Category: Politics

Week 157 in Trump

Posted on January 31, 2020 in Politics, Trump

I don’t know which category this goes in, but it’s so symbolic of this administration, I’m opening with it. NPR’s Mary Louise Kelly interviews Mike Pompeo. When questions turn to Ukraine, Kelly asks Pompeo if he owes Marie Yovanovitch an apology. Pompeo says he didn’t come on the show to talk about Ukraine. Kelly says she confirmed with his staff that Ukraine was on the table. Pompeo gets super testy on air.

  • After the interview, a staff member brings Kelly to Pompeo’s sitting room so he can yell profanities at her. He says Americans don’t care about Ukraine and couldn’t find it on a map (he dropped a few f-bombs in there). He then has a staff member bring in a blank map and tells Kelly to point to Ukraine, which she does (it’s a big county—not that hard to find).
  • After the incident goes public, Pompeo puts out an official State Department statement blasting Kelly’s journalistic integrity and accusing her of lying. His statement also implies that she pointed to Bangladesh instead of Ukraine, which is laughable. I invite you to look at a map to see how far apart these countries are. Kelly’s been to Ukraine, graduated magna cum laude from Harvard, and has a master’s in European studies; so it’s doubtful she pointed to a country in Asia.
  • Kelly also the emails to back up her assertion that Pompeo’s staff was clear that Kelly was going to ask about Ukraine.
  • Pompeo refuses to say whether he owes Yovanovitch an apology even after text messages arise indicating she may have been under surveillance by associates of Lev Parnas, and it’s doubtful he’ll ever own up and apologize to Kelly either. Of course, Trump congratulates Pompeo, saying he “did a good job on her.”

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending July 26…

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were SIX mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 12 people and injure 22 more.
    • A shooting in Seattle leaves 1 person dead and 7 people injured. There were multiple shooters involved when a fight broke out near Pike Place Market.
    • A man in Vanceboro, NC, shoots and kills his wife and 3 children before killing himself.
    • A shooter in Hartsville, SC, kills 3 people and injures 3 more at a nightclub.
    • A shooter in Salisbury, NC, injures 6 people at an after-hours party at a restaurant. One of the injured is currently paralyzed.
    • A shooter at an event hall in Cape Girardeau, MO, injures 5 people.
    • A shooter at a residence in Newburgh, NY, kills 3 people and injures a three-year-old.
  1. About 22,000 protestors show up for a gun-rights rally in Richmond, VA. Despite concerns of violence from hate groups and militia groups, the gun-toting crowd is peaceful.
    • While gun-rights activists were outside protesting, student activists from March For Our Lives were inside meeting with state legislators.
    • The Virginia Senate passes a red-flag gun law despite the protest. The law allows law enforcement officials to obtain court approval to remove weapons from someone deemed to be a danger to themselves or to others.

Russia:

  1. Despite findings from previous investigations into the Russia investigations that the FISA warrants for Carter Page were valid, the DOJ reports that two of those warrants were not. The two in question were renewals, both approved in 2017. Andrew McCabe and Rod Rosenstein approved one, and James Comey approved the other.
    • A previous IG investigation did find missteps, some egregious, by the people requesting the warrants, causing the FBI to conduct a review of their procedures.
    • The FBI has until the last week in January to respond.

Legal Fallout:

  1. The D.C. Attorney General sues Trump’s inaugural committee and business over the committee spending over $1 million for a Trump Hotel ballroom.
  2. In the ongoing saga of Michael Flynn, he requests that he be sentenced with probation instead of prison time if he can’t withdraw his guilty plea.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Healthcare:

  1. Major cities in China cancel their New Year festivals to try to contain the Wuhan virus outbreak. The government restricts travel, especially around Wuhan. Travelers to the U.S. from China are being routed to five airports for screening upon entry into the U.S. WHO says it’s too early to declare a state of emergency.
  2. Teachers at the elementary school on which a Delta flight dumped fuel file a lawsuit against Delta.
  3. The Trump administration threatens to cut healthcare funding to California over the state’s requirement that insurance policies cover abortion. They timed the announcement with Trump’s appearance at the March For Life.
    • California’s law requires insurance providers to cover both medically necessary and elective abortions.
    • The administration indicates that they’ll target other states with similar coverage requirements.
  1. Trump is the first president to speak in person at the March For Life. He singled out pro-life enemy number one, Ralph Northam, for his support of a late-term abortion bill. Northam’s words have been widely misinterpreted to back claims that doctors and parents are killing infants after they’re born. Northam was actually talking about what happens when what should be start-of-life decisions tragically turn to end-of-life decisions because the infant is born with a terminal disease.
    • The march organizers expected around 100,000 attendees, but some people say they were more people in attendance.
  1. According to the U.S. Department of labor, women incur healthcare costs 80% higher than men, even though doctors treat women’s medical issues less aggressively and less quickly. Women wait longer in waiting rooms, and they’re still told that their pain is due to emotional stress.
  2. Executives at pharmaceutical company Insys are finally heading to jail for their role in the opioid epidemic and their irresponsible marketing activities.
  3. The Supreme Court refuses to expedite a lawsuit that could end the ACA, so now it won’t be decided until after the presidential election.

International:

  1. Trump invites Benny Gantz, a political opponent of Netanyahu’s, to Washington (at the same time, Trump invites Netanyahu to the White House). Gantz considers declining, but in the end, agrees to come. Gantz is worried it’s a political trap set by Netanyahu. They’ll meet about the U.S. Israeli-Palestinian peace plan. Pence says both are invited to the White House.
  2. The UN International Court of Justice rules that Myanmar must take emergency steps to protect Rohingya Muslims from violence. The country must also preserve any evidence of potential genocide. Myanmar has committed atrocities against its Rohingya Muslim citizens for decades. There are around 700,000 Rohingya Muslim refugees in camps in Bangladesh.
  3. Greece appoints its first female president.
  4. The Director of National Intelligence fails to send a report on Jamal Khashoggi’s killing to Congress, as required by the National Defense Authorization Act signed into law in December. The report identifies those responsible for Khashoggi’s murder.
  5. The protests in Iraq, which started in October, escalate this week. Demonstrators block highways and force government offices to close. They want a new prime minister. Iraqi forces launch a major crackdown at Tahrir Square. At least one protestor is killed and dozens more are wounded.
  6. Protests start up again in Bogota, Colombia, against the right-wing government.
  7. Protests continue in Lebanon, India, and Hong Kong.
  8. Chilean students protest their version of the SAT.
  9. Recent protests in the U.S. include the Women’s March, the March For Life, and the pro-gun rally in Virginia.

Iran:

  1. After Iran retaliated with airstrikes for the U.S. killing of General Soleimani, Trump initially said there were no injuries. Then we learned there were about a dozen troops with concussive injuries. Now the total of troops diagnosed with traumatic brain injuries is at 34.
    • Some have already been cleared for active duty.
    • Trump said they just had some headaches, but the effects of brain injuries are wide-ranging.
  1. Trump says Obama designated General Soleimani as a terrorist but didn’t do anything about it. This is mostly true, though the designation restricted Soleimani’s ability to travel and complete financial transactions. The designation wasn’t intended to be used as an excuse to kill a general of a foreign government.
  2. A bipartisan effort in the Senate to follow the House’s lead and limit Trump’s war powers with Iran stalls during the impeachment trial.
  3. Seemingly as a result of tensions with Iran, CBP is illegally deporting Iranian students who have legal permission to be here.
  4. Following Trump’s attack on Soleimani, our European allies start talking about cutting some ties. Britain considers cutting back its defense ties with us. Germany says the U.S. alliance with the EU isn’t that important anymore.
  5. Three rockets hit the U.S. Embassy compound in Baghdad, injuring one person.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. U.S. Customs and Border Patrol is ruffling some feathers in a small town on a Canadian island on the border with Maine. The community has enjoyed an easy back-and-forth relationship with the U.S., but now CBP is intercepting and opening their mail and refusing to give a reason.
  2. In case you were thinking the Muslim Ban and Trump’s actions against Iran don’t affect real, everyday people, at least 16 students with permission and all the necessary approved paperwork to attend college in the U.S. have been deported with no reason given.
    • One was removed despite a court order commanding he be allowed to stay, and he was removed to France before his lawyers could stop it. The judge says he can’t do much about it since the student is now outside of the U.S.
    • This leaves colleges and universities holding the bag trying to figure out how to continue their students’ education while also getting them back to the U.S.
    • The process students go through to get their paperwork in order can take a year or longer.
    • The ACLU is seeing an uptick of Iranian students getting stopped at Logan Airport in Boston.
  1. And now Trump wants to expand the Muslim ban to include these countries: Belarus, Myanmar, Eritrea, Kyrgyzstan, Nigeria, Sudan, and Tanzania. Remember when they said it would be a temporary 90-day ban while they worked out a better vetting process? It’s been a year and a half since the Supreme Court upheld the travel ban.
  2. Texas still officially recognizes Confederate Heroes Day the Friday before Martin Luther King Day. Wow.
  3. Utah bans LGBTQ conversion therapy, the 19th state to do so. The practice is widely discredited.
  4. New Jersey becomes just the ninth state to ban gay and transgender “panic” defenses, which the Governor says are rooted in homophobia.
  5. Britain’s House of Commons votes against legislation that would ensure refugee children can reunite with their families in Britain. The House of Lords previously passed protections for refugee children in their Brexit legislation.
    • The House of Commons also stripped rules protecting the rights of EU citizens in Britain.
    • The House of Commons can override the House of Lords, so it looks like hyper-nationalism and racism will win out in this battle.
  1. Trump names Rodney Scott to Border Patrol Chief. The previous chief admitted to being a member of a private Facebook group for CBP agents that turned out to be racist, anti-immigrant, and misogynistic (and the previous chief was a woman!). Scott is reported to be a member of the same group.
  2. The Trump administration gives visa officers more leeway to stop pregnant women from visiting the U.S. because they might be having anchor babies. Add pregnant women to the growing list of unwelcome immigrants. We already limit Muslims, the poor, refugees, asylum seekers, Middle Easterners, Central Americans, and Africans.

Climate:

  1. Trump has been complaining at his rallies about low-flow showerheads and toilets, as well as energy-efficient dishwashers. And voila. The Energy Department announces changes that will limit the government’s ability to place new efficiency standards on appliances.
    • Increasingly efficient standards are currently saving U.S. households around $500 per year. The new rules make it harder to keep increasing those savings.
  1. The UN rules that countries cannot send climate refugees back to life-threatening conditions created by climate change.
  2. The Trump administration finalizes a rule that removes environmental protections from streams, wetlands, and groundwater. Landowners can now dump pesticides into wetlands and build over them, among other things.
    1. The protections being removed were implemented based on 1,200 scientific studies.
    2. The new rule is already being challenged.
    3. This is just the latest in Trump’s efforts to repeal nearly 100 environmental protections.
  3. The Interior Department approves a right-of way for Keystone XL development in Montana.
  4. At Davos, Steve Mnuchin says youth climate activist Greta Thunberg should go take some economics classes so she can explain calls for investors to pull their money out of fossil fuels. He also sarcastically pretends not to know who she is.
    • How does the head of our Treasury not know that money managers are already doing just that? From BlackRock’s CEO: “The evidence on climate risk is compelling investors to reassess core assumptions about modern finance.”
    • There are two reasons to divest:
      1. The theory of Economics of Welfare looks at the difference between private costs and societal costs. For example, we know that unchecked emissions of greenhouse gases that are going to cost us in the form of having the rebuild and replace infrastructure.
      2. With alternate and better sources of electricity becoming more available, fossil fuels will naturally fall out of favor.
    • Mnuchin’s wife tweets her support for Greta Thunberg.
  1. China plans to ban plastic bags in major cities by the end of this year.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Yet again, Trump threatens European countries with tariffs, this time at the World Economic Forum in Davos. This time it’s over European countries’ plans to tax major tech companies like Google and Facebook.
  2. In a shift from his 2016 promise to protect Medicare and Social Security, Trump says he’s willing to consider cuts to the programs. His last budget proposed nearly $2 trillion in cuts for programs like Medicare and Medicaid.
  3. Fair Isaac is changing the way it calculates your FICO score due, in part, to the record level of consumer debt. Those with high credit scores are likely to see it go higher. Those who are struggling with debt already are likely to receive lower scores.
  4. The European Union reportedly does not plan to offer Britain a trade deal on par with their other trading partners, like Canada and Japan. The EU fears that Britain will try to get the best of both worlds by maintaining access to the EU single market while not following the same rules around trade that EU countries must follow.
  5. Wells Fargo’s ex-CIO is banned from banking for life and must pay a $17.5 million fine over the bank opening fake accounts and unnecessary lines of credit for vulnerable clients.
  6. The Fed’s injections into the repo market, which have been bolstering the stock market for four months, have caused the largest decline yet in the Fed’s balance sheet. And even with that influx of cash, Trump blames the Fed for the U.S. not having 4% GDP growth.
  7. One side effect of Trump’s tariffs is a large increase in the price of aluminum to U.S. consumers and businesses. The sanctions against Russia-owned Rusal also increased prices. Nonetheless, Trump expands the tariffs by adding aluminum products like nails, staples, wires, vehicle parts, and so on.

Elections:

  1. A 2019 voter roll purge in Ohio in 2019 removed thousands of active voters in error. Ohio’s Secretary of State calls for a reform of the process for cleaning out the voter rolls.
  2. Presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard sues Hillary Clinton for defamation for Hillary’s comments about a candidate being a Russian asset. Clinton did not mention Tulsi by name in her comments.
  3. The impeachment trial pulls four presidential candidates —Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Amy Klobuchar, and Michael Bennet—off the campaign trail at a crucial time for the Iowa caucuses.
  4. At this point in the Democratic presidential race, 16 candidates have dropped out and these 12 remain in the race: Senator Michael Bennet, former Vice President Joe Biden, former New York City Mayor and billionaire Michael Bloomberg, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, former Representative John Delaney, Representative Tulsi Gabbard, Senator Amy Klobuchar, former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick, Senator Bernie Sanders, billionaire Tom Steyer, Senator Elizabeth Warren, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang.
  5. There are three candidates on the Republican side: Donald Trump, former Representative Joe Walsh, and former Massachusetts Governor William Weld.

Miscellaneous:

  1. An explosion at a Houston manufacturing plant kills two people and pushes nearby homes off their foundations. The explosion damages 214 homes and destroys 50. By the end of the week, the number of structures damaged increases to 450.

Polls:

  1. A Pew Research poll finds that Democrats trust more news sources than Republicans. All U.S. adults overall trust more than Republicans as well. Looking at news sources that are trusted by 33% or more, all U.S. adults trust nine news source, Democrats trust thirteen, and Republicans trust two. Even though media consensus isn’t really a measure of news accuracy, I think the more sources you get your news from, the more accurate your view of the news is.

 

Week 156 in Trump

Posted on January 27, 2020 in Politics, Trump

Here’s one more catch-up blog, and this week I’ll finally be up to date. There’s so much going on and so much misinformation, it’s easy to throw up your hands and say we’ll never know the truth. We’ll never be able to understand it all. But we’re at a pivotal time in history, and what’s going on in Washington right now is incredibly important. The fallout from this administration is going to last decades. So it’s critical that the voting public pay attention.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending January 19…

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were SIX mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 11 people and injure 32 more.
    • A gunman opens fire in a barbershop in Chicago, IL, injuring 5 people (including one 11-year-old and one 12-year-old).
    • A shooter at a home in Grantsville, UT, kills 4 people (a mother and her children) and injures 1 more (the father). The shooter is believed to be a relative.
    • A shooter in South Houston, TX, kills 2 people and injures 2 more.
    • A gunman opens fire at a queue for a nightclub in Kansas City, MO, killing 1 person and injuring 15 more. A security guard shot and killed the gunman. Previous weapons charges against the gunman were dropped due to a loosening of gun laws in Missouri.
    • A shooter in Memphis, TN, kills 1 person and injures 4 more outside a nightclub.
    • A 19-year-old man opens fire in a bar on San Antonio’s River Walk, killing 2 people and injuring 5 more.
  1. Ahead of a planned gun-rights rally on Martin Luther King Day in Richmond, VA, Governor Ralph Northam bans weapons on the state capital grounds for the day. He also declares a state of emergency due to threats from armed militias that they’ll storm the capital.
    • Officials are a bit edgy, given the comparisons to the Charlottesville rally. This week’s rally is to protest gun reform legislation going through Virginia’s legislature turns out to be peaceful.
    • Days before the rally, the FBI arrested three white supremacists—members of The Base—who were planning to usurp the rally to start a race war. One of the men is from Canada and is here illegally. The other two men harbored and armed him.
    • Three other members of The Base are arrested for a plot to kill Antifa members.
    • Trump adds fuel to the fire by tweeting, “They will take your guns away.” (None of the laws in progress will take anyone’s gun away unless they’re illegally owned under current laws.)
  1. Several of the gun reform protestors come from out of state, fearing that changes to gun rules in VA will spread to other states. Here are the changes:
    • Universal background checks
    • Red flag laws (which allow law enforcement to protect people from themselves if they are deemed a threat)
    • Limiting handgun purchases to just one a month
    • A ban on assault-style rifles (but they won’t confiscate weapons that are currently legally owned)
  1. Cities across the state vote to become sanctuary cities that don’t have to follow the state’s gun laws. In reality, localities can only do that for federal laws, not state ones. That’s why sanctuary cities for undocumented immigrants are constitutional, but sanctuary cities to fight state gun laws are not.

Russia:

  1. Not to be left out of impeachment issues, Russian military intelligence hackers target Ukrainian gas company Burisma, likely to find information on Hunter Biden. If they were successful, they can dump documents at any time to try to upend Joe Biden’s campaign.
  2. Two weeks before sentencing, Michael Flynn wants to change his plea from guilty to not guilty. He pleaded guilty more than two years ago. How has he not done any jail time? Anyway, a judge needs to approve the change in plea.
  3. The entire Russian government resigns after Putin proposes constitutional amendments designed to extend his time in power. One of the changes takes power away from the president and gives it to the prime minister, giving him the option of being prime minister with more powers once his presidential term ends in four years. You might remember he did the reverse when he became president.
  4. Rod Rosenstein says he was the one who decided to release the text message between Lisa Page and Peter Strzok with the press. He says he did it to protect them from unfair criticism. Well, that kinda backfired.
    • Both Strzok and Page filed separate lawsuits against the Justice Department for the leak, saying it violated the Privacy Act.

Legal Fallout:

  1. George Nader, a political donor and lobbyist, pleads guilty to sex crimes involving children. Nader was mixed up in Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation, and he’s currently indicted for a campaign finance fraud scheme with several other large donors who hid foreign donations to Democrats and Republicans.
  2. Federal prosecutors in Washington are investigating James Comey again, this time over whether he leaked classified information to the press in 2017. Law enforcement officials express concern that their investigations are becoming politicized and worry that their own old cases could be opened up for political reasons.
  3. Former GOP Representative Chris Collins receives a 26-month sentence after pleading guilty to insider trading.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Trump administration asks the Supreme Court for the 23rd time in three years to let a new policy go into effect while cases against it work their way through the court. That’s nearly three times as many such requests as the previous TWO administrations made over 16 years.

Healthcare:

  1. A Delta jet dumps fuel over a populated area in Los Angeles before making an emergency landing at LAX. They say they had to lighten their load for the landing. But they dumped the fuel over a playground full of children. Air Quality management inspects the air quality and issues a notice of violation to Delta due to complaints of health issues, like burning eyes and difficulty breathing.
  2. Despite warnings that abortion can cause depression and regret, a new study finds that most women do not regret their decision to have the procedure and tend to feel relief instead of depression, even longterm.
  3. Tennessee Governor Bill Lee says he’ll sign a bill that funds faith-based foster care and adoption agencies even if they discriminate against same-sex parents (or anyone else who violates their closely held beliefs).
    • The following states allow similar discrimination: Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Alabama, South Dakota, North Dakota, Virginia, and Mississippi. Michigan had a similar law, but a lawsuit forced them to reverse it.
  1. Consumer safety groups sue the USDA over Trump’s new rules for federal pork inspection practices, which reduce federal oversight and let the industry police itself.
  2. The Supreme Court agrees to hear a case over whether employers with religious or moral objections can limit access to free contraception under the ACA.
  3. Trump tells Alex Azar, Secretary of Health and Housing, that he regrets taking action on that “fucking vaping thing.”

International:

  1. Larry Kudlow, economic advisor to Trump, says that the administration plans to change global anti-bribery rules. Currently, American companies can’t pay bribes to secure overseas contracts. The rules are part of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), which Trump has complained about and threatened to repeal. Experts say the act helps reduce corruption around the world.
  2. A former member of the national security council says that if Britain doesn’t pull out of the JCPOA (Iran deal), a free-trade deal with the U.S. will be at risk.
  3. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson supports Trump coming up with a new agreement to replace the JCPOA.
  4. Johnson refuses Scotland’s demand for another referendum on Scottish independence. These guys honestly don’t believe in second chances. Voters wanted a second referendum on Brexit and didn’t get that either.
  5. The British parliament has so far refused to give EU citizens physical proof of their right to remain in Britain after Brexit happens, leaving them up in the air once Brexit does occur.
  6. Police arrest nearly 60 protestors in Paris during continued “yellow vest” demonstrations.
  7. In Hong Kong, a rally is cut short when protestors and police clash. The Hong Kong protests have been losing a little momentum, and protestors worry they’re losing global attention.
  8. Protests continue in India over their new anti-Muslim citizenship rules.
  9. Clashes between police and protestors in Lebanon result in at least 70 people being injured. This week has been the most violent since the protests started there several months ago.
  10. The State Department says that Russian trolls played a part in the political unrest in South America, including in Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, and Colombia. That could be part of why there’s so much global unrest right now.
  11. U.S. intelligence agencies are trying to get Congress to stop holding the public portion of their annual Worldwide Threats briefing, where they discuss the biggest threats to our security. Trump blew up after last year’s open session, and officials don’t want to be seen as disagreeing with Trump in public. Because God forbid U.S. citizens should get the truth.
  12. 350,000 Syrians flee a Russian-led assault in Syria’s Idlib province.

Iran:

  1. France, Germany, and Britain trigger the resolution dispute clause of the JCPOA, which means that Iran has 60 days to come back into full compliance with the defined limits on nuclear development. If Iran doesn’t comply, the UN must reimpose sanctions.
    • Since Trump withdrew the U.S. from the JCPOA, European countries let Iran push the limits of the deal, hoping to save it.
    • The major objective of the three countries is to save the JCPOA because it was successful in preventing Iran from becoming a nuclear power.
    • Russia calls this an “ill-considered decision” that could lead to escalation.
    • Trump had threatened tariffs up to 25% on European automobiles if they didn’t trigger the dispute.
    • Some European officials call this extortion. I say it goes to show that Trump will not stop abusing the power of his office.
    • Iranian President Rouhani had threatened danger for European troops in the Middle East if they did trigger the dispute.
  1. Remember what a big deal it was that General Soleimani posed an imminent threat and that’s why the U.S. killed him? Now Trump says it doesn’t really matter whether there was an imminent threat or not.
  2. Trump said Soleimani was going to blow up the Iraq embassy. Then Trump said that he was going to blow up other U.S. embassies as well. Now Trump says four embassies were targeted but doesn’t say which ones.
  3. Mike Pompeo also changes his tune on the reasons for the strike, saying that the attack was part of a larger strategy to combat global threats. He previously said an attack from Soleimani was imminent.
  4. Pompeo declines an invitation to attend a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing about Soleimani.
  5. Both Trump and the Pentagon said last week that Iran’s strikes in retaliation for Soleimani’s killings resulted in no injuries. But 11 troops were injured, displaying symptoms of concussion and possible brain injuries. Trump later says that some service members had headaches. At least eight of the troops were medevaced to other countries better equipped to treat brain injuries.
  6. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau blames both Iran and the U.S. for the downing of a passenger jet carrying 57 Canadians.
  7. Protests continue against the Iranian government for shooting down a passenger jet and then seeming to lie about it. Their chants went from “Death to America!” last week to “Death to the dictator!” this week.
    • People report that riot police are using tear gas and live ammunition.
    • Iran says they arrested dozens of people over the downing of the passenger plane, but some have been released.
    • Iran says that the root cause of the tragedy is the U.S. attack on Soleimani.
    • Last week, they said one person was responsible; but this week, President Rouhani says there were likely more people involved in the decision.
    • Russia says that Iran was spooked by rumors of the U.S. sending stealth fighters to Iran, and that’s why they shot down the plane.
  1. Democratic Senator Tim Kaine says he has the necessary 51 votes to pass a resolution requiring Trump to get Congressional approval before making any more military moves against Iran. The House already passed such a measure.
  2. Iran’s foreign minister cancels his appearance at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
  3. Pompeo says that Iraqi leaders have told him they support keeping U.S. troops in the country, despite their public declarations of the opposite.
  4. Trump gave the authorization to kill Soleimani seven months ago, but also had to approve this specific operation.
  5. Drone and missile strikes by Iran-backed Houthis rebels in Yemen kill at least 80 Yemeni soldiers while they were in prayer at a mosque.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. A federal judge blocks Trump’s executive order allowing states and localities to refuse to settle any refugees. This means Texas and that county in northern Minnesota will have to let any refugee settlements go forward.
  2. Virginia finally passes the Equal Rights Amendment, 44 years after Congress passed it. 97 years after it was first proposed. This makes Virginia the 38th state to pass it, the milestone needed to start the ratification process. There are still hurdles:
    • The deadline has passed to ratify the amendment, but it’s debatable whether that deadline is binding.
    • Other states have rescinded their ratifications, but there’s no provision for that in the constitution.
    • My great-grandma marched for women’s rights nearly 100 years ago. I wonder what she’d think if she knew we’re still marching for this shit?
  1. Even though the annual march is getting smaller, hundreds of thousands of demonstrators show up to march in the fourth annual Women’s March in more than 200 cities around the world.
  2. GOP legislators in Georgia, Kentucky, and Texas propose laws to ban minors from receiving gender transition care and to criminalize treatments that help with gender dysphoria.
    • People who support these bills argue that minors are too young to know and that this treatment is life-altering.
    • People who oppose these bills say that the children know and that starting early makes the transition easier.
    • Transgender health experts recommend just using puberty blockers and waiting until they’re older to explore hormones and surgery.
  1. A GOP state representative in Missouri introduces a bill to establish parental review boards to decide on whether to allow drag queen story hour at libraries in the state. Librarians who don’t comply would face criminal charges.
  2. Despite the low unemployment rate for Black Americans, 90% disapprove of Trump’s overall job performance and over 80% think he’s a racist and has made racism a bigger problem.

Climate:

  1. Ocean temperatures hit a new high in 2019 and had the largest temperature increase in a single year over the past decade. Higher ocean temperatures mean more severe storms, harm to sea life, and disruptions to the water cycle that lead to flooding, drought, and wildfires.
  2. Scientists at the EPA say that political appointees cut them out of the decision-making process when the EPA decided to reverse parts of the Clean Waters Act.
  3. Even some of Trump’s appointed advisors disagree with the changes, say they go against scientific knowledge.
  4. Despite the Trump administration’s opposition to managing climate change, investment in renewable energies increased by 28% in 2019.

Budget/Economy:

  1. The U.S. and China sign their phase one trade deal. But we won’t cut any tariffs until after the election. What’s that about, I wonder?
    • As part of the agreement, the U.S. delists China as a currency manipulator.
    • New data continues to show that American consumers bore the brunt of the costs of the tariffs, not China.
  1. The New York Fed announces it’ll decrease the amount of money it’s injecting into the repo market.
  2. The Dow Jones closes above 29,000 for the first time, buoyed by the signing of the USMCA and phase one of the China trade deal, as well as by better than expected earnings and good reports in the retail sector.
  3. The House votes to overturn a Trump rule that makes student loan forgiveness harder to obtain.

Elections:

  1. Trump holds an election rally in Milwaukee, WI, on the same night as the Democratic presidential debate. He repeats his slew of lies—Obama gave Iran $1.8 billion (it was less, it wasn’t all held by the U.S., and it was their money), wages are growing for the first time in a long time (it started in 2014), the ISIS caliphate is 100% defeated (closer to 85%), late-term abortion means ripping babies out of the mother’s womb (that’s infanticide), Democrats started “catch and release” policies for undocumented immigrants (it started in 2001). And that’s just to name a few.
  2. A Wisconsin judge orders state election commissioners to move ahead with purging more than 200,000 people from the voter rolls.
    • Republicans say these are voters who have moved or are deceased, while Democrats accuse them of trying to purge registered voters.
    • I say there’s a little truth to both. There’s no harm in keeping old voter records on the rolls, and these purges do largely hit people who have moved. But there are also mistakes, and people get removed who shouldn’t be. And then it’s up to volunteers to call those voters to make sure they know. And there’s no way to reach everyone.
  1. But then a state appeals court puts the order on hold again, at least until the case goes through the courts.
  2. The Florida Supreme Court upholds a ruling that convicted felons must pay off their fines and fees associated with their sentence before they can have their voting rights restored. Opponents say this amounts to an unconstitutional poll tax.
  1. South Carolina election officials agree to change a rule that requires people to provide their full SSN to register to vote. Most states require just the last four digits.

Miscellaneous:

  1. The National Archives receives harsh criticism after blurring images critical of Trump or referencing women’s anatomy. Whitewashing, as it were.
  2. A new study finds that mayors face higher levels of physical and psychological abuse than people in the general workforce. This applies to both men and women, but women are much more likely to experience abuse, including abuse of a sexualized nature. Social media is the most common expression of that abuse.
  3. Air Force General John Raymond is sworn in as chief of Space Operations, the top position in our new United States Space Force.
  4. American history textbooks are customized by state, even though they come from the same publishers. Differences include gun rights discussions, racial histories, and immigration. Publishers feel caught in the middle of politics. I guess I’m not clear why they don’t present the truth at best, and at worst present pros and cons so students can learn how to talk about our differences.
  5. A 17-year-old intern with NASA discovers a planet nearly seven times larger than the earth, and on just his third day there.

Week 155 in Trump

Posted on January 21, 2020 in Politics, Trump

What a week! Iran retaliated for our drone strike on General Soleimani, but then they accidentally shot down a passenger plane in the process. That turns the tens of thousands of Iranian mourners in the streets of Iran into tens of thousands of people protesting the missile strike on the plane. Iraq votes to expel U.S. troops, and then the U.S. sends them a letter saying we’re leaving, but then we say we’re not really leaving and the Iraqi Prime Minister asks Mike Pompeo to come talk about leaving. And we’re still not sure what the imminent threat was that led us to kill Soleimani now or if there even was an imminent threat.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending January 12…

Shootings This Week:

  1. This is some kind of record. There were only TWO mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 2 people and injure 7 more.
    • A shooter ambushes a group outside an apartment complex in Bay Saint Louis, MS, killing 2 people and injuring 2 more.
    • A 16-year-old shooter in Aurora, CO (yes, that Aurora), injures 5 people at an apartment complex.
  1. Texas Governor Greg Abbott awards the Medal of Courage to the security force volunteer who shot a gunman in a church in White Settlement, TX, last month.

Russia:

  1. The Vietnam Veterans of America have been warning the Defense, Veterans Affairs, and other agencies—and even Trump—that Russian operatives are targeting vets with online disinformation campaigns on a massive scale. Those agencies have ignored the warnings, despite a report and congressional testimony supporting them.
  2. Federal prosecutors recommend a 6-month prison term for Michael Flynn. That’s up from the zero time they had previously recommended before Flynn stopped cooperating and started lying to prosecutors and changing his testimony.
  3. Newly released evidence from the Mueller investigation shows that:
    • Paul Manafort said he used Sean Hannity as a backchannel to Trump and that he believed Trump was sending him messages through Hannity.
    • Donald Trump Jr. asked for dirt on Hillary during the infamous Trump Tower meeting with Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya.
    • Hope Hicks thought George Papadopoulos was a problem child. Fun fact: Papadopoulos is running for the congressional seat vacated by Katie Hill last year.
    • K.T. McFarland, former deputy national security adviser under Mike Flynn, cooperated with the Mueller investigation under a proffer agreement. This is typically used for people under criminal investigation.

Legal Fallout:

  1. The New York City Bar Association asks Congress to investigate Attorney General Bill Barr for his impartial conduct, which they say threatens our faith in our justice system. They cite his speech to the Federalist Society where he accused so-called progressives of trying to cripple the government and said conservatives have more scruples over their political tactics.
  2. According to current and former officials, John Huber, the U.S. attorney in Utah, is wrapping up his investigation into the sale of Uranium One, the Clinton Foundation, and Clinton’s use of a private email server. They say the investigation has ended without finding anything worth pursuing. His final report is yet to be released.
  3. A panel of judges grants Trump’s request to have the New York Court of Appeals hear Summer Zervos’s defamation suit against him. In case you’re wondering how slowly the justice system works, this case is close to three years old.
  4. Betsy DeVos’s brother, Erik Prince, is referred to the Treasury Department for possible violations of U.S. sanctions against Venezuelan entities.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Harvard law students aren’t applying to clerk for Trump’s court nominees. This is usually a plum position, but no one wants to clerk for judges who are deemed unqualified by the ABA, or who are ideologically rigid. These are the judges who most need the help of smart grads.
  2. Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg announces that blood tests show she is free of cancer after undergoing treatment for pancreatic cancer.

Healthcare:

  1. California’s Governor Gavin Newsom proposes that the state establish its own generic drug label to bring down prices. It would be the first state to do so, and due to the size of the state, it could bring down drug prices nationally.
  2. The American Cancer Society says that the cancer death rate fell 2.2% from 2016 to 2017, the largest decline in one year ever reported. The rate dropped by 29% since 1991.

International:

  1. Netanyahu calls Israel a nuclear power, before correcting himself. Israel is believed to have nuclear weapons, but it’s never been confirmed.
  2. Britain’s House of Commons passes Boris Johnson’s Brexit plan. Now it heads to the House of Lords. If it passes, Brexit is a done deal at the end of the month.
  3. A BMG survey of British citizens shows that a majority want to remain in the EU. They also expect Brexit to be bad for their economy, the health system, and Britain’s place in the world.
  4. Trump’s actions in the Middle East open a rift between the U.S. and the U.K. Britain’s Defense Secretary says the U.K is working on stronger alliances with other countries that share its priorities. He also says Trump threatened to pull out of the intelligence-sharing relationship between the U.S. and U.K.
  5. The U.K. is quick to call the strike on Soleimani a dangerous escalation and to criticize Trump’s threat to target Iranian cultural sites.
  6. National security advisor Robert O’Brien says the conflicts with Iran won’t stop him from cutting around a third of the staff of the National Security Council. This was one of his top responsibilities when he took over in September, a time when NSC staff were beginning to testify about the hold on the aid to Ukraine.
  7. Trump tells Laura Ingraham that Saudi Arabia pays our troops to defend their oil fields from Iran.
  8. The U.S. will expel nearly two dozen Saudi military students who were part of the same programs as the Saudi student who carried out a mass shooting at Pensacola airbase. Bill Barr says the students had jihadist materials and child porn.
  9. The Taal volcano erupts in the Philippines, triggering dozens of earthquakes and dropping ash across the country. Towns near the volcano evacuate, and airports and schools are closed.
  10. Protestors in Chile are back in the streets to protest small pensions, a fragile safety net, and police brutality against protestors.
  11. Protests increase in Lebanon against their crippling economic crisis.
  12. Amid catastrophic fires in Australia, protests spring up there to fight their government’s inaction on climate change.
  13. Protests continue in India against their new anti-Muslim citizenship rules.
  14. The transport workers strike in France is in its 7th week, and this week, thousands more join the protest. They’re striking for pension reform.
  15. After Iranians take to the streets to mourn the death of General Soleimani, Iranians take to the streets again to protest the Iranian military shooting down a passenger jet.

Iran:

Justification for Targeting Soleimani:

  1. In the days since Trump authorized the strike against Iranian General Soleimani, we still don’t have a solid picture of why the decision was made. This leads to doubt over whether there was an imminent threat.
  2. First the Trump administration said the threat was imminent, but they couldn’t say how imminent or where the target was.
  3. Then they said to look at what Soleimani had been doing the days before the strike.
  4. Then Trump says Iran was going to blow up our embassy.
  5. Mike Pompeo says that we don’t know when or where, but the threat was real.
  6. But then, nearly a week after the strike, Trump says Soleimani was planning attacks on four of our embassies. But no U.S. embassy security officials at the State Department were notified of the threat. The State Department did send out a warning to embassies before the attack, but it didn’t mention any specific embassies nor did it mention an imminent threat.
  7. Then Trump says we targeted Soleimani because Iran killed one of our contractors (an Iraqi-American). Where was that outrage when Saudi Arabia killed Jamal Khashoggi, a U.S. citizen? Or when North Korea killed Otto Warmbier?
  8. But then Mike Esper says he saw no evidence that Iran was targeting four embassies. Esper does say that embassies would be a likely target since they’re so prominent.
  9. When officials finally briefed the Gang of Eight, they didn’t mention anything about four embassies.
  10. Members of Congress get a private briefing about the Soleimani strike. Coming out, Senators Mike Lee (R-UT) and Rand Paul (R-KY) rip the administration for what Lee calls the worst briefing he’s ever seen. Lee says they were warned not to debate Trump’s war powers because it would embolden Iran.
    • According to Lee, the officials were “unable or unwilling to identify any point” at which they’d come to Congress for authorization of military force.
    • Both Lee and Paul say they weren’t open to a resolution limiting Trump’s war powers before the briefing, but they are now.
    • Defense Secretary Mark Esper, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, CIA Director Gina Haspel, and Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Mark Milley. handle the briefing. They also brief the House.
  1. The administration used the 2002 war authorization, which authorizes the president to use force against terrorists, to justify the killing. But this was never designed to justify killing foreign officials.
  2. After 10 days, we still don’t have a solid answer to why Trump authorized the killing now.

Trump Threatens War Crimes:

  1. The administration can’t keep their stories straight on bombing Iran’s cultural sites. Trump says he’ll do it (that’s a war crime). Pompeo says the U.S. would only look at lawful targets. And then Trump says, “They’re allowed to kill our people. They’re allowed to torture and maim our people. They’re allowed to use roadside bombs and blow up our people, and we’re not allowed to touch their cultural site? It doesn’t work that way.”
  2. But then the next day, Secretary of Defense Mark Esper says we won’t strike cultural targets because it’s a war crime.
  3. Finally Trump relents, and says that he’ll abide by the law.

Should We Stay Or Should We Go Now?

  1. The administration can’t keep their plans for our troops straight. The U.S. commander of coalition forces in Iraq accidentally sends the Iraqi government a letter announcing the repositioning of U.S. forces and preparation to move out of Iraq. He sends both an English and an Arabic version, which don’t match. The letter says, in part, “we respect your sovereign decision to order our departure.”
  2. Esper and Joint Chiefs Chair General Mark Milley scramble to deny that we’re pulling our troops out of Iraq.
  3. Iraq’s Prime Minister says he considers the letter to be the official U.S. position, and he asks Pompeo to send a delegation over to discuss plans for withdrawing our troops.
  4. This is important, along with the Iraqi parliament’s vote to expel U.S. troops, because one of Iran’s primary objectives is to force U.S. troops out of Iraq.

Aftermath:

  1. Hours after the strike against Soleimani, the Trump administration sent a message to Iran telling them not to escalate. The message was sent via the Swiss Embassy in Iran. While Iran and the U.S. kept up a rational correspondence through the Swiss, politicians from both countries fired up the people with their public hyperbole.
  2. Iran retaliates against the Soleimani strike by launching ballistic missiles at two military bases in Iraq that house U.S. troops. Officials say there were no causalities.
  3. Iraq and the U.S. had advance warning of the strikes, and they were intended to let Iran save face by launching strikes but causing minimal casualties.
  4. A senior commander in Iran’s army promises harsher retaliations. Another commander says this is just the beginning.
  5. A Ukraine International Airlines passenger jet crashes on its way out of Tehran, killing all 176 people on board. Initial reports indicate mechanical issues, but Trump says he expects something else.
    • Despite Iran’s repeated denials, U.S. officials suspect the worst—that the plane was accidentally shot down by Iranian missiles. And this does turn out to be the case.
    • As soon as Ayatollah Khamenei announces that, the goodwill the Iranian government gained over the killing of Soleimani was gone and protestors took to the streets to protest the shooting down of the plane. Protestors call for Iranian leadership, including the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to step down.
    • Side note: I’d hate to be the guy who launched the missile that took down the plane for so many awful reasons.
    • We can keep going around in circles about who’s fault it is, but it’s both Iran’s and the U.S.’s. If we hadn’t killed Soleimani, it never would’ve happened. If Iran wasn’t a bad global neighbor, we wouldn’t have killed Soleimani. But seriously, why didn’t they ground their planes during an airstrike?
    • The downing of the plane brings Canada into the picture, as there were a lot of Canadians on board and Iranian students heading to schools in Canada. And it brings Ukraine into the picture as well, obviously.
    • Ukraine says they knew before Iran announced it that the plane was shot down, but they held off providing their evidence, letting Iran figure it out on their own. Ukraine and Iran have already agreed on full legal cooperation and compensation issues.

What Else Happened:

  1. Trump sends another 2,500 U.S. Marines to the Middle East.
  2. The Trump administration denies a visa to Iran’s top diplomat, who was supposed to address the UN Security Council this week. Iran says that it violates our UN host agreement.
  3. Steven Mnuchin announces sanctions on Iran, but seems to be working toward de-escalation in his public remarks. For its part, Iran says they don’t want any escalation or war.
  4. Trump calls on the other signatories to the JCPOA to withdraw. We can’t have that agreement hanging around that actually suspended Iran’s nuclear development.
  5. Trump thinks he can make another nuclear agreement with Iran. But why would they sign onto another deal with us?
  6. Trump says that as long as he’s president, Iran will never be allowed to have nuclear weapons. Then only reason Iran hasn’t developed nuclear weapons by this point is that they’ve been complying with the JCPOA, which Trump broke. Here’s an in-depth history of Iran’s weapons development.
  7. Mike Pence highlights the distrustful relationship between Trump and Congress when he says that the intelligence was too sensitive to share about the Soleimani killing. That’s what the Gang of Eight is for. Pence repeats the dubious claim that Soleimani was planning an imminent attack.
  8. The House passes a resolution asserting that Trump has to get Congressional approval before using further military action against Iran. It’s a symbolic gesture since the resolution is non-binding.
    • In response, Trump tells rally-goers that he has no obligation to give Congress advance warning. He says they’ll just leak it to the media.
  1. Senator Tim Kaine introduces a similar proposal in the Senate, which faces an uphill battle.
  2. The ongoing conflict in the region holds up humanitarian aid to thousands of refugees in Iraq.
  3. On the same day that the military carried out the strike on Soleimani, they carried out another attack against an Iranian military official in Yemen.
    • It was unsuccessful.
    • It raises questions of whether there really was an imminent attack or if the attack on Soleimani was part of a larger effort to cripple Iran’s Revolutionary Guard.
  1. Trump warns Iraq that the U.S. will cut their access to their central bank account if they expel U.S. forces. The account is held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  2. Instagram and Facebook begin removing all posts expressing support for Soleimani, saying they violate the sanctions against Iran.
  3. In April, the U.S. designated the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) a foreign terrorist organization. If it’s allowable under international law to designate a foreign government’s military as a terrorist organization, Trump has an argument for the strike. But I don’t think we’d want other countries designating the Marines as a terrorist organization just so they can take out the leadership. Just thinking out loud here.
  4. Russia offers Iraq an air defense system to help Iraqis ensure their own sovereignty.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. An Arizona state legislator introduces a bill that would allow property owners at the southern border to build sections of the wall on their own property without needing city or county permits. The bill is actually intended to help a group called We Build the Wall, a privately funded group that wants to build the wall themselves.
  2. A panel of federal judges temporarily lifts a block from a lower court on the $3.6 billion Trump took from the Pentagon to build his border wall.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. A Delaware man spray paints “God wills it” in Latin on a Planned Parenthood building and throws a lit Molotov cocktail at it. The man’s social media posts show him to be pro-Christian, anti-abortion, anti-LGBT, anti-refugee, and pro-white supremacy.
  2. Ahead of the upcoming vote in the Virginia state legislature to pass the Equal Rights Amendment (ERA), the Justice Department issues a statement saying that the process has expired and it’s too late to ratify it anyway.
    • ERA supporters file a lawsuit about that, saying that because the deadline was included in legislation authorizing ratification of the amendment and not in the amendment itself, the deadline is non-binding. I hope they’re right. I don’t want the rug pulled out from under me again.
  1. Trump is renewing his focus on immigration—both legal and not—and wants to expand the Muslim ban. The affected countries are redacted from documents, so we don’t know who they’re targeting.
  2. Under Trump’s new refugee rules, Texas Governor Greg Abbott announces that the state won’t accept new refugees. Texas is the first state to do so; a county in Minnesota became the first county to do so. Religious groups and other non-profits file a lawsuit against Abbott to fight his decision.
  3. The Trump administration is deporting asylum-seeking Mexicans, El Salvadorans, and Hondurans, but not to their home countries. They’re deporting them to Guatemala! A super safe place for a refugee, right?

Climate:

  1. A 2007 report by the UN’s IPCC predicted the catastrophic 2019/2020 fire season in Australia. To quote from the report:
    “An increase in fire danger in Australia is likely to be associated with a reduced interval between fires, increased fire intensity, a decrease in fire extinguishments and faster fire spread. … In south-east Australia, the frequency of very high and extreme fire danger days is likely to rise 4-25% by 2020.”
  2. 2019 registers as the second hottest year on record, finishing off the hottest decade on record. The past five years averaged 2 to 2.2 degrees higher than the benchmark preindustrial levels and above the Paris Accord’s goals.
  3. On the bright side, greenhouse gas emissions from the U.S. declined a bit in 2019. Data research relates the decrease to a drop in the use of coal. An increase in the use of natural gas somewhat offset the savings made by using less coal.
  4. A new study estimates that shifting from coal to gas prevented about 26,610 deaths related to heart and respiratory problems.
  5. The Keystone XL isn’t the only unpopular pipeline. Activists have been fighting the Atlantic Coast Pipeline, which would deliver shale oil from West Virginia to the North Carolina coast. The status of the pipeline has been in question since 2013, and a federal court just overturned one of the developer’s permits.

Budget/Economy:

  1. The Institute for Supply Management reported an increase in its non-manufacturing index and a continued decrease in the manufacturing index. This indicates that the services sector is strong; the manufacturing sector, not so much.
  2. Tom Donahue, long-time CEO of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce urges bipartisan support for issues like climate change and investing in infrastructure. Interestingly enough, the Chamber under his watch has fought climate change and environmental regulations, along with workplace discrimination regulations and raising the minimum wage.
  3. The New York Fed keeps pumping money into the repo market—so far more than $1 trillion in temporary financing. This means banks don’t have enough liquid assets, and the Fed is helping them out.
    • Normally, this is a quantitative easing move, but right now the back up is caused by the government’s unexpectedly large budget deficits.

Elections:

  1. Mike Pompeo has been toying with running for Senate in Kansas, but this week he says he doesn’t plan to run. That leaves Kris Kobach as the Republican candidate with the highest name recognition. Kobach is extremely popular with the hard right, but extremely unpopular with everybody else.
  2. Representative Duncan Hunter (R-CA) finally resigns from Congress following his December 3 guilty plea. He’s getting off easy because he was charged with 60 felony counts and he only pleaded guilty to one.
    • Several out-of-district Republicans are vying for his seat, including former Representative Darrell Issa.
    • It’s really notable that the district re-elected Hunter despite the fact that he was charged with those 60 felonies BEFORE the 2018 elections.
    • It’s also really notable that he immediately threw his wife under the bus when he was charged, and unsurprisingly she later agreed to cooperate with the prosecution.
    • Despite his plea, he won’t own up to any wrongdoing and continues to excuse his actions.
    • Hunter’s seat will remain empty until 2021.
  1. Steve Mnuchin pushes to delay the disclosure of the money spent on the Secret Service for presidential travel until after the 2020 presidential election.
    • In January 2019, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) reported that it cost federal agencies $13.6 million for four trips to Mar-a-Lago during one month-long period in 2017.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Defense Secretary Mark Esper’s chief of staff, Eric Chewning, resigns. Chewning has worked for three defense secretaries since January 2019.
    • Chewning was a participant in the newly released email threads showing how worried Pentagon officials were over the holdup in aid to Ukraine.
    • He’s the sixth high-level DOD official to resign in the past month; five DOD officials resigned within a one-week period in December 2019.
  1. Trump approves a declaration of emergency for Puerto Rico after the island experiences a series of sizable earthquakes. The island is still struggling to recover from hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017.
  2. A New York State Supreme Court judge denies Trump’s request to dismiss E. Jean Carroll’s defamation lawsuit against him. Trump’s lawyers say she can’t sue Trump in New York because he made the allegedly defamatory statements in Washington D.C.

Polls:

  1. 56% of Americans disapprove of how Trump is handling Iran. 55% say killing Soleimani has made us less safe. 52% say Trump’s actions were reckless.
  2. 57% of Americans think Trump committed an impeachable offense, and 52% think he should be removed from office.
  3. A Pew Research Center survey shows a median of 64% of adults in 32 countries don’t trust Trump to do the right thing when it comes to world affairs.
    • Confidence in Obama in 2016 was at 74%, compared to Trump’s high of 31%.
    • Trump has pockets of support in the Philippines, Israel, Kenya, Nigeria, India, and Poland.
  1. Mike Pence, Donald Trump Jr., Nikki Halley, and Ivanka are the GOP’s top choices for the presidential nomination in 2020.

Week 153 in Trump

Posted on January 13, 2020 in Politics, Trump

Here’s a catch-up post for Christmas week. There isn’t a lot of news, and sadly the biggest news is all the shootings—thirteen this week—plus a stabbing at a Hannukah celebration.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending December 29…

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were THIRTEEN mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 6 people and injure 57 more.
    • A drive-by shooter in High Point, NC, injures 6 people.
    • A shooter in Joliet, IN, injures 5 people on Christmas Eve.
    • Multiple shooters in New Orleans, LA, injure 4 people.
    • A shooter opens fire in a bar in Richmond, VA, killing 1 person and injuring 3 more.
    • A shooter in Coralville, IA, kills 1 person and injures 3 others.
    • A shooter at a holiday party in Oakland, CA, injures 4 people.
    • A shooter in St. Petersburg, FL, injures 8 people outside a nightclub following a hit-and-run crash.
    • A shooter in Houston, TX, kills 2 people and injures 7 more at a rap video shoot.
    • A shooter in Kennesaw, GA, injures 5 teenagers at a house party.
    • A shooter in Modesto, CA, kills one person outside a home and injures 3 more.
    • A shooter in Ceres, CA, injures 5 people after they return from a bar in Modesto where they’d had an altercation.
    • A shooter in Buffalo, NY, kills 1 person and injures 3 others during an argument outside a home.
    • A shooter in Danville, IL, injures 5 people.
  1. This doesn’t qualify for a mass shooting under the definition above, but a shooter kills 2 people at West Freeway Church in White Settlement, TX, before the church’s volunteer security team shoots him. Apparently, the church has a trained volunteer security force.
  2. There were more mass killings in 2019 than in any year since the 1970s.

Russia:

  1. Putin calls Trump to thank him for our intelligence officials passing on a tip that likely prevented a terrorist attack aimed at St. Petersburg on New Year’s Eve. We don’t know what else they discussed.
  2. Russia’s defense minister announces that they added a new hypersonic weapon with intercontinental range to their artillery.

Impeachment:

All things impeachment are in a separate impeachment post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Eighth Circuit of Appeals upholds a lower court ruling that says Americans don’t have a right to film public officials, including police. Six other federal circuit courts say we have a first amendment right to do so.
    • Note that there’s some debate over the meaning of this ruling. The ruling says the photographer involved in the case can’t film “whenever he wants.”

International:

  1. The U.S. recalls the Ambassador to Zambia, Daniel Foote, at Zambia’s request after he criticizes the government for jailing a gay couple and accuses the government of corruption.
    • While Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says we abhor violations of human rights, such as with the gay couple, State Department officials say there’s been a rollback of gay rights advocacy under Trump and Pompeo.
  1. 41% of Germans think Trump is a greater threat to world peace than Kim Jong-Un, Putin, China’s President XI, and Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.
  2. Satellite images show that North Korea has expanded one of its factories used to produce long-range missiles. U.S. officials express concern that they’re planning an intercontinental ballistic missile test (meaning it could reach the U.S.). 
North Korea asks the U.S. to come back with an acceptable proposal for denuclearization and lift sanctions or expect a “Christmas gift.”
  3. John Bolton says that he doesn’t think Trump really means it when he promises to denuclearize North Korea, because if he were serious about it, he’d use a different strategy.
  4. The Trump administration says the U.S. will be “very disappointed” if North Korea tests a long-range or nuclear missile.
  5. The Taliban agrees to a temporary ceasefire in Afghanistan so a peace agreement can be signed.
  6. China, Russia, and Iran hold joint naval drills in the Gulf of Oman.
  7. A suicide bomber in the outskirts of Mogadishu, Somalia, kills at least 85 people and injures more than 140 others. The radical Islamic group Al-Shabaab claims responsibility.
  8. The U.S. launches airstrikes against Hezbollah forces in Iraq that are allegedly responsible for the death of an American contractor and for injuring four soldiers.
  9. Protests continue in India against a new citizenship law discriminating against Muslims.
  10. Hong Kong police arrest 336 protestors over the Christmas holiday.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. An intruder breaks into a rabbi’s home while they’re celebrating Hanukkah and stabs five Hasidic Jews with a machete. Prosecutors charge him with hate crimes.
  2. In 2019, nearly twice as many immigration judges left their jobs as in 2017 and 2018. Most say they’re frustrated with the process under Trump’s policy changes.
  3. The rise of authoritarian populist leaders around the world has led to an increase in discrimination against minority Muslim groups. Countries like China and Myanmar are committing atrocities against these groups, while countries like India and the U.S. are making laws preventing Muslims from coming here to escape.
  4. Rudy Giuliani delivers a series of antisemitic tropes about George Soros in a call with New York Magazine.
    • He says Soros isn’t really a Jew and he’s an enemy of Israel.
    • He accuses Soros of manipulating elections.
    • He says Soros controls our ambassadors to Ukraine.
    • What is the right’s obsession with Soros?

Budget/Economy:

  1. A Federal Reserve study shows that Trump’s tariff tiff with China led to job losses, especially in manufacturing, and higher producer prices. Competition created by the tariffs couldn’t make up for the rising costs and tariffs.
  2. While the wealth gap grew much wider in the 2010s, the rate of extreme poverty around the world shrank by half (15.7% to 7.7%), and for the first time, more than half the world’s population belongs to the middle class or above.
  3. The federal minimum wage is now worth 17% less than in 2009, and 31% less than in 1968.

Elections:

  1. Spotify suspends political ads on its platform for 2020.

Miscellaneous:

  1. A judge orders Alex Jones and Infowars to pay $100,000 in legal fees for the father of a Sandy Hook victim. The father sued Jones for defamation because Jones has been pushing the lie that the Sandy Hook shooting was a false flag operation and no one really died.
  2. In interviews and texts, Navy SEALS criticize Eddie Gallagher, the Chief Petty Officer pardoned for war crimes by Trump. Trump calls Gallagher a hero; the SEALS call him evil and toxic.
  3. Christianity Today loses a bunch of subscribers after their pro-impeachment editorial, and they gain a bunch of new ones as well. The magazine bills itself as a centrist evangelical magazine.
  4. Total population growth in the U.S. reaches its lowest point since 1918, with the number of births less the number of deaths equaling less than 1 million.
  5. The Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC) cuts Trump’s cameo appearance out of their airing of Home Alone 2.

Polls:

  1. Trump’s approval drops back down to 42.6% from his 43.4% post-impeachment bump.

Week 152 in Trump

Posted on January 11, 2020 in Politics, Trump

Trump joins an elite club.

I’m posting some long overdue recaps. Sorry for the delay. This was the month I became overwhelmed by the number of political happenings, and I lost the threads of the stories.

Trump is in a bit of a bind this week, with wanting to call the Democratic members of the House “do-nothing Democrats” and at the same time wanting to brag about all the things he’s accomplishing. He can’t accomplish a lot without working with House Democrats. But his coup de grace this week is this tweet: “IN REALITY THEY’RE NOT AFTER ME. THEY’RE AFTER YOU. I’M JUST IN THE WAY.” This goes beyond partisan politics and is incredibly divisive, even dangerous. I was reading a thread the other day about how Obama was the most divisive president. I welcome any comments pointing out what he ever said that comes close to the things like this that Trump says. The only thing anyone seems to come up with is his comment about clinging to guns and religion. One comment. Trump does this every single day.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending December 22…

Missing From Last Week:

  1. Earlier this month, dozens of graves in a Jewish cemetery were vandalized with swastikas and antisemitic graffiti in France. There was a rash of antisemitic activity 2019 in both the U.S. and Europe, to the point where Jewish people go to lengths to conceal themselves.

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were EIGHT mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 7 people and injure 44 more.
    • In Great Falls, MT, a shooter kills 3 people and injures 1 other. Police kill the shooter.
    • In San Antonio, TX, a shooter in a mall injures 4 people.
    • In Tuskegee, AL, a shooter kills 2 people and injures 2 more.
    • In Waynesboro, MS, a drive-by shooter kills 1 teenage boy and injures 6 other people.
    • In Edgard, LA, a shooter injures 4 people at an after-hours party at an elementary school. Weird.
    • In Chicago, IL, a shooter injures 13 people at a memorial celebration in a private home.
    • In Minneapolis, MN, a shooter kills 1 person and injures 7 others in an altercation that broke out in a parking lot.
    • In Baltimore, MD, multiple shooters injure 7 people in what appears to be a drive-by shooting.
  1. Congressional leaders reach a bipartisan deal to fund research into gun violence for the first time in more than two decades. It has yet to pass both chambers.

Russia:

  1. The State Department sends a letter to a Senate leader stating the administration’s opposition to Lindsey Graham’s bill that would impose new sanctions against Russia. The sanctions would punish Russia for targeting Ukraine, interfering in our 2016 elections, their attacks on its own dissidents, and their activities in Syria.
  2. Former White House and government officials say they’re perplexed by Trump’s focus on Ukraine instead of Russia as the party that interfered in our 2016 elections. At one point, Trump told White House officials that he believes Ukraine is the guilty party because “Putin told me.” So if you were wondering whether Putin influences Trump’s thoughts, wonder no more.
    • After Trump met with Putin in July 2017 in Hamburg (at the G20 summit), he became more insistent that it was Ukraine and not Russia. Now we know why.
  1. Here’s the genesis of the Ukraine theories:
    • In the summer of 2016, Paul Manafort suggested to Trump campaign aides that Ukraine was behind the DNC hack. (Multiple investigations by multiple agencies found the culprit was Russia.)
    • In early 2017, Putin claimed that Ukrainians helped Clinton in 2016, specifically Ukraine oligarchs. (One oligarch did donate millions to the Clinton Foundation, but he also donated to the Trump Foundation. There’s no evidence they helped her campaign.)
    • State-run media, Russia Today, pushed the theory that a DNC operative was in Ukraine working for the Clinton campaign to dig up dirt. (She was a DNC consultant working on her own to follow up on a lead she came across while working for another client.)
    • In April 2017, Trump alleged that CrowdStrike is based in Ukraine and is hiding a DNC server from the FBI. (CrowdStrike is the computer security company that investigated the hacking of the DNC computer, the owner isn’t from Ukraine, and there is no physical server.)
    • And that’s how you get a conspiracy theory, folks.
  1. U.S. Attorney John Durham, who is investigating the Russia investigation for Attorney General Bill Barr, requests emails, call logs, and other evidence regarding John Brennan’s role in the investigation.
  2. Rick Gates receives a sentence of 45 days in jail, to be served on weekends. He must also pay a $20,000 fine for conspiracy against the U.S. and for lying to the FBI and Robert Mueller. He’s on three years of probation and must serve 300 hours of community service. Gates cooperated extensively with the investigations, and could have received nearly five years in prison otherwise.
  3. Paul Manafort is sent to the hospital after experiencing a “cardiac event.” He’s released soon after and is back in federal custody. He’s suffered poor health since his arrest.

Legal Fallout:

  1. Cell phone records support Summer Zervos’ account of her allegations of sexual assault against Trump, at least as far as time and location go.
  2. A New York judge dismisses mortgage fraud charges brought by the state against Paul Manafort, saying the case violates double-jeopardy rules. The Manhattan District Attorney’s Office is working to make sure Manafort does his time even if Trump pardons him for federal crimes.
  3. A newly released report finds that a Washington State Representative, Republican Matt Shea, took part in an “act of domestic terrorism” when he helped plan the 2016 takeover of Oregon’s Malheur National Wildlife Refuge.
    • He participated in at least two other armed standoffs against the U.S. government.
    • He has also condoned violence against his political opponents.
    • He is suspended from the House Republican caucus. Shouldn’t he be in jail?
    • He refuses to step down.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Senate confirms 12 more Trump-appointed judges. This brings the total for 2019 to 20 circuit judges and 67 district judges. He’s had over 170 federal judges confirmed so far in his term.

Healthcare:

  1. A U.S. Court of Appeals strikes down the individual mandate of the ACA as unconstitutional and orders a lower court to review the ACA to see how much of the law must go down with the mandate.
    • The lower court previously ruled that the entire ACA should be struck down.
    • This puts people with pre-existing conditions in jeopardy of not being able to obtain health insurance (yet again).
  1. Food inspectors warn that under Trump’s new rules, pork won’t be inspected as closely as normal, if at all. The new rules reduce the number of federal inspectors and allow plant employees to inspect the carcasses themselves. There are no requirements that the employees be federally trained.
    • Multiple inspectors have filed whistleblower reports.
    • This affects about 90% of the pork in the U.S.
  1. Kentucky’s new Democratic governor rescinds the state’s work requirements for Medicaid.

International:

  1. The annual survey by the Council on Foreign Relations shows that foreign policy experts and U.S. government officials consider more scenarios to be in the top tier of security risk than at any time in the past 11 years. The issues mostly center on Trump’s inconsistency in the Middle East, but also include North Korea; migration from El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala; tensions between Russia and Ukraine; and conflicts with China in the South China Sea.
  2. UN climate negotiations fall apart over the uncertainty of American involvement and a rift between developing nations and fast-growing economies (like China and India). Foreign leaders are hesitant to make any moves before finding out whether Trump gets re-elected in 2020.
  3. Britain’s elections all but ensure that Brexit will happen, giving global economies a little more certainty (even if it’s not the certainty they wanted). That, along with an easing of the U.S. trade war with China, bolsters business confidence for now.
  4. Britain’s Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, says his priority is to leave the EU by January 31, 2020. Britain will then need to renegotiate all their trade deals.
  5. After both the House and Senate vote to recognize the Armenian Genocide, the Trump administration says their view on it hasn’t changed from Trump’s previous statements where he didn’t recognize it as genocide. Trump says he’s a big fan of Turkish president Erdogan, and the White House convinced different senators to block the resolution three times.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Less than two days after the House impeaches Trump, Speaker Pelosi invites Trump to give his State of the Union address on February 4.
  2. The House passes a bill to lower prescription drug prices and allow Medicare to negotiate prices. Medicare can then use those savings to expand other healthcare coverage for seniors.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. File this under “what goes around comes around.” A judge in Texas has been quoting from a legislative provision created by House Republicans in 2014 to stymie Obama’s budgetary authority. The provision requires the president to clear any reduction in funding with Congress.
  2. The top Democratic senator on the Armed Services Committee, Jack Reed, requests an investigation into the contracts to build the border wall in light of the information coming out about North Dakota company Fisher Industries.
    • Aside from Fisher’s own controversial business dealings, ND Senator Kevin Cramer held up the confirmation of a Trump nominee for an Office of Management and Budget position over the Army Corps of Engineers panning the proposal from Fisher.
    • Fisher has a history of tax evasion, pollution citations, and environmental fines, and their previous CEO was charged with child pornography.
    • Fisher ultimately received a contract to build a portion of the wall.
  1. According to a Fox poll, the wall is not a popular issue:
    • 68% of Americans approve of Elizabeth Warren’s wealth tax compared to 44% who approve of the wall.
    • Over 50% of Americans want to see Trump impeached compared to 44% who approve of the wall.
    • Approval for the wall beats approval of a Medicare for All system by only 3 percentage points. This is the only thing on the poll that is less popular than the wall.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Stephen Miller has been trying to implement a plan to embed iCE agents in the refugee agency that’s responsible for caring for unaccompanied migrant minors. Thankfully, DHHS rejected this, but the department agrees to allow ICE to collect biometric information, like fingerprints, from adults who claim the children. So they’re stepping up their efforts to use migrant children to deport adults.
    • My two cents: If it costs over $700 per day to detain a migrant minor, why wouldn’t we want to release them to their family members, who will then take over the responsibility of supporting them? There are more effective methods of deportation.
    • Also, U.S. law restricts the use of our refugee program to deport undocumented immigrants.
  1. ICE has been reopening deportation cases against Dreamers that have been long since closed. Some cases have been closed for nearly a decade, and don’t involve criminal activity. ICE confirms that they are reopening these cases.
  2. After video at the Army-Navy football game catches West Point cadets and Naval Academy midshipmen flashing hand gestures that appear to be a racist signal, the internal investigations find there was no racist intent. The Army and Navy say the students were playing a silly game. The gesture is similar to an OK signal, and is considered to represent “white power.”
  3. The Senate removes the phrase “white supremacist” from a House amendment to the National Defense Authorization Act. The phrase had been added to address the threat of white nationalists in the military, and was part of the screening process for enlistees.
  4. Outgoing Kentucky governor, Matt Bevin, defends his pardon of a man convicted of raping a 9-year-old girl by saying that the child’s hymen was intact so there couldn’t have been any sexual assault.
    • Medical professionals say Bevin doesn’t know what he’s talking about.
    • The rapist served less than two years of his 23-year sentence. Bevin commuted sentences for other convicted rapists as well.

Climate:

  1. Newly released emails show that a mining company collaborated with Alaska’s governor to lobby the Trump administration to approve a mining project deemed by the EPA to be a danger to the most valuable wild salmon habitat. And by “collaborated,” I mean the mining company told Governor Dunleavy exactly what to say and write to get the project approved.
  2. A crane falls onto a barge near the Galápagos Islands, potentially spilling over 600 gallons of diesel into the water. The islands are a UNESCO World Heritage site.
  3. The Trump administration blocks a rule to require Americans to use energy-efficient light bulbs.
  4. Environmental groups sue the Trump administration over the loosening of rules that regulate chemical plant safety. This comes after an explosion at a Texas plant that injured several people.
  5. Several states file a lawsuit challenging Trump’s release of the Clean Water Rule, an Obama-era regulation that clarified the protections around federal waterways.
  6. Goldman Sachs say they won’t finance new oil exploration and drilling in the Arctic and that they won’t invest in new thermal coal mines anywhere.
  7. A group of Eastern states releases a draft plan for curbing tailpipe emissions with a cap-and-trade program.
  8. NOAA officials announce a $100 million program to restore seven coral reef sites in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. They’ll have to raise both public and private funds to do it.
  9. Communities across the country, including some by military bases, are finding extremely high levels of PFAS in their drinking water. The Department of Defense is responsible for cleaning these sites up, but they’ve been slow to do it.
    • PFAS is a family of chemicals defined by carbon-fluoride bonds, which are the strongest bonds in nature. This means the chemicals do not degrade, but they do cause a host of health problems.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Despite a strong national economy, poverty grew in 30% of counties from 2016 to 2018. At least one county in every state saw an increase in poverty. Still, the overall poverty rate dropped by one percentage point, from 13% to 12%. The biggest increases in poverty were in rural and Southern areas.
  2. The House passes the revised version of NAFTA, with the changes they negotiated. The bill now goes to the Senate. The agreement isn’t much changed, but includes some of the provisions outlined in the TPP (which Trump pulled us out of).
    • The revised agreement updates country of origin rules for tariffs, labor provisions, access to Canada‘s dairy market for U.S. farmers, intellectual property rules, and digital trade rules. It also adds a sunset clause, so it expires after 16 years.
  1. The stock market has a strong showing after Trump is impeached. I’m not sure what to take away from that other than that investors seem to be ignoring politics.
  2. Two years into the Trump administration’s tax cuts, they haven’t started to pay for themselves and the deficit hit nearly $1 trillion for FY2019. Corporate tax receipts are down by more than 20% since 2017. Individual income tax receipts are up around 8%.
  3. The tax cuts also didn’t boost economic growth as predicted.
  4. The Supreme Court refuses to hear a homelessness case, which keeps in place a lower court ruling that protects the rights of the homeless to sleep on sidewalks and in public parks if no shelter is available. This thwarts some Western cities in their efforts to clean up their streets.
  5. Trump signs the spending bill passed by the House and Senate after they remove wording requiring the prompt disbursement of future military aid to Ukraine. Trump signs the bill just in time to avoid yet another government shutdown.

Elections:

  1. A federal judge allows Georgia to go ahead with its purge of around 4% of its voters from the rolls, but he also schedules an information hearing. Just a note, in my experience (which isn’t vast), most of the voters removed from the rolls have moved or are deceased, but a handful is surprised to learn they’re no longer registered to vote.
  2. Facebook removes more than 600 accounts related to The Epoch Times for using fake identities created by artificial intelligence to push conspiracy theories in support of Trump.
    • The network was run by Vietnamese people posing as Americans, and had over 55 million followers.
    • Practitioners of Falun Gong run The Epoch Times, and they believe Judgement Day is coming soon and all Communists will be sent to hell.
  1. North Carolina Republican Mark Meadows announces he won’t run for Congress again in 2020. He also implies he’ll be working with the Trump administration.
  2. As the House votes to impeach Trump, he holds a campaign rally in Michigan. He says he’s having a good time, but he speaks for two chaotic hours, criticizing people he views as opponents and denigrating their appearance.
    • He complains about how modern toilets can’t flush and about modern lighting.
    • What Trump speech would be complete without bringing up Lisa Page, Peter Strzok, and James Comey?
    • He still complains about Hillary Clinton, which inspires chants of “Lock her up!” all over again. But then he praises Bill Clinton. Weird.
    • The crowd at least seems uneasy when Trump goes after the widow of former Michigan Rep. John Dingell.
    • He claims credit for us all being able to say Merry Christmas again… to which I can only say https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6d7mTRaUmaE.
  1. A Trump re-election advisor tells a group of Wisconsin Republicans that the GOP has traditionally relied on voter suppression to remain competitive in swing states. He adds that now that election laws have been relaxed, they won’t have to try so hard. He later says he meant that they’ve been falsely accused of voter suppression in the past.
  2. A small group of conservative political operatives launches a super PAC to fight Trump’s re-election. They’ve already raised more than $1 million. It’ll be interesting to see if they stand behind the Democratic nominee, whoever that might be.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Nancy Pelosi invites Trump to deliver his State of the Union speech on the House floor.
  2. Actor Gary Sinise and his foundation take 1,750 family members of fallen troops to Disney World.
  3. Boeing’s CEO steps down over ongoing problems around their Max 737 aircraft.
  4. Trump gets pushback from his own party when he tweets that the media and Democrats are trying to make things difficult for the “United Republican Party.”

Polls:

  1. Trump gets a little boost in approval on the impeachment vote, momentarily hitting its highest level since March of his first year.

Week 151 in Trump

Posted on December 19, 2019 in Politics, Trump

This week, we learn that Republican leadership doesn’t care whether Trump is guilty of any misconduct, as Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham openly admit as much. Mitch McConnell tells us more than we should know about how the sausage is made:

  • He made up that whole thing about letting voters decide just so he could block Merrick Garland’s nomination to the Supreme Court in 2016. He also says he wouldn’t do the same to Trump should an opening on the Supreme Court come up next year.
  • He brags about blocking Obama’s nominees for lower courts.
  • He’s aligning and coordinating the Senate impeachment trial with White House lawyers.
  • He doesn’t care about the separation of powers.

Here’s what else happened in politics for the week ending December 15…

Missing From Last Week:

  1. Dozens of graves in a Jewish cemetery near Strasbourg, France, were vandalized with swastikas and antisemitic graffiti. This is the latest in a series of antisemitic vandalism.

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were FOUR mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 8 people and injure 14 more.
    • Two shooters open fire on a Kosher market. Six people are dead, including a police officer and the two shooters, and 3 people are injured. They’re still trying to figure out if this was a hate crime.
    • A shooter kills 1 person and injures 3 others in Saint Louis.
    • A shooter injures 4 teenagers in Ivanhoe, CA.
    • A drive-by shooter in Columbus, GA, kills 1 person and injures 4 others.

Russia:

  1. Amid the impeachment hearings and the release of the inspector general’s report (and just a few hours after the articles of impeachment are announced), Trump meets behind closed doors with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.
    • Trump says he warned Lavrov against any Russian meddling in our elections, but Lavrov says they didn’t even discuss elections. There’s one way Trump could avoid these conflicts of account, and that’s by maintaining transcripts of these meetings.
    • Ironically, this is Lavrov’s second White House meeting with Trump, while Ukraine President Zelensky has yet to get just one White House meeting.
  1. A federal judge rejects Trump’s request to throw out a lawsuit that could require Mike Pompeo to turn over the records of a Trump meeting with Putin. The suit says Pompeo violated the Federal Records Act by allowing Trump to confiscate State Department notes about the meeting. Pompeo failed to preserve those notes.

Inspector General’s Report:

  1. Department of Justice Inspector General Michael Horowitz releases his report on his investigation into the investigation of Russia’s meddling in our elections. Here are a few findings from the report:
    • The FBI’s opening of the investigation into campaign associates was not influenced by ”political bias or improper motivation.” Horowitz finds multiple instances of FBI agents both supporting and opposing Trump, but says neither preference caused investigators to bring those views into their work.
    • While Horowitz finds the FBI acted properly in opening the investigation, he also found issues with the FISA process in general and thinks the guidelines need to be revisited.
    • There were significant inaccuracies in the warrant for the surveillance of Carter Page. There were also omissions that undercut the probable cause for a warrant.
    • The Steele Dossier didn’t play a role in the FBI opening the investigation, but it did play a role in FBI lawyers deciding to support the surveillance request. It didn’t play a major role in the FISA warrant approval.
    • A low-level FBI lawyer altered the substance of an email thread relevant to the Carter Page FISA warrant. He added the words “not a source” making it look like the author of the forwarded thread had written that, but it was information the lawyer had received after receiving the thread. This is being investigated as a possible crime by Attorney General William Barr‘s criminal investigation into the opening of the Russia investigation.
    • Language was changed in the FISA report that dropped a description of Christopher Steele as a “well-placed intelligence source.”
    • And speaking of Steele, he was friends with Ivanka Trump, though it seems like more of a working relationship. Before starting his research, he was “favorably disposed” toward the Trump family.
    • The FBI didn’t try to get warrants for Manafort, Flynn, or Papadopoulos. Ironic, since those three all pleaded guilty and Page was never even charged.
    • There were no FBI plants in the Trump campaign.
    • Manafort and Page were already targets of investigations by the time the Russia investigation started; Manafort for money laundering and Page for counterintelligence reasons.
    • When the FBI briefed the Trump and Clinton campaigns on Russian interference in August of 2016, they placed an agent in the meeting with Trump’s campaign to assess Michael Flynn’s responses. This undermines the trust around intelligence briefings.
  1. Horowitz testifies about his report before Congress. A few highlights:
    • He says his report doesn’t vindicate anybody—not Trump, not Comey, not McCabe. Nobody.
    • Lindsey Graham says some people at the FBI took the law into their own hands, despite the report stating the contrary. But he also says that it’s clear that Russia, not Ukraine, meddled in our elections.
    • Horowitz couldn’t find any evidence that Obama asked agencies to investigate Trump, nor that Obama had Trump’s phones tapped.
    • He reaffirms that the Steele dossier didn’t impact the decision to open the investigation.
    • They’re still looking into the leaks from the FBI’s New York field office, which was alleged to have leaked information to Rudy Giuliani about the Clinton email investigation.
  1. Here are the errors made by the FBI that are highlighted in the report’s executive summary:
    • They omitted information about Page’s previous CIA interactions in the FISA warrant.
    • They said that Steele’s prior reporting was “corroborated and used in criminal proceedings,” a statement that wasn’t approved by Steele’s handler.
    • They didn’t reveal that Steele said one of his sources has a tendency to boast, nor that the FBI had recently opened an investigation into that source.
    • They said the FBI had found that Steele didn’t leak information to the press based on Steele’s claim he only told the FBI and Fusion GPS about it. Steele also reported the information to the State Department.
    • They didn’t include statements by George Papadopoulos that no one associated with the Trump campaign was collaborating with Russia or WikiLeaks on the DNC email releases.
    • They left out Page’s claims that he had never met or spoken to Paul Manafort. If true, those claims would undercut the theory that Page participated in a conspiracy with Russia for Manafort.
They cherry-picked Page’s statements to make their case, using statements that supported their case and omitting those that didn’t.

    • They left out information about one of Steele’s main sources, whose subsequent comments raised questions about certain allegations in the FISA applications.
    • They omitted statements about Steele made by former professional contacts.
    • They didn’t say that Steele was giving info to the Clinton campaign and others; that Fusion GPS was paying Steele to talk to the media; and that Steele didn’t want Trump elected.
    • They failed to make corrections to information about Steele on subsequent FISA applications.
    • They didn’t include Joseph Mifsud’s denials that he gave Papadopoulos information.
    • They didn’t include information that suggested Page didn’t have a role in the Republican party changing their stance on Ukraine in their party platform.
  1. Horowitz finds no misconduct around these errors, found some of them to be serious, and said some could just have been overlooked. Horowitz makes several suggestions for the FBI to improve their processes in order to avoid some of these mistakes.

Response to the Inspector General Report:

  1. Trump says the Russia investigation was an attempted overthrow of the government (the investigation began before he was even elected).
  2. Trump calls the FBI “scum” at a campaign rally.
  3. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who Trump had over for a little White House visit, says that there are no facts to support Russian interference in U.S. elections.
    • At least Pompeo pushes back a little. He says, “We think we’ve shared plenty of facts to show what happened in the 2016 election with our Russian counterparts. We don’t think there’s any mistake about what really transpired there.”
  1. Bill Barr interprets the report to say it makes clear that “the FBI launched an intrusive investigation of a U.S. presidential campaign on the thinnest of suspicions that, in my view, were insufficient to justify the steps taken. It is also clear that, from its inception, the evidence produced by the investigation was consistently exculpatory.”
    • I’m beginning to wonder if Barr can read.
    • Barr says he still thinks the FBI “may have” operated in bad faith, and says it was improper of the FBI to continue investigating after Trump took office (because POTUS is above the law?).
    • Also, he says the nation was turned on its head for a bogus narrative. Tell that to the eight people associated with the probe who were convicted or found guilty.
  1. Attorney General Bill Barr goes on a press tour, giving interviews where he criticizes his own inspector general’s findings and basically says Horowitz is wrong.
    • Barr says the FBI’s investigation had a “very flimsy” basis and there was no evidence of collusion (which Barr knows is not a legal term).
    • He says Horowitz’s analysis was very limited.
    • Barr again asserts that Obama spied on political opponents and that the FBI operated in bad faith.
    • Barr leaves out the fact that the FBI was already aware of Russian efforts to meddle in our elections by the time they opened their investigation, and that they were aware that Russia was trying to cultivate American assets.
    • His harsh criticism of his own department is affecting morale, and officials worry that this will cause our intelligence agencies to be less likely to pursue wrongdoing by our elected officials.
  1. U.S. Attorney John Durham, who Barr picked to run a second, criminal investigation into the origins of the Russia investigations, says that even though he advised the inspector general last month, he doesn’t agree with some of the conclusions of the report.
    • When he met with Horowitz last month, Durham said that the tip from the Australian official, which started the Russia investigation, was sufficient to start a preliminary investigation, a narrow distinction.
  1. FBI Director Chris Wray says the inspector general didn’t find bias or improper motivation in the opening of the Russia investigation, nor did he find that the FISA request was unwarranted. Wray does say that he’ll begin immediately correcting the issues that Horowitz uncovered with processes and procedures.
    • Wray also says not to listen to Trump’s conspiracy theories on Ukraine, adding that Americans need to be savvier consumers of news.
  1. During Horowitz’s hearing, Lindsey Graham says, “It was the Russians, ladies and gentleman, who stole the Democratic National Committee emails, Podesta’s emails, and screwed around with Hillary Clinton. It wasn’t the Ukrainians. it was the Russians.”

Legal Fallout:

  1. Following the release of the inspector general’s report, Andrew McCabe says that being accused of treason by the president was revolting and terrifying.
  2. The Supreme Court agrees to hear three separate cases over whether Trump needs to release his financial records.
  3. Lisa Page, the former FBI lawyer whose private texts with Peter Strzok were publicized as part of the investigation into the Russia investigation, sues the FBI and DOJ for violating the Privacy Act. She was told throughout that none of her private messages would be made public, but then they showed those messages to reporters.
    • Trump attacks Page yet again at a political rally, saying she had to get a restraining order against Strzok (among other things). She says that’s a lie.
    • Page says that the release of those messages, along with Trump’s continued attacks against her, has radically altered her everyday life.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Senate confirms yet another judge who was rated “not qualified” by the ABA. Lawrence VanDyke will take a seat on the 9th Circuit Court of Appeal.

Healthcare:

  1. The Supreme Court refuses to hear an appeal of Kentucky’s abortion law that requires doctors to perform medically unnecessary procedures before performing an abortion. So now we all will spend millions in insurance dollars for procedures that are solely designed to make women feel guilty.
  2. A study published this week supports the medical opinion that attempting to reverse medication abortions is dangerous to the health of the mother.
    • The study was designed to find out if a medication abortion could be halted with hormone treatment, but they had to stop the study when three of the women hemorrhaged so much blood they had to go to the ER.
    • Still, six states require providers to tell their patients it can be reversed, and lawmakers stand by their bills despite evidence to the contrary.

International:

  1. Benjamin Netanyahu resigns from all his ministerial positions (health, welfare, agriculture, and diaspora affairs), but remains as Prime Minister despite being under indictment for corruption and fraud.
  2. The Washington Post obtains a trove of government documents about the war in Afghanistan showing that U.S. officials haven’t been telling the truth about the situation in Afghanistan for 18 years and that they hid evidence that the war was unwinnable.
    • The war and attempt at rebuilding have cost us at least $1 trillion.
    • U.S. officials continually tried to paint a rosier picture than reality.
    • In 2008, Congress created SIGAR, a group to investigate waste and fraud.
    • In 2015, the mission of SIGAR changed to gather lessons learned from the debacle.
    • This war is now 18 years old.
  1. The Trump administration plans to withdraw 4,000 U.S. troops from Afghanistan.
  2. Brits give the Tories a landslide victory in the elections called by Boris Johnson. This makes Brexit all but a done deal and gives the markets a little certainty. It also renews calls in Scotland for the country to leave the U.K. and rejoin the European Union.
  3. China’s foreign minister calls the U.S. the “troublemaker of the world.” Chinese leaders are angry about U.S. support of Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protests.
  4. The Senate confirms the current Deputy Secretary of State, John Sullivan, to be U.S. Ambassador to Russia.
  5. After being delayed by the White House three times, the Senate finally passes a resolution recognizing the Armenian genocide.
  6. Trump’s senior aides further restrict who can listen in on his calls with foreign leaders. Fewer people also receive the transcripts of those calls.
  7. Dozens are injured when protests in Beirut, Lebanon, grow violent. Anti-Government demonstrations have been ongoing since October.
  8. Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protests have been going on for six months.
  9. India’s new citizenship law sets off destructive protests. The law offers Hindus and Christians in neighboring countries a path to citizenship, but doesn’t make the same offer to Muslims.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. A federal judge in Texas says Trump can’t use $3.6 billion in military funds to pay for his border wall. He says Trump’s emergency proclamation isn’t justified. The suit was brought by El Paso County, which doesn’t want the border wall in their section of the border.

Family Separation:

  1. Since the Trump administration ended its family separation policy at the southern border, the government has taken more than 1,100 children from their families.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Thousands of protestors march in Glasgow, Scotland, to protest the re-election of Boris Johnson, which many think was based on anti-immigration and protectionist sentiments.
  2. Ukraine’s in the news for a completely different reason. Kyiv hosts a “militant black metal” music festival, Asgardsrei, which has become a major networking center for international neo-Nazis. Asgardsrei was founded by a far-right Russian dissident.
  3. Trump signs a much-maligned executive order that extends protections to Jews under the Civil Rights Act. At first, the EO appears to redefine the Jewish religion as the Jewish ethnicity, but it actually spells out that since so many hate groups don’t differentiate the two, this is required to give needed protections from antisemitism.
  4. A federal judge rejects the Trump administration’s request to delay a case related to the handling of adding a citizenship question to the 2020 Census. The lawsuit is against Barr and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross for ignoring subpoenas.

Climate:

  1. Smoke has covered Sidney, Australia, for a month due to the high volume of wildfires burning there. The air at some points measured at 11 times the level considered hazardous.
  2. Greenland’s ice sheet is now losing about seven times the amount it was losing per year in the 1990s. The losses have doubled each decade.
  3. The percent of Americans calling climate change “a crisis” has jumped from 23% to 38% over the past five years. Over 75% of U.S. adults and teenagers think humans influence the climate. But they aren’t quite clear on the science or what human activities are the biggest contributors.
  4. This is more environmental than climate related, but a volcano erupts in New Zealand, killing at least eight people an injuring more. Seismologists had raised the alert level for volcanic activity, but tourists were still allowed on the island.
  5. Time Magazine names 16-year-old climate activist Greta Thunberg as its 2019 person of the year. Cue the social media bullying of a teenage activist. Trump joins in to mock her on Twitter. #BeBest
  6. The two-week UN Climate Summit in Madrid ends with disputes over implementing the Paris agreement. Countries are supposed to ratchet up implementation in 2020.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Trump has blocked appointments to the World Trade Organization’s dispute resolution court long enough to make the global watchdog ineffective.
    • The U.S. has been one of the biggest benefactors of a functioning WTO.
    • Trump has reduced the number on the court from 7 to 3, which means they don’t have enough members to issue a binding ruling. He’s doing with the FEC.
  1. Internal documents show that Betsy DeVos overrode career staff in the Department of Education’s Borrower Defense Unit when she decided that defrauded students should only get partial debt relief.
  2. House Democrats have been working on amendments to the updated NAFTA deal on workers’ rights, environmental protections, and prescription drug costs. Representatives of each country agree to the amendments.
    • This is one of Trump’s top priorities, but it still cracks me up that it’s basically NAFTA (the worst trade deal ever made, according to Trump) plus parts of the TPP (really the worst trade deal ever made, according to Trump) plus a few tweaks here and there. It needed to be modernized, but this is not groundbreaking.
  1. The U.S. and China reach a tentative phase 1 agreement to start winding down the trade war.
    • The U.S. suspends the tariffs slated to go into effect this week.
    • China cancels its retaliatory tariffs.
    • China agrees to increase purchases of U.S. goods by $200 billion over the next two years, including $32 billion in agriculture (that’ll almost make up the amount we’ll have paid in farm bailouts).
    • The deal also includes stronger protections for patents, copyrights, and trademarks.
  1. U.S. companies and consumers have been paying around $40 billion per year for Trump’s trade war with China.
  2. Congress reaches an agreement on a spending bill for 2020, averting a government shutdown.

Elections:

  1. A federal judge orders Georgia’s Governor Brian Kemp to submit to two hours of questioning for a lawsuit around irregularities in last year’s state elections. Kemp was the Secretary of State overseeing his own election in the race for governor.
  2. Trump threatens to not participate in the 2020 presidential debates because they aren’t fair.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Sinclair Broadcasting drops commentator Boris Epshteyn’s segments. Sinclair has been forcing its local stations to air his “news” segments that were actually right-wing propaganda pieces.
  2. Four months before the Mongolian government gave Donald Trump Jr. special treatment to obtain a hunting permit, Mongolian officials visited Mar-a-Lago.

Polls:

  1. A Fox News poll shows that 54% of U.S. adults think Trump should be impeached.
  2. 50% think he should be impeached and removed.
  3. 22% say what Trump did to Zelensky was OK.
  4. 52% say Trump hasn’t cooperated enough.

Week 150 in Trump

Posted on December 12, 2019 in Politics, Trump

I'm thinking you just shouldn't mess with her. Just don't do it.

You just can’t make up all the things that get uncovered by investigations surrounding this administration. This week, the guy who was trying to facilitate back-channel meetings between Trump transition staff and foreign officials was also behind a scheme to funnel money from the UAE into Democratic campaigns and PACs in 2016, including millions to Hillary Clinton’s campaign and PACs. And then when Hillary didn’t win, he and his cohorts started funneling money to Trump. This guy is an equal opportunity grifter. I can’t wait to see how this story develops.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending December 8…

Shootings This Week:

There were FOUR mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 9 people and injure 17 more. Unfortunately, one is being investigated as an international terrorist attack.

  1. A shooter kills 2 people and injures 2 people in Montgomery AL, in what seems to be a drug-related shooting.
  2. A shooter kills 2 people and injures 3 more in a home in DeSoto, TX.
  3. A shooter kills 1 person and injures 4 outside a bar in New Orleans.
  4. A Saudi national who was here for flight training kills 3 people on a Pensacola, Fl, base and injures 8 more. He was in the U.S. as part of a training program that included aviation and English training, and he’d been here since August 2017. He was killed during the shooting. Trump speaks with the King of Saudi Arabia, who expresses his condolences. The program that brings Saudi soldiers here for training is facing heavy scrutiny.

Russia:

  1. Lisa Page, the FBI agent whose text messages with Peter Strzok were released as part of the investigation into the Russia investigation, opens up about what it’s been like to stay silent while Trump bullies her over and over again.
  1. Even before the DOJ’s inspector general releases his findings on the FISA warrants for surveilling Carter Page, Attorney General Bill Barr says he disagrees with the findings. The report is expected to state that the FBI was justified in opening the investigation, but that FBI personnel made some missteps.
    • IMO, Barr has kind of backed himself into a corner here by going all-in on conspiracy theories being spread by the administration. If he accepts his IG’s findings, he’s basically saying that everything he’s been saying and pushing for during his time as attorney general is wrong.
    • I’m sure we’ll get a repeat of Barr’s disinformation about the Mueller report when the report is released.
    • One thing the report is expected to show is that Josef Mifsud, the Maltese professor who told George Papadopoulos that Russians had dirt on Hillary, is not a U.S. intelligence asset who was planted as part of a sting operation. U.S. Attorney John Durham, who’s running a second investigation for Barr, says his findings so far back that up.
  1. The DOJ releases additional documents from the Mueller investigation as part of a FOIA request. Here are a few things we learn in this week’s release:
    • Rob Rosenstein and Jeff Sessions considered replacing James Comey during the transition. Rosenstein thought Comey’s public comments about the investigation into Hillary’s emails violated DOJ rules.
    • However, Rosenstein was “angry, ashamed, horrified, and embarrassed” by how Comey’s firing went down. He also knew the White House was lying about it.
    • Pence was the one who pushed Trump to fire Michael Flynn for lying to him.
    • Rudy Giuliani turned down the Attorney General position because he wanted to be Secretary of State instead.
    • Jay Sekulow, White House lawyer, told Michael Cohen not to testify about certain details of the Trump Tower meeting set up by Donald Trump Jr. with Russians who said they had dirt on Hillary.
    • Paul Manafort tried to convince Rick Gates not to cooperate with the investigation, saying that Trump was supported Gates. Remember that after being convicted on several counts, Manafort agreed to cooperate, but then lied to Mueller and fed information about the investigation to the White House.
    • John Kelly backs up Don McGahn’s testimony that Trump asked him to fire Mueller. Much of this is redacted, so I don’t know if this is part of an ongoing case.
  1. Last summer, Russia state TV ran a special report titled “Ukrainian Interference.” Just in case you’re wondering where that particular conspiracy theory came from. What does Putin have to say about all this?

“Thank God nobody is accusing us any more of interfering in U.S. elections… Now they’re accusing Ukraine. Well, let them sort this out among themselves.”

  1. The World Anti-Doping Agency once again bans Russia from competing in the Olympics. Clean Russian athletes can still compete as unaffiliated athletes.

Legal Fallout:

  1. Representative Duncan Hunter (R-CA) pleads guilty to conspiracy to use campaign funds for personal use. Hunter has maintained his innocence for a year and a half, and he continued his run for Congress even after he was indicted on 60 counts.
    • If you don’t know what he was indicted on, the court filing is worth the read. Charges include using campaign funds to fly their pet bunny in an airplane seat, falsely claiming donations to veterans organizations, using campaign funds for family vacations (to Italy, Hawaii, Las Vegas, and others), concealing their campaign fund spending, spending campaign funds to date his mistresses, and so much more.
    • He says he’s just taking a plea deal for his family, though he didn’t hesitate to throw his wife under the bus when the indictments dropped.
    • He resigns from Congress, date TBD. The House Ethics Committee instructs him to stop voting in the House. What took so long? He’s been under 60 indictments all year.
    • Hunter appealed his case in July even though his trial hadn’t even begun.
  1. A federal appeals court again rules that Congress can see Trump’s banking records as part of their investigations into potential foreign influence and other misconduct. Trump asks the Supreme Court to block the subpoena.
  2. George Nader is in the news again (he was a figure in the Mueller investigation). He was part of a scheme with Ahmad Khawaja and others to funnel foreign money into mostly democratic campaigns and organizations during the 2016 elections.
    • They hid the source of $3.5 million in campaign donations (the money came from the United Arab Emirates).
    • But lest you think these guys aren’t mercenaries, they also cultivated Trump campaign contacts and funneled money to Trump and his political organizations. After the election, they made a major pivot from donating to Democratic causes to donating to Republican causes.
    • The indictment implies that Khawaja hosted a fundraiser for Hillary Clinton, but doesn’t say that outright. Khawaja also hosted a reception for an elected official in 2018. There’s also no evidence that the recipients of the funds, Republican or Democrat, were aware of the source.
    • Nader is already in federal custody for other charges. That guy’s bad news.
    • Khawaja has previously been charged with helping other websites launder money. He’s also bad news.
  1. Trump is making money off his campaign by renting office space to re-election committees. $1.7 million so far.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. For the first time in over ten years, the Supreme Court hears arguments on a gun rights case. Gun owners are fighting New York’s strict rules for having a handgun at home. However, this is moot because New York already loosened up the rules.
  2. Republicans confirm yet another judge who’s rated as ‘not qualified’ to a permanent seat on a federal court.

Healthcare:

  1. State lawmakers from both sides of the aisle got assistance from lobbyists in writing op-eds opposing Medicare for All.
    • I get that we need issues experts to help craft our policies and our laws, but it’s out-of-control, with a handful of groups crafting so much of what goes on at the state level. You can tell by the cookie-cutter legislation that gets passed.
  1. With a new Democratic majority in the state House and Senate, Virginia begins to remove the work requirements for Medicaid.

International:

  1. A bipartisan group of Senators asks Trump to sanction Turkey before the upcoming NATO meetings. After Turkey purchased Russian technologies that could be used to gather intelligence on our F-35 stealth fighter jets, we removed Turkey from our F-35 program.
  2. Trump has a closed-door meeting with Turkish President Erdogan at the NATO leaders meeting.
  3. Wow. I guess all you need to do to get Trump to defend your interests is to argue against your own interests. In a sit-down before the NATO leaders meeting, French President Emmanuel Macron gets Trump to defend NATO by criticizing it. It was a pretty amazing thing.
    • Trump is likely still smarting from Macron’s earlier statement about NATO suffering brain death because of American leadership.
  1. And speaking of the NATO meetings, it’s not an awesome couple of days for Trump:
    • A group of foreign leaders — Emmanuel Macron, Justin Trudeau, Boris Johnson, Princess Anne, and Mark Rutte — get caught on video at a reception kvetching about Trump and making a little fun of him.
    • Trudeau was defending himself being late for something, and said it was because Trump turned a 10-minute press conference into a 40-minute one (he did that with three press conferences that day).
    • Upon learning of this, Trump calls Trudeau two-faced, cancels a press conference, and leaves the summit early. Then Trump gets caught on audio saying, “That was funny when I said that guy was two-faced.”
  1. Iranian President Rouhani calls for the release of innocent, unarmed protestors who were detained during the recent protests.
  2. North Korea says that our earlier negotiations were just a “foolish trick,” and we should expect a Christmas present from them, likely in the form of a missile test.
  3. After North Korea launches a “successful test of great significance,” Trump warns that Kim Jong Un risks losing everything if they resume hostilities.
  4. A gun battle between Mexican law enforcement and cartel members near the southern border leaves 21 people dead. Most of the dead were cartel members.
  5. At the request of the White House, Senator Kevin Cramer (R-ND) blocks an effort to pass a resolution recognizing the Armenian genocide.
    • He’s the third Republican tasked by the White House to block the resolution, so it’s been blocked three times. They all use the same reason… it’s not the right time.
    • Two years ago, Cramer expressed his appreciation to Dean Cain (former Superman) for raising awareness of the Armenian genocide. He was also the sponsor of a similar resolution when he was in the House.
  1. China warns the U.S. against passing legislation criticizing their treatment of Uighur Muslims, especially during a trade war.
  2. Even though he’s under indictment, Benjamin Netanyahu is gearing up for his next campaign for Prime Minister of Israel. He recently met with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to discuss Iran, the Israeli annexation of the Jordan Valley in the West Bank, and a U.S.-Israel defense treaty.
  3. Trump considers sending an additional 14,000 troops to the Mideast to counter Iran. He’s already sent 14,000 troops to the Mideast since May.
  4. Hundreds of thousands of demonstrators turn out to march in Hong Kong for Human Rights Day. The march is mostly peaceful, but peppered with some vandalism.
  5. Worker protests continue in France, while anti-government protests continue in Chile. I can’t even stay on top of all the global protests anymore. Even Haitians are protesting systemic corruption in their country.
  6. Youth activists fill the street of Madrid as part of a global climate protest during the UN’s COP25 climate change conference.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. The Senate passes a bill to permanently fund historically black colleges and universities and other minority-serving institutions. The House has already passed it, so it’ll go to Trump for a signature.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. Trump pressured the Army Corps of Engineers to award a contract to a North Dakota company, Fisher Sand and Gravel, whose owner is a frequent Fox News guest. Officials argued against it because the bid did not meet the standards. Fisher got the contract.
    • Fisher was also hired by Build the Wall, the private organization that fundraised to help Trump build his wall.
    • Fisher has a record of environmental and tax violations.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Trump is the first president since before Reagan who works to decrease the number of refugees we accept rather than expand our very successful programs for resettling refugees. Trump wants to reverse our progress, but the sentiment is different at a local level:
    • After Trump gave states the ability to decline to accept refugees, the Republican governor of Utah wrote to Trump asking for more. He said people in Utah “love giving them a new home and a new life.” He also says refugees become productive and responsible members of their communities.
    • On the flip side, Burleigh County, North Dakota is considering a vote on whether to become the first county in the U.S. to refuse resettled refugees.
  1. Attorney General Bill Barr has given some wacky speeches lately. This week he says that if some communities don’t start showing law enforcement a little respect, maybe they won’t get any police protection.
  2. George Zimmerman sues the family of Trayvon Martin for defamation. Huh? Zimmerman killed Trayvon as he was walking home one night, and got off on Florida’s Stand Your Ground law (thank you ALEC). Zimmerman’s suing for more than $100 million. Oh, and his lawyer thinks Obama is a secret Muslim who was born in Kenya. Hoo boy.
  3. Officials at the southern border confiscate migrant children’s medications, including life-saving ones like asthma inhalers.
  4. Video of a boy who died in ICE custody last May shows that he was in pain and distress for hours before dying from the flu. The video also shows that agents lied about some of the facts involved, including who found the body and whether they checked on him.
  5. Outside lawyers find that Medicare chief Seema Veerma‘s allegations of sexual discrimination in DHHS are unsubstantiated. They also uncovered a super contentious work relationship between her and her boss, DHHS Secretary Alex Azar.
  6. In a speech to the Israeli American Council, Trump lets his antisemite flag fly:

“You’re not nice people at all, but you have to vote for me. You have no choice. You’re not going to vote for Pocahontas, I can tell you that. You’re not going to vote for the wealth tax!”

  1. DHS is considering taking pictures of everyone who enters and leaves the country as part of a facial recognition program. This includes U.S. citizens.

Climate:

  1. Trump skips the 2019 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Madrid, but Nancy Pelosi brings a delegation in his place. Fourteen Democrats accompany her, but none of the Republican lawmakers they invited agreed to come.
  2. In a complaint about water conservation bathroom fixtures, Trump says this:

“You turn on the faucet and you don’t get any water. They take a shower and water comes dripping out. Just dripping out, very quietly dripping out. People are flushing toilets 10 times, 15 times, as opposed to once.”

  1. And he says this:

“There may be some areas where we’ll go the other route — desert areas — but for the most part you have many states where they have so much water — it comes down, it’s called rain. They don’t know what to do with it.”

  1. He says the EPA is looking into this. I’m sorry, but if you have to flush 15 times, either you’re broken or your toilet is.
  2. Months after receiving a huge backlash for proposing to authorize the use of “cyanide bombs” to poison coyotes, foxes, and feral dogs, the EPA announces that they’re going forward with their proposal.
  3. Spain’s biggest gas and oil company makes a promise to become a net-zero carbon emitter by 2050.

Budget/Economy:

  1. AK Steel agrees to be purchased by a mining company in a deal worth around $1 billion. That’s less than half what AK Steel’s value was before the trade wars began.
  2. The Dow Jones drops three days in a row after Trump warns that the trade deal with China might not happen until after the elections next year. He says that tariffs will remain until the deal is done.
  3. Trump announces tariffs on metals from Brazil and Argentina, and threatens harsher tariffs on French goods. The reason is, unsurprisingly, that he doesn’t think they’re being fair to us (everything’s so unfair!).
    • The unexpected announcement goes against their 2018 agreement, where Brazil and Argentina would accept quotas on their shipments instead of having tariffs imposed.
  1. Manufacturing jobs have not only stalled, but are moving into the negative, after receiving a big boost when Trump was elected. The trade war with China undid much of that progress.
    • Typically trade policies pinch either farmers or manufacturing, but current policies are hitting both sectors.
    • The effects of the trade wars are just starting to be seen, so companies are bracing for harder times.
  1. Nancy Pelosi is pushing to modify Trump’s updated NAFTA agreement by removing certain legal protections for online content because it prevents Congress from making future changes. Pelosi questions whether that should be in our trade pacts or enshrined in U.S. law. The House is finalizing their changes to Trump’s updated NAFTA agreement (USMCA), and expects a vote next week.
  2. Job growth in November was 266,000, getting a little boost from the end of the GM worker strike. The unemployment rate and the numbers of unemployed were little changed.
  3. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits decreased to its lowest level in seven months—close to a 50-year low. It’s partly attributable to Thanksgiving.
  4. The Trump administration formalizes a new rule for work requirements for SNAP recipients, which could cause up to 700,000 people to lose food assistance.

Elections:

  1. After Mike Bloomberg enters the Democratic presidential primary race, his media outlet, Bloomberg News, announces they won’t do any investigative journalism into any of the Democratic primary candidates. Trump’s 2020 campaign then announces that they won’t give Bloomberg News press credentials to cover Trump’s campaign events.
  2. I’m sure you noticed that I haven’t been reporting on any Democratic presidential campaign activities. I’m waiting for things to shake out a bit and hopefully narrow down, and then I’ll dive in.
  3. The House votes to restore those parts of the Voting Rights Act that were struck down by the Supreme Court. The court’s argument was that we’re in a post-racial society so we don’t need those kinds of rules anymore. The vote was along party lines, and it likely won’t pass the Senate.
  4. North Carolina judges rule that the latest version of electoral maps will be used in the 2020 elections. The judges also say there’s not enough time between now and the primaries to determine whether they’re still gerrymandered, so that’s weird.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump makes an unannounced visit to Dover Air Force Base to receive the remains of two slain soldiers who were killed in Afghanistan.
  2. Trump further strains relations with the Pentagon when he brings two of the soldiers he pardoned onto the stage with him at a fundraiser. These guys were convicted of war crimes. Military leaders fear the pardons undermine the rules of military conduct.

Week 149 in Trump

Posted on December 4, 2019 in Politics, Trump

Google searches for "narwhal" spiked after a Brit fought off a terrorist attack with a nearby narwhal tusk.

Here’s how conspiracy theories start. Fox News airs a segment saying that liberals have launched a war on Thanksgiving and they want to change the name. So Trump, of course, brings it up in a campaign rally shortly after he watches the segment, and he makes a really big deal about it. The next day, on Fox & Friends, they ponder over where on earth Trump could’ve come up with the idea that there’s a war on Thanksgiving. Maybe, they say, it’s because there was a rumor that Obama wanted to change it back in 2015 or so? So not only did the Fox network manage to distance itself from being the source of the rumor, but then they manage to tie it to Obama! And now, a good chunk of Trump’s base thinks that there’s a war on Thanksgiving. Yikes.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending December 1…

Shootings This Week:

There were NINE mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 8 people and injure 41 more.

  1. In Brownsville, FL, two shooters kill 2 people and injure 2 more in a drive-by shooting.
  2. In the Bronx, a shooter fires into a crowd in the middle of the day and injures 5 people (including 2 children).
  3. In Amarillo, TX, a shooter injures 7 people at the Hogg Penn nightclub.
  4. In Hensley, AR, a shooter injures 5 people, leading to a 7-hour standoff.
  5. In New Orleans, LA, a shooter injures 10 people near the French Quarter after the Bayou Classic football game.
  6. Hours later, again in New Orleans, a shooter kills 2 people and injures 2 more in the 7th Ward.
  7. In Aurora, IL, a shooter kills 1 person and injures 5 more. The young man who died survived a previous gunshot wound when he was just 3 years old.
  8. In Cotton Valley, LA, a shooter kills 2 people and injures 3 more at The Vibe nightclub.
  9. In Kalamazoo, MI, a shooter holds a family hostage and then kills 1 and injures 3. The injured were all police officers responding at the scene, so I’m not sure if that qualifies as a mass shooting?

Russia:

  1. A federal court rules that top presidential advisers cannot ignore congressional subpoenas. This is for Don McGahn’s case where he was subpoenaed to appear before the House, but Trump claimed executive privilege. The court rules that he must testify and that “no one is above the law.” This could affect White House officials who’ve so far refused to cooperate with the impeachment hearings, but it’s also likely to get appealed.
    • The DOJ then asks a federal court to temporarily suspend the ruling through the appeals process.
  1. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy releases an ad praising Trump. The ad includes stock Russian footage. McCarthy is infamous for saying that there are two people he knows get paid by the Russians—Trump and former Representative Dana Rohrabacher (D-CA). (And since Lev Parnas‘s indictment, we know McCarthy also got paid by the Russians.)
  2. Ohio Secretary of State Frank laRose announces that Ohio elections systems were the target of a cyberattack earlier this month. The attack was tracked back to a Russian-owned firm, and seemed to be looking for soft targets.

Legal Fallout:

  1. The Supreme Court grants an emergency stay on a lower court ruling that said Trump’s accounting firm had to share the financial records requested by Congress. This signals that they will hear the case, and could delay the release, if any, of Trump’s tax returns until mid-January.
  2. As part of the New York District Attorney’s investigation into the hush money payments to Trump’s mistresses, David Pecker, head of America Media Inc., has been meeting with prosecutors. Michael Cohen is also cooperating with the investigation.
  3. Documents regarding Trump Tower in New York show that Trump inflated numbers to make the property look better to lenders, and deflated numbers to make it look worse for tax purposes.
  4. People who work for Representative Duncan Hunter (R-CA) testify that his wife was in charge of the finances, and that Duncan was unaware of any misspending of campaign funds. It’s notable that Hunter won re-election in 2018 despite being indicted on 60 counts.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Legal cases around Trump’s finances and his disputes with Congress appear to be headed to the Supreme Court, which will clearly test the court’s neutrality. This court wants to appear nonpartisan.
    • The court will hear arguments on December 13 to determine whether to add Trump’s request to block the release of his financial documents to their docket.
    • The court already placed a temporary hold on a court ruling that the House Oversight and Reform Committee has the authority to see Trump’s financial documents.
    • The case over whether Don McGahn can testify to Congress is also likely to make it to the Supreme Court.

Healthcare:

  1. Pennsylvania legislators are pushing a poorly-written bill that would force healthcare providers to arrange for burials or cremations of fetal remains. You’d think this would only apply to abortions, but the way it’s written, it also includes fertilized eggs that fail to attach to the uterus and are flushed from the system. Which is about 50% of fertilized eggs. I’m not sure how they’ll enforce that one. Looks like they’re trying to top Ohio for having the least scientific understanding of the birds and the bees.
  2. Purdue Pharma asks a Canadian court to put a temporary hold on all court cases against them in Canada while they settle all the cases against them in the U.S. A U.S. bankruptcy judge already granted them a temporary reprieve from cases in the U.S.
  3. Trump is working to reverse some of Obama’s regulations on nursing homes. The regulations were put in place to safeguard elderly and dementia patients from abuse and from being over-medicated. The administration says that reversing the rules will save nursing homes around $600 million per year, but the new rules don’t require them to put that money toward improving care.
  4. The overall life expectancy in the U.S. has declined for three consecutive years. Death rates for young and middle-aged adults have been rising for a decade from causes like suicide, drug overdoses, liver disease, and more.
    • The highest jump in death rates from 2010 to 2017 was for people age 25 to 34. Their death rate increased by 29%.
    • Along with the causes listed above, obesity is another big cause. Obesity in childhood brings a plethora of health problems as we get older. 40% of Americans are obese. 71.6% are overweight. 20% of American kids are obese.

International:

  1. Trump surprises troops in Afghanistan with a Thanksgiving visit. He also announces that he’s resumed peace talks with the Taliban.
  2. The Trump administration takes steps to substantially reduce U.S. contributions to NATO. Trumps wants to reduce our share to 15% from 22%. Compare that to Germany, which pays 14.8% despite having a much smaller economy than the U.S. Trump will meet with NATO leaders at the summit at the beginning of December.
  3. A terrorist attack in London leaves two people dead and several others injured. The attacker uses a knife, and is shot by police. Two bystanders fight the attacker using a fire extinguisher and a nearby narwhal tusk.
  4. Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi announces he’ll tender his resignation the day after 40 Iraqi protestors are killed in an attack against the Iranian consulate there. Mahdi was reportedly handpicked by Iran for his position, and the protestors are fighting against Iran’s influences in Iraq’s government.
  5. The Iranian government continues their brutal crackdown on protestors. At least 180 people have been killed after protests rose up against a dramatic increase in gas and oil prices. Some estimate the death toll is as high as 450. At least 2,000 people are wounded and 7,000 detained. This is the worst unrest there since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. The government partially restores internet access, and information is finally coming out of the country about what’s going on.
  6. Trump signs a bill that authorizes sanctions against Chinese and Hong Kong officials responsible for human rights violations during the pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong. He also signs a bill banning the sales of tear gas and rubber bullets to the Hong Kong police.
  7. Fresh protests break out in Hong Kong after pro-democracy candidates swept local elections. People marched in front of the U.S. consulate there to show gratitude for the U.S. passing the bills supporting their rights.
  8. In France, protests break out on Black Friday against Amazon. Activists protest the consumerism represented by Amazon and its cost to the environment.
  9. Trump says he’ll designate Mexican drug cartels as terrorists.
  10. The White House releases $105 million in military aid to Lebanon, which had been held up over a dispute between members of the National Security Council. Some thought the aid would help Iran-backed members of government. Protests in Lebanon, started over tax reform, have been ongoing since mid-October.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Trump signs a bipartisan bill making animal cruelty a federal felony. The bill bans intentional crushing, burning, drowning, suffocating, impalement or other serious harm to animals, birds, reptiles, and amphibians. The law also bans animal cruelty videos and pictures.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. Homeland Security endorses We Build The Wall, the group founded by veteran Brian Kolfage to privately build a wall at the southern border. Kolfage is on a mission to save Texas from “illegals.” He says the butterfly “freaks” at the National Butterfly Center are standing in his way, and even accuses them of being part of an international butterfly smuggling ring.
    • Trump signed legislation earlier this year to exempt the refuge from any border wall plans.
  1. Trump puts Jared Kushner in charge of building the border wall. Kushner, in turn, is trying to expedite the process of confiscating private property to get it done.

Family Separation:

  1. The Department of Homeland Security’s inspector general releases a report that finds the DHS didn’t have the technology or necessary systems in place to allow them to track the children they separated from their parents at the southern border.
    • Immigration officials knew they couldn’t track them and yet still went forward with their plans to separate more than 26,000 children.
    • They knew this as early as November 2017.
    • The report also calls the “zero tolerance” policy that led to the separation ineffective. Thousands of detainees were still released into the U.S.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. A review of government websites and archives shows that in the years under Trump, they’ve removed anti-discrimination information along with data and resources for the LGBTQ community.
    • The changes are scattershot over about 57% of agencies, showing a lack of coherent policy.
    • Crucial information for LGBTQ and HIV-positive people was removed from pages for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Office of Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity, and the Department of Health and Human Services.
    • The changes don’t reflect actual policy, which Trump has had trouble changing.
  1. Trump signs an executive order creating a White House task force to address the issue of missing and murdered Indigenous women (MMIW). This comes right as Senator Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) introduces the Republican version of the Violence Against Women Act, which would roll back the 2013 provisions that made it easier for Native law enforcement officers to bring non-Native abusers to justice. Ernst’s version would give those non-Native abusers a way out.
    • Native American women face the highest rate of violence of any other group in the U.S., and 97% of that violence is at the hands of a non-Native person.
  1. Alaska state officials have been denying same-sex couple certain marriage benefits even though their ban on same-sex marriage was overturned in 2014.
  2. Over the past few months, the DHS has arrested 90 additional students who signed up for the fake university they set up in Detroit. That brings the total arrested to about 250, mostly immigrants from India. The students arrived legally with student visas, but because the university was a fake one created by federal agents, they lost their immigration status.
    • This is just another example of ICE’s egregious tactics being used under all administrations. This sting operation started in 2016, preying upon people who thought they were taking legitimate steps to be in the U.S.
  1. This one got past me earlier this year: In 2016, parents of female students at a charter school had to sue to allow their girls to wear pants. The school had a dress code of skirts for girls. IN FREAKING 2016!
    • This spring, the parents won their suit, and now the girls can wear pants or shorts, and they can run around the playground just as freely as the boys without being hindered by obsolete dress codes.
    • The final ruling on the case this week finds that the dress code violates Equal Protection, and permanently blocks the school from establishing or enforcing a similar provision.
    • PS: I thought this was settled decades ago.
  1. Private prison company GEO Group could face financial issues after all of the known banks providing loans to the company agree to divest and end ties with GEO. Some of those banks have also committed to not funding the private prison industry altogether, with most cutting ties with CoreCivic as well
  2. Trump orders national parks to deploy some of their park rangers to the southern border to patrol for illegal border crossings. This is a way of getting around congressional funding for his efforts there. But this leaves park visitors without the resources they rely on and puts them at more risk. National parks are already underfunded and short-staffed.
  3. The House Oversight and Reform Committee brings a lawsuit against Attorney General William Barr and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross to enforce the subpoenas they filed earlier to get information about the decision to add a citizenship question to the census.

Climate:

  1. Exxon Mobile knew as long ago as 1982 that atmospheric CO2 is a major cause of global warming. At that time, they even predicted accurately that atmospheric CO2 would reach 415 parts per million, causing the global temperature to rise about 0.9 degrees Celsius by 2019. CO2 levels reach 415 ppm in May, and the temperature rise crossed 0.9 degrees Celsius this year as well.
  2. Climate scientists warn that we might be reaching a tipping point on climate change, meaning that some impacts of global warming will become unstoppable. They also warn of a cascade of tipping points. Some of these potentially irreversible events include:
    • Ice melting in the east and west Antarctic ice sheets, the Greenland ice sheet, and Arctic sea ice
    • Thawing of the permafrost
    • Loss of rainforests
    • Death of coral reefs
    • Changes in the flow of the gulf stream
  1. A new UN report on climate change says temperatures could rise by as much as 3.9 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. We’ve already warmed by nearly 1 degree, and the process will speed up because of the cascade of tipping points above.
  2. During the Yale Bowl, hundreds of Yale and Harvard students and alumni storm the field to demand the schools divest from fossil fuels, private prisons, and Puerto Rican debt. The protest delays the start of the second half of the game.

Budget/Economy:

  1. An analysis of bailout payments made to farmers finds that 10% of recipients received 50% of the money. The payments, of course, went mostly to larger and more wealthy farms.

Elections:

  1. Texas Republicans accidentally email Democrats their blueprint for winning in 2020 and their plans for dealing with Trump’s polarizing nature. This gave away their negative ad strategy for 12 target districts and their timeline for rolling out websites that will bash their Democratic opponents.
    • PSA: Reading about their tactics (some of which I’m sure Democrats employ as well) makes me sad about how low the parties stoop to win, and even sadder by how the American public plays right into their hands, not just by letting it happen but by making those ploys succeed.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Rick Perry says that Trump was chosen by God to lead this country. To be fair, Perry also thinks Obama was ordained by God for the presidency. Seriously people. Take responsibility for your vote. That’s how presidencies are decided.
  2. Even before the departure of Richard Spencer from the DOD, high-ranking Pentagon officials felt Trump had a disregard for the chain of command in the military, and feared that the administration would continue to side with Fox News pundits over experienced military professionals on issues of national security.
  3. The RNC denies they made a bulk purchase of Donald Trump Jr.’s new book, Triggered, but FEC records show they spent nearly $100,000 to purchase copies of the book a week before it was released.
    • Other conservative groups also made bulk purchases to help his book debut at #1 on the New York Times best seller list. At least nine conservative groups are helping with the sales of his book.
    • And just to keep it classy, Trump Jr. created a website, Trigger A Lib, where you can purchase copies of the books to send to people like Adam Schiff, Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, and so on.

Week 148 in Trump

Posted on November 29, 2019 in Politics, Trump

Even these hosts couldn't figure out what Trump was talking about for 53 minutes...

Trump calls in to Fox & Friends and talks to them for 53 minutes straight, with no commercial breaks. Trump expresses so many lies on the show that even Fox & Friends hosts push back on some of what he says. He accuses witness David Holmes of lying (though Sondland corroborated Holmes’ story), he repeats his theory that Ukraine interfered in the 2016 elections (debunked by our intelligence community and State Department), and he says the whistleblower complaint was wrong (though Trump himself and the transcript he released corroborated most of the complaint). He accuses the Obama administration of spying on his campaign in 2016, though the IG report that’s about to come out reportedly disputes that. When Trump says he knows who the whistleblower is—and implies that the F&F hosts do, too—they try to steer him away from the topic.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending November 24…

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were NINE mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Short version: shooters kill 5 people and injure 39 more.

Russia:

  1. Paul Erickson, the former boyfriend of Russian agent Maria Butina, pleads guilty to money laundering and wire fraud.
  2. The day after White House advisor Fiona Hill testifies that the conspiracy theory that Ukraine meddled in our 2016 elections is a “fictional narrative” that helps Russia, Trump promotes said theory on Fox & Friends. Trump says Ukraine did it to frame the Russians. All our intelligence agencies, as well as Trump’s own advisors, agree that Russia meddled in our elections and Ukraine did not. Even Republican Representatives in the impeachment hearings this week say that they know Russia interfered with our elections, and their own investigation bore that out.
  3. Also, their CrowdStrike theory is way off the mark. Here’s what Trump said:
    • They gave the server to CrowdStrike, which is a company owned by a very wealthy Ukrainian… I still want to see that server. The FBI has never gotten that server. That’s a big part of this whole thing.”
  1. Here’s the truth (it’s easy to look it up): 

    • CrowdStrike was founded by two Americans and a Russian-born U.S. citizen. One American and the Russian-born U.S. citizen now own it.
    • The Kremlin-backed conspiracy theories about Ukraine have worked out to Russia’s advantage—they deflect the blame away from Russia.
    • By making this a partisan issue in the U.S., Russia has put U.S. support for Ukraine into question.
  1. U.S. intelligence just briefed Senators and their aides on Russia’s efforts to reframe the narrative by blaming Ukraine for meddling in the elections. This is a smoke screen to shift the attention away from Russia. This has been going on for years.
  2. Despite this, Republicans in the impeachment hearings continue to push this conspiracy theory. They do, however, change their tune about it after Fiona Hill testifies to the intelligence committee.
  3. Russia’s strategy is to throw so much confusion into the mix that people don’t know what to believe. They want people to think it’s impossible to figure out who’s behind the misconduct.
  4. According to intelligence officials, Russia used Oleg Deripaska to help spread the misinformation. You might remember him as the guy Mitch McConnell just did a big deal with to bring jobs to Kentucky.
  5. A draft version of the DOJ inspector general’s report on the FISA warrant to surveil Trump campaign adviser Carter Page shows the IG didn’t find the anti-Trump bias he was looking for at the FBI. Here are some highlights:
    • There were errors and omissions in some of the documents.
    • A low-level employee altered an email to get a renewal of the warrant by adding factual information to the bottom of a thread. The IG didn’t feel that the changes impacted the validity of the application.
    • The FBI had enough evidence to open the Russia investigation.
    • Joseph Mifsud (who told George Papadopoulos he had dirt on Hillary) was not an FBI informant.
    • None of the evidence used to get the FISA warrant came from the CIA or, more importantly, from the Steele dossier.

Legal Fallout:

  1. The Supreme Court puts a lower court ruling on hold that would’ve allowed the House to obtain Trump’s financial records. Until they rule on the case, Trump’s accounting firm doesn’t have to release the records.
  2. Trump says he’ll release his “financial statement” (whatever that means) before the 2020 elections.
  3. We all know there’s been a longstanding practice of appointing big political donors to ambassador posts, but I’m not sure it’s usually this straightforward. As billionaire Doug Manchester was waiting Senate confirmation for his post in the Bahamas, the RNC asked him to donate half a million dollars. Manchester forwarded the message to two Senate staffers indicating he’d be willing to donate more once confirmed.
    • Manchester later withdrew his nomination.
  1. The two jail guards who were supposed to check on Jeffrey Epstein the night he committed suicide are charged with falsifying records and conspiring to defraud the U.S.
    • That night they were both browsing the web and spent about two hours sleeping. They were both working overtime shifts.
    • Security cameras show they never checked on Epstein.
  1. American Oversight obtains emails under the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) that show that Nikki Haley used an unsecured system to send classified information because she forgot her password. I only mention this because of the hypocrisy. I doubt anyone got their hands on the info who shouldn’t have.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Healthcare:

  1. Two Republican legislators in Ohio introduce a bill that would completely ban all abortions in the state. This is the same state where someone introduced a bill that suggested doctors can re-implant ectopic pregnancies into the uterus (they can’t).
  2. Trump delays the ban on flavored e-cigarettes after meeting with advisors and lobbyists. They’re concerned about the political fallout among voters (instead of the health of voters).
  3. Meanwhile, nine states are stepping up to ban vaping.

International:

  1. Israel’s attorney general indicts Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in all three cases against him. The charges are for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust. The AG initiates the process of stripping Netanyahu’s parliamentary immunity.
    • Following the recent divided elections, neither Netanyahu nor his opponent Benny Gantz were able to form a government coalition.
    • Netanyahu refuses to step down as Prime Minister. He calls it a coup. Where’ve I heard that before?
  1. Flooding and mudslides in Kenya kill 34 people. The region was experiencing a severe drought and is now experiencing heavy rains with flooding.
  2. Mike Pence makes a surprise visit to American troops in Iraq ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.
  3. Mike Pompeo announces that the U.S. believes that the Israeli settlements in the West Bank are legal according to international law. For decades, the international consensus has been that the settlements are illegal. The Fourth Geneva Convention states it clearly:
    • The occupying power shall not deport or transfer parts of its own civilian population into the territory it occupies.”
  1. French President Emmanuel Macron questions whether the EU should abandon the U.S. and create their own military alliance.
  2. Trump has asked both Japan and South Korea to pay more for the U.S. troops we maintain there. Meanwhile, South Korea and China agree to a security alliance, and the U.S. breaks off talks with South Korea over the demands for more money.
  3. Britain’s Conservative Party accepted a £200,000 donation from the wife of one of Putin’s former finance ministers.
  4. Boris Johnson blocks a report from the Parliament’s Intelligence and Security Committee about potential Russian interference in Britain’s elections. Remember England has elections coming up again.
  5. The Pentagon’s inspector general releases their quarterly report, which concludes that Trump’s order to withdraw U.S. troops from northern Syria, which allowed Turkey to attack the Kurds there, also allowed ISIS to strengthen its position there.
  6. Trump says he stands with the Hong Kong protestors for democracy but he also stands with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Meanwhile, both the House and Senate overwhelmingly (that means in a bipartisan way) pass a bill that would strip Hong Kong of its preferential trade status if China removes the freedoms guaranteed to Hong Kong residents.
  7. Hong Kong voters turn out in record numbers to deal a defeat to pro-Beijing politicians in the district council elections. Pro-democracy candidates tripled their previous seats, taking nearly 90%.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Trump signs a bill that will continue funding autism programs to the tune of $1.8 billion over the next five years. The Autism Collaboration, Accountability, Research, Education and Support Act (CARES) will focus on helping people on the spectrum who age out of support programs and will prioritize rural and underserved areas.
  2. The House Judiciary Committee moves forward a bill that would legalize marijuana at the federal level.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Have you ever seen the AIDS quilt? It’s quite something to experience in person. It’s full of grief and sadness and lives cut short. And now the quilt’s paper archive is headed to the Library of Congress and the quilt itself will go back to San Francisco, where it started.
  2. A judge blocks the Trump administration’s efforts to start up federal executions again, saying that the lethal injection procedure they want to use isn’t authorized by federal law. The DOJ plans to appeal the ruling.
  3. A Manhattan judge denies Trump’s effort to dismiss the defamation case brought by Summer Zervos, opening the possibility that Trump might have to be deposed.
  4. The American Medical Association formally opposes conversion therapy for members of the LGBTQ community. The group also urges the federal government to ban the procedure.
  5. Representative Carolyn Maloney (D-NY) becomes the first female chair of the House Oversight Committee when she’s elected to the role previously held by Elijah Cummings.
  6. We learn that after Lindsey Graham rebuked Turkish President Erdogan at the White House, White House staff asked him to go to the Senate and block the bill recognizing the Armenian genocide, which Graham then did. Graham says he went along just because it was poor timing to pass the bill while Erdogan was in the states.

Climate:

  1. California Governor Gavin Newsom will ban all purchases by state agencies of new vehicles from the companies that backed Trump in the emissions dispute. General Motors, Toyota, Fiat Chrysler, and more will be affected by the ban, which will go into effect in January 2020.
  2. Newsom also imposed new regulations on fracking, increasing audits for compliance with state law and prohibiting drilling activity near homes, schools, hospitals, and parks.
  3. Two of the country’s largest coal plants began the process of shutting down this month. Regulations aren’t what forced the closures; economic pressures did.
  4. Australia’s record-breaking drought and fires have killed over 1,000 koalas, putting them at risk of extinction.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Hong Kong’s unemployment rate ticked up a bit, from 2.9% to 3.1%, partly attributable to a loss in tourism dollars because of the protests. Hong Kong is also in a recession.
  2. The Trump administration is looking at ways to cut taxes again. This time, it’s a proposed 15% tax rate for the middle class, which would give Trump a strong message for the 2020 elections.
  3. Amazon didn’t pay any taxes on $11,200,000,000 in profit from 2018.
  4. A new study finds that more than two million Americans live without running water or indoor plumbing. They don’t even have wastewater treatment.
  5. Trump signs a spending bill to keep the government funded through December 20.

Elections:

  1. A federal judge strikes down a Florida law that says candidates from the party that most recently won the governor’s race were listed first on ballots. The judge says this listing gave that party a 5% advantage.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Rumors abound that Mike Pompeo is planning to resign to pursue a Senate seat back in Kansas.
  2. White House Press Secretary Stephanie Grisham says that outgoing Obama officials left nasty notes for their successors in the Trump administrations. Obama officials deny this and describe the notes of encouragement they left. Various White House staff have also mentioned the kind notes that Obama officials left for them. I tend to believe the latter since no one has mentioned this in three years.
  3. A senior Trump official resigns after it was discovered that she lied multiple times on her resume, including creating a fake Time magazine cover with her face on it, lying about what she was doing on foreign trips, falsely claiming a degree, claiming she addressed the Republican and Democratic National Conventions, and more.
  4. Navy Secretary Richard Spencer threatens to resign if Trump actually does pardon and reinstate a Navy Seal convicted of war crimes. Also, it turns out that Trump announced that he would do that on Twitter, not in an official notification. So Spencer says that nothing changes until he gets an official notification.
    • Pentagon Chief Mike Esper asks for the Navy Secretary’s resignation. Apparently Trump gave Esper a direct order to drop disciplinary action against a Navy Seal convicted of war crimes. Navy Secretary Richard Spence tried to negotiate a deal whereby the White House wouldn’t interfere in Naval justice if the Navy allowed Gallagher to keep his trident pin. Trump appeared to back down for a minute, but then we learn that Spencer was basically fired.
    • Spencer at one point said he was proceeding with disciplinary action because he didn’t believe that Trump’s tweets constituted a formal order.
    • Trump’s interference in this matter has raised concerns with the Defense Secretary, the Joint Chiefs of Staff Chair, and members of the military.

Polls:

  1. 52.4% of Americans approve of starting the impeachment process. 42.3% disapprove. That gap is narrower when the question asked is whether to impeach and remove.

Week 147 in Trump

Posted on November 21, 2019 in Politics, Trump

EIGHT LITTLE WITCHES...

It’s week one of the impeachment hearings, but still (believe it or not) life goes on around us. People are protesting all across the globe; North Korea stalls on denuclearization; Roger Stone is guilty on all counts; Barr gives a wildly inaccurate historical account of the founding of the U.S. (what are these guys smoking?); Stephen Miller’s racist emails leak; and Trump takes an unexpected trip to Walter Reed.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending November 17

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were FIVE mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 12 people and injure 18 more.
    • A shooter injures 4 people in Belle Glade, FL.
    • A shooter kills 2 students, as well as himself, and injures 3 more at Saugus High School in Santa Clarita, CA.
    • In an apparent murder/suicide, a father in San Diego, CA, kills 4 of his kids and his wife, and injures 1 of their kids.
    • A shooter in a vehicle injures 4 people in a home in Cleveland, OH.
    • Two shooters open fire at a football-watching party at a private home. They kill 4 people and injures 6 more in Fresno, CA.
  1. The Supreme Court lets a court case move forward against Remington Arms, which manufactured the guns used in the Sandy Hook shooting. The lawsuit asserts that a weapon as dangerous as the Bushmaster shouldn’t be sold to the public.

Russia:

  1. During the impeachment hearings, Christopher Anderson testifies that the White House once canceled a Navy operation in the Black Sea because Trump complained that it was hostile to Russia. Trump based his complaint on a CNN story (fake news!) and called John Bolton at home to complain about it.
  2. A jury finds Roger Stone guilty on all seven counts, including obstruction, making false statements, and witness tampering.
    • He could face up to 50 years in prison, and he’ll be sentenced in February. He is, however, still under his media gag. How do all these white guys get so much time out of jail after they’re found guilty?
    • The lies were about WikiLeaks, the existence of emails and texts, and conversations with Trump campaign officials.
    • During the trial, we learned that Stone was in direct and frequent contact with campaign staff and with Trump himself. Rick Gates testified that Stone was talking about the stolen emails at least by April of 2016, before the DNC even announced they’d been hacked.
    • Stone and Trump discussed future WikiLeaks email dumps in July of 2016.
    • The campaign eagerly anticipated the release of the hacked emails during the 2016 elections.
  1. This is the last indictment brought by Robert Mueller. Here’s who else was convicted or pleaded guilty as a result of Mueller’s investigation:
    • Paul Manafort, former Trump campaign chair
    • Rick Gates, former deputy Trump campaign chair
    • Michael Flynn, former Trump national security adviser (and how is he not in jail yet?)
    • Michael Cohen, former Trump lawyer
    • George Papadopoulos, former Trump campaign adviser
    • Alex van der Zwaan, associate of Manafort and Gates
    • Richard Pinedo, AFAIK not associated with Trump (he sold fraudulent bank accounts to Russians)
    • Sam Patten, Republican lobbyist
  1. Testimony and evidence from Stone’s trial bring into question Trump’s written answers to Mueller’s questions. The House is looking into whether Trump lied to Mueller in those responses, specifically about whether Trump knew about his campaign’s efforts to learn about DNC email dumps from WikiLeaks.
  2. Trump, Attorney General William Barr, and White House counsel Pat Cipollone meet in the Oval Office, and discuss DOJ inspector general Michael Horowitz’s investigation into the origins of the Russia investigation.
    • Horowitz is focused on the FISA warrant applications to surveil Trump campaign advisor Carter Page.
    • Interviewees are making final adjustments to the report, which should be released soon.
    • One person interviewed says it’s likely the report will find missteps, but no major misconduct.

Legal Fallout:

  1. At least eight former officials from the White House, the Trump transition team, and the Trump campaign worked as outside contractors for the DHHS.
    • They were tasked with cleaning up Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Administrator Seema Verma’s image, and billed nearly $800,000 over four months.
    • Typically this work is done by federal employees in the communications department.
  1. The DC Circuit Court of Appeals says Congress can obtain eight years of Trump’s tax records, letting an earlier ruling stand. However, they also put the ruling on hold for seven days to allow Trump’s attorneys to petition the Supreme Court, which they do.
  2. In a separate case, a [Trump-appointed] judge rules that Trump can’t sue New York state officials in a DC court to stop the state from releasing Trump’s financial records to Congress. His lawyers argue they CAN sue in DC because New York officials are “co-conspirators” with Democrats in DC.
  3. The prison guards who failed to make scheduled checks on Jeffrey Epstein on the night of his death and falsified records to cover it up refuse a plea deal.
    • The presence of a plea deal indicates that the DOJ might bring criminal charges in connection with Epstein’s death, which was ruled a suicide.
  1. New York federal prosecutors are investigating Rudy Giuliani for campaign finance violations and for failing to register as a foreign agent.
  2. Even though the Trump Organization says they’re no longer soliciting foreign business and that having Trump in office is costing them $9 million, the Trump International Hotel is projected to have revenues of $67.7 million next year (a 65% increase from 2018). The hotel’s sales pitch to investors is that they can “capitalize on government related business.”

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. In a speech in front of the Federalist Society, attorney general William Barr argues that the rebellion that formed the United States was not against King George III but was instead against the British Parliament.
    • This goes against nearly every historian on record, but it led to his argument that the power of the executive branch has dwindled and congressional power has increased instead. I urge you all to take a look at executive actions and laws passed over the past 20 years and see if thats actually true. Also, when Obama was president, the Republican party line was “executive overreach!”
    • Barr also blames “The Resistance” for endeavoring to cripple a “duly elected government” and trying to sabotage Trump.
    • George W. Bush’s ethics lawyer calls it a “lunatic authoritarian speech.”
  1. The Senate shifts the balance of the 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals by confirming controversial nominee Steven Menashi. I outlined his recent past in last week’s post. (Note: I’m not advocating for a liberal bent to the court; I think the judges should form a balance.)

Healthcare:

  1. Trump overrides protests from scientists and physicians, and pushes forward a rule to significantly limit the scientific and medical research the government can use in crafting their public health policies.
    • The rule would force researchers to release their raw data, including confidential medical information (which I’m guessing violates HIPPA rules, but that’s just my guess).
    • This will also affect environmental policies, which often relies on studies that use personal health information to determine where pollutants are an issue.

International:

  1. Hong Kong police try to take back control of a university campus being occupied by protestors. Protestors fight back with Molotov cocktails and bows and arrows, and they start the entrance on fire to keep police out. Police used rubber bullets, water cannons, tear gas, and armored vehicles.
    • Two men in Hong Kong are in critical condition after police shoot one of them point-blank and protestors set the other man on fire. The shooting triggered further violence from protestors.
    • Chinese soldiers came out to help clear Hong Kong’s streets of the debris and blockades left by protestors. This is the first time they’ve made an appearance around the protests.
  1. Hundreds of thousands of Czechs protest in Prague against their billionaire prime minister, Andrej Babi. Despite this being the largest anti-government protest since 1989, there isn’t much hope Babi will step down.
  2. Bolivia’s former president Evo Morales takes asylum in Mexico. He says he was forced out in a coup after weeks of protest.
    • There’s currently no one to take his place because the line of succession mostly resigned as well.
    • But then a Senator, Añez Chavez, takes the bull by the horns and declares herself the leader. The highest court backs her.
  1. Lawmakers in Chili will replace their constitution as a result of month-long protests.
  2. Iran shuts down the internet in retaliation against protests of the increase in fuel prices. Iranians in other countries are having a hard time reaching their family and friends in the country.
  3. There are anti-government protests across the globe. Here are a few places: Algeria, Bolivia, Britain, Catalonia, Chile, Ecuador, France, Guinea, Haiti, Honduras, Hong Kong, Iraq, Iran, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, and Pakistan.
  4. After Joe Biden refers to Kim Jong Un as a “murderous dictator,” Kim calls Biden a “rabid dog” who deserves to be beaten to death.
  5. Trump praises Turkish President Erdogan during Erdogan’s visit to the White House. Erdogan, just last month, tricked Trump into abandoning our Kurdish allies near Turkey’s southern border.
    • Hours after meeting with Erdogan, Lindsey Graham blocks a Senate resolution to formally recognize the Armenian genocide by the Ottoman Empire (Turkey). Graham says the bill was an attempt to rewrite or sugarcoat history.
    • Erdogan criticizes the resolutions, which were previously passed in the House.
    • Ahead of the White House meeting, Erdogan threatened to purchase Russian military equipment (Turkey is a NATO country).
  1. Trump asks Japan to quadruple payments for U.S. troops stationed there.
  2. The U.S. is trying to get North Korea to come back to the table for denuclearization talks, which have been stalled since February. North Korea has given the U.S. until the end of the year to change its “hostile” stance.
  3. Britain’s Prince Andrew steps down from his royal duties over blowback from his friendship with Jeffrey Epstein and accusations of statutory rape.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. The Australian men’s and women’s soccer leagues reach a deal to close their pay gap. Come on, America!
  2. A UN report that showed the U.S. detains the largest number of children of all countries is retracted after one of the data points is shown to be outdated. The author stands by the findings though, and the DHHS does say the U.S. did hold more than 69,000 migrant children in custody in 2019. This is an ongoing issue; it’s not new with Trump.
  3. Internal documents show that the multiple types of barriers Trump put up against immigrants at our southern border were a major cause of the crisis at the border and the crush of detainees.
    • Government officials knew the policies would strain immigrant shelters—especially child shelters—but wanted to send a message to Central American migrants.
    • The policies stranded thousands of unaccompanied children at the border.
  1. ICE is trying to circumvent California’s new law banning private prisons, and is actively soliciting developers for new facilities.
  2. A former Breitbart writer, who has since left the white supremacist movement, leaks emails send by Trump advisor Stephen Miller.
    • Miller promoted white nationalist sites, backed immigration policies Hitler praised, raised conspiracy theories about immigration, and pushed other theories popular with white nationalists.
    • This is the guy who’s in charge of our immigration policies, and he’s used these alt-right ideas to design those policies.
  1. Trump once suggested that we should classify migrants who come here illegally as enemy combatants and that we should send them to Guantanamo.

Elections:

  1. After talking about contesting the results of the Kentucky governor’s election, incumbent Matt Bevins (R) concedes to Andy Beshear (D). Bevins was highly unpopular, having reversed many of the useful policies implemented by his predecessor (most notably in the area of healthcare). Every other Republican on the statewide ticket won.
  2. Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards wins re-election, despite having approved some policies deeply unpopular with Democrats.
  3. Representative Peter King (R-NY) joins the long list of Republicans who will not seek re-election in 2020. He’s been in Congress since 1993.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump makes an unscheduled visit to Walter Reed Military Medical Center, which he later says is for the first phase of his annual exam. He was there for more than two hours.
  2. Trump issues full pardons to two soldiers and reverses disciplinary action for a third, all against Pentagon advice. The soldiers are accused of war crimes. They are:
    • Army Major Mathew Golsteyn, who was facing a murder trial next year.
    • Former Chief Petty Officer Edward Gallagher (Navy SEAL), recently acquitted of murder but convicted of posing with a corpse. Trump reinstated him as a SEAL, reversing a Navy decision.
    • Former Army 1st Lt. Clint Lorance, convicted of second-degree murder.

Polls:

  1. 70% of Americans think that Trump asking Zelensky to investigate Biden was wrong.
  2. But still, only 51% think he should also be impeached and removed from office.