Month: December 2019

Week 151 in Trump

Posted on December 19, 2019 in Politics, Trump

This week, we learn that Republican leadership doesn’t care whether Trump is guilty of any misconduct, as Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham openly admit as much. Mitch McConnell tells us more than we should know about how the sausage is made:

  • He made up that whole thing about letting voters decide just so he could block Merrick Garland’s nomination to the Supreme Court in 2016. He also says he wouldn’t do the same to Trump should an opening on the Supreme Court come up next year.
  • He brags about blocking Obama’s nominees for lower courts.
  • He’s aligning and coordinating the Senate impeachment trial with White House lawyers.
  • He doesn’t care about the separation of powers.

Here’s what else happened in politics for the week ending December 15…

Missing From Last Week:

  1. Dozens of graves in a Jewish cemetery near Strasbourg, France, were vandalized with swastikas and antisemitic graffiti. This is the latest in a series of antisemitic vandalism.

Shootings This Week:

  1. There were FOUR mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 8 people and injure 14 more.
    • Two shooters open fire on a Kosher market. Six people are dead, including a police officer and the two shooters, and 3 people are injured. They’re still trying to figure out if this was a hate crime.
    • A shooter kills 1 person and injures 3 others in Saint Louis.
    • A shooter injures 4 teenagers in Ivanhoe, CA.
    • A drive-by shooter in Columbus, GA, kills 1 person and injures 4 others.

Russia:

  1. Amid the impeachment hearings and the release of the inspector general’s report (and just a few hours after the articles of impeachment are announced), Trump meets behind closed doors with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.
    • Trump says he warned Lavrov against any Russian meddling in our elections, but Lavrov says they didn’t even discuss elections. There’s one way Trump could avoid these conflicts of account, and that’s by maintaining transcripts of these meetings.
    • Ironically, this is Lavrov’s second White House meeting with Trump, while Ukraine President Zelensky has yet to get just one White House meeting.
  1. A federal judge rejects Trump’s request to throw out a lawsuit that could require Mike Pompeo to turn over the records of a Trump meeting with Putin. The suit says Pompeo violated the Federal Records Act by allowing Trump to confiscate State Department notes about the meeting. Pompeo failed to preserve those notes.

Inspector General’s Report:

  1. Department of Justice Inspector General Michael Horowitz releases his report on his investigation into the investigation of Russia’s meddling in our elections. Here are a few findings from the report:
    • The FBI’s opening of the investigation into campaign associates was not influenced by ”political bias or improper motivation.” Horowitz finds multiple instances of FBI agents both supporting and opposing Trump, but says neither preference caused investigators to bring those views into their work.
    • While Horowitz finds the FBI acted properly in opening the investigation, he also found issues with the FISA process in general and thinks the guidelines need to be revisited.
    • There were significant inaccuracies in the warrant for the surveillance of Carter Page. There were also omissions that undercut the probable cause for a warrant.
    • The Steele Dossier didn’t play a role in the FBI opening the investigation, but it did play a role in FBI lawyers deciding to support the surveillance request. It didn’t play a major role in the FISA warrant approval.
    • A low-level FBI lawyer altered the substance of an email thread relevant to the Carter Page FISA warrant. He added the words “not a source” making it look like the author of the forwarded thread had written that, but it was information the lawyer had received after receiving the thread. This is being investigated as a possible crime by Attorney General William Barr‘s criminal investigation into the opening of the Russia investigation.
    • Language was changed in the FISA report that dropped a description of Christopher Steele as a “well-placed intelligence source.”
    • And speaking of Steele, he was friends with Ivanka Trump, though it seems like more of a working relationship. Before starting his research, he was “favorably disposed” toward the Trump family.
    • The FBI didn’t try to get warrants for Manafort, Flynn, or Papadopoulos. Ironic, since those three all pleaded guilty and Page was never even charged.
    • There were no FBI plants in the Trump campaign.
    • Manafort and Page were already targets of investigations by the time the Russia investigation started; Manafort for money laundering and Page for counterintelligence reasons.
    • When the FBI briefed the Trump and Clinton campaigns on Russian interference in August of 2016, they placed an agent in the meeting with Trump’s campaign to assess Michael Flynn’s responses. This undermines the trust around intelligence briefings.
  1. Horowitz testifies about his report before Congress. A few highlights:
    • He says his report doesn’t vindicate anybody—not Trump, not Comey, not McCabe. Nobody.
    • Lindsey Graham says some people at the FBI took the law into their own hands, despite the report stating the contrary. But he also says that it’s clear that Russia, not Ukraine, meddled in our elections.
    • Horowitz couldn’t find any evidence that Obama asked agencies to investigate Trump, nor that Obama had Trump’s phones tapped.
    • He reaffirms that the Steele dossier didn’t impact the decision to open the investigation.
    • They’re still looking into the leaks from the FBI’s New York field office, which was alleged to have leaked information to Rudy Giuliani about the Clinton email investigation.
  1. Here are the errors made by the FBI that are highlighted in the report’s executive summary:
    • They omitted information about Page’s previous CIA interactions in the FISA warrant.
    • They said that Steele’s prior reporting was “corroborated and used in criminal proceedings,” a statement that wasn’t approved by Steele’s handler.
    • They didn’t reveal that Steele said one of his sources has a tendency to boast, nor that the FBI had recently opened an investigation into that source.
    • They said the FBI had found that Steele didn’t leak information to the press based on Steele’s claim he only told the FBI and Fusion GPS about it. Steele also reported the information to the State Department.
    • They didn’t include statements by George Papadopoulos that no one associated with the Trump campaign was collaborating with Russia or WikiLeaks on the DNC email releases.
    • They left out Page’s claims that he had never met or spoken to Paul Manafort. If true, those claims would undercut the theory that Page participated in a conspiracy with Russia for Manafort.
They cherry-picked Page’s statements to make their case, using statements that supported their case and omitting those that didn’t.

    • They left out information about one of Steele’s main sources, whose subsequent comments raised questions about certain allegations in the FISA applications.
    • They omitted statements about Steele made by former professional contacts.
    • They didn’t say that Steele was giving info to the Clinton campaign and others; that Fusion GPS was paying Steele to talk to the media; and that Steele didn’t want Trump elected.
    • They failed to make corrections to information about Steele on subsequent FISA applications.
    • They didn’t include Joseph Mifsud’s denials that he gave Papadopoulos information.
    • They didn’t include information that suggested Page didn’t have a role in the Republican party changing their stance on Ukraine in their party platform.
  1. Horowitz finds no misconduct around these errors, found some of them to be serious, and said some could just have been overlooked. Horowitz makes several suggestions for the FBI to improve their processes in order to avoid some of these mistakes.

Response to the Inspector General Report:

  1. Trump says the Russia investigation was an attempted overthrow of the government (the investigation began before he was even elected).
  2. Trump calls the FBI “scum” at a campaign rally.
  3. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who Trump had over for a little White House visit, says that there are no facts to support Russian interference in U.S. elections.
    • At least Pompeo pushes back a little. He says, “We think we’ve shared plenty of facts to show what happened in the 2016 election with our Russian counterparts. We don’t think there’s any mistake about what really transpired there.”
  1. Bill Barr interprets the report to say it makes clear that “the FBI launched an intrusive investigation of a U.S. presidential campaign on the thinnest of suspicions that, in my view, were insufficient to justify the steps taken. It is also clear that, from its inception, the evidence produced by the investigation was consistently exculpatory.”
    • I’m beginning to wonder if Barr can read.
    • Barr says he still thinks the FBI “may have” operated in bad faith, and says it was improper of the FBI to continue investigating after Trump took office (because POTUS is above the law?).
    • Also, he says the nation was turned on its head for a bogus narrative. Tell that to the eight people associated with the probe who were convicted or found guilty.
  1. Attorney General Bill Barr goes on a press tour, giving interviews where he criticizes his own inspector general’s findings and basically says Horowitz is wrong.
    • Barr says the FBI’s investigation had a “very flimsy” basis and there was no evidence of collusion (which Barr knows is not a legal term).
    • He says Horowitz’s analysis was very limited.
    • Barr again asserts that Obama spied on political opponents and that the FBI operated in bad faith.
    • Barr leaves out the fact that the FBI was already aware of Russian efforts to meddle in our elections by the time they opened their investigation, and that they were aware that Russia was trying to cultivate American assets.
    • His harsh criticism of his own department is affecting morale, and officials worry that this will cause our intelligence agencies to be less likely to pursue wrongdoing by our elected officials.
  1. U.S. Attorney John Durham, who Barr picked to run a second, criminal investigation into the origins of the Russia investigations, says that even though he advised the inspector general last month, he doesn’t agree with some of the conclusions of the report.
    • When he met with Horowitz last month, Durham said that the tip from the Australian official, which started the Russia investigation, was sufficient to start a preliminary investigation, a narrow distinction.
  1. FBI Director Chris Wray says the inspector general didn’t find bias or improper motivation in the opening of the Russia investigation, nor did he find that the FISA request was unwarranted. Wray does say that he’ll begin immediately correcting the issues that Horowitz uncovered with processes and procedures.
    • Wray also says not to listen to Trump’s conspiracy theories on Ukraine, adding that Americans need to be savvier consumers of news.
  1. During Horowitz’s hearing, Lindsey Graham says, “It was the Russians, ladies and gentleman, who stole the Democratic National Committee emails, Podesta’s emails, and screwed around with Hillary Clinton. It wasn’t the Ukrainians. it was the Russians.”

Legal Fallout:

  1. Following the release of the inspector general’s report, Andrew McCabe says that being accused of treason by the president was revolting and terrifying.
  2. The Supreme Court agrees to hear three separate cases over whether Trump needs to release his financial records.
  3. Lisa Page, the former FBI lawyer whose private texts with Peter Strzok were publicized as part of the investigation into the Russia investigation, sues the FBI and DOJ for violating the Privacy Act. She was told throughout that none of her private messages would be made public, but then they showed those messages to reporters.
    • Trump attacks Page yet again at a political rally, saying she had to get a restraining order against Strzok (among other things). She says that’s a lie.
    • Page says that the release of those messages, along with Trump’s continued attacks against her, has radically altered her everyday life.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Senate confirms yet another judge who was rated “not qualified” by the ABA. Lawrence VanDyke will take a seat on the 9th Circuit Court of Appeal.

Healthcare:

  1. The Supreme Court refuses to hear an appeal of Kentucky’s abortion law that requires doctors to perform medically unnecessary procedures before performing an abortion. So now we all will spend millions in insurance dollars for procedures that are solely designed to make women feel guilty.
  2. A study published this week supports the medical opinion that attempting to reverse medication abortions is dangerous to the health of the mother.
    • The study was designed to find out if a medication abortion could be halted with hormone treatment, but they had to stop the study when three of the women hemorrhaged so much blood they had to go to the ER.
    • Still, six states require providers to tell their patients it can be reversed, and lawmakers stand by their bills despite evidence to the contrary.

International:

  1. Benjamin Netanyahu resigns from all his ministerial positions (health, welfare, agriculture, and diaspora affairs), but remains as Prime Minister despite being under indictment for corruption and fraud.
  2. The Washington Post obtains a trove of government documents about the war in Afghanistan showing that U.S. officials haven’t been telling the truth about the situation in Afghanistan for 18 years and that they hid evidence that the war was unwinnable.
    • The war and attempt at rebuilding have cost us at least $1 trillion.
    • U.S. officials continually tried to paint a rosier picture than reality.
    • In 2008, Congress created SIGAR, a group to investigate waste and fraud.
    • In 2015, the mission of SIGAR changed to gather lessons learned from the debacle.
    • This war is now 18 years old.
  1. The Trump administration plans to withdraw 4,000 U.S. troops from Afghanistan.
  2. Brits give the Tories a landslide victory in the elections called by Boris Johnson. This makes Brexit all but a done deal and gives the markets a little certainty. It also renews calls in Scotland for the country to leave the U.K. and rejoin the European Union.
  3. China’s foreign minister calls the U.S. the “troublemaker of the world.” Chinese leaders are angry about U.S. support of Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protests.
  4. The Senate confirms the current Deputy Secretary of State, John Sullivan, to be U.S. Ambassador to Russia.
  5. After being delayed by the White House three times, the Senate finally passes a resolution recognizing the Armenian genocide.
  6. Trump’s senior aides further restrict who can listen in on his calls with foreign leaders. Fewer people also receive the transcripts of those calls.
  7. Dozens are injured when protests in Beirut, Lebanon, grow violent. Anti-Government demonstrations have been ongoing since October.
  8. Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protests have been going on for six months.
  9. India’s new citizenship law sets off destructive protests. The law offers Hindus and Christians in neighboring countries a path to citizenship, but doesn’t make the same offer to Muslims.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. A federal judge in Texas says Trump can’t use $3.6 billion in military funds to pay for his border wall. He says Trump’s emergency proclamation isn’t justified. The suit was brought by El Paso County, which doesn’t want the border wall in their section of the border.

Family Separation:

  1. Since the Trump administration ended its family separation policy at the southern border, the government has taken more than 1,100 children from their families.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Thousands of protestors march in Glasgow, Scotland, to protest the re-election of Boris Johnson, which many think was based on anti-immigration and protectionist sentiments.
  2. Ukraine’s in the news for a completely different reason. Kyiv hosts a “militant black metal” music festival, Asgardsrei, which has become a major networking center for international neo-Nazis. Asgardsrei was founded by a far-right Russian dissident.
  3. Trump signs a much-maligned executive order that extends protections to Jews under the Civil Rights Act. At first, the EO appears to redefine the Jewish religion as the Jewish ethnicity, but it actually spells out that since so many hate groups don’t differentiate the two, this is required to give needed protections from antisemitism.
  4. A federal judge rejects the Trump administration’s request to delay a case related to the handling of adding a citizenship question to the 2020 Census. The lawsuit is against Barr and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross for ignoring subpoenas.

Climate:

  1. Smoke has covered Sidney, Australia, for a month due to the high volume of wildfires burning there. The air at some points measured at 11 times the level considered hazardous.
  2. Greenland’s ice sheet is now losing about seven times the amount it was losing per year in the 1990s. The losses have doubled each decade.
  3. The percent of Americans calling climate change “a crisis” has jumped from 23% to 38% over the past five years. Over 75% of U.S. adults and teenagers think humans influence the climate. But they aren’t quite clear on the science or what human activities are the biggest contributors.
  4. This is more environmental than climate related, but a volcano erupts in New Zealand, killing at least eight people an injuring more. Seismologists had raised the alert level for volcanic activity, but tourists were still allowed on the island.
  5. Time Magazine names 16-year-old climate activist Greta Thunberg as its 2019 person of the year. Cue the social media bullying of a teenage activist. Trump joins in to mock her on Twitter. #BeBest
  6. The two-week UN Climate Summit in Madrid ends with disputes over implementing the Paris agreement. Countries are supposed to ratchet up implementation in 2020.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Trump has blocked appointments to the World Trade Organization’s dispute resolution court long enough to make the global watchdog ineffective.
    • The U.S. has been one of the biggest benefactors of a functioning WTO.
    • Trump has reduced the number on the court from 7 to 3, which means they don’t have enough members to issue a binding ruling. He’s doing with the FEC.
  1. Internal documents show that Betsy DeVos overrode career staff in the Department of Education’s Borrower Defense Unit when she decided that defrauded students should only get partial debt relief.
  2. House Democrats have been working on amendments to the updated NAFTA deal on workers’ rights, environmental protections, and prescription drug costs. Representatives of each country agree to the amendments.
    • This is one of Trump’s top priorities, but it still cracks me up that it’s basically NAFTA (the worst trade deal ever made, according to Trump) plus parts of the TPP (really the worst trade deal ever made, according to Trump) plus a few tweaks here and there. It needed to be modernized, but this is not groundbreaking.
  1. The U.S. and China reach a tentative phase 1 agreement to start winding down the trade war.
    • The U.S. suspends the tariffs slated to go into effect this week.
    • China cancels its retaliatory tariffs.
    • China agrees to increase purchases of U.S. goods by $200 billion over the next two years, including $32 billion in agriculture (that’ll almost make up the amount we’ll have paid in farm bailouts).
    • The deal also includes stronger protections for patents, copyrights, and trademarks.
  1. U.S. companies and consumers have been paying around $40 billion per year for Trump’s trade war with China.
  2. Congress reaches an agreement on a spending bill for 2020, averting a government shutdown.

Elections:

  1. A federal judge orders Georgia’s Governor Brian Kemp to submit to two hours of questioning for a lawsuit around irregularities in last year’s state elections. Kemp was the Secretary of State overseeing his own election in the race for governor.
  2. Trump threatens to not participate in the 2020 presidential debates because they aren’t fair.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Sinclair Broadcasting drops commentator Boris Epshteyn’s segments. Sinclair has been forcing its local stations to air his “news” segments that were actually right-wing propaganda pieces.
  2. Four months before the Mongolian government gave Donald Trump Jr. special treatment to obtain a hunting permit, Mongolian officials visited Mar-a-Lago.

Polls:

  1. A Fox News poll shows that 54% of U.S. adults think Trump should be impeached.
  2. 50% think he should be impeached and removed.
  3. 22% say what Trump did to Zelensky was OK.
  4. 52% say Trump hasn’t cooperated enough.

Week 151 in Trump – Impeachment News

Posted on December 19, 2019 in Impeachment, Trump

We’re getting down to the wire on impeachment this week, with the final Judiciary Committee hearings and drawing up the articles of impeachment. And by the time I publish this, all the suspense will be over, I’m sure.

Here’s what happened on the impeachment front for the week ending December 15…

General Happenings:

  1. Mike Pence refuses to release information to Adam Schiff about Pence’s call with Zelensky.
  2. A group of moderate Democrats brings up the idea of censure instead of impeachment. They’re mostly in risky districts where their re-election chances could hinge on this vote.
  3. In the middle of the impeachment hearings, a handful of House Democrats attend the White House Congressional Ball.
  4. Representative Jeff Van Drew says he’ll vote against impeachment and then switch parties to the Republican party.
    • Van Drew has a solid Democratic voting record and has only voted with Trump about 9% of the time.
    • He represents a Republican-leaning district where Trump won in 2016.
    • He spoke about this with Trump.
    • Last month, he swore he would remain a Democrat.
    • Six of his aides resign at the news, including his legislative director, communications director, and scheduler.
  1. Zelensky and Putin meet with other world leaders in Paris to discuss a peace agreement. There was no breakthrough in the meeting, which was sponsored by France and Germany.
    • They agree to a prisoner exchange and a cease-fire.
    • They don’t agree on a timeline for local elections nor on control of the borders.
  1. A coalition of veterans and national security groups call on Congress to “put country over politics” and support impeachment.
  2. In case you’re wondering whether impeachment will get a fair hearing in the Senate, Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham put that to rest this week.
    • In a Fox News interview with Sean Hannity, Mitch McConnell says:
      • Everything I do during this, I’m coordinating with the White House counsel. There will be no difference between the president’s position and our position as to how to handle this.”
      • We’ll be working through this process … in total coordination with the White House counsel’s office and the people representing the president in the well of the Senate.”
      • I’m going to take my cues from the president’s lawyers.”
      • I’m going to coordinate with the president’s lawyers.”
      • There’s no chance the president will be removed from office.”
    • Lindsey Graham says:
      • “I think what’s best for the country is to get this thing over with. I have clearly made up my mind. I’m not trying to hide the fact that I have disdain for the accusations in the process. So I don’t need any witnesses. … I am ready to vote on the underlying articles. I don’t really need to hear a lot of witnesses.”
      • I have made up my mind. I’m not trying to pretend to be a fair juror here.”
  1. Representative Val Demings calls on Mitch McConnell to recuse himself because a member of a jury cannot also serve as the defense attorney.
  2. McConnell and Graham want the trial over quickly and quietly, but Trump wants a spectacle.
  3. Chuck Schumer sends a letter to Mitch McConnell listing the witnesses they want to call for an impeachment trial in the Senate. His witness list includes administration officials that Trump previously prevented from testifying. McConnell rejects the request.
  4. Because of the delay in disbursing the military aid, Trump and Congress had to pass an extension; otherwise, the deadline would’ve passed and the funds would no longer be available. Around $20 million still hasn’t been disbursed.
  5. The Office of Management and Budget is now claiming that they withheld aid to study whether the spending complied with U.S. policy. They extended the hold on aid eight times in August and September.
  6. Trump goes on a Twitter tear mostly over impeachment, putting out 80 tweets in three hours, and then adding 20 more tweets for good measure. This is after he tweeted 105 times the previous Sunday.
  7. As the result of a FOIA request, the Trump administration releases heavily redacted communications from the Department of Defense and Office of Management and Budget that discuss the withholding of aid to Ukraine. Unfortunately, they’re so redacted there’s not much info to glean. The Center for Public Integrity is asking the judge to enforce greater transparency.

House Judiciary Committee Hearing:

The House Judiciary Committee holds a second hearing, this time to let the legal counsel from the majority and minority in the House Intelligence Committee present their cases.

  1. Barry Berke, counsel for the majority on the House Judiciary Committee, lays out how we got to impeachment:
    • The president abused his power by pressuring Zelensky to investigate a political opponent.
    • He then abused his power by ramping up that pressure and conditioning a wanted White House meeting and needed military aid.
    • He put his own political prospects over our national security.
    • This is supported by documents, actions, and sworn testimony, and is uncontradicted by contemporaneous records.
    • These are the uncontested facts he’s talking about:

      • Trump’s personal lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, pushed Ukraine to open an investigation into Trump’s political rival, Joe Biden.
      • Trump told his Ukraine advisors to talk to Rudy.
      • Trump’s Ukraine advisors told Ukraine officials there would be no White House meeting unless they announced investigations into Biden.
      • Trump then ordered that the military aid approved by Congress be withheld against the wishes of every government agency involved.
      • On the July 25th call, Trump told Zelensky to investigate Joe Biden and to investigate Ukraine interference in the 2016 election. Both would help Trump politically.
      • Trump released the military aid after two things: 1) Ukraine passed anti-corruption legislation, and 2) he learned about the whistleblower’s complaint.
  1. Republicans’ counsel counters with these points:
    • Democrats can’t get over that Trump is the president and they just disagree with Trump’s policies. They’re just afraid he’ll be re-elected.
    • Trump’s conduct doesn’t meet the level of high crimes and misdemeanors.
    • 63 million people voted for Trump, so we can’t impeach him.
    • Democrats have just been searching for a reason to impeach, and they’ve introduced several articles of impeachment. (They neglect to say that Democrats also voted against those articles.)
    • Democrats requested and subpoenaed Trump’s financial information.
    • The process has been too rushed.
    • Democrats should’ve allowed White House staff to testify with White House counsel present.
    • He talks about how the White House cooperated once with one investigation earlier this year as proof that they’re cooperative. (The White House has instructed zero cooperation with the impeachment inquiry.)
    • Zelensky has said there was no pressure, as have other Ukrainian officials. And they didn’t know that aid was withheld until it was published in the media.
    • Trump is skeptical of Ukraine and always has been. He also doesn’t think Europe is doing enough to help Ukraine.
    • The voters can decide in the next elections. (This is the most disingenuous argument to me. Voters don’t judge the president on legalities; that’s the job of Congress. It’s why we have impeachment in the constitution.)
  1. I don’t see anything here that supports the Republican case except Ukraine officials not knowing about the aid being suspended. But that is contradicted by multiple witnesses who were fielding earlier calls from those officials. Even Zelensky now says that withholding aid was wrong.
  2. This is how seriously the Republicans’ lawyer is taking this:
    • He says the chief allegation that the impeachment query has been trying to assess over the past several days is this — whether Trump abused the power of his office through quid pro quo, extortion, or “whatever”. Whatever. He brushed it off as “whatever.”
  1. Republicans put up posters in the hearing that attack and mock Democrats. The posters are strategically placed to be caught on television cameras.

Article of Impeachment:

After a marathon debate and an overnight postponement, the House Judiciary Committee approves two articles of impeachment in a 100% party-line vote. They do not include any obstructive acts related to the Mueller investigation. Democrats felt that they were too complicated to include at this time. Here‘s the substance of the articles (read the full text here):

Abuse of Power:

  1. Trump solicited a foreign government to interfere in the 2020 elections to his advantage and compromised our national security in so doing.
  2. He pressured Ukraine to do this by conditioning official U.S. government acts of significant value to Ukraine on investigations into Joe Biden and a discredited Russian theory that Ukraine interfered in the 2016 elections.
  3. Trump conditioned military aid and a head of state meeting on getting those investigations.
  4. Even though the aid was eventually released, Trump has continued to pressure Ukraine for the investigations.
  5. He will continue this pattern of corruption.

Obstruction of Congress:

  1. Trump directed ultimate defiance of House subpoenas, a right accorded to the House by their “sole Power of Impeachment.”
  2. He ordered the White House to defy a lawful subpoena of documents.
  3. He ordered the State Department, Office of Management and Budget, Department of Energy, and Department of Defense to also defy their subpoenas.
  4. He ordered John Michael “Mick” Mulvaney, Robert B. Blair, John A. Eisenberg, Michael Ellis, Preston Wells Griffith, Russell T. Vought, Michael Duffey, Brian McCormack, and T. Ulrich Brechbuhl not to comply with the inquiry.
  5. The purpose of the obstruction was to cover up his own repeated misconduct.

More Trouble for Parnas, Fruman, and Giuliani… And Now Nunes:

  1. Prosecutors ask a judge to revoke Lev Parnas’ bail. They discovered that Parnas had received an unreported $1 million payment from a Ukrainian oligarch suspected to be Dmytro Firtash.
  2. As Giuliani taxis down the runway on his return from Kyiv (where he met with former Ukraine prosecutors in an effort to clear Trump of the impeachment charges), Trump calls him to ask “What did you get?”
    • Giuliani replies, “More than you can imagine.”
    • Trump says Giuliani wants to testify in the impeachment inquiry about what he’s learned. Oh lordy, I hope they let him.
  1. Bill Barr tells Trump that Giuliani is a liability and a problem for the administration.

Week 150 in Trump

Posted on December 12, 2019 in Politics, Trump

I'm thinking you just shouldn't mess with her. Just don't do it.

You just can’t make up all the things that get uncovered by investigations surrounding this administration. This week, the guy who was trying to facilitate back-channel meetings between Trump transition staff and foreign officials was also behind a scheme to funnel money from the UAE into Democratic campaigns and PACs in 2016, including millions to Hillary Clinton’s campaign and PACs. And then when Hillary didn’t win, he and his cohorts started funneling money to Trump. This guy is an equal opportunity grifter. I can’t wait to see how this story develops.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending December 8…

Shootings This Week:

There were FOUR mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 9 people and injure 17 more. Unfortunately, one is being investigated as an international terrorist attack.

  1. A shooter kills 2 people and injures 2 people in Montgomery AL, in what seems to be a drug-related shooting.
  2. A shooter kills 2 people and injures 3 more in a home in DeSoto, TX.
  3. A shooter kills 1 person and injures 4 outside a bar in New Orleans.
  4. A Saudi national who was here for flight training kills 3 people on a Pensacola, Fl, base and injures 8 more. He was in the U.S. as part of a training program that included aviation and English training, and he’d been here since August 2017. He was killed during the shooting. Trump speaks with the King of Saudi Arabia, who expresses his condolences. The program that brings Saudi soldiers here for training is facing heavy scrutiny.

Russia:

  1. Lisa Page, the FBI agent whose text messages with Peter Strzok were released as part of the investigation into the Russia investigation, opens up about what it’s been like to stay silent while Trump bullies her over and over again.
  1. Even before the DOJ’s inspector general releases his findings on the FISA warrants for surveilling Carter Page, Attorney General Bill Barr says he disagrees with the findings. The report is expected to state that the FBI was justified in opening the investigation, but that FBI personnel made some missteps.
    • IMO, Barr has kind of backed himself into a corner here by going all-in on conspiracy theories being spread by the administration. If he accepts his IG’s findings, he’s basically saying that everything he’s been saying and pushing for during his time as attorney general is wrong.
    • I’m sure we’ll get a repeat of Barr’s disinformation about the Mueller report when the report is released.
    • One thing the report is expected to show is that Josef Mifsud, the Maltese professor who told George Papadopoulos that Russians had dirt on Hillary, is not a U.S. intelligence asset who was planted as part of a sting operation. U.S. Attorney John Durham, who’s running a second investigation for Barr, says his findings so far back that up.
  1. The DOJ releases additional documents from the Mueller investigation as part of a FOIA request. Here are a few things we learn in this week’s release:
    • Rob Rosenstein and Jeff Sessions considered replacing James Comey during the transition. Rosenstein thought Comey’s public comments about the investigation into Hillary’s emails violated DOJ rules.
    • However, Rosenstein was “angry, ashamed, horrified, and embarrassed” by how Comey’s firing went down. He also knew the White House was lying about it.
    • Pence was the one who pushed Trump to fire Michael Flynn for lying to him.
    • Rudy Giuliani turned down the Attorney General position because he wanted to be Secretary of State instead.
    • Jay Sekulow, White House lawyer, told Michael Cohen not to testify about certain details of the Trump Tower meeting set up by Donald Trump Jr. with Russians who said they had dirt on Hillary.
    • Paul Manafort tried to convince Rick Gates not to cooperate with the investigation, saying that Trump was supported Gates. Remember that after being convicted on several counts, Manafort agreed to cooperate, but then lied to Mueller and fed information about the investigation to the White House.
    • John Kelly backs up Don McGahn’s testimony that Trump asked him to fire Mueller. Much of this is redacted, so I don’t know if this is part of an ongoing case.
  1. Last summer, Russia state TV ran a special report titled “Ukrainian Interference.” Just in case you’re wondering where that particular conspiracy theory came from. What does Putin have to say about all this?

“Thank God nobody is accusing us any more of interfering in U.S. elections… Now they’re accusing Ukraine. Well, let them sort this out among themselves.”

  1. The World Anti-Doping Agency once again bans Russia from competing in the Olympics. Clean Russian athletes can still compete as unaffiliated athletes.

Legal Fallout:

  1. Representative Duncan Hunter (R-CA) pleads guilty to conspiracy to use campaign funds for personal use. Hunter has maintained his innocence for a year and a half, and he continued his run for Congress even after he was indicted on 60 counts.
    • If you don’t know what he was indicted on, the court filing is worth the read. Charges include using campaign funds to fly their pet bunny in an airplane seat, falsely claiming donations to veterans organizations, using campaign funds for family vacations (to Italy, Hawaii, Las Vegas, and others), concealing their campaign fund spending, spending campaign funds to date his mistresses, and so much more.
    • He says he’s just taking a plea deal for his family, though he didn’t hesitate to throw his wife under the bus when the indictments dropped.
    • He resigns from Congress, date TBD. The House Ethics Committee instructs him to stop voting in the House. What took so long? He’s been under 60 indictments all year.
    • Hunter appealed his case in July even though his trial hadn’t even begun.
  1. A federal appeals court again rules that Congress can see Trump’s banking records as part of their investigations into potential foreign influence and other misconduct. Trump asks the Supreme Court to block the subpoena.
  2. George Nader is in the news again (he was a figure in the Mueller investigation). He was part of a scheme with Ahmad Khawaja and others to funnel foreign money into mostly democratic campaigns and organizations during the 2016 elections.
    • They hid the source of $3.5 million in campaign donations (the money came from the United Arab Emirates).
    • But lest you think these guys aren’t mercenaries, they also cultivated Trump campaign contacts and funneled money to Trump and his political organizations. After the election, they made a major pivot from donating to Democratic causes to donating to Republican causes.
    • The indictment implies that Khawaja hosted a fundraiser for Hillary Clinton, but doesn’t say that outright. Khawaja also hosted a reception for an elected official in 2018. There’s also no evidence that the recipients of the funds, Republican or Democrat, were aware of the source.
    • Nader is already in federal custody for other charges. That guy’s bad news.
    • Khawaja has previously been charged with helping other websites launder money. He’s also bad news.
  1. Trump is making money off his campaign by renting office space to re-election committees. $1.7 million so far.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. For the first time in over ten years, the Supreme Court hears arguments on a gun rights case. Gun owners are fighting New York’s strict rules for having a handgun at home. However, this is moot because New York already loosened up the rules.
  2. Republicans confirm yet another judge who’s rated as ‘not qualified’ to a permanent seat on a federal court.

Healthcare:

  1. State lawmakers from both sides of the aisle got assistance from lobbyists in writing op-eds opposing Medicare for All.
    • I get that we need issues experts to help craft our policies and our laws, but it’s out-of-control, with a handful of groups crafting so much of what goes on at the state level. You can tell by the cookie-cutter legislation that gets passed.
  1. With a new Democratic majority in the state House and Senate, Virginia begins to remove the work requirements for Medicaid.

International:

  1. A bipartisan group of Senators asks Trump to sanction Turkey before the upcoming NATO meetings. After Turkey purchased Russian technologies that could be used to gather intelligence on our F-35 stealth fighter jets, we removed Turkey from our F-35 program.
  2. Trump has a closed-door meeting with Turkish President Erdogan at the NATO leaders meeting.
  3. Wow. I guess all you need to do to get Trump to defend your interests is to argue against your own interests. In a sit-down before the NATO leaders meeting, French President Emmanuel Macron gets Trump to defend NATO by criticizing it. It was a pretty amazing thing.
    • Trump is likely still smarting from Macron’s earlier statement about NATO suffering brain death because of American leadership.
  1. And speaking of the NATO meetings, it’s not an awesome couple of days for Trump:
    • A group of foreign leaders — Emmanuel Macron, Justin Trudeau, Boris Johnson, Princess Anne, and Mark Rutte — get caught on video at a reception kvetching about Trump and making a little fun of him.
    • Trudeau was defending himself being late for something, and said it was because Trump turned a 10-minute press conference into a 40-minute one (he did that with three press conferences that day).
    • Upon learning of this, Trump calls Trudeau two-faced, cancels a press conference, and leaves the summit early. Then Trump gets caught on audio saying, “That was funny when I said that guy was two-faced.”
  1. Iranian President Rouhani calls for the release of innocent, unarmed protestors who were detained during the recent protests.
  2. North Korea says that our earlier negotiations were just a “foolish trick,” and we should expect a Christmas present from them, likely in the form of a missile test.
  3. After North Korea launches a “successful test of great significance,” Trump warns that Kim Jong Un risks losing everything if they resume hostilities.
  4. A gun battle between Mexican law enforcement and cartel members near the southern border leaves 21 people dead. Most of the dead were cartel members.
  5. At the request of the White House, Senator Kevin Cramer (R-ND) blocks an effort to pass a resolution recognizing the Armenian genocide.
    • He’s the third Republican tasked by the White House to block the resolution, so it’s been blocked three times. They all use the same reason… it’s not the right time.
    • Two years ago, Cramer expressed his appreciation to Dean Cain (former Superman) for raising awareness of the Armenian genocide. He was also the sponsor of a similar resolution when he was in the House.
  1. China warns the U.S. against passing legislation criticizing their treatment of Uighur Muslims, especially during a trade war.
  2. Even though he’s under indictment, Benjamin Netanyahu is gearing up for his next campaign for Prime Minister of Israel. He recently met with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to discuss Iran, the Israeli annexation of the Jordan Valley in the West Bank, and a U.S.-Israel defense treaty.
  3. Trump considers sending an additional 14,000 troops to the Mideast to counter Iran. He’s already sent 14,000 troops to the Mideast since May.
  4. Hundreds of thousands of demonstrators turn out to march in Hong Kong for Human Rights Day. The march is mostly peaceful, but peppered with some vandalism.
  5. Worker protests continue in France, while anti-government protests continue in Chile. I can’t even stay on top of all the global protests anymore. Even Haitians are protesting systemic corruption in their country.
  6. Youth activists fill the street of Madrid as part of a global climate protest during the UN’s COP25 climate change conference.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. The Senate passes a bill to permanently fund historically black colleges and universities and other minority-serving institutions. The House has already passed it, so it’ll go to Trump for a signature.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. Trump pressured the Army Corps of Engineers to award a contract to a North Dakota company, Fisher Sand and Gravel, whose owner is a frequent Fox News guest. Officials argued against it because the bid did not meet the standards. Fisher got the contract.
    • Fisher was also hired by Build the Wall, the private organization that fundraised to help Trump build his wall.
    • Fisher has a record of environmental and tax violations.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Trump is the first president since before Reagan who works to decrease the number of refugees we accept rather than expand our very successful programs for resettling refugees. Trump wants to reverse our progress, but the sentiment is different at a local level:
    • After Trump gave states the ability to decline to accept refugees, the Republican governor of Utah wrote to Trump asking for more. He said people in Utah “love giving them a new home and a new life.” He also says refugees become productive and responsible members of their communities.
    • On the flip side, Burleigh County, North Dakota is considering a vote on whether to become the first county in the U.S. to refuse resettled refugees.
  1. Attorney General Bill Barr has given some wacky speeches lately. This week he says that if some communities don’t start showing law enforcement a little respect, maybe they won’t get any police protection.
  2. George Zimmerman sues the family of Trayvon Martin for defamation. Huh? Zimmerman killed Trayvon as he was walking home one night, and got off on Florida’s Stand Your Ground law (thank you ALEC). Zimmerman’s suing for more than $100 million. Oh, and his lawyer thinks Obama is a secret Muslim who was born in Kenya. Hoo boy.
  3. Officials at the southern border confiscate migrant children’s medications, including life-saving ones like asthma inhalers.
  4. Video of a boy who died in ICE custody last May shows that he was in pain and distress for hours before dying from the flu. The video also shows that agents lied about some of the facts involved, including who found the body and whether they checked on him.
  5. Outside lawyers find that Medicare chief Seema Veerma‘s allegations of sexual discrimination in DHHS are unsubstantiated. They also uncovered a super contentious work relationship between her and her boss, DHHS Secretary Alex Azar.
  6. In a speech to the Israeli American Council, Trump lets his antisemite flag fly:

“You’re not nice people at all, but you have to vote for me. You have no choice. You’re not going to vote for Pocahontas, I can tell you that. You’re not going to vote for the wealth tax!”

  1. DHS is considering taking pictures of everyone who enters and leaves the country as part of a facial recognition program. This includes U.S. citizens.

Climate:

  1. Trump skips the 2019 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Madrid, but Nancy Pelosi brings a delegation in his place. Fourteen Democrats accompany her, but none of the Republican lawmakers they invited agreed to come.
  2. In a complaint about water conservation bathroom fixtures, Trump says this:

“You turn on the faucet and you don’t get any water. They take a shower and water comes dripping out. Just dripping out, very quietly dripping out. People are flushing toilets 10 times, 15 times, as opposed to once.”

  1. And he says this:

“There may be some areas where we’ll go the other route — desert areas — but for the most part you have many states where they have so much water — it comes down, it’s called rain. They don’t know what to do with it.”

  1. He says the EPA is looking into this. I’m sorry, but if you have to flush 15 times, either you’re broken or your toilet is.
  2. Months after receiving a huge backlash for proposing to authorize the use of “cyanide bombs” to poison coyotes, foxes, and feral dogs, the EPA announces that they’re going forward with their proposal.
  3. Spain’s biggest gas and oil company makes a promise to become a net-zero carbon emitter by 2050.

Budget/Economy:

  1. AK Steel agrees to be purchased by a mining company in a deal worth around $1 billion. That’s less than half what AK Steel’s value was before the trade wars began.
  2. The Dow Jones drops three days in a row after Trump warns that the trade deal with China might not happen until after the elections next year. He says that tariffs will remain until the deal is done.
  3. Trump announces tariffs on metals from Brazil and Argentina, and threatens harsher tariffs on French goods. The reason is, unsurprisingly, that he doesn’t think they’re being fair to us (everything’s so unfair!).
    • The unexpected announcement goes against their 2018 agreement, where Brazil and Argentina would accept quotas on their shipments instead of having tariffs imposed.
  1. Manufacturing jobs have not only stalled, but are moving into the negative, after receiving a big boost when Trump was elected. The trade war with China undid much of that progress.
    • Typically trade policies pinch either farmers or manufacturing, but current policies are hitting both sectors.
    • The effects of the trade wars are just starting to be seen, so companies are bracing for harder times.
  1. Nancy Pelosi is pushing to modify Trump’s updated NAFTA agreement by removing certain legal protections for online content because it prevents Congress from making future changes. Pelosi questions whether that should be in our trade pacts or enshrined in U.S. law. The House is finalizing their changes to Trump’s updated NAFTA agreement (USMCA), and expects a vote next week.
  2. Job growth in November was 266,000, getting a little boost from the end of the GM worker strike. The unemployment rate and the numbers of unemployed were little changed.
  3. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits decreased to its lowest level in seven months—close to a 50-year low. It’s partly attributable to Thanksgiving.
  4. The Trump administration formalizes a new rule for work requirements for SNAP recipients, which could cause up to 700,000 people to lose food assistance.

Elections:

  1. After Mike Bloomberg enters the Democratic presidential primary race, his media outlet, Bloomberg News, announces they won’t do any investigative journalism into any of the Democratic primary candidates. Trump’s 2020 campaign then announces that they won’t give Bloomberg News press credentials to cover Trump’s campaign events.
  2. I’m sure you noticed that I haven’t been reporting on any Democratic presidential campaign activities. I’m waiting for things to shake out a bit and hopefully narrow down, and then I’ll dive in.
  3. The House votes to restore those parts of the Voting Rights Act that were struck down by the Supreme Court. The court’s argument was that we’re in a post-racial society so we don’t need those kinds of rules anymore. The vote was along party lines, and it likely won’t pass the Senate.
  4. North Carolina judges rule that the latest version of electoral maps will be used in the 2020 elections. The judges also say there’s not enough time between now and the primaries to determine whether they’re still gerrymandered, so that’s weird.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump makes an unannounced visit to Dover Air Force Base to receive the remains of two slain soldiers who were killed in Afghanistan.
  2. Trump further strains relations with the Pentagon when he brings two of the soldiers he pardoned onto the stage with him at a fundraiser. These guys were convicted of war crimes. Military leaders fear the pardons undermine the rules of military conduct.

Week 150 in Trump – Impeachment News

Posted on December 12, 2019 in Impeachment, Trump

Doug Collins, acting like a grown up and taking the hearings seriously.

This week, both the Democrats and Republicans on the impeachment committees release their reports on the hearings for their handoff to the Judiciary Committee. I know it’s a lot to read, but if you didn’t watch the hearings, you should at least read both executive summaries and conclusions. And if you don’t have time for that, read through the tables of contents. You’ll get the gist, if not the full story.

Here’s what happened on the impeachment front for the week ending December 8…

General Happenings:

  1. In an interview, Ukraine President Zelensky says he’s learned not to trust anyone at all, and he’s lowered his expectations with both Russia in terms of the peace talks and the U.S. in terms of support.
    • He says Ukraine doesn’t stand a chance against Russia without the support of the U.S.
    • Trump is continually indicating to other countries that Ukraine is corrupt, which makes Zelensky concerned about future support.
    • He says he and Trump never discussed the hold on military aid, but he does question the fairness of it.
    • Kurt Volker was trying to get the U.S. to play a larger role in the peace process.
    • Zelensky doesn’t want Ukraine to be seen as just a pawn in the global game. They won’t be used as a bargaining chip.
  1. House Democrats consider adding the items of obstruction listed in Mueller’s report to their articles of impeachment.
  2. In a tweet, Trump praises Senator John Kennedy (R-LA) for defending Trump on Meet the Press by pushing the debunked theories about Ukrainian officials meddling in the 2016 elections to help Clinton.
    • Kennedy brings up a court ruling in Ukraine that said releasing the black ledger constituted interference, but neglects to mention that the ruling has since been overturned.
    • He also says he got some of his information from the Financial Times, but no one at FT can figure out what he’s talking about.
    • Kennedy says he missed the Senate intelligence briefing where officials warned Senators that this was all Russian propaganda and that Russia has been engaged in a years-long campaign to frame Ukraine as being responsible for election meddling in 2016. With intelligence agencies warning that Russia will step up their efforts in 2020, we are screwed if an entire party believes Russian propaganda.
  1. Nancy Pelosi calls for the House to draw up articles of impeachment.
    • During the Judiciary Committee hearing, House Democrats indicate three areas of impeachment: abuse of power and bribery, obstruction of Congress, and obstruction of justice. This indicates they might be including Robert Mueller’s findings of obstruction into the impeachment articles.
  1. Senate Intelligence Committee Chair Richard Burr (R-NC) says that Ukraine meets the standard for election meddling that people first held Russia to. By that, he means that Russia preferred Trump, and Ukraine preferred Clinton.
    • That’s muddying the waters a bit because he doesn’t compare what Russia actually did to what Ukraine actually did (probably because they aren’t comparable).
    • Burr refuses to directly answer whether what Ukraine did could be considered meddling.
    • Also, most foreign leaders had a preference for one over the other. Were they all meddling?
  1. The White House disputes some of the calls recorded in the call logs and listed in the impeachment report, but those came directly from the provider, so it’s not clear what they’re disputing.
  2. Nancy Pelosi dresses down a reporter who asks if she hates Trump. The essence of it all is that no, she doesn’t. She has policy disagreements with him, but impeachment is a separate thing about the constitution and violations of the oath of office.
    • Trump then describes her response has her having a nervous fit.
    • Kevin McCarthy backtracks three times when asked about whether he thinks Pelosi hates Trump, as he often claims.
  1. Trump frequently used an unsecured cell phone to have discussions with Giuliani and others involved in the Ukraine affair.
  2. 500 legal experts sign on to a letter saying Trump committed impeachment offenses. They write: “Put simply, if a President cheats in his effort at re-election, trusting the democratic process to serve as a check through that election is no remedy at all. That is what impeachment is for.”

Democrat Majority Report:

The Democrats’ report tries to lay out the evidence for their assertions that Trump abused the power of his office by orchestrating a pressure campaign to get Ukraine President Zelensky to open investigations into a potential 2020 election rival and into theories that Ukraine meddled in our 2016 elections. In return, Trump would give Zelensky a White House meeting, and he later withheld military aid on those conditions as well.

Here are some highlights. Again, if you’ve been watching the hearings, there won’t be much that’s new here.

  1. The report says Trump “placed his own personal and political interests” ahead of U.S. national interests, “subverted U.S. foreign policy toward Ukraine and undermined our national security in favor of two politically motivated investigations that would help his presidential re-election campaign.”
  2. Trump tried to hide his actions from Congress and the public by blocking subpoenas for documents and witnesses. He also tried to intimidate witnesses, some while they were actually testifying.
  3. The report alleges that:
    • Trump forced out U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Marie Yovanovitch.
    • He put four people in charge of Ukraine affairs: Rudy Giuliani, Rick Perry, Kurt Volker, and Gordon Sondland.
    • He froze military aid to Ukraine against the advice of state and foreign officials and over their objections. Democrats say the release was conditioned on an announcement of the investigations.
    • A White House meeting between Trump and Ukraine was conditioned on a public announcement of the investigations, which Democrats say constitutes using the power of the office to pressure a foreign government to interfere in our elections for his own benefit.
  1. Democrats say the call was improper. After Zelensky brought up military aid, Trump responded by asking for a favor. Here are the relevant passages:

Zelensky: I would also like to thank you for your great support in the area of defense. We are ready to continue to cooperate for the next steps specifically we are almost ready to buy more Javelins from the United States for defense purposes.

Trump: I would like you to do us a favor though because our country has been through a lot and Ukraine knows a lot about it. I would like you to find out what happened with this whole situation with Ukraine, they say Crowdstrike …” (This is about his notion that there’s a physical DNC server somewhere in Ukraine.)

And then later, Trump adds: “The other thing, there’s a lot of talk about Biden’s son, that Biden stopped the prosecution and a lot of people want to find out about that so whatever you can do with the Attorney General would be great. Biden went around bragging that he stopped the prosecution so if you can look into it… It sounds horrible to me.”

  1. The call is only a part of the pressure campaign, which was actually months long and started with the previous Ukraine president.
  2. The scheme undermined our own national security, as well as Ukraine’s.
  3. The Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of Energy, Acting Chief of Staff, and others all knew about the campaign. This jibes with Gordon Sondland’s testimony.
  4. Along with all the other testimony, Mick Mulvaney, Acting Chief of Staff and head of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), admitted on television that military aid was tied to the public announcement of investigations into the Bidens and said we should all just get over it.
  5. The testimony was very consistent across all witnesses and showed very little discrepancy. It also corroborated the whistleblower complaint for the most part.
  6. The investigation is still ongoing because of the White House’s and State Department’s lack of response to subpoenas.
  7. The report gives reasons for not waiting for the 2020 elections to decide this issue.
    • If this is all true, the president of the United States solicited foreign interference in the 2020 elections, so how can we be assured of a free and fair election?
    • Future presidents have to know they can’t get away with this kind of abuse of power.
    • Trump saw first hand the damage foreign interference did to the country in 2016, yet he continues to invite it. Even as this investigation was getting underway, Trump invited China to open investigations that would interfere in our 2020 elections. So it’s not like he’s learned from any of this.
  1. The report includes new call-log evidence showing calls Giuliani had with the White House, Mike Pompeo, John Bolton, Devin Nunes, Sean Hannity, and Lev Parnas. The calls with administration officials happened while Giuliani was smearing Ambassador Marie Yovanovitch.
  2. Call logs also show phone calls between Devin Nunes and Lev Parnas, which might explain why Nunes has been pushing Ukraine conspiracy theories so hard during the hearings.
  3. Pete Sessions, who was a Representative for Texas at the time, sent Mike Pompeo a letter claiming that Yovanovitch was disparaging Trump. This was reported by John Solomon, and Trump, Donald Trump Jr, and Rudy Giuliani amplified the message on social media.
  4. Call logs show that journalist John Solomon was also in contact with Lev Parnas.
  5. There’s a lack of call logs supporting the phone call Gordon Sondland testified to where he says Trump told him there was no quid pro quo (but then went on to ask for the announcement of the investigations). That doesn’t mean the call didn’t happen, but now it’s in question.

Republican Minority Report:

Republicans try to get out ahead of the majority report on impeachment hearings and issue their own report the day before. Here are some highlights. It’s mostly what they’ve been saying all along, including debunked conspiracy theories and ignored evidence. IMO, these just get in the way of their arguments that actually do have merit. I’m not correcting the debunked claims in their report; I’m just letting you know what they said.

  1. The Democrats are just trying to undo the will of 63 million Americans and overturn an election. They’ve already introduced four articles of impeachment since Trump was elected.
  2. None of the witnesses “testified to having evidence of bribery, extortion, or any high crime or misdemeanor.”
  3. The evidence doesn’t support the allegations of obstruction of justice from the White House.
  4. The “do us a favor though…” part of the call doesn’t indicate a quid pro quo.
  5. Trump thinks Ukraine is corrupt.
  6. They dismiss the pressure for investigations by saying the call summary only mentions the Bidens in passing. Here’s the passage:

The other thing, There’s a lot of talk about Biden’s son, that Biden stopped the prosecution and a lot of people want to find out about that so whatever you can do with the Attorney General would be great. Biden went around bragging that he stopped the prosecution so if you can look into it… It sounds horrible to me.”

  1. Trump extended an invitation to Zelensky for a White House meeting three times.
  2. Trump and Zelensky met at the UN General Assembly, so they did have the requested meeting.
  3. Ukrainian officials didn’t know anything about the hold in military aid until the media published a story about it in August.
  4. There was nothing improper about the call. National Security Council leadership didn’t see the call as improper.
  5. Trump just wanted the rest of Europe to help shoulder the burden.
  6. Ukrainian officials were pro-Hillary and anti-Trump in the 2016 elections.
  7. The op-ed written by the Ukraine Ambassador to the U.S. in response to Trump saying Putin wouldn’t go into Ukraine was an attack against Trump.
  8. Trump only released aid after Zelensky proved his anti-corruption chops. Zelensky didn’t even announce investigations.
  9. We should take Ukrainian officials at their word when they say there was no pressure, that they were feeling good.
  10. Also, even if Trump pressured him, it wouldn’t be improper.
  11. Trump gave Ukraine javelin missiles—way better than the night goggles and blankets Obama gave them.
  12. The Democrat’s accusations are based on speculation.
  13. According to this report, Republicans have no regard for our long-serving diplomatic and foreign officials, calling them “unelected bureaucrats.”
  14. There was nothing illicit about having a shadow policy with Ukraine run by Volker, Perry, Sondland, and Giuliani.
  15. There’s nothing wrong with asking for an investigation into the Bidens.
  16. They accuse Democrats of not being transparent, of deception, and of selective leaking.
  17. The private hearings weren’t fair, the public hearings weren’t fair, and it wasn’t fair that Trump couldn’t defend himself.
  18. A DNC operative worked with Ukrainian officials to dig up dirt on Trump in the 2016 elections.

House Judiciary Committee Hearing:

  1. Four constitutional scholars testify before the House Judiciary Committee—three called by the Democratic majority (Noah Feldman, Michael Gerhardt, and Pamela Karlan), and one by the Republican minority (Jonathon Turley). The purpose here is not to question the facts of the case; the purpose is to learn about the constitutional law surrounding impeachment and how the facts learned so far fit into that framework.
  2. Trump and his lawyers were invited to participate, but they decline, accusing Nadler of purposely scheduling the hearing while Trump is at the NATO leaders meeting. I doubt they expected Trump to appear, but his lawyers could have shown up.
  3. The three called by Democrats say that by pressuring Ukraine for political gain, Trump clearly committed impeachable offenses.
  4. Feldman spells out that the impeachable offenses include withholding military aid and a White House meeting (which still hasn’t happened, by the way) as leverage for political favors, as well as soliciting foreign assistance (which Trump did on the phone call). Specifically, Trump “corruptly” solicited “Zelensky to announce investigations of his political rivals in order to gain personal advantage, including in the 2020 presidential election.”
  5. Gerhardt says Trump committed several impeachable acts and that his actions were worse than Richard Nixon in Watergate. He also warns that Trump will continue this behavior if left unchecked.
  6. Karlan says that strong-arming a foreign leader in that way is not politics as usual by any historical standards.
  7. Turley says that the process shouldn’t be rushed and that more evidence is needed, but doesn’t dispute that asking a foreign government to interfere in our elections is impeachable.
    • He compares this to Clinton’s impeachment hearings, which lasted 72 days. This one’s lasted that long as well.
    • He puts forth the size of the documentation against Clinton during his impeachment. Remember that Clinton had been investigated for more than five years before his impeachment.
    • If the White House were to comply with all subpoenas, the evidence in this case would also be more sizable.
  1. Turley does agree that if the quid pro quo can be proven, then it is indeed impeachable. He never says there’s no impeachable offense here.
  2. Turley was also a constitutional scholar witness for Bill Clinton’s impeachment hearings.
  3. Karlan takes Representative Doug Collins (R-GA) to task for accusing the scholars of failing to have knowledge of any of the facts. She responds that she read the transcript of every single fact witness, because that’s what lawyers do.
  4. Karlan also catches flack for saying, “The Constitution says there can be no titles of nobility. While the president can name his son Barron, he can’t make him a baron.” She later apologizes for the remark.
  5. Feldman argues that the essential definition of high crimes and misdemeanors is abuse of office. He also says that it’s OK to ask a foreign power for something for the benefit of the United States, but not for your own personal or political benefit.
  6. Gerhardt warns that if left unchecked, Trump will continue his pattern of soliciting foreign interference (off the top of my head, he’s asked Russia, pressured Ukraine, and said China should do it, too).
  7. Questioners from each party focus on the witness that their party called up. That’s too bad, because we would’ve had a much more robust discussion had they mixed it up.
  8. Several Republican lawmakers accuse the three scholars called by Republicans of having an anti-Trump bias (as they do with every expert that doesn’t agree with them). Tom McClintock even asks them to raise their hands if they voted for Trump. We all have a right to a private ballot, and when no one raises their hand, one of the lawyers reminds McClintock that this shouldn’t be misconstrued as an answer.
  9. The scholars had an interesting discussion on what constitutes bribery, some arguing the definition should be narrow and some arguing that for impeachment purposes the definition is broader than other federal statutes. Karlan argues that the framers of the constitution would consider what Trump did to be bribery, but Turley argues that Trump did not commit federal crimes (a Republican staff lawyer helpfully suggests his actions could be misdemeanors).
  10. Lest you think the hearings weren’t filled with partisan fighting, it started within the first hour, with Republicans interrupting the proceedings with motions designed to delay the proceedings (we were told the day before that this would happen). They also called on Adam Schiff, who is not a relevant witness in this particular hearing, to testify.
  11. Throughout the hearing, Representative Doug Collins (R-GA) squeezes a stress ball. I don’t think it was working…

More Trouble for Parnas, Fruman, and Giuliani… And Now Nunes:

  1. Nunes, the top Republican on the impeachment committee, appears in the majority report. Nunes has been having multiple conversations with Giuliani this whole time.
  2. Prosecutors say the House Judiciary Committee is likely to issue a superseding indictment against Lev Parnas and Igor Fruman, and charges could be added or changed soon.
  3. Ever unaware of optics, Giuliani travels to Kyiv and Budapest to meet with former Ukrainian prosecutors about a documentary series that he thinks will exonerate Trump in the impeachment case.
    • All three of the prosecutors he met with have faced allegations of corruption.
    • It was Giuliani’s initial interactions with this cast of characters that set the wheels in motion for impeachment.
    • The documentary will be aired on OAN, so he’s just preaching to the choir.

Week 149 in Trump

Posted on December 4, 2019 in Politics, Trump

Google searches for "narwhal" spiked after a Brit fought off a terrorist attack with a nearby narwhal tusk.

Here’s how conspiracy theories start. Fox News airs a segment saying that liberals have launched a war on Thanksgiving and they want to change the name. So Trump, of course, brings it up in a campaign rally shortly after he watches the segment, and he makes a really big deal about it. The next day, on Fox & Friends, they ponder over where on earth Trump could’ve come up with the idea that there’s a war on Thanksgiving. Maybe, they say, it’s because there was a rumor that Obama wanted to change it back in 2015 or so? So not only did the Fox network manage to distance itself from being the source of the rumor, but then they manage to tie it to Obama! And now, a good chunk of Trump’s base thinks that there’s a war on Thanksgiving. Yikes.

Here’s what happened in politics for the week ending December 1…

Shootings This Week:

There were NINE mass shootings in the U.S. this week (defined as killing and/or injuring 4 or more people). Shooters kill 8 people and injure 41 more.

  1. In Brownsville, FL, two shooters kill 2 people and injure 2 more in a drive-by shooting.
  2. In the Bronx, a shooter fires into a crowd in the middle of the day and injures 5 people (including 2 children).
  3. In Amarillo, TX, a shooter injures 7 people at the Hogg Penn nightclub.
  4. In Hensley, AR, a shooter injures 5 people, leading to a 7-hour standoff.
  5. In New Orleans, LA, a shooter injures 10 people near the French Quarter after the Bayou Classic football game.
  6. Hours later, again in New Orleans, a shooter kills 2 people and injures 2 more in the 7th Ward.
  7. In Aurora, IL, a shooter kills 1 person and injures 5 more. The young man who died survived a previous gunshot wound when he was just 3 years old.
  8. In Cotton Valley, LA, a shooter kills 2 people and injures 3 more at The Vibe nightclub.
  9. In Kalamazoo, MI, a shooter holds a family hostage and then kills 1 and injures 3. The injured were all police officers responding at the scene, so I’m not sure if that qualifies as a mass shooting?

Russia:

  1. A federal court rules that top presidential advisers cannot ignore congressional subpoenas. This is for Don McGahn’s case where he was subpoenaed to appear before the House, but Trump claimed executive privilege. The court rules that he must testify and that “no one is above the law.” This could affect White House officials who’ve so far refused to cooperate with the impeachment hearings, but it’s also likely to get appealed.
    • The DOJ then asks a federal court to temporarily suspend the ruling through the appeals process.
  1. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy releases an ad praising Trump. The ad includes stock Russian footage. McCarthy is infamous for saying that there are two people he knows get paid by the Russians—Trump and former Representative Dana Rohrabacher (D-CA). (And since Lev Parnas‘s indictment, we know McCarthy also got paid by the Russians.)
  2. Ohio Secretary of State Frank laRose announces that Ohio elections systems were the target of a cyberattack earlier this month. The attack was tracked back to a Russian-owned firm, and seemed to be looking for soft targets.

Legal Fallout:

  1. The Supreme Court grants an emergency stay on a lower court ruling that said Trump’s accounting firm had to share the financial records requested by Congress. This signals that they will hear the case, and could delay the release, if any, of Trump’s tax returns until mid-January.
  2. As part of the New York District Attorney’s investigation into the hush money payments to Trump’s mistresses, David Pecker, head of America Media Inc., has been meeting with prosecutors. Michael Cohen is also cooperating with the investigation.
  3. Documents regarding Trump Tower in New York show that Trump inflated numbers to make the property look better to lenders, and deflated numbers to make it look worse for tax purposes.
  4. People who work for Representative Duncan Hunter (R-CA) testify that his wife was in charge of the finances, and that Duncan was unaware of any misspending of campaign funds. It’s notable that Hunter won re-election in 2018 despite being indicted on 60 counts.

Impeachment:

Including all this info just makes this too long, so I moved it out into its own post. You can skip right over to it if that’s your focus.

Courts/Justice:

  1. Legal cases around Trump’s finances and his disputes with Congress appear to be headed to the Supreme Court, which will clearly test the court’s neutrality. This court wants to appear nonpartisan.
    • The court will hear arguments on December 13 to determine whether to add Trump’s request to block the release of his financial documents to their docket.
    • The court already placed a temporary hold on a court ruling that the House Oversight and Reform Committee has the authority to see Trump’s financial documents.
    • The case over whether Don McGahn can testify to Congress is also likely to make it to the Supreme Court.

Healthcare:

  1. Pennsylvania legislators are pushing a poorly-written bill that would force healthcare providers to arrange for burials or cremations of fetal remains. You’d think this would only apply to abortions, but the way it’s written, it also includes fertilized eggs that fail to attach to the uterus and are flushed from the system. Which is about 50% of fertilized eggs. I’m not sure how they’ll enforce that one. Looks like they’re trying to top Ohio for having the least scientific understanding of the birds and the bees.
  2. Purdue Pharma asks a Canadian court to put a temporary hold on all court cases against them in Canada while they settle all the cases against them in the U.S. A U.S. bankruptcy judge already granted them a temporary reprieve from cases in the U.S.
  3. Trump is working to reverse some of Obama’s regulations on nursing homes. The regulations were put in place to safeguard elderly and dementia patients from abuse and from being over-medicated. The administration says that reversing the rules will save nursing homes around $600 million per year, but the new rules don’t require them to put that money toward improving care.
  4. The overall life expectancy in the U.S. has declined for three consecutive years. Death rates for young and middle-aged adults have been rising for a decade from causes like suicide, drug overdoses, liver disease, and more.
    • The highest jump in death rates from 2010 to 2017 was for people age 25 to 34. Their death rate increased by 29%.
    • Along with the causes listed above, obesity is another big cause. Obesity in childhood brings a plethora of health problems as we get older. 40% of Americans are obese. 71.6% are overweight. 20% of American kids are obese.

International:

  1. Trump surprises troops in Afghanistan with a Thanksgiving visit. He also announces that he’s resumed peace talks with the Taliban.
  2. The Trump administration takes steps to substantially reduce U.S. contributions to NATO. Trumps wants to reduce our share to 15% from 22%. Compare that to Germany, which pays 14.8% despite having a much smaller economy than the U.S. Trump will meet with NATO leaders at the summit at the beginning of December.
  3. A terrorist attack in London leaves two people dead and several others injured. The attacker uses a knife, and is shot by police. Two bystanders fight the attacker using a fire extinguisher and a nearby narwhal tusk.
  4. Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi announces he’ll tender his resignation the day after 40 Iraqi protestors are killed in an attack against the Iranian consulate there. Mahdi was reportedly handpicked by Iran for his position, and the protestors are fighting against Iran’s influences in Iraq’s government.
  5. The Iranian government continues their brutal crackdown on protestors. At least 180 people have been killed after protests rose up against a dramatic increase in gas and oil prices. Some estimate the death toll is as high as 450. At least 2,000 people are wounded and 7,000 detained. This is the worst unrest there since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. The government partially restores internet access, and information is finally coming out of the country about what’s going on.
  6. Trump signs a bill that authorizes sanctions against Chinese and Hong Kong officials responsible for human rights violations during the pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong. He also signs a bill banning the sales of tear gas and rubber bullets to the Hong Kong police.
  7. Fresh protests break out in Hong Kong after pro-democracy candidates swept local elections. People marched in front of the U.S. consulate there to show gratitude for the U.S. passing the bills supporting their rights.
  8. In France, protests break out on Black Friday against Amazon. Activists protest the consumerism represented by Amazon and its cost to the environment.
  9. Trump says he’ll designate Mexican drug cartels as terrorists.
  10. The White House releases $105 million in military aid to Lebanon, which had been held up over a dispute between members of the National Security Council. Some thought the aid would help Iran-backed members of government. Protests in Lebanon, started over tax reform, have been ongoing since mid-October.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Trump signs a bipartisan bill making animal cruelty a federal felony. The bill bans intentional crushing, burning, drowning, suffocating, impalement or other serious harm to animals, birds, reptiles, and amphibians. The law also bans animal cruelty videos and pictures.

Border Wall/Shutdown/National Emergency:

  1. Homeland Security endorses We Build The Wall, the group founded by veteran Brian Kolfage to privately build a wall at the southern border. Kolfage is on a mission to save Texas from “illegals.” He says the butterfly “freaks” at the National Butterfly Center are standing in his way, and even accuses them of being part of an international butterfly smuggling ring.
    • Trump signed legislation earlier this year to exempt the refuge from any border wall plans.
  1. Trump puts Jared Kushner in charge of building the border wall. Kushner, in turn, is trying to expedite the process of confiscating private property to get it done.

Family Separation:

  1. The Department of Homeland Security’s inspector general releases a report that finds the DHS didn’t have the technology or necessary systems in place to allow them to track the children they separated from their parents at the southern border.
    • Immigration officials knew they couldn’t track them and yet still went forward with their plans to separate more than 26,000 children.
    • They knew this as early as November 2017.
    • The report also calls the “zero tolerance” policy that led to the separation ineffective. Thousands of detainees were still released into the U.S.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. A review of government websites and archives shows that in the years under Trump, they’ve removed anti-discrimination information along with data and resources for the LGBTQ community.
    • The changes are scattershot over about 57% of agencies, showing a lack of coherent policy.
    • Crucial information for LGBTQ and HIV-positive people was removed from pages for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Office of Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity, and the Department of Health and Human Services.
    • The changes don’t reflect actual policy, which Trump has had trouble changing.
  1. Trump signs an executive order creating a White House task force to address the issue of missing and murdered Indigenous women (MMIW). This comes right as Senator Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) introduces the Republican version of the Violence Against Women Act, which would roll back the 2013 provisions that made it easier for Native law enforcement officers to bring non-Native abusers to justice. Ernst’s version would give those non-Native abusers a way out.
    • Native American women face the highest rate of violence of any other group in the U.S., and 97% of that violence is at the hands of a non-Native person.
  1. Alaska state officials have been denying same-sex couple certain marriage benefits even though their ban on same-sex marriage was overturned in 2014.
  2. Over the past few months, the DHS has arrested 90 additional students who signed up for the fake university they set up in Detroit. That brings the total arrested to about 250, mostly immigrants from India. The students arrived legally with student visas, but because the university was a fake one created by federal agents, they lost their immigration status.
    • This is just another example of ICE’s egregious tactics being used under all administrations. This sting operation started in 2016, preying upon people who thought they were taking legitimate steps to be in the U.S.
  1. This one got past me earlier this year: In 2016, parents of female students at a charter school had to sue to allow their girls to wear pants. The school had a dress code of skirts for girls. IN FREAKING 2016!
    • This spring, the parents won their suit, and now the girls can wear pants or shorts, and they can run around the playground just as freely as the boys without being hindered by obsolete dress codes.
    • The final ruling on the case this week finds that the dress code violates Equal Protection, and permanently blocks the school from establishing or enforcing a similar provision.
    • PS: I thought this was settled decades ago.
  1. Private prison company GEO Group could face financial issues after all of the known banks providing loans to the company agree to divest and end ties with GEO. Some of those banks have also committed to not funding the private prison industry altogether, with most cutting ties with CoreCivic as well
  2. Trump orders national parks to deploy some of their park rangers to the southern border to patrol for illegal border crossings. This is a way of getting around congressional funding for his efforts there. But this leaves park visitors without the resources they rely on and puts them at more risk. National parks are already underfunded and short-staffed.
  3. The House Oversight and Reform Committee brings a lawsuit against Attorney General William Barr and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross to enforce the subpoenas they filed earlier to get information about the decision to add a citizenship question to the census.

Climate:

  1. Exxon Mobile knew as long ago as 1982 that atmospheric CO2 is a major cause of global warming. At that time, they even predicted accurately that atmospheric CO2 would reach 415 parts per million, causing the global temperature to rise about 0.9 degrees Celsius by 2019. CO2 levels reach 415 ppm in May, and the temperature rise crossed 0.9 degrees Celsius this year as well.
  2. Climate scientists warn that we might be reaching a tipping point on climate change, meaning that some impacts of global warming will become unstoppable. They also warn of a cascade of tipping points. Some of these potentially irreversible events include:
    • Ice melting in the east and west Antarctic ice sheets, the Greenland ice sheet, and Arctic sea ice
    • Thawing of the permafrost
    • Loss of rainforests
    • Death of coral reefs
    • Changes in the flow of the gulf stream
  1. A new UN report on climate change says temperatures could rise by as much as 3.9 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. We’ve already warmed by nearly 1 degree, and the process will speed up because of the cascade of tipping points above.
  2. During the Yale Bowl, hundreds of Yale and Harvard students and alumni storm the field to demand the schools divest from fossil fuels, private prisons, and Puerto Rican debt. The protest delays the start of the second half of the game.

Budget/Economy:

  1. An analysis of bailout payments made to farmers finds that 10% of recipients received 50% of the money. The payments, of course, went mostly to larger and more wealthy farms.

Elections:

  1. Texas Republicans accidentally email Democrats their blueprint for winning in 2020 and their plans for dealing with Trump’s polarizing nature. This gave away their negative ad strategy for 12 target districts and their timeline for rolling out websites that will bash their Democratic opponents.
    • PSA: Reading about their tactics (some of which I’m sure Democrats employ as well) makes me sad about how low the parties stoop to win, and even sadder by how the American public plays right into their hands, not just by letting it happen but by making those ploys succeed.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Rick Perry says that Trump was chosen by God to lead this country. To be fair, Perry also thinks Obama was ordained by God for the presidency. Seriously people. Take responsibility for your vote. That’s how presidencies are decided.
  2. Even before the departure of Richard Spencer from the DOD, high-ranking Pentagon officials felt Trump had a disregard for the chain of command in the military, and feared that the administration would continue to side with Fox News pundits over experienced military professionals on issues of national security.
  3. The RNC denies they made a bulk purchase of Donald Trump Jr.’s new book, Triggered, but FEC records show they spent nearly $100,000 to purchase copies of the book a week before it was released.
    • Other conservative groups also made bulk purchases to help his book debut at #1 on the New York Times best seller list. At least nine conservative groups are helping with the sales of his book.
    • And just to keep it classy, Trump Jr. created a website, Trigger A Lib, where you can purchase copies of the books to send to people like Adam Schiff, Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, and so on.

Week 149 in Trump – Impeachment News

Posted on December 4, 2019 in Impeachment, Trump

There's a new guy in the hot seat...

Thankfully the fact-finding portion of the impeachment hearings is over. What a lot of information that was to process! If you’re still confused about when everything happened regarding Ukraine (and who could blame you), here’s a great timeline that you can filter to just look at key events, details, or the whole shebang. So you can look at a simple overview or get into all the muddy details.

Here’s what happened on the impeachment front for the week ending December 1…

General Happenings:

  1. After two weeks of testimony, at least one quid pro quo is clear: Trump invited Ukraine President Zelensky to the White House for a meeting at a date TBD, and then Trump’s aides repeatedly told Ukraine officials that the meeting would happen if they announced investigations into the Bidens and the 2016 elections.
    • The second quid pro quo is muddier. It’s not clear when Ukraine knew that military aid was being held up, and even State Department officials seem confused by it.
    • But if it was on the up and up, why did the White House review turn up hundreds of emails and documents seeking to justify and rationalize withholding the aid during the month after the White House became aware of the whistleblower complaint? Withholding foreign aid approved by Congress is a big deal, and should’ve had some rationale before the fact.
  1. Documents show that the hold on military aid to Ukraine was placed at the beginning of July, and agencies were notified on July 18.
  2. Here’s a bit of timeline gleaned from the White House review of Trump’s decision to withhold military aid from Ukraine:
    • Soon after the whistleblower made the complaint on August 12, the White House Counsel’s office learned of it.
    • Just days after that, Mick Mulvaney asks OMB for a legal rationale for withholding aid and also asks how long they can delay the aid.
    • They continued to struggle to come up with a legal rationale for withholding aid for weeks.
    • So six weeks after the aid was withheld, they still didn’t have a justification for it. Remember, the DOD had months ago approved the aid, saying that Ukraine had taken adequate steps to reduce corruption.
    • Whatever they did come up with, they didn’t share with top officials.
  1. A federal judge orders the Department of Defense and the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) to release records regarding the freeze in military aid to Ukraine. This is the result of a FOIA request. We should see them starting next week. The judge says:
    • “Only an informed electorate can develop its opinions and persuasively petition its elected officials to act in ways which further the aims of those opinions.”
  1. Mike Pence seems to be the only U.S. official to tell Zelensky the aid was being conditioned on rooting out corruption. Other officials either didn’t know what to tell him or told him that aid was conditioned on the announcement of the investigations.
  2. White House lawyers informed Trump about the whistleblower complaint in late August. It was September 7 or 9 that he and Sondland allegedly had a phone call where Trump said there was no quid pro quo (so Trump was aware of the quid pro quo accusation by then). House committees opened their investigations on September 9. Trump released the aid on September 11.
  3. The Republican-led Senate intelligence committee has already released two reports from their nearly three-year-long investigation detailing Russia’s efforts to infiltrate our elections and to use disinformation to sow discord. As part of this investigation, the committee chair says that the committee also examined campaign coordination with foreign interference—by either the Trump or Clinton campaign. Their findings on this aspect of the investigation are still being written up but should help clarify any actions by Ukraine in the 2016 elections.
  4. While Giuliani was in Spain on his not-so-secret Ukraine mission, he stayed at the estate of Venezuelan energy executive Alejandro Betancourt López. López hired Giuliani to help him out with a DOJ investigation over money laundering and bribery. Giuliani later represented López before DOJ lawyers.
  5. In an interview with Bill O’Reilly, Trump:
    • Denies that he sent Giuliani to Ukraine (contradicting himself, Giuliani, and about a dozen government officials)
    • Repeats the Fox-News-spawned theory that Democrats don’t want to call it “Thanksgiving” anymore
    • Says he has a 96% approval rating with Republicans (it’s high, but it’s not that high)
  1. Trump’s denial about Giuliani leads some legal minds to wonder if Trump just accidentally waived his attorney-client privilege with Giuliani.
  2. Three women say they reported allegations of sexual misconduct by Ambassador Gordon Sondland from a decade or more ago. They say they experienced workplace retaliations after making their reports. Sondland, of course, denies the allegations.
  3. The impeachment hearings haven’t seemed to budge many public opinions on whether Trump committed an impeachable offense. In fairness, people who aren’t engaged in politics aren’t paying attention for the most part, and people don’t want to sort through the misinformation to get to the information.
  4. The White House sends a letter to the House Judiciary Committee saying that, now that they have the chance to appear to defend themselves in the impeachment hearings, they won’t participate in the committee’s first inquiry. In fairness, Trump is scheduled to be at a NATO summit that day, but his lawyers could certainly appear in his place.
    • Here’s my takeaway from the letter his lawyers sent: “It’s not fair! It’s not fair!”
    • Also, were Trump or his lawyers to appear, it would lend credence to the proceedings, which they don’t want to do.

Transcripts Released:

The House releases two additional transcripts from closed-door depositions. Same caveat as previous weeks: I haven’t read every word of every page because there is just too much. I do verify what I’m reading about the transcripts, and have at least skimmed most of them.

Mark Sandy:

Mark Sandy, a career OMB official, provided his deposition just over a week ago, and now the House releases his transcript. Sandy is the only OMB official to agree to testify so far. Here are some highlights:

  1. It wasn’t until months after the hold on military aid was put in place that the White House told Sandy’s office that it was over concerns about the contributions being made by other countries. By this time, the White House already knew about the whistleblower complaint.
  2. OMB officials resigned over the holdup on aid. Or, more likely, the holdup was just the straw that broke the camel’s back.
  3. The reason for the hold was an open question at OMB throughout July and August.
  4. He was responsible for signing off on the holdup in aid. He expressed his concerns about the legality of the hold at the time, but then a political appointee at the OMB, Michael Duffey, took over.
  5. Sandy said he was made aware of Trump’s interest in Ukraine in June, when Trump wanted more info about the aid package after he saw a news report on Ukraine.
  6. Sandy and other OMB staffers sent Duffey a memo in early August recommending the release of Ukraine funds because it was a national security issue.
  7. Just a reminder that Mulvaney gave three reasons for the holdup because apparently, they couldn’t settle on just one: “I was involved with the process by which the money was held up temporarily, OK? Three issues for that: the corruption of the country, whether or not other countries were participating in the support of the Ukraine and whether or not they were cooperating in an ongoing investigation with our Department of Justice.”

Philip Reeker:

Philip Reeker is a State Department official whose testimony provides insight into State Department efforts to defend U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Marie Yovanovitch from the unfounded smears coming from Giuliani, Parnas, Fruman, and certain Ukraine officials.

  1. On March 21, he issued a “stern demarche” to Ukraine’s embassy in Washington saying it “was unacceptable, to have Government of Ukraine figures maligning our Ambassador in this way.” A demarche is a diplomatic message of concern.
  2. One of the Ukraine officials he was referencing was Yuriy Lutsenko, who once alleged that Yovanovitch had given him a “do not prosecute” list, which he later recanted.
  3. Reeker dismissed the notion that some U.S. officials didn’t know Burisma meant the Bidens (I think he’s looking at you, Volker and Morrison), because Giuliani was talking about it and the press was writing about it all the time.
  4. Wow. When he talked to the Undersecretary of State David Hale about defending Yovanovitch, Hale said that Yovanovitch should “reaffirm her loyalty as an ambassador” to Trump and the Constitution. He said this of a 33-year veteran of the U.S. Foreign Service who, by all accounts, has served admirably and taken on several hardship posts.
  5. Fox News hosts, specifically Laura Ingraham and Sean Hannity, helped spread the unfounded allegations against Yovanovitch.

More Trouble for Parnas, Fruman, and Giuliani… And Now Nunes:

  1. Lev Parnas says that he, Giuliani, reporter John Solomon, and Devin Nunes (or sometimes Derek Harvey, one of Nunes’ aides) met at the Trump Hotel in Washington multiple times a week.
    • Solomon is known for his reporting on Ukraine, specifically repeating the conspiracy theories about them meddling in our elections, the black ledger, and the smears against former ambassador Marie Yovanovitch.
    • Attorneys Joe diGenova and Victoria Toensing sometimes came to the meetings. They’re frequent guests on Fox News.
    • One of Solomon’s sources in Ukraine was the former general prosecutor Lutsenko, but Lutsenko has since recanted the things he said about former ambassador Yovanovitch and the Bidens.
    • Solomon confirmed that he attended the meetings, but said that he was only there as a journalist.
    • Nunes based a lot of his investigation on Solomon’s writings. Now, Solomon no longer works for The Hill, and The Hill is reviewing his work. They published him under “Opinion” though, so they aren’t obligated to make sure his work is factual.
    • State Department official George Kent testified that Solomon’s work is largely non-truths and non-sequiturs, if not fully made up.
  1. Two of Nunes’ staffers at the House Intelligence Committee had planned a trip to Ukraine to find more information, but they later canceled the trip and did a web conference instead after they found out they’d have to report their trip to House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff.
  2. Parnas alleges that Nunes met with “corrupt” Ukraine officials, including meeting with former prosecutor general Viktor Shokin in Vienna last year. Shokin is the guy that Biden worked to oust.
    • Nunes decries the story as false, though he doesn’t outright deny that he did it. He threatens to sue both CNN and the Daily Beast for reporting on it. (He’s a big suer of media outlets, but not a successful one.)
    • Shokin also denies the meeting.
    • If any of this is true, it’s easy to see why Nunes doesn’t want to move forward on impeachment.
  1. The U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan issues subpoenas for information on Giuliani’s consulting firm. The charges listed in the subpoenas include money laundering, obstruction of justice, and campaign finance violations.
  2. Giuliani says he has no business in Ukraine, but it turns out he was negotiating personal business with Ukraine’s (now former) prosecutor general Lutsenko at the same time he was asking Lutsenko to open investigations into the Bidens. A draft retainer shows that Giuliani was going to charge Lutsenko a $200,000 retainer fee.

How Are Republicans Defending This?

Here are a bunch of justifications Republicans have floated for Trump’s actions regarding Ukraine. They’ve evolved as more information has come out, and GOP politicians have floated multiple contradictory excuses simultaneously. Here they are, so you can keep them straight.

    1. It’s all hearsay
    2. The whistleblower has a political bias
    3. The complaint is inaccurate
    4. The deep state is behind it
    5. There’s no due process
    6. The process is secret
    7. Trump didn’t mean it
    8. Ukraine didn’t agree to anything
    9. Ukraine said there was no quid pro quo
    10. Ukraine didn’t know about the aid being withheld
    11. Ukraine ultimately got the aid
    12. Ukraine is out to get Trump
    13. There was no quid pro quo
    14. There was a quid pro quo, but it wasn’t corrupt
    15. Trump wasn’t aware of what Giuliani was doing
    16. There are always contingencies in these transactions
    17. Trump was just expressing his opinion
    18. The call with Zelensky was appropriate
    19. The call was inappropriate but not impeachable
    20. Trump is incapable of a quid pro quo (that was Lindsey Graham, who also said Trump was too incompetent to collude with Russia)
    21. Democrats just want to impeach
    22. Trump never conditioned the aid
    23. It’s the media’s fault
    24. Impeachment is a coup (thank you, Minority Leader McCarthy)