaugh’s confirmation was the nail in the coffin.

Healthcare:

  1. The Trump administration shuts down an HIV research project in Montana because they use fetal tissue to research a cure for HIV/AIDS. Restrictions on the use of fetal tissue have been shutting down research projects across the country.
  2. The Senate votes against a bill that would extend VA benefits for thousands of vets who were exposed to Agent Orange. The House passed this bill unanimously.
  3. A federal judge in Texas rules that without the mandate, certain parts of the ACA are unconstitutional. Trump says that’s great news, but even legislators who tried to kill the ACA aren’t thrilled with this ruling. Many are even confused by it. The White House assures us that the ACA will remain in place through the appeals process. Oh, and the ruling comes the day before open enrollment ends.

International:

  1. Trump rejects the information given by U.S. intelligence agencies in his daily briefings on world events. Specifically, he’s denied that Russia interfered in the 2016 elections, he says North Korea will halt their nuclear weapons program, and he disagrees with them about Iran’s nuclear ambitions, climate change, and the role of the Saudi Crown Prince in Khashoggi’s murder.
  2. Theresa May delays a vote to approve her Brexit deal, and then survives a vote of no confidence. She then returns to Brussels to negotiate once more, but returns empty-handed.
  3. On top of weeks of protests across France, a shooter kills three people and injures 13 at a Christmas market in Strasbourg, putting all Christmas Markets in France on high alert and launching a manhunt. Police later find and shoot the gunman.
  4. A cyber attack on the Marriott earlier this year accessed the personal information of around 500 million guests. Investigators blame the cyber attack on Chinese intelligence.
  5. Trump continues to stand by Saudi Arabia and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman despite GOP Senators standing against him on this. Interesting side note: Some members of the Saudi royal family would like to stop MbS from being crowned king, but support from the U.S. and Trump could sway them.
  6. The Senate passes a resolution that declares MbS is not only involved in Khashoggi’s murder but is responsible for it.
  7. The Senate passes a recommendation to end support for the Saudi-led war in Yemen.
  8. Party members in Hungary that are normally in opposition to one other unite in protest against Prime Minister Viktor Ordan’s authoritarian rule. Rallies and protests have spread across the country, taking the Prime Minister and his Fidesz party by surprise. Ordan has been steadily increasing his power while weakening democratic institutions and processes.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. The Senate reverses a Trump policy that helped hide information about donors to political non-profits. With the Senate bill, donors must be disclosed to the IRS.
  2. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker signs a series of lame duck bills into law, curtailing the power of the office he is leaving because the person taking his place is a Democrat. From what I can see, the GOP plan seems to be: 1) Gerrymander districts so the other party can’t ever get a majority (even with a majority of votes statewide); and 2) When the populace finally votes your party out, change all the rules of government to make sure they can’t get anything done. Such a bad precedent.
    • Lawsuits against these bills are already in the works. Several of North Carolina’s attempt at passing bills to weaken incoming Democratic officials two years ago are still stuck in the courts.
    • Republicans in Wisconsin’s state legislature started working on these bills months ago just in case there was a shift in parties.
  1. Florida’s governor-elect Ron DeSantis wants to delay implementation of the voter approved ballot initiative that restored voting rights to felons who’ve served their time (excepting certain violent crimes).
  2. The House passes a bill to prevent states from holding children in adult jails and to ban the practice of shackling pregnant girls. The bill also funds tutoring, mental health assistance, and drug and alcohol programs for juvenile offenders.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. The number of migrant minors held in U.S. custody is now nearly 15,000. A big reason for the backlog is that sponsors for these children are afraid to come forward for fear of being deported themselves.
  2. Church leaders form an interfaith protest at the U.S.-Mexico border in support of those seeking asylum. Officials arrest 32 faith leaders and activists at the protest.
  3. Officials in Ohio arrest a man who was plotting to kill people in a Jewish synagogue. Hate crimes against Jews have increased more than any other type of hate crime.
  4. Immigration judges for the most part want to make the right choices and not send people back to their home countries to get killed. The Global Migration Project at Columbia University recently found over 60 people who were killed or harmed after being sent home.
  5. The Trump administration starts working once again to deport refugees from the Vietnam war who’ve lived in the U.S. for decades.
  6. Trump says the updated NAFTA deal means that Mexico will pay for his wall. In case you were wondering, it doesn’t.
  7. A seven-year-old migrant girl dies after getting sick eight hours after being taken into custody. Homeland Security says that she didn’t have anything to eat or drink for days before being detained, but her family says that’s not true. The fastest way to get her medical assistance was a 90-minute bus ride, during which she worsened until she was no longer breathing when they arrived. An investigation is underway.
  8. Trump uses the shooting in Strasbourg as a reason we need to shore up our borders, but it turns out the shooter was born in Strasbourg.
  9. Trump claims that the migrants coming in to this country are spreading contagious diseases. There’s no evidence of this.
  10. Trump says a lot of his wall is already built and that it has decreased illegal migration significantly. He seems to be referring to fencing built or fixed between 1992 and 2016.
  11. Trump says says migrants crossing the border illegally are pouring drugs into the country, but according to the DEA most drugs come in through legal ports of entry.
  12. In referring to illegal immigration over the southern border, Trump says: “We caught 10 terrorists over the last very short period of time. Ten.” I’m not sure what he means by ‘the last very short period of time,’ but most terrorists are blocked from entry into the U.S. at airports. And a State Department study found “no credible information that any member of a terrorist group has traveled through Mexico to gain access to the United States.”
  13. Betsy DeVos moves to rescind Obama-era guidance over school discipline that prevented minority students from receiving harsher punishments than their white classmates.
  14. Miss USA, Miss Columbia and Miss Australia are caught on tape mocking other Miss Universe contestants’ English-speaking skills.

Climate/EPA:

  1. A new study that compares past and future climates suggests that over the past 200 years, human activity has reversed millions of years of cooling. So yes, our climate changes, but generally not as rapidly as now.
  2. At the UN climate talks, Trump’s top climate and energy advisor is greeted with laughter when he gives a talk that includes pitching coal, the fossil fuel largely responsible for climate change. Turns out that most of the audience is there merely to protest; the U.S. couldn’t get enough people who are serious about climate change to attend.
  3. At the same talks, nations discuss the latest IPCC report which calls for dramatic cuts in emissions. Oil producing nations want to keep the report out of the final agreement, and the U.S. backs them. They end up welcoming the “timeliness” of the report as opposed to the content of the report.
  4. Even more interesting, though, is the fact that U.S. officials were working behind the scenes to continue making contributions to the Paris agreement.
  5. The Trump administration wants to reclassify nuclear waste so we don’t have to be so cautious in disposing of it, making disposal cheaper. Though this is the same administration that says a little radiation every day is good for you!
  6. The Trump administration proposes weakening the clean water rules that were created by George H.W. Bush and expanded on under Obama. The changes loosen protections against pollutants, pesticides, and toxic waste in certain waterways.
  7. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke resigns in the middle of more than a dozen ethics investigations into his political activity, travel expenses, and possible conflicts of interest. Zinke used his position roll back environmental protections and to exploit federal lands with the goal of global energy dominance.
  8. Deputy Secretary David Bernhardt will take over for Zinke temporarily. Bernhardt was a fossil fuels and water industry lobbyist before coming to the department (whose mission, by the way, is to be a good steward of our public lands).
  9. The Trump administration auctions off leases that will allow fracking on public lands near Utah’s national parks.
  10. A new study shows that Australia’s Great Barrier Reef might be adapting to the warmer waters caused by climate change. The harm done to the reef this year was less than expected despite warmer waters.

Budget/Economy:

  1. China agrees to cut tariffs on U.S. automobiles to 15%.
  2. Trump says he’ll shut down the government if the spending bill doesn’t fund his border wall. He even says he’ll be proud to shut it down.
  3. Trump signs an executive order to help fund underserved communities known as “opportunity zones.”
  4. Trump wants to get rid of subsidies for electric vehicles, which would give foreign automakers an advantage in EV development.
  5. The budget deficit for the first two months of fiscal year 2019 is double what it was in the first two months of fiscal year 2018. The administration predicts the deficit will be over $1 trillion for three straight years.
  6. In 2010, Wells Fargo incorrectly foreclosed on around 545 homeowners due to a computer glitch. Most of these people lost their homes, their current and future equity, and in some cases their pets because they had to move. To make up for it, Wells Fargo sends the borrowers checks that grossly under-compensated them for their losses.
  7. A few months ago, the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau put out a report showing that Wells Fargo was price-gouging student borrowers. The Trump administration has been sitting on that information.
  8. Betsy DeVos loses a court battle and now has to cancel $150 million in federal student loan debt. The loan forgiveness affects 15,000 borrowers who were cheated by for-profit colleges.

Elections:

  1. A federal court in Virginia hands down documents in a case that concluded that 11 of Virginia’s districts are illegally gerrymandered. The case is pending before the Supreme Court, but the legislature must redraw the district lines anyway. One of the documents includes a variety of plans, but none of them redraw less than 21 districts.
  2. Things aren’t looking good for Mark Harris, Republican candidate for Congress in North Carolina’s 9th District. It turns out that he sought to hire Leslie Dowless to help win the 2018 race after losing a race in 2016, knowing Dowless’ reputation for using sketchy means to win elections. Dowless illegally harvested ballots according to witnesses.
  3. George Papadopoulos feels like he’s ready to run for Congress. Now that he’s done his jail time for lying about Russian contacts, that is.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Time Magazine names a group of journalist as their Person of the Year. The group, which Time calls The Guardians, include the slain journalists at the Capital Gazette and Jamal Khashoggi, among others. One of the reasons for this choice is that “manipulation and abuse of truth is really the common thread in so many of this year’s major stories.”
  2. The House Judiciary Committee questions a Google executive for over three hours because Republicans think Google searches bring up results that aren’t fair to conservatives. Both parties are concerned about privacy issues.
  3. Stormy Daniels has to pay Trump nearly $300,000 in legal fees because her defamation suit against him was dismissed.
  4. A Kansas state senator switches party affiliations from Republican to Democrat after being ostracized for supporting the Democratic candidate for governor over Kris Kobach.
  5. The Trumps cancel the White House tradition of a holiday press party. Last year, they held the event but declined the tradition of taking pictures with anyone who wanted one.
  6. After Nick Ayers turns down the chief of staff position, Chris Christie takes himself out of the running as well. Jared Kushner’s in the running, but then Trump picks Mick Mulvaney to be acting chief of staff. Mulvaney is already wearing a couple different hats.
  7. The Trumps plan to take a 16-day trip to Mar-a-Lago over the holidays.
  8. Voyager 2 becomes the second human-made object to leave our solar system (Voyager 1 was the first). Voyager 2 was launched in 1977 and its equipment still functions.

Polls:

  1. Trump’s approval rating in rural areas is 61% compared to 31% in urban areas and 41% in suburban areas.

Week 96 in Trump

Posted on November 27, 2018 in Politics, Trump, Uncategorized

Happy Thanksgiving! I hope you all got past any awkward political discussions and had a wonderful holiday with family. How did Trump spend his Thanksgiving? At Mar-a-Lago confounding our troops and journalists. To journalists, he denies the CIA’s findings on Khashoggi; threatens Mexico, attacks Hillary’s use of her personal email while defending Ivanka’s use of her personal email; says the GDP was going down to “like minus 4” when he took office (which is untrue); and suggests he’ll shut down the government if he doesn’t get his border wall. When asked about what he’s most thankful for, Trump pretty much just says he’s thankful for himself (and his family).

To troops he talks about barbed wire and troop deployment at the border; says we have no good trade deals (which a commander on the other end contradicts); criticizes the Navy for using electromagnetic catapults instead of steam (because EM is too hard to figure out, and which again an officer contradicts); and asks if the troops in Afghanistan are enjoying themselves. And then he goes golfing while former president Obama dishes food at a soup kitchen.

Here’s what else happened this week in politics…

Russia:

  1. New emails show that Steve Bannon and Cambridge Analytica were involved in disinformation campaigns for Brexit. We already knew they were both involved in fostering nationalist populist movements in the U.S. elections in 2016. But now we know that Bannon, who then worked at Cambridge Analytica, was included on emails with Arron Banks, the leader of the Leave.EU campaign. The emails suggest that all three were involved in fundraising and media campaigns for both Brexit and the U.S. elections.
  2. Trump gives Robert Mueller his handwritten answers to the questions from the special counsel in the Russia investigation. He did not answer questions about his actions as president, including about obstruction of justice.
  3. The House Judiciary Committee subpoenas James Comey and Loretta Lynch for closed door hearings about how they handled the investigations into Hillary Clinton’s email server and the investigations into the Trump campaign and Russia.
  4. And speaking of emails, Ivanka used a personal email account to send government documents. Trump says it’s nothing like Hillary because at least she didn’t delete 30,000 of them. Fact of the matter is, we don’t know how many emails Ivanka’s deleted from that account.
  5. And speaking of James Comey and Hillary Clinton, Trump told White House counsel earlier this year that he wanted the DOJ to prosecute both of them. It’s not clear on what charges.
    • White House counsel told Trump he didn’t have the authority to order such a prosecution. He could request an investigation, but that, too, could be impeachable.
    • Trump is considering the appointment of a second special counsel to investigate the Comey and Clinton.
    • Trump thinks FBI Director Christopher Wray is weak for not investigating Clinton more thoroughly.
  1. A judge orders George Papadopoulos to start serving his two-week prison sentence on the Monday after Thanksgiving. Papadopoulos was trying to get his sentence stayed while a court decides whether Mueller has overreached in his investigation.
  2. Russia opened fire on three Ukrainian ships in the Kerch Strait, a strategic waterway for both countries. Ukrainian military says Russia also seized the three vessels.
    • Ukraine will vote on whether to declare martial law.
    • The UN Security Council calls an emergency meeting to discuss it.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Trump blasts a federal judge for blocking his restrictions on asylum seekers and calls the judge an “Obama judge.” Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts hits back, saying there are no “Obama judges or Trump judges, Bush judges or Clinton judges.” Roberts also says we should all be grateful to have independent judiciary.
  2. Trump responds, picking a fight with our Supreme Court Chief Justice. He specifically calls out the Ninth Circuit for their decisions around immigration.
  3. And then Chuck Schumer blows his retort by saying that he doesn’t always agree with Roberts‘ partisan decisions, but he agrees with Roberts that judges aren’t partisan. Whoops.

Healthcare:

  1. Trump’s administration approves Kentucky’s work requirements for Medicaid for a second time. The requirements were modified slightly because they were already struck down in court once.
  2. Ohio considers legislation to criminalize abortion and to redefine personhood to include any unborn human.
  3. A federal judge permanently blocks Mississippi’s ban on abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy.

International:

  1. As you read the following, remember this quote from Trump during a 2015 campaign rally:
    “Saudi Arabia, I like the Saudis. I make a lot of money with them. They buy all sorts of my stuff. All kinds of toys from Trump. They pay me millions and hundreds of millions.”
    • Trump tries to cast doubt on the CIA conclusion that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman was behind the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. This isn’t the first time he’s done this; Trump has also publicly doubted U.S. intelligence findings that Russia, and specifically Putin, meddled in our 2016 elections.
    • Trump says he won’t punish Saudi Arabia for the killing, because the country is a critical ally and that our strategic and economic relationships are too important to derail over a journalist. At issue is primarily oil, military equipment sales, and their partnership with us against Iran.
    • Trump justifies this by bringing up economic deals with Saudi Arabia that either don’t exist or that are inflated.
    • Meanwhile, German Chancellor Angela Merkel announces that Germany will end arm sales to Saudi Arabia. Finland and Denmark follow suit.
    • Congress issues a request to Trump’s administration to investigate the crown prince’s role in Khashoggi’s death.
  1. The U.S. has dropped more bombs in Afghanistan so far in 2018 than it has in any other year of this war. Even though it’s the longest war we’ve fought, the Taliban has retaken half of Afghanistan.
  2. On top of that, a suicide bomber kills at least 50 at a religious gathering in Afghanistan celebrating the birth of the prophet Muhammad.
  3. Syrian officials say that terrorist rebels launched a chemical attack near Aleppo, so they respond with an airstrike. The rebels deny carrying out the chemical attacks. The airstrikes violate the truce brokered by Russia and Turkey.
  4. Demonstrators rally across France all week to protest the gas tax.
  5. European Union leaders formally agree on a deal with the UK for Brexit. It still needs to be approved by Theresa May’s government.
  6. Reports are that talks with North Korea have stalled, and they’ve made no progress on reducing their nuclear arsenal or production.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. House Republicans elect Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) to minority leader.

Family Separation:

  1. The number of migrant children in U.S. custody is at an all-time high of 14,030. Largely to blame is the new rule of fingerprinting people who are willing to be sponsors (and who might be family to the minor in question). At least 40 sponsors who don’t have legal status were arrested after the rule took effect. The number of detained children is almost triple what it was last year.
  2. As part of a settlement of three separate lawsuits over the family separation policy, the DOJ agrees to give some parents a second chance to apply for asylum. This includes some parents who were already deported. The lawsuits say that the asylum interview process was skewed by the parents’ distress at being separated from their children.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Now that factions of the migrant caravan are starting to arrive at our southern border, Trump decides to start pulling troops out and letting them go home.
  2. A judge blocks Trump’s effort to make it illegal for immigrants to apply for asylum if they don’t enter the country at a point of entry. Our asylum law only says you have to present yourself for asylum within a year of being physically in the country, which is how Cubans arriving in boats were able to request asylum in Florida.
  3. The Trump administration and Mexico come to an agreement that would allow migrants in the caravans to stay in Mexico while their asylum applications are processed. He then threatens to close the southern border if we have to. Mexico says this isn’t a permanent solution.
  4. Migrants in the caravans who didn’t apply for asylum in Mexico and who make it to Tijuana are staying in makeshift shelters as they are not allowed to enter the U.S. to apply for asylum.
  5. In one presser, Trump says he shut down the border, then says he will shut down the border if he has to, and then says he already did. Turns out, certain entries were shut down along the border for short periods over Thanksgiving week.
  6. Trump authorizes troops to use lethal force against migrants at the border. What could possibly go wrong?
  7. Border Patrol closes the San Ysidro entry point on Sunday (the day vacationers are trying to get back to the U.S.). They also use tear gas on a group of migrants who broke away from a peaceful march to rush the entry point. They say it was because people were throwing rocks, and Mexico says they’ll deport any migrants who did. San Ysidro is one of the world’s busiest international border crossings.
  8. A member of Trump’s administration defends the use of tear gas saying it’s natural; just pepper, water, and alcohol. You can spray it on your nachos. Wow. To that I say, try spraying it on yourself.
  9. Officials in Mexico put immigrants waiting to apply for asylum on wait lists. Some officials demand money in return for letting migrants pass.
  10. Trump revokes Obama’s guidance that protected transgender people in prison from rape and violence. Under Trump’s rules, prisons must use a person’s biological sex to determine where they’re housed.
  11. Trump asks the Supreme Court to hear cases against his transgender ban in the military. This would bypass the legal process, so it’s doubtful they’ll hear it now. He seems to be putting in quite a bit of effort against the transgender community. I’m curious why.
  12. The Mashpee Indian tribe could lose their land’s status as a reservation based on a new court decision involving a casino developer and a group of right-wing activists. This would be the first time in 60 years that reservation land would be removed from trust in the U.S.

Climate/EPA:

  1. The U.S. government tells Taylor Energy Co. that they have to stop an oil spill that’s leaked thousands of gallons of oil into the Gulf of Mexico each day for over 14 years. But it makes sense to open all our waters to more drilling, right?
  2. A new report from Trump’s administration finds that climate change could reduce our GDP by 10% by the end of the century. This is the second part of their findings. The first part, released last fall, found that there’s no other explanation for climate change than humankind. Here are some of the findings:
    • Climate change will have a huge effect on farming, reducing some crops by as much as 75% and reducing the number of hours a day that farm workers can work.
    • It will also hurt the fishing and seafood industry with acidification of our oceans.
    • There will be an increase in insect-spread diseases, like Ebola and Zika virus. Asthma and allergies will also worsen.
    • Food-borne and waterborne diseases will increase.
    • Wildfires could increase by six times, and flooding will also have a dramatic increase.
  1. Another study finds that better landscape management could store enough carbon to offset our output by 21% (this is a huge amount). The top actions include reforestation (and not culling trees in the first place) and planting cover crops for off-years on farms.
  2. Officials recall romaine lettuce across the country and in Canada due to an E. Coli outbreak.
  3. On a related note, after E. Coli outbreaks in 2011, Congress ordered the FDA to create safety rules requiring produce growers to test their water supplies regularly. That would’ve gone into effect this year, but Trump put those regulations on hold for at least four more years. Most California and Arizona growers had volunteered to follow those rules.
  4. Spain announces an energy plan that would require them to reduce carbon emissions by 90% by 2050 (compared to 1990 emissions).

Budget/Economy:

  1. The stock market had another shaky week, with the Dow Jones dropping 551 points in one day, erasing all the gains made in 2018. The five major tech stocks have lost over $1 trillion in two months.
  2. Gas and oil drilling applications in Wyoming are up more than 400% in the past five years, partly due to higher oil prices, better technology, and Trump’s push for U.S. energy dominance.
  3. Some farmers are not only unable to sell their crops to China because of the trade wars, they also can’t find places to store their harvest until it can be used. Most elevators that usually buy and store the crops are full; some are taking advantage of the need and are charging farmers additional fees. Some farmers with damaged crops are just plowing this year’s crops under.
  4. Soybean exports to the EU have risen slightly this year, while exports to China have tanked, as you can see below.

Elections:

  1. At least six major companies request that Mississippi Senate candidate Cindy Hyde-Smith return their campaign contribution because of her recent seemingly racist comments. Tip to politicians: If you apologize right away, these things would be non-issues.
  2. California Republicans work to regroup after losing every House seat in Orange County, a traditionally Republican stronghold.
  3. Democrats won the popular vote in the House by almost 9 million votes, increasing their seats by 39 (with one race yet to be decided, but leaning toward the Democrat). That 8% margin is the largest for either party in a midterm election.
  4. Conversely, Republicans won seats in the Senate. There’s one runoff election yet to go, so they’ll increase their seats by 1 or 3, depending on the outcome of the runoff.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Since a judge ordered Trump to reinstate Jim Acosta’s press pass, the White House says they’ll come up with a code of conduct. If Acosta breaks any of the new rules, he’ll be kicked out again.
  2. A shooter at Chicago Mercy hospital kills three, including a police officer, a doctor, and a recent grad. The gunman himself is also dead.
  3. A shooter in a Kentucky mall opens fire, injuring two. Police kill the gunman. Except that he wasn’t really the gunman; he was just black and licensed to carry. It takes the police a few days to correct the record. Not surprisingly, protests erupt.
  4. A review by Trump’s administration of his regulation rollbacks finds that these rollbacks will result in increased costs in multiple ways: there will be an increase in deaths from pollution, an increase in medical bills, and an increase in student debt.

Polls:

  1. 59% of Americans disapprove of how Trump is handling race relations, with Democrats and African Americans having the highest rates of disapproval. I think African American gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum summed it up when he said:

“I have not called the president a racist, but there are racists in his sympathizers who believe he may be, which is why they go to his aid, which is why he has provided them cover. I believe his cover has led to much of the degradation in our political discourse.”

Week 95 in Trump

Posted on November 19, 2018 in Politics, Trump

If you’re watching the fracas around the tight races in our elections, just know that it’ll be exponentially more contentious in close races in 2020. This is a practice run for lawyers to dive in, learn the process, and figure out which legal attacks work and which don’t. They’ll be working now to tweak the rules in their party’s favor. It’s pretty crazy that our votes are so up for question. Why aren’t we better at this? How do other countries ensure that only eligible voters vote? How do they ensure more people vote? Why is it so easy to vote in other developed countries? I’m sure they look at our circus and laugh.

And speaking of circuses, here’s what happened last week in politics…

Russia:

  1. Trump has a little Twitter meltdown, tweeting that the Mueller investigation has gone nuts and that they’re threatening witnesses and screaming and shouting at people. Huh? We haven’t heard much from Mueller in the weeks surrounding the elections.
  2. Trump also calls Mueller’s staff a gang of Democrat thugs who only want to protect <insert list of Trump’s perceived enemies here>. Mueller’s staff is made up of both Democrats and Republicans, and Mueller is also Republican.
  3. New texts show that Roger Stone and Randy Credico shared information about Wikileaks just before Wikileaks started releasing John Podesta’s emails. In a text thread between the two, Credico says “Hillary’s campaign will die this week.”
  4. The texts also show that Credico was keeping Stone up to date on Julian Assange’s plans in the days before the emails were release.
  5. So now Robert Mueller is looking into whether Stone employed witness intimidation to stop Credico from talking.
  6. The DOJ accidentally leaks that they filed secret charges against Julian Assange. The disclosure came in a different court case as a copy and paste error into court documents.
  7. The Mueller investigation looks into John Hannah, an advisor to Dick Cheney and member of Trump’s transition team. He apparently had dealings with George Nader and Joel Zamel, who are both subjects of the investigation.
  8. Trump says that he’s answered the written questions Mueller submitted to him, but he hasn’t given his answers to Mueller yet because you have to be careful when people have bad intentions. He says it was very easy and he did it all by himself.
  9. George Papadopoulos is facing two weeks in jail, yet he asks a judge to delay the sentence until a challenge to the constitutionality of Mueller’s appointment is resolved.
  10. Russian hacker Cozy Bear sends emails containing malware to attempt to get access to government, think tank, and business computers. Cozy Bear impersonates a State Department aide in the emails.
  11. A federal judge refuses Concord Management and Consulting their motion to dismiss the charges filed against them by Mueller’s team.

Legal Fallout:

  1. Last year when Facebook was being highly criticized by activists for for compromising user privacy, they hired a Republican opposition research firm to boost their own reputation by smearing those activists. The smears included bringing George Soros into the mix.
  2. The research firm also discredited other tech companies, and was beginning a campaign against the Senators who would be questioning Sheryl Sandberg over the issue. Facebook has since cut ties with the firm.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The state of Maryland files a lawsuit challenging the appointment of Matt Whitaker to Acting Attorney General. The suit says that Trump doesn’t have the constitutional authority to appoint him and that he broke federal law by doing to. The suit is based on these legal grounds:
    • Federal rules of succession say that Rod Rosenstein should have the position.
    • The Attorney General is a principal officer, so they must be appointed by the president and approved by the Senate (so Trump could’ve moved someone to the position who had already been confirmed by the Senate to a different post).
  1. Senate Republicans urge Trump to nominate a new Attorney General quickly. They’re hoping he’ll select someone more traditional than Whitaker.
  2. Mark Warner, the top Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee, calls for Whitaker to recuse himself from the Russia investigation due to his relationship with Sam Clovis, a subject of the investigation.
  3. Matt Whitaker has an interesting background, very different from those of his predecessors:
    1. Owned a day-care center.
    2. Owned a concrete supply business and trailer manufacturer.
    3. Led a taxpayer-subsidized affordable housing effort in Iowa, but abandoned it when it stalled and the state threatened him with a lawsuit. He defaulted on the loan
    4. Was a U.S. Attorney for 5 years in Iowa.
    5. Ran a small legal practice.
  4. Jeff Flake threatens to vote against Trump‘s judicial nominees if the Senate doesn’t pass legislation to protect Mueller. Susan Collins wavers on that for a hot minute before she refuses to do the same.
  5. Trump endorses the bipartisan First Step Act, a prison reform bill that would ease some of the harsh criminal justice laws implemented in the 80s and 90s and that disproportionately affect African Americans and other minorities.
    • The bill lowers mandatory minimum sentences and reduces penalties for three strikes; and while Trump says the laws will continue to clamp down on violent crimes, the bill reduces sentences for people who use a gun in the commission of a crime.
    • The bill has the support of the ACLU and the Koch family.
    • Jared Kushner brought the bill forward to Trump.
    • Democrats pushed to have the changes be retroactive for minor offenders already serving time, but that did not end up in the bill.
  1. The Supreme Court will hear arguments about whether Wilbur Ross can be compelled to testify in the lawsuit over adding a citizenship question to the census.

Healthcare:

  1. The FDA approves a new opioid named Dsuvia, which is 10 times stronger than fentanyl. This, while we’re in the middle of one of the worst drug epidemics in our history, brought to you by opioids.
  2. The FDA almost bans flavored e-cigarettes, but then backs down and limits the sales instead.
  3. Pfizer plans to raise drug prices by around 5% next year after holding prices down this year as a promise to Trump.

International:

  1. A study of satellite images shows that North Korea is continuing it’s ballistic missile program at 16 hidden bases. Trump says not to worry; he’ll let us know if anything goes wrong.
  2. Mike Pence says North Korea doesn’t have to give us a list of their nuclear weapons and missile sites before Trump meets with Kim Jong Un again. Even though North Korea has, according to Pence, steadfastly avoided providing that information.
  3. North Korea announces a successful and significant test of an “ultra-modern tactical weapon.”
  4. Angela Merkel joins Emmanuel Macron in his calls for a European Union military force, something that would be a complement to NATO forces.
  5. While more than 50 countries sign on to a cybersecurity pact during the Paris Peace Forum, the U.S., China, Russia, and North Korea refuse. Is this our new clique? The purpose of the pact is to create international laws and standards for cyberwarfare and security.
  6. Cabinet ministers in the UK reluctantly approve Theresa May’s Brexit deal.
  7. The chief negotiator for Brexit, Dominic Raab, resigns over disagreements with the deal. That’s followed by the resignation of a second minister, the work and pensions secretary.
  8. The U.S. sanctions 17 Saudis accused of taking part in Jamal Khashoggi’s murder. Legislators say the punishments don’t go far enough, and introduce bipartisan legislation to increase congressional oversight and to suspend the sale of military weapons to Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia has indicted 11 people in the murder, and is seeking the death penalty for five of them.
  9. The CIA concludes that the Crown Prince ordered Khashoggi’s murder, though there is no solid evidence.
  10. The director for the Persian Gulf region on our National Security Council resigns. She was responsible for our policies toward Saudi Arabia.
  11. Trump is reviewing how he can extradite a U.S. resident to Turkey at the request of Turkish president Erdogan. Erdogan is convinced that a Turkish cleric living in the U.S. was behind the attempt coup a few years ago, and Trump is trying to placate Erdogan so he’ll ease up on Saudi Arabia.
  12. Trump closed the office that tracked released Guantanamo detainees and has now lost track of a bunch of them.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Outgoing Senator Heidi Heitkamp introduces new legislation to address the issue of missing and murdered Native American Women. The Savanah Act will help give tribal law enforcement tools they need to solve these crimes.
  2. After retaking the House, Democrats say their first bill will focus on strengthening our democracy. It’ll address automatic voter registration (AVR), restoring the Voting Rights Act, public financing of elections, and gerrymandering. They also want to overturn Citizens United through a constitutional amendment.
  3. Chuck Grassley will head the Senate Finance Committee next year, and Lindsey Graham will replace him as chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Hate crimes were up again in 2017. Reported hate crimes rose 17%, compared to a 6% rise in 2016.
    • Of the single-bias hate crimes, nearly 60% were based on race or ethnicity, 21% on sexual orientation, 2% on gender identity, and .6% on gender.
    • Religious hate crimes made up 20.6% of all hate crimes: 58% were against Jews, 18.6% were against Muslims, and 10% were against Christians.
  1. Police shoot an armed black security guard who had just apprehended an active shooter. The police chief calls Jemel Roberson a brave man. They wouldn’t have shot this hero if he were white. Period.
  2. Just when women were feeling more empowered by #MeToo… Betsy DeVos releases her new rules guiding how colleges and universities handle allegations of sexual assault. The new rules give more rights to the accused and narrow the definition of sexual harassment. I’m all for due process, but women need to feel safe coming forward.
  3. The first groups of migrants that splintered off the caravan arrive in Tijuana, Mexico, near the border. The numbers reported are conflicting so far, but a group of about 80 LGBTQ people who were being harassed on the caravan have arrived and are trying to obtain appointments with Customs and Border Patrol.
  4. By the end of the week, the number of arrivals is in the thousands, and protests break out in Tijuana by residents who don’t want the migrants there.
  5. Confirmation hearings begin for Trump’s nominee to head ICE, Ron Vitiello. He’s a 30-year border patrol veteran. Vitiello refuses to deny the possibility that the agency will once again start separating families at the border.
  6. A judge rules that neo-Nazis don’t have a first amendment right to harass private citizens. The lawsuit stems from the Daily Stormer’s online harassment of a real estate agent in Whitefish, Montana, home of white supremacist Richard Spencer.
  7. The number of U.S. citizens applying for asylum in Canada rose 600% in 2017. The number is still small—around 2,500—and the rise is largely a result of Trump’s threats to end TPS for certain immigrants. Out of fear of being deported from the U.S., they’re taking their U.S.-born children to Canada to seek asylum. A judge recently blocked Trump from ending TPS while the case goes through court.
  8. Trump again floats the possibility that he’ll let the government shut down if he doesn’t get funding for the wall.

Climate/EPA:

  1. Police arrest Trump’s top EPA official in the southeast for a scheme to help a coal company avoid paying the high costs of cleaning up a toxic waste site.
    • Before Trump appointed Trey Glenn to the position, Glenn was an industrial lobbyist and worked for the coal company in question. He lobbied to stop the federal government from declaring the toxic waste site a Superfund site.
    • In 2009, Glenn resigned from the Alabama Department of Environmental Management because of another ethics scandal for which he was not charged.
  1. The death toll in the California wildfires is up to 78, with around 1,000 still missing.
  2. Trump tours the areas devastated by the wildfires with outgoing governor Jerry Brown and incoming governor Gavin Newsom.
  3. Trump says that the President of Finland told him that they rake their forests to prevent forest fires, so we should too. Finland’s president says he never said that. Also, Finland gets a ton of rain and snow, and has a much colder climate. Also different kinds of trees than California.
  4. Trump also says there’s no climate change and that he wants great climate. I hear ya. We all want that.
  5. Trump plans to nominate Andrew Wheeler, who is temporarily heading the EPA, to head the department permanently. Before working in government, Wheeler was a fossil fuel industry lobbyist.
  6. Trump doesn’t want to give Puerto Rico any more relief funds because he thinks they’re using it to pay off their debt. Turns out, they aren’t.

Budget/Economy:

  1. The original bump in corporate reinvestment from the tax reform plan of 2017 is fizzling. After two quarters of strong increases in capital reinvestment, the last quarter only rose at an annual pace of .8%
  2. Also, in the time since tax reform passed, the 1,000 largest companies have eliminated almost 140,000 jobs. That’s almost double the amount the say they created.
  3. Not surprisingly for a $2.7 trillion operation, the Pentagon fails it’s first comprehensive financial audit.
  4. The computer system at the VA broke down last summer, and vets have been receiving their GI bill payments late or not at all ever since.
  5. The administration lists its priorities for the next two months. Notably missing from the list is anything about the 10% tax cut he promised the middle class before the election and any mention of the migrant caravan.
  6. Under Ben Carson, over 1 in 28 multifamily properties subsidized by HUD failed recent inspections. This is up 30% from 2016. Trump’s hiring freeze decimated HUD staff, so now they don’t have enough staff to deal with this heavier case load. Carson also wants to raise rents on these families.
  7. Saudi Arabia is floating deep cuts in oil output over dissatisfaction with all the waivers that Trump allowed for the Iran sanctions.
  8. A lawsuit against Betsy DeVos alleges that she didn’t cancel debt that students owed colleges that were shut down. Last month, a judge ruled that she had to enact the regulations around debt cancellation immediately.

Elections:

  1. Amid the chaos around ballot counts, and signature mismatches, and lawsuits from both sides, Trump seeks adds fuel to the fire by saying we have to use the vote count in Florida from election night. Meaning most people whose mail-in ballots arrived on or around election day wouldn’t have their votes count. This includes military personnel currently abroad.
  2. Rick Scott gives a press conference in front of his governor’s mansion accusing Democrats of trying to steal the election. This quickly results in multiple lawsuits over ethics and abuse of power. Scott does recuse himself from certifying the elections.
  3. A judge tells both sides to ramp down the rhetoric.
  4. Both Scott and Trump say there are ballots that are missing or forged (no evidence for this, BTW). The elections were also complicated by all the people displaced after the hurricane.
  5. A federal judge extends the deadline to resolve ballots for Florida voters whose ballots were rejected because of signature inconsistencies. The decision comes just hours before the machine recount deadline in the still-too-close-to-call Senate race between Rick Scott and Bill Nelson.
  6. While Scott doesn’t prevail in most of the lawsuits that came up (and a judge admonishes him for making unsubstantiated claims), the recount didn’t bring the race close enough to help Nelson win. Scott is declared the winner in the end.
  7. Also Republican Rick DeSantis defeats Andrew Gillum for governor of Florida. Congratulations, Florida. Not only can you not run an election, but now you’ve elected an overt racist to lead your state.
  8. Meanwhile in Georgia, a federal judge orders that the election results be delayed due to concerns about their voting systems and how provisional ballots are being handled.
  9. A judge also finds that the way ballots were handled in Gwinnet County violated the Civil Rights Act.
  10. In the end, after a series of accusation and lawsuits, Brian Kemp is declared the winner and Stacey Abrams sort of concedes. She plans to continue her lawsuit to ensure everyone’s vote is counted in future elections.
  11. After a similarly tight race in Arizona, Kyrsten Sinema defeats Martha McSally to become the first female Senator from that state. McSally took some heat from her party for not engaging in the same elections shenanigans as are happening in Florida and Georgia.
  12. Mia Love, who’s running in Utah, sues for her campaign to be allowed to verify the signatures on ballots. Love says that poll monitors can observe counting, but they can’t challenge decisions.
  13. All these lawsuits, but particularly those in Florida, bring into question voting laws requiring ballot signatures to match county records. Voting by mail has expanded too quickly for states to put standardized processes in place.
  14. Trump says you need to have an ID to buy cereal, so why not to vote? Then he says that voter fraud happens when someone votes, and then changes into a costume in their car and comes back to vote a gain. For the record, I’m fine with voter ID as long as the onus is on the government to ensure that every single eligible voter has such an ID free of charge.
  15. There are still races to be decided, but at this point, Democrats have increased their seats in the House by the largest amount since 1974, after the Watergate scandal and Nixon’s resignation. Democrats netted 37 House seats with four still undecided, and Republicans netted two Senate seats with 1 runoff coming up on Nov. 27.
  16. Cindy Hyde-Smith isn’t scoring many points in the run-up to her runoff election. Last week she said she’d be in the front row if Trump invited her to a public hanging (her opponent is black). This week, she says it’d be a great idea to make it harder for liberal folks to vote, and especially some college students.

Miscellaneous:

  1. CNN and Jim Acosta file a lawsuit to get his press pass reinstated. The suit is against Trump and six of his aides who enforced revoking his press pass.
  2. Fox News files an amicus brief in support of CNN and Jim Acosta in their lawsuit to get Acosta’s press pass returned. Fox News says that Secret Service passes for journalists shouldn’t be weaponized.
  3. It seems what’s good for the U.S. when it comes to press freedoms isn’t good for anyone else, though. Mike Pence tells Aung San Suu Kyi, the leader of Myanmar, to release two journalists who were arrested for covering the government-sanctioned violence against Rohingya Muslims.
  4. A judge forces the Trump administration to temporarily restore Jim Acosta’s press pass while the lawsuit goes through the courts. His ruling isn’t based on first amendment rights, though; it’s based on the administration’s lack of due process.
  5. Continuing with the NRA/Physician feud, a group of 22 surgeons releases a set of reform recommendations for gun safety. Eighteen of them own guns themselves. We’ve heard these all before and watched them die in Congress: stronger background checks, better safety training, and improved technologies to prevent accidental discharge.
  6. Trump says that one of his greatest achievements is reducing the media’s credibility among U.S. citizens. Great. Making America Dumb Again.
  7. Several prominent Republican attorneys, led by Kellyanne Conway’s husband George, announce a new group they call “Checks and Balances.” Their goal is to bring back conservative support for the rule of law, and they’re worried about Trump’s efforts to consolidate power.
  8. Many of these lawyers are also members of the Federalist Society, which has had a huge influence on GOP politics. It’s power has never been greater than right now, because Trump has let them select the bulk of his judicial nominees.
  9. Michael Avenatti is arrested on suspicion of domestic violence and posts $50,000 bail. He denies wrong-doing, and the details are sketchy.
  10. Deputy national security adviser Mira Ricardel got on Melania’s bad side during their trip to Africa in October. Though Melania requested it, John Bolton refused to fire Ricardel after the trip. This week Melania tweets that Ricardel doesn’t deserve the honor of working in the White House.
  11. Trump offers Ricardel the post of Ambassador to Estonia. She declines, receives dozens of offers elsewhere, and moves to a new government position.
  12. Betsy DeVos has armed security 24/7, the only cabinet member to have an armed detail.
  13. Trump honors Sheldon Adelson’s wife with the Presidential Medal of Freedom. Adelson donated $30 million to Trump’s campaign and $100 million to Republicans in the midterm elections.

Polls:

  1. 61% of Democrats see Republicans as racist/bigoted/sexist. 31% of Republicans feel the same about Democrats.

Week 78 in Trump

Posted on July 23, 2018 in Politics, Trump

At least one of these guys looks happy.

Confused about all the Russia kerfuffle and whether Trump believes our intelligence agencies over Putin? John Hartzell’s tweet pretty much sums up the cleanup process after the joint press conference:

“Today, Trump lied, lied about lying, changed his mind, lied about changing his mind, changed his mind about lying, blamed someone else for something he did, lied about blaming someone else, took a breath, and lied.”

Even though intelligence agencies presented Trump with proof of Russian interference from the start, he has always muddied the waters to make sure that people continue to question the findings of our own intelligence agencies. It’s the reason he can never come up with a clear and cogent response to questions about it.

Russia:

There’s so much Russia news this week that I have to break it out into sub-sections. So here goes.

Trump/Putin Summit:

  1. Trump and Putin hold a two-hour summit, followed by a controversial press conference that sets off a worldwide firestorm. I’ll just start by saying that Russian officials call the summit and press conference major success for Putin, while Trump receives massive criticism back at home.
  2. What did they discuss at the summit? Trump says war and peace, Syria, Ukraine, and Israel (Putin loves Bibi, apparently). But no one really knows for sure.
  3. There was no one in attendance in the Trump/Putin summit except translators, so we have no official record of what happened. There was no joint statement so we don’t know what they agreed on.
  4. Here are some press conference highlights of what Trump says (remember this is just days after the indictment of 12 Russian intelligence agents for hacking the DNC and after Dan Coates told us that there are warning signs of more hacking):
    • When asked about Russian interference in the 2016 elections, Trump refuses to support our own intelligence agencies, and instead says Putin’s denials were forceful and credible.
    • He denies collusion and calls the Russia investigation a disaster for the U.S. Even though the Russia investigation has spawned state investigations and resulted in 32 indictments, 5 guilty pleas, and over 100 charges.
    • Trump suggests that our intelligence agencies (specifically Dan Coates) are not credible and are conspiring against him. Even though Coates told him that Russia was behind the hacking of the DNC servers, Trump doesn’t see any reason why Russia would do that and it could be anybody else.
    • Trump blames the U.S. for our current relationship with Russia, calling the U.S. foolish (and ignoring Russia’s attacks on Georgia, Crimea, and Ukraine; their actions in Syria; the poisonings in England; and the downing of the Malaysian passenger jet). Trump sees the U.S. and Russia as morally equivalent.
    • Trump brings up his electoral win, claiming incorrectly that it’s harder for a Republican to win the electoral college than a Democrat. In reality, Democrats need an extra margin of about 11% of the popular vote.
    • He brings up Hillary’s emails again, along with a debunked conspiracy theory about a Pakistani DNC staffer who was arrested. He adds that Russia would never let this happen in their country.
    • Trump calls Putin a good competitor, not an adversary… just after he called the EU one of our biggest foes.
    • He is impressed by Putin’s offer to have Mueller share his evidence on the 12 indicted Russian officials if we allow Russia to interrogate U.S. officials. This would give Russia a view into how our intelligence agencies work and what their capabilities are.
    • Trump also considers handing over Michael McFaul, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia, and Bill Browder for questioning. Putin has long wanted Bill Browder, who exposed the corruption in the Russian government that led to the Magnitsky Act. Side note: Browder is no longer a U.S. citizen, so we can’t really hand him over anyway.
  1. Here‘s some of what Putin says:
    • Russia has never interfered in a U.S. election and they never will.
    • Putin supports Trump in his assertion that there was no collusion.
    • Putin says he knows nothing about any kompromat, claiming he didn’t even know Trump was in town during the Miss Universe pageant. Uh-huh. Even though he cancelled a meeting with Trump during that time.
  1. Later, in an interview with Fox News’ Chris Wallace, Putin says that our efforts to isolate Russia have failed.
  2. Putin also says he misspoke when he said that Clinton received $400 million from associates of Bill Browder and that it was $400,000 (the actual number is closer to $18,000).
  3. A member of Russia’s parliament says that Russian intelligence stole the 2016 presidential election right out from under the noses of U.S. intelligence.
  4. In a follow-up interview with Sean Hannity, Trump reiterates that Putin says there’s no collusion and that Putin is very, very strong on that. Trump also says Mueller’s Russia investigation is a “phony, witch hunt deal” and that Putin thinks it’s a shame.

Press Conference Fallout:

  1. Reaction is swift, harsh, and bipartisan. Politicians from both sides reiterate that Russia isn’t our friend, there‘s no doubt that Russia interfered in our 2016 elections, and the interference campaign was organized by the Russian government.
  2. Even Fox News is highly critical, with the exception of Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson.
  3. GOP critics use these words to describe the conference: tragic, disgraceful, bizarre, flat-out wrong, shameful, a propaganda win for Putin, and a missed opportunity to hold Russia accountable. Critics on the left call Trump’s response dangerous and weak.
  4. So Trump and the White House attempt some backpedaling… and then forward pedaling… and then backpedaling again:
    • Trump says he misspoke when he said he couldn’t see why Russia WOULD interfere, and says he meant to say WOULDN’T.
    • He accepts intelligence assessments that Russia interfered in our 2016 elections, but then adds that it could also be other people.
    • The next day Trump responds “no” to questions of whether Russia is still interfering, contradicting all of our intelligence agencies and the GOP-led Senate Intelligence Committee.
    • The White House tries to clarify by saying that Trump was saying “no” to answering any more questions, not “no” to whether Russia is still meddling. This could actually be true; it’s hard to tell.
    • Trump says he was very strong when admonishing Putin that he can’t interfere in our elections.
    • On Monday, Trump thinks Putin made an incredible offer to collaborate on investigations. On Wednesday, Trump says he’ll meet with his advisors to discuss handing over Browder, McFaul, and other government agents to Russia for questioning. And then on Thursday, Sarah Huckabee Sanders says Trump disagrees with the offer.
    • Trump says he believes Putin when he says he didn’t interfere, but then he says Putin must have known about the interference because he’s in charge of the country.
  1. Even Paul Ryan, who just the week before said we shouldn’t criticize Trump while he’s overseas (in reference to his NATO meetings), criticizes Trump’s words. Mitch McConnell reiterates that Russia is not our friend.
  2. European officials call Trump weak and say he can’t be counted on, though some NATO members do try to smooth things over.
  3. Democrats demand that Republican leaders (like they’re in a position to demand anything):
    • Strengthen sanctions against Russia
    • Force the security team that went to Helsinki with Trump to testify before Congress so we can learn about what was agreed
    • End their attacks on our intelligence agencies and Mueller
    • Extradite the 12 indicted Russian hackers.
  1. McConnell and Ryan consider additional Russia sanctions.
  2. The Russian Ambassador to the U.S. says the summit produced important verbal agreements. Russian officials and the Russian press start talking about all the agreements that were made, yet the American people have no idea what those are.
  3. The Russian Ministry of Defense says that they’re ready to implement all the summit agreements around global security.
  4. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov says the summit was fabulous, “better than super.”
  5. In contrast, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo refuses to talk to the press about it.
  6. House Intelligence Committee Democrats request a subpoena for the American interpreter, who was the only other American in the room at the meeting between Trump and Putin. The GOP leadership rejects that request.
  7. The whole thing incites protests in Washington, DC, including at the White House. These have been ongoing for a week now.
  8. Weeks before Trump’s inauguration, intelligence agencies presented him with proof that Putin personally directed the 2016 election interference. This proof included emails and texts from Russian military officers. Sources say Trump was “grudgingly” convinced.
  9. While Dan Coates is being interviewed by Andrea Mitchell, he finds out by tweet that Trump is inviting Putin to the White House in the fall. He appears to laugh at Trump at this point.
  10. At the same forum, Kirstjen Nielsen refuses to say she agrees with our intelligence community’s conclusion that Russia, specifically Putin, was behind the election interference. She’s the Secretary of HOMELAND SECURITY. Come on!
  11. Trump tries to blame Obama for Russian interference. Obama probably could’ve done more but in reality he was blocked by Mitch McConnell.
    • McConnell received the same intelligence briefing, so he knew what was going on leading up to the 2016 elections.
    • When Obama asked him to sign on to a bipartisan public statement about it, McConnell refused.
    • McConnell told Obama not to release the information and that he [McConnell] would consider any efforts to publicly challenge Russia “an act of partisan politics.”
    • Well played, Mitch; well played.

Other Russia News:

  1. The head of the NSA and U.S. Cyber Command says he’s directed both agencies to coordinate to fight any future interference in our elections by foreign powers. But they’re on their own; he hasn’t received any White House guidance on this.
  2. Federal agents arrest Maria Butina, a gun rights advocate who is charged with being an unregistered foreign agent (aka “spy”). She allegedly infiltrated the NRA and cozied up to GOP politicians to influence U.S. politics in the interest of Russia.
    • According to prosecutors, Butina tried to exchange sex for influence. She’s been living with Paul Erickson, a conservative political operative from South Dakota who is under investigation for fraud.
    • Her alleged co-conspirator in Russia is Alexander Torshin, who is currently under U.S. sanctions. They were trying to develop back-channel lines of communication between Russian and American officials.
    • Representative Dana Rohrabacher (R-Calif) calls the indictment against Butina bogus. Does he protest too much? The affidavit implies that Butina was setting up a meeting between Rohrabacher and Torshin when Rohrabacher visited Russia in 2015.
    • The FBI has a proposal authored by Butina talking about how they can take power away from the Democrats in 2016 and give it to a (not named) party that will be more friendly to Russian interests. The influence campaign started with the NRA and CPAC.
    • It was Butina who secured invitations for Russian officials to attend the National Prayer Breakfast.
    • The affidavit also suggests that Russia had some influence on Trump’s selection for Secretary of State.
    • Butina was arrested when it appeared she was preparing to leave the country. She’s deemed a flight risk, so is being held without bail.
    • Russia’s foreign minister demands Butina’s immediate release.
  1. Twitter suspends the accounts of Guccifer 2.0 and DCLeaks after last week’s indictment of the Russian hackers.
  2. Trey Gowdy says there’s no good reason to impeach Rod Rosenstein.
  3. Mueller requests immunity for five witnesses in the Paul Manafort trial. He also releases over 500 pieces of evidence being used in the trial.
  4. Remember those Macedonian trolls who pushed pro-Trump, anti-Hillary, and conservative fake stories and conspiracy theories before the 2016 elections? It turns out the effort was started by a Macedonian attorney with the assistance of two American conservatives, Ben Goldman and Paris Wade (you might remember a profile done on them in 2016 describing them writing fake news stories out of their Long Beach apartment). Paris Wade is running for Nevada State Assembly.
  5. The data that Cambridge Analytica mined off Facebook was accessed by a server in Russia.
  6. Christopher Wray, head of the FBI, says Russia is very aggressive in election interference and that they’re actively creating discord and divisiveness in the U.S. right now.
  7. The DOJ releases highly redacted documents that were used to support the Carter Page FISA warrant application. This type of information is typically not made public.
  8. Trump claims that the redacted documents show that his campaign really was being illegally spied on, even though there’s nothing in the released documents that imply that.

Courts/Justice:

  1. I guess we’re cool with the FBI again? Jeff Sessions delivers an address to students at Federal Law Enforcement Training Centers (FLETC). These are members of federal, state, and local law enforcement agencies. Sessions says, “You and your brothers and sisters are in every corner of America, working 24 hours a day to courageously and faithfully protect this nation and our people. We are proud of you.”
  2. Republicans in the Senate pull Trump’s nomination for the 9th circuit court of appeals, Ryan Bounds, not because of Bounds’ racist writings, but because they don’t have enough votes to confirm him.
  3. Mitch McConnell says that if Democrats keep pushing for documentation around Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, he’ll delay the confirmation hearings until right before the midterms to hurt vulnerable Democrats in their re-election efforts.

Healthcare:

  1. A district court judge rules in Trump’s favor on changes to Title X regarding family planning grants. The changes move the emphasis from contraception and safe sex to abstinence and natural family planning (whatever that is). Because we all know that when you tell youngsters to abstain from sex, that’s what they do, right?

International:

  1. Trumps says that NATO members agreed to pony up way more money because he was so assertive. NATO members say, not. They’re just meeting the conditions of their 2014 agreement with the Obama administration.
  2. During the NATO summit, Trump reportedly praised authoritarian Turkish president Erdogan while criticizing our allies in Europe for needing to consult with their respective legislative branches before making policy decisions.
  3. Trump questions why we would come to the defense of a small country like NATO member Montenegro.
  4. While Trump meets with Putin, leaders from the EU and China meet and agree on a joint resolution as well as a commitment to keep the global system strong.
  5. Trump tells diplomats to initiate negotiations directly with the Taliban in Afghanistan. Previously, we’ve worked to include the Afghanistan government in these talks, but the Taliban only wants to talk to the U.S. government.
  6. Israel’s parliament passes a bill that defines Israel as the Jewish nation-state, where Hebrew is the official language and Jerusalem is the capital.
  7. And speaking of Israel, moving our embassy to Jerusalem will cost us $21.2 million instead of the $250,000 Trump said it would.
  8. So far Brexit is costing the UK Treasury 440 million pounds a week; more than the EU ever cost them. Brexit was sold as an economic boon for the country.
  9. North Korean officials have been cancelling meetings and demanded more money. They don’t seem to be slowing down their nuclear program any either. Trump is frustrated by the slow pace and obstacles.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Senate Democrats put forth a resolution to prevent the president from turning over American citizens to hostile foreign powers. It passes unanimously.
  2. The House passes the BUILD Act, which will encourage private investment in countries with lower income economies to help fight extreme poverty.
  3. The GOP blocks Democratic legislation to question the translator at the Trump/Putin summit, to investigate NRA ties to Russian money, and to back our intelligence community’s conclusion that Russia interfered in the 2016 elections.
  4. Democrats continue to request a vote on an amendment that would provide funding to states for election security, but the GOP leadership continues to refuse the vote.

Separating Families:

  1. A judge blocks the government from deporting newly reunited families to make sure none are improperly deported.
  2. A court orders counseling for children who are victims of family separation at the border. They court calls it a constitutional injury, and in some cases may require treatment for PTSD.
  3. So far, only 364 of the more than 2,500 children taken at the border have been reunited with their parents. Of 1,600 parents waiting to be reunited, almost half are slated for deportation.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. More than 100 elected officials from 20 states sign on to an open letter arguing that we should abolish ICE, the agency created after 9/11 to keep our borders secure. They say ICE is too broken to be reformed and should be abolished. They don’t have an alternative yet.
  2. A district judge in Pennsylvania rules that religious adoption agencies do not have the right to discriminate against prospective parents based on religious beliefs while at the same time accepting taxpayer money.
  3. The NFL puts its new kneeling-during-the-anthem policy on hold while they negotiate the terms with the teams. So Trump tweets a call for extreme punishments for players who kneel.
  4. A federal appeals court rejects the Trump administration’s efforts to reinstate the ban on transgender troops while the his original ban makes its way through the courts.

Climate/EPA:

  1. The Department of the Interior issues a proposal to overhaul the endangered species act to make it more friendly to economic development (or as it’s better known, drilling and mining projects). This is the act that saved the Yellowstone grizzly and the BALD FREAKING EAGLE from extinction, among others.
  2. California just reached their goal of reducing their carbon emissions to 1990 levels by 2020—two years ahead of time.

Budget/Economy:

  1. The EU and Japan sign a major trade agreement that gets rid of most of the tariffs on goods imported between the two.
  2. Trump criticizes the Feds‘ decision to raise interest rates again, saying it’ll slow down our booming economy. Which is kind of the point of interest rate hikes.
  3. A group of major U.S. companies signs on to a new jobs training initiative by the Trump administration.
  4. China files a complaint with the World Trade Organization over Trump’s proposed tariffs, saying they fall under protectionism.
  5. The Congressional Budget Office updates its estimates, and now says our deficit will hit $1 trillion next year.
  6. Trump threatens even higher tariffs against China, saying he’ll go up to $500 billion if he has to.
  7. Republicans in Congress back off from making sure the sanctions against Chinese company ZTE stick, and instead allow Trump to make this a personal favor to China president Xi Jinping.

Elections:

  1. A lawyer for one of Roy Moore’s accusers has recorded conversations of two of Moore’s supporters offering him $10,000 to drop the case and discredit the victim before the Senate election that Democrat Doug Jones won.
  2. No dark money in politics, you say? The Trump administration ends IRS disclosure requirements for certain nonprofits, allowing donors to give money without any scrutiny. How many ways can we make Citizens United worse?
  3. Some states’ voter registration systems operate on systems owned by Russian-backed companies.
  4. A top voting machine manufacturer admits they issued a few of those servers with the remote sharing application pcAnywhere installed.
  5. The reason the FBI took so long to announce the reopening of Hillary Clinton’s email investigation (which is why it happened just nine days before the election) is that the bureau was so overwhelmed with the investigation into the Trump campaign’s connections to Russia.

Miscellaneous:

  1. FCC Chairman Ajit Pai pushes back on Sinclair Broadcasting Group’s merger with Tribune Media. There’s concern that even with the changes Sinclair is willing to make, they would still control too many stations.
  2. Also on the Sinclair front, the company recently announced that they’ll release a streaming app later this year to compete with other agencies, such as Fox News.
  3. A recent court filing indicates that the secret service has been blocking attempts to serve a subpoena to Jared Kushner.
  4. The inspector general for the Interior Department opens an investigation into a real estate deal between Ryan Zinke’s foundation and certain developers (including Halliburton).
  5. In the material seized from Michael Cohen, there’s a recorded conversation between him and Trump discussing payments to Karen McDougal, the Playboy model who says she had an affair with Trump. The conversation took place a few months before the election.
  6. Oddly enough, Trump’s lawyers waived attorney-client privilege around this recording.
  7. In the middle of a signing ceremony for work training and apprenticeships, Trump realizes that his reality show, The Apprentice, was about apprenticeships.
  8. Obama gives the 2018 Nelson Mandela Annual Lecture in South Africa, where he alludes to Trump without calling him out by name. He says these are strange and uncertain times, with the rise of strongman politics around the globe.
  9. Starting August 1, people can download plans for 3-D printable guns. None of which will be traceable because they don’t have a serial number. Yay us.

Polls:

The only thing I’ll say about polls is that Trump’s approval numbers should’ve changed this week, but they didn’t. ‘Nuff said.

Week 77 in Trump

Posted on July 16, 2018 in Politics, Trump

Sean Gallup / Getty Images

It was a busy week, with Trump going after NATO on his way to making nice with Putin, protests greeting him wherever he goes, and Mueller dropping a 29-page indictment days before Trump’s meeting with Putin. Back home, things aren’t getting much better for new asylum seekers and for families separated at the border (though some have been reunited). Tariffs are still a hot issue, as is Peter Strzok’s testimony (I swear the right saw one version of the hearing and the left saw a completely different one – crazy).

Here’s what happened last week…

Russia:

  1. Michael Flynn will likely be sentenced in the fall, right around midterm elections.
  2. We learn that during their trip to Moscow last week, Republican members of Congress met with two Russians who are currently under U.S. sanctions. While several lawmakers came back with a softened stance on Russia, Senator John Kennedy told Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov that Congress will double down on sanctions if Russia interferes again.
  3. While working to get a meeting with Putin, Trump insulted members of his administration who didn’t think the meeting was a good idea, calling them “stupid people.” He berated his own people in deference to Putin.
  4. Twitter has deleted 70 million suspicious accounts, most of which are bots or fake accounts.
  5. Paul Manafort’s request for a delay of trial backfires when a judge denies it and moves him to a closer facility. Manafort says it’s too hard to prepared for trial while incarcerated 100 miles away, but objected strongly to the move—a big surprise to the judge. But then we learn that in his current prison, Manafort:
    • Has access to computers.
    • Has his own phone and no limit to how many calls he can make.
    • Has access to all his files.
    • Has private living quarters with his own bathroom and shower.
    • Doesn’t have to wear a uniform.
  1. Manafort asks the judge not to move him, but the judge thinks it’s the easiest fix to the problem of being 100 miles away.
  2. Mueller requests 100 new blank subpoenas for the Manafort trial on top of the 150 he requested last month.
  3. Peter Strzok, a former top counterintelligence FBI agent who was involved in the Russia investigation, testifies publicly before the House Oversight and Judiciary Committee.
  4. Strzok’s hearing devolves into a shouting match, with GOP Reps resorting to profanity and Strzok staunchly defending the FBI. Nothing new was learned, there was much posturing, and Strzok heartily defended the FBI and himself (leading to people who don’t like him to start calling him “smug”). He often had to explain how the FBI hierarchy works and how they check their politics at the door. Strzok was limited on what he could say about much of the ongoing investigation.
  5. A day after Strzok’s testimony, the woman he exchanged texts with, Lisa Page, testifies behind close doors. Despite Republicans previously trying to smear her by saying she wasn’t cooperating, Mark Meadows (R-NC) came out saying she was more forthcoming than Strzok. Like Strzok, she defended her texts, saying that their political feelings did not influence their work.
  6. GOP lawmakers don’t want Page to testify publicly (they were resistant to Strzok testifying publicly as well).
  7. After the farce of a hearing with Strzok, Trey Gowdy has this to say. You just don’t know which Gowdy you’re going to get from one day to the next…

“As I have repeatedly said, it is clear, based on the evidence, Russia had disdain for Secretary Clinton and was motivated in whole or in part by a desire to harm her candidacy or undermine her presidency had she prevailed.”

  1. Mueller comes down with 12 new indictments again Russian intelligence (GRU) officers in a filing that gives us much more detail about what happened with the hacking, who was involved, and what Mueller actually knows (which is a lot more than I thought). Here are some highlights:
    • The indictments are for stealing and leaking emails from Democrats and Democratic organizations to help Trump get elected in 2016.
    • Hackers used spearphishing and malware.
    • They used screen shots and keystroke loggers to monitor what DNC and DCCC employees were typing.
    • They extracted gigabytes of opposition research on Republican candidates.
    • The Russian government was behind the interference campaign.
    • The Russians being indicted created the Guccifer 2.0 and DCLeaks online personas.
    • An associate of senior members of Trump’s campaign was in touch with Guccifer 2.0. That person is believed to be Roger Stone, but that’s not spelled out in the indictment.
    • A congressional candidate asked Guccifer 2.0 for stolen documents on their opponent, which that candidate did receive.
    • The Russian hackers made their first attempt to hack Hillary’s personal emails on the same day that Trump (on TV) asked Russia to find the 30,000 missing emails.
    • Two of the hackers conspired to access servers of people and organizations that handle elections, like secretaries of state, state boards of elections, and supporting software companies.
    • The hackers breached a state board of elections website and accessed information for 500,000 voters along with DNC analytics.
    • The scope of the indictment shows that the misinformation campaign involved more than just propaganda and division.
  1. Democratic leaders on congressional intelligence committees urge Trump to cancel his meeting with Putin following the announcement of the indictments and to demand proof that Russia is no longer interfering in our elections.
  2. Trump says he might consider canceling joint NATO exercises in the Baltic States if Putin requests it.
  3. The White House orders the FBI to expand access to classified information to all intelligence committee members. Remember, these documents are about an ongoing investigation.
  4. After the indictment is published, Trump blames the DNC for the hack, saying Republicans had stronger internet security. And then he went on to blame Obama, since it happened under his administration.
    Side note: In his testimony, James Comey said that Republicans were also hacked, but the hacked information was never released. From what I can find, old RNC servers and Republican state campaigns were successfully hacked, but the Trump campaign and current RNC servers were not. I can’t verify this though.
  5. Trump also says it never occurred to him to demand the extradition of the Russians who’ve been indicted so far in the probe so they can face charges.
  6. Mitch McConnell rejects bipartisan requests for a select committee investigation into the Russian meddling and hacking in the 2016 elections. They aren’t requesting an investigation into Trump; just a non-partisan effort to understand what happened and to make sure Russia can’t do it again.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Trump nominates DC district court judge Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court to fill Kennedy’s seat. Kavanaugh clerked for Kennedy and been a part of the DC scene for much of his career.
  2. Rod Rosenstein has requested help from U.S district attorneys to review government documents related to Kavanaugh due to the scope of the documents requested.
  3. Even though Brian Benczkowski, Trump’s pick to head the Justice Department’s Criminal Division, has never prosecuted a criminal case and previously represented Alfa Bank, every GOP senator votes to confirm him to the position.
  4. Trump issues an executive order giving agency heads more leeway in hiring administrative judges, who implement much of the regulatory agenda in an administration.
  5. The DOJ files a notice that it will try to overturn a ruling that allows AT&T to buy Time Warner, claiming that the acquisition violates anti-trust laws.
  6. Trump wants to be able to hold prisoners for 100 years in Guantanamo without ever bringing charges.

Healthcare:

  1. Russian asbestos company Uralasbest creates asbestos pallets with Trump’s likeness on them. The company cites former EPA head Scott Pruitt’s and Trump’s voiced support for the carcinogenic product.
  2. A new congressional report says that from 2012 to 2017, three companies sent around 1.6 billion opioids to Missouri pharmacies (that averages to about 260 pills for every person in the state).
  3. The administration plans to shut down the National Guideline Clearinghouse, which keeps records of medical guidelines and research. This is an invaluable source of information for medical practitioners and gets about 200,000 visitors per month. The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) says they won’t even keep an archived version.

International:

  1. Brexit leader Boris Johnson resigns as Foreign Secretary less than a day after Brexit Secretary David Davis resigns. Their resignations are over the regulatory and trade terms of Brexit.
  2. Israeli, Saudi Arabian, and UAE officials have been trying to get Trump to strike a bargain with Putin where Russia would help get Iran out of Syria and the U.S. would drop sanctions against Russia (for invading Ukraine and Crimea).
  3. Before his upcoming meetings with Putin and NATO, Trump says that he thinks his meetings with Putin will be easier than meetings with our allies in NATO.
  4. Irony alert. At the NATO summit, Trump says Germany is “a captive of Russia.”
  5. Though NATO nations have been increasing their military spending as a percent of GDP (per a 2014 agreement), Trump criticizes them for not yet meeting their 2% promise. And then says they should spend 4% of GDP on the military, a level above even U.S. spending.
  6. Trump claims we spend 4.2% of our GDP on defense instead of the reported 3.5%.
  7. Trump declares victory at the NATO summit, saying European nations quickly agreed to his spending demands and were grateful to him. But other nations say they just reaffirmed the 2014 agreement to reach 2% spending by 2024.
  8. The Sun publishes an interview with Trump where he’s highly critical of Theresa May’s approach to Brexit while praising former secretary Boris Yeltsin. In the interview, Trump says he told May how to do Brexit, but she “wrecked” it. And then he says the trade deal is off.
  9. The next day, Trump says May is doing a great job. May discounts the interview, saying it’s just the press, and Trump calls it fake news. Of note, The Sun is owned by Rupert Murdoch, owner of Fox (not fake) News.
  10. Sarah Huckabee Sanders then tries to clean it up by saying that he said he never said anything bad about May.
  11. And then May and Trump agree to pursue a free trade deal after Brexit is complete. Brexit is currently complicated by the departure of two key figures in the deal. Actually, it’s complicated by so many things.
  12. Taking a line from white nationalists, Trump says that immigration is changing Europe’s culture, and that it’s a bad thing.
  13. There are nationwide protests in the U.K. while Trump is there, including in Scotland where he goes to golf at one of his properties. In London, demonstrators fly a “Trump Baby” blimp as part of their protests. The protestors also play mariachi music and tapes of detained children crying for their parents.
  14. Trump and Melanie get called out for not bowing and curtsying to the queen, though that is not a required protocol, just a respectful one. But then Trump walks in front of the queen, leaving her to catch up and try to figure out what side to walk on while they inspect a guard of honour.
  15. Theresa May says Trump told her to sue the EU instead of negotiating with them.
  16. Trump says that our allies in the EU are our foes.
  17. All this time that Trump has been highly critical of Qatar for sponsoring terrorists, his administration has been working out a deal to sell Qatar $21 billion in weapons, authorized by none other than Trump.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Both the House and the Senate pass bipartisan resolutions reaffirming our support for NATO.
  2. Even though a bipartisan spending agreement earlier this year allowed for funding of CDC research into gun violence, GOP members of the House Appropriations Committee blocked a proposal to provide $10 million in such funding.
  3. The House Appropriations Committee passes an amendment that would let adoption agencies nationwide discriminate against prospective parents based on closely held religious beliefs. States that don’t comply could lose 15% of their funding for adoption agencies. Just another step to increase LGBTQ discrimination.
  4. The House passes with no objections an amendment to the Intelligence Authorization Act that will create a Foreign Malign Influence Response Center. The center will defend against foreign efforts to interfere in our elections (I think they’re looking at you, Russia). Dan Coates, Director of National Intelligence, will work to establish this collaboration across all relevant agencies.
  5. The Senate, in preparation for Trump’s meeting with NATO, passes a non-binding motion in support for NATO. The vote was 97-2.

Family Separation:

  1. A federal judge rules that Trump can’t detain immigrant families long-term.
  2. Some women who were pregnant when detained by ICE complain of having miscarriages with no medical assistance.
  3. The Trump administration returns to ankle bracelet monitoring, or what he called “catch and release” under Obama. This method has historically resulted in an extremely high percentage of people showing up for their immigration hearings.
  4. In a court filing, ICE says it can’t reunite a separated family because they can’t locate the parents, who might be American citizens.
  5. A judge orders ICE to post notices in detention facilities letting detainees know that they don’t have to agree to be deported in order to be reunited with their families. It’s not like every deported parent has been reunited with their children anyway. Apparently ICE officials have been exploiting this to get people to be voluntarily deported.
  6. A judge orders the Trump administration to pay for reunification costs themselves. Before, if a parent didn’t have the money to travel to wherever their child has been moved to, they couldn’t be reunited. Some parents were told they have to pay for a DNA test to be reunited. There’s obviously a misunderstanding here over what it means to be an asylum seeker.
  7. The Trump administration puts an end to the Central American Minors program. This was an Obama-era program that reunited Central American children with their parents in the U.S. This is just one of several humanitarian relief programs the Trump administration has ended. There’s a class action lawsuit against the termination of this program.
  8. The Trump administration fails to reunite the youngest separated children by the court-ordered deadline.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Hate crimes across the country have been increasing since 2015, and experts say it’s partly because of political rhetoric, specifically Trump’s vitriolic brand of it. Hate crimes spiked right after the 2016 election.
  2. The DOJ issues new guidance to reject asylum claims based on gang or domestic violence. This means ICE can turn people away before they even get a chance to plead for asylum.
  3. John Schnatter resigns as chairman of Papa Johns after using a racial slur in a role-playing game on a company call. Schnatter has been a controversial figure, saying the ACA would increase the cost of each pizza by 14 cents and some franchises would have to cut employee’s hours. More recently, he’s complained that the NFL protest was costing his company.

Climate/EPA:

  1. A Pence family business, Kiel Bros. Oil Co., went bankrupt in 2004 leaving behind several abandoned gas stations. Kentucky, Illinois, and Mike Pence’s home state of Indiana have spent $10s of millions to clean up those gas stations.
  2. The EPA sends a proposed replacement for the Clean Power Plan to the White House Office of Management and Budget for review. The new plan would loosen limits on carbon dioxide emissions from power plants, while the Clean Power Plan tightened them up. The changes are at the behest of industry lobbyists.

Budget/Economy:

  1. This week, federal agencies start implementing the guidelines in Trump’s executive orders on public employee unions.
  2. Randomly, Russia is the beneficiary of Trump’s trade war with China, as China triples its soybean imports from Russia and cancels 1.1 million tons worth of soybean orders from the U.S.
  3. The price of soybeans drops to a 10-year low in the U.S., as the prices in Brazil reach new highs, because of Trump’s trade wars.
  4. Other countries, including China, are unsure of what Trump wants from them in his trade war. Most think he doesn’t have a strategy.
  5. The Trump administration says they’re in the process of putting tariffs in place on $200 billion worth of goods from China, effectively halting trade talks between the U.S. and China.
  6. And according to Steven Mnuchin, trade talks with China have broken down. China says the U.S. is acting erratically and encouraging trade wars.
  7. Oh, and in case you were wondering, none of those tariffs affect the Ivanka lines manufactured in China.
  8. Despite the Senate having taken steps to make sure that Trump couldn’t help out sanctioned Chinese company ZTE, the Commerce Department loosens restrictions on the company, allowing it to continue doing business with US companies.
  9. Trump claims that our GDP has doubled and even tripled since he took office. First, it can only be one or the other and not both. Second, while the GDP is growing, it’s not even up 10% since he took office. The GDP has doubled since 2000, and tripled since 1992.
  10. A recent study from the left-leaning Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy shows that the top 20% of U.S. earners received 65% of the benefit of tax reforms enacted since 2000. Here are a few findings:
    • Since 2000, tax cuts have cut federal revenue by $5.1 trillion, expected to double by 2025.
    • in 2012, when the Bush cuts and some Obama cuts were in place, the highest earners saw the most benefit.
    • in 2015, when some of the Bush cuts were reversed and ACA taxes were in place, the benefit was spread across all earners.
    • In 2018, now that the GOP tax reform is in place, the benefits go back to the high earners.
  1. Worker wages dropped 1% in the second quarter from the previous quarter. Real wages dropped 1.4% due to inflation levels hitting a 6-year high. Experts don’t know why wages aren’t seeing the increase that is typical in a tight labor market like this.
  2. Trump declares an end to the war on poverty, claiming (incorrectly) that only 3% of Americans are truly poor. While Republicans have long criticized safety net programs as ineffective, Trump is now saying that they’ve worked and the war is over. So now it’s time to reform social welfare and entitlement programs.

Elections:

  1. In a recorded conversation, a GOP candidate in the Georgia gubernatorial primary basically told one of his opponents that they cared about the same issues but that they couldn’t let the public in on that because of politics. He also explains how he shifted policies to stop donors from donating to a PAC that didn’t support him.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump pardons Dwight and Steven Hammond, two Oregon ranchers who set fire to federal land. Their arrests led to the armed standoff at a wildlife refuge by supporters of the Hammonds.
  2. Trump’s person driver of over two decades has received only two raises over the last 15 years. In order to get his last raise, he had to give up his employer-based health insurance. He’s suing for unpaid overtime to the tune of $200,000.