Month: June 2018

Week 74 in Trump

Posted on June 25, 2018 in Politics, Trump

Border policy is the big story this week. 538 gives a good wrap up about how family separation is just part of a bigger plan to control and limit immigration. The administration has tried to end DACA; reviewed applications (going back decades) of immigrants who’ve been granted citizenship; deported non-criminal immigrants who’ve made lives here for decades; and tried to curtail refugee admissions, work visas, travel from Muslim countries, and immigration by international entrepreneurs. Now they’re separating children from their parents at the border. Put together, these policies will force some immigrants here to return to their home countries, they’ll make it harder to help relatives come to the country, and they’ll reduce the number of immigrants and refugees coming here in the first place. So the overall goal seems to be to reduce the foreign-born population in the U.S.

And just a reminder of how these policies are based on misleading information: The Trump administration tried to stifle a report they commissioned that shows refugees added $63 billion to US economy over the past decade. The released version was manipulated to only show the costs of refugees and none of the profits. Trump also holds up Germany as example of how bad immigration is, saying crime in Germany is way up. In real life, the crime rate in Germany is at it’s lowest point in 26 years and was down 10% in 2017 from 2016.

But here’s what else happened last week…

Russia:

  1. DOJ Inspector General Michael Horowitz, along with the FBI’s Christopher Wray, testifies before the Senate Judiciary Committee about his newly released report on the investigation into Hillary’s emails.
  2. Republicans aren’t satisfied with the 580-page report, so they threaten to investigate the investigation into the investigation of Clinton’s emails.
  3. Wray supports Mueller’s investigation and says this is not a witch hunt.
  4. The FBI turns over thousands of documents to congressional committees about its processes and sources for finding information on Russian contacts with Trump campaign members. Wait for the leaks…
  5. In the run-up to the 2016 elections, the National Enquirer got Michael Cohen’s approval before running stories about Trump. This allowed Cohen to limit negative press and is being looked into as a violation of campaign finance laws.
  6. Federal prosecutors in Manhattan subpoena the publisher of the National Enquirer over their payment to Karen McDougal to keep her story of her alleged affair with Trump out of the news.
  7. Even Mueller’s team worries that the Russia investigation is being overexposed in the press and has already biased potential jurors.
  8. A judge denies Paul Manafort’s request to suppress evidence against him and says that the money laundering charges wont be dismissed.
  9. Mueller tries to thwart further moves for dismissal by filing a request preventing the defense from saying Manafort was targeted because of his proximity to Trump.
  10. Michael Cohen resigns as deputy finance chair of the Republican National Committee. This makes him the third person to step down from the RNC finance committee over scandals.
  11. Joshua Schulte, a former CIA engineer, is indicted for leaking classified documents to Wikileaks.
  12. House Democrats release thousands of RussiaToday Twitter ads that were used before the 2016 election.
  13. In a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing, two former Obama officials say we didn’t do enough to deter Russian meddling in our elections.
  14. We find out from the Kremlin that John Bolton is going to Russia in the coming week. Four Senators are heading there too.
  15. The House Judiciary Committee issues a subpoena to Peter Strzok even though Strzok has already offered to appear voluntarily.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Supreme Court throws out a 1992 ruling that blocked states from collecting taxes from online entities.
  2. The Supreme Court rules that the government can’t track or obtain cellphone location data without a warrant.
  3. A federal judge strikes down Kris Kobach’s voter registration law in Kansas that requires proof of citizenship, saying that it violates constitutional rights, that Kobach failed to prove cases of fraud, and that the burden of proof had disenfranchised thousands of voters. This makes an earlier injunction of the law permanent.
  4. The same judge forces Kobach to attend legal classes because he is too unfamiliar with the law.

Healthcare:

  1. The House passes a bipartisan group of bills aimed at fixing the opioid epidemic. The bills address expanding treatment, looking at alternative treatments, stopping the transfer of illegal opioids, and preventing the use of fentanyl.
  2. Trump issues a rule that allows small businesses to circumvent some of the ACA consumer protections in order to provide cheaper, and possibly substandard, health insurance policies.
  3. Trump creates a commission to look into closing down some VA facilities to save money. He also wants to transfer funding from VA facilities to private facilities.

International:

  1. A UN report on chemical weapons attacks and potential war crimes in Syria omits allegations that chemical weapons attacks were more common than has been reported. The authors say they need more corroboration.
  2. Trump accuses Canadians of coming across the border to buy shoes and smuggle them back into Canada. He says they scuff them up to make them look and sound old. Sneaky Canadians.
  3. Canada becomes the second country to legalize pot (Uruguay is the other one).
  4. Trump calls North Korea destabilizing, repressive, and a continued threat to the U.S. Last week, Kim Jong Un was a great leader who Trump was honored to meet. Last year, Kim was “little rocket man.”
  5. Tens of thousands of people turn out in London to protest Brexit and demand a final vote on the terms of the deal. Hundreds of pro-Brexit protestors turn out as well.
  6. Turkey re-elects Erdogan president and abolishes the position of prime minister. This move increases Erdogan’s authority greatly.
  7. European Union leaders hold a small summit to modify immigration rules, with countries that have been taking on the brunt of refugees asking other countries to do their part.
  8. Saudi Arabia ends their ban on women driving.
  9. Protests break out in Tehran, Iran. It’s not clear who’s leading the protests but the impetus seems related to the economy.
  10. Secretary of Defense James Mattis says he’s not aware of any moves North Korea has made yet to denuclearize.
  11. However, Trump has been ignoring Mattis’s advice on foreign-policy, or just leaving him out of the loop completely.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Paul Ryan delays the House vote on an immigration compromise bill that funds the wall, gives Dreamers a pathway to citizenship, and keeps families together (though detained indefinitely).
  2. And then Trump says GOP lawmakers should wait until after the midterms to deal with immigration, likely scuttling the deal through the end of the year.
  3. Paul Ryan continues his practice of only bringing bills to a vote if he thinks Trump is ready for it.
  4. The Senate votes against Trump’s $15 billion cuts to the previously approved spending plan.
  5. Trump threatens to shut down the government in the fall if he doesn’t get his wall. Senators are willing to fund border security at $1.6 billion, though Trump just scuttled the above House bill that would’ve given him $25 billion.

Separating Families:

  1. Every living first lady— from Rosalynn Carter to Melania Trump—speaks out against the separation of families.
  2. 55% of Republicans approve of this policy. 66% of Americans in general do not. Republicans are the only listed demographic in the poll to support family separation; they’re also the only other group to support building a wall.
  3. A bipartisan group of over 70 former US attorneys urge Jeff Sessions to reverse the zero-tolerance policy. They say it’s dangerous, expensive, and doesn’t live up to the our values.
  4. Trump continues to blame Democrats, which is provably false since no administration has done this before and Jeff Sessions announced the change in policy on April 6th and then went on to speak about it on May 7.
  5. Cities and states refuse to provide assistance to the DOJ or CBP in the detention of separated families.
  6. Four governors refuse to send National Guard troops to the border, and eleven governors pull their National Guard troops out. Colorado bans the use of state resources for child separations.
  7. Detained parents of separated children get no legal counsel prior to appearing before a judge and are processed in large groups in a single hearing. Prosecutors’ goals are to get through as many as possible and to have them all plead guilty, which many do because they think that’s the only way to find their kids.
  8. The Flores decision of 1997 specifies that immigrant children can only be detained for up to 20 days and after that, they can only be held in licensed facilities. The DOJ asks a judge to waive that limit so they can house immigrant families indefinitely.
  9. After a week of saying only Democrats can fix this, Trump signs an executive order drafted by Kirstjen Nielsen to attempt to fix this crisis of his own making.
    • The EO says Homeland Security will still prosecute border crossers as criminals, but that they’ll detain families together. This requires them to file a brief against the Flores decision. What they’re aiming for is to detain families indefinitely, which is far more costly than releasing them with mandatory check-ins.
      Side note: Releasing families under an Obama-era program costs about $36 per day, and families show up for meetings and hearings around 99% of the time. Detaining families together costs nearly $300 per day, and separating families has cost nearly $800 per day.
    • The EO has no provision to reunite families that Trump has already separated.
    • After the EO, border workers are left to figure out how to implement it on their own with little guidance. We hear mixed reports over whether they’re still enforcing zero tolerance and whether they’re supposed to.
  1. Melania visits a holding center for immigration children and one for immigrant families. In an unfortunate choice, she wears a coat that says “I don’t care. Do u?” Her publicist says it didn’t mean anything, but then Trump negates that in a tweet saying it was about the fake news.
  2. A dozen states plan to sue the administration over the policy of family separation. They say the EO doesn’t fix it.
  3. Health and Human Services asks the Pentagon to house up to 20,000 unaccompanied immigrant minors.
  4. There was a huge drop in illegal border crossings last year over fear of Trump’s hardline policies. But they’re up nearly triple from this time last year now that people see that Trump is having a hard time getting his policies implemented.
  5. On the Christian Broadcasting Network, Sessions says they never intended to separate families. I can’t even with this. Maybe he’s just saying this because his church has condemned his actions.
  6. Both Stephen Miller and Kirstjen Nielsen, staunch defenders of family separation policies, get heckled eating out at Mexican restaurants.
  7. And then a restaurant owner tells Sarah Huckabee Sanders that she and her family can’t eat there. She tweets about it on her official account, which turns out to be a violation of the ethics code.
  8. Corey Lewandowski’s speakers bureau drops him after he makes fun of a child with Downs Syndrome being separated from her mother on national TV.
  9. Protestors play the recording of separated children crying for the parents outside a Trump fundraiser and outside Kirstjen Nielsen’s house. Representative Ted Lieu (R-CA) goes against House rules and plays the recording on the floor to get it entered into the congressional record.
  10. Detained children are shipped to centers and foster care across the country.
  11. An army of volunteer attorneys is working to reunite separated families. They’re finding that officials are unable locate all the children. Of 300 parents represented, only 2 children have been located.
  12. The U.S. Attorney’s Office announces they’ll dismiss cases where parents were charged with illegal entry and separated from their kids.
  13. On Friday, a government source said all families would be reunited that day. But by Saturday night, only about 21% has been reunited. The administration says that 500 children have been reunited with their parents so far.
  14. The DNA company 23andMe offers to donate DNA kits to help locate children and reunite families that were separated.
  15. The American Academy of Pediatrics calls the separation of families child abuse.
  16. Protestors hold marches and toy/supply drives for children in holding in over 60 cities nationwide. Members of Congress head to detention facilities to protest.
  17. The Methodist Church files a complaint against family separation and 600 members file a complaint against Sessions. He could ousted from the church, but the members say they want a reconciliation process that would bring Sessions back to Christian values.
  18. An online fundraiser goes viral, raising nearly $20 million for RAICES, which helps provide legal aid to immigrant families, children, and refugees.
  19. By the end of the week, the administration says they’ll reunite families when the parents agree to give up their quest for asylum, meaning that the whole family must be deported in order for parents and children to be reunited. Until that agreement is made, parents will only have phone visitation with their children, and that is not guaranteed due to logistics.
  20. Lawsuits are filed, alleging abuse and administering drugs without consent in the detention centers for children.
  21. Notes and interviews show that the administration has been planning this since last spring.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Trump continues to use exaggerations of criminal behavior and of MS-13 to get people behind his harsh immigration policies.
  2. The zero-tolerance policy was supposed to deter undocumented immigrants, but instead there was a spike in border crossings after the policy was announced.
  3. Steven Miller says it was a simple decision to separate children from their parents at the border. In comparison, when the Obama administration was working on ways to strengthen border security, they talked about this for about five minutes before throwing it away as an incredibly bad idea.
  4. The National Park Service gives their initial approval to “Unite the Right” to hold a “white civil rights” rally at the National Mall. This is the same group that held the infamous Charlottesville rally.
  5. After Trump shoots down the immigration bills currently in the House, he tells Bob Goodlatte (R-VA) that he backs the compromise bill. But it’s too little, too late. Representatives who were already lukewarm on the bill already moved to the other side.
  6. The Senate Appropriations Committee approves a spending bill for Homeland Security that doesn’t include full funding for the border wall, nor increased funding for CBP, nor increased funding for detainment beds. It also requires the administration to report monthly on family separations.
  7. Trump calls for deporting undocumented immigrants with no judge or court hearing, saying they should be removed immediately. And without due process apparently.
  8. Trump again quotes bad data, this time numbers he got from the mother of a victim killed by an undocumented immigrant. She said undocumented immigrants have killed 63,000 Americans since 9/11. GAO numbers actually show that immigrants, including undocumented ones, commit crimes at a far lower rate that native-born Americans (about half the rate). The false number seems to come from Steve King (R-Iowa).
  9. At the beginning of the week, Trump derides Ted Cruz’s (R-Texas) idea to hire thousands of immigration judges as crazy. By the end of the week, Trump tweets that it’s what we need to do.
  10. The World Health Organization removes transgender from their list of mental disorders. About time.

Climate/EPA:

  1. The Trump Tower in Chicago is the only user of Chicago River water that fails to comply with Chicago’s fish-protecting regulations. They use river water for their cooling systems.
  2. Trump rescinds Obama’s executive order aimed at protecting the Great Lakes and oceans. Trump’s order encourages offshore drilling and more industrial use of these waters. Obama’s order came about because of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill.
  3. A Canadian mining firm prepares to start mining in the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument.
  4. The EPA’s Scott Pruitt shutters three more advisory boards to the agency, further isolating the EPA from expertise in the areas the agency is supposed to protect.
  5. Emails released as part of a lawsuit show that Pruitt considered hiring a friend of the Harts, the family that rented him their condo for $50 a night. The emails also indicate that Pruitt has a closer relationship with the Harts than previously disclosed, and that Mr. Hart lobbied the EPA last year even though both parties had previously denied this.
  6. The special counsel opens a new probe into Pruitt for retaliating against employees who pushed back against his policies. There are around dozen other probes into his activities.
  7. The official EPA paper trail shows that Pruitt only sent one single email to anyone outside the EPA from his government account. Seems sketchy.
  8. Pruitt’s most recent financial disclosure shows he spent over $4.6 million on security. And that included things like “tactical pants” and “tactical polos.”
  9. The Trump administration finally releases a report on unsafe drinking water after working to suppress it for months. The danger in the water comes from nonstick chemicals leaked into drinking water, and affects 126 military bases.
  10. Ryan Zinke and his wife run a foundation that’s working on a real estate deal with the chairman of Halliburton. Halliburton will benefit from Ryan Zinke opening up national monuments to mining and drilling, and the Zinkes will benefit from the real estate deal, which involves building a resort on land that borders a property owned by the Zinkes. The House calls for an investigation.

Budget/Economy:

  1. House Republicans reveal their 2019 budget, which includes $4 billion in cuts to Social Security, around $500 billion in cuts to Medicare, and $1.5 trillion in cuts to Medicaid. We all knew that’s how they planned to balance their tax cuts from last year.
  2. The House Republicans pass a farm bill, and in the process cut SNAP benefits. This could affect around 23,000 active duty military families and 1.5 million veterans.
  3. Mick Mulvaney wants to shut down the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau database of consumer complaints against the banking industry.
  4. Trump threatens China with additional tariffs on $200 billion worth of goods, which would bring the total of tariffed goods to $450 billion… and the Dow dropped nearly 300 points on its way to a six-day losing streak.
  5. Via tweet, Trump threatens tariffs on auto imports from Europe in response to Europe placing tariffs on $3.2 billion in U.S. goods.
  6. Ambassador Nikki Haley says that it’s ridiculous for the UN to study poverty in the U.S. The UN’s report says of the developed nations, the U.S. ranks highest in rates of infant mortality, incarceration, youth poverty, income inequality, and obesity. The report also says that our current policies are making these things worse and deepening the wealth divide.
  7. 11,000 AT&T workers strike against unfair labor practices. The issue started to heat up after AT&T announces $1,000 bonuses to many in their workforce, and then laid off a bunch of workers who had received that bonus.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Trump directs the DoD and the Pentagon to create a sixth Armed Forces Branch: the Space Force. Yes. For outer space. For real, and over James Mattis’s objections. Mattis says this isn’t the time to be creating a new branch of the military.
  2. Trump also wants to open space for more commercial development.
  3. Trump releases his proposal for reorganizing the government. Key points:

    • Merge the Department of Labor and the Department of Education.
    • Move the USDA’s food and nutrition programs to the Department of Health and Human Services (which will be renamed to the Department of Health and Public Welfare).
    • Combine the USDA’s Safety and Inspection Service with the Food and Drug Administration (currently under HHS) into a single agency under the USDA. Wait… so the USDA would essentially be its own watchdog.
    • Move the USDA’s programs to assist with rural housing and rent to the Department of Housing and Urban Development.
    • Move the Army Corps of Engineers from the Department of Defense to Transportation and the Interior.
    • Create a new Office of Energy Innovation under the Department of Energy that would combine all of the current applied energy programs.
  1. Wikileaks publishes a searchable database of ICE agents and their personal information scraped from multiple public sites. DHS blame this on liberals, even though Wikileaks doesn’t have a record of supporting Democrats.
  2. Wilbur Ross shorted a shipping firm stock after learning that reporters were planning a negative story about the firm. Shorting is something you do to profit from a drop in stock price, and doing it based on nonpublic information is called securities fraud.

Polls:

  1. 75% of Americans think immigration is good for the U.S. Approval goes up to 84% when the question specifies “legal immigration.”

Week 73 in Trump

Posted on June 18, 2018 in Uncategorized

Trump pretty much sums up the week by live-tweeting segments from Fox and Friends and then giving them an interview on the White House lawn where he says:

  • The IG report exonerates him (it doesn’t).
  • Comey is a criminal.
  • The FBI is a “den of thieves.”
  • Democrats are at fault for separating families at the border (they aren’t).
  • It’s great that he gave Kim Jong-Un credibility because he deserves it.
  • The reporter asking questions is obnoxious for pushing him on his about-face on Kim Jong-Un’s human rights record.
  • He hates the “war games” with South Korea (“war games” is what North Korea calls our military exercises).
  • Manafort had nothing to do with Trump’s campaign (except that he was the campaign manager, I guess).
  • Obama is at fault for Russia having annexed Crimea.
  • Oh yeah. And he wants his people to stand up at attention for him like Kim’s people do.

So yeah, it was that kind of week. Here’s what else happened…

Russia:

  1. Russian intelligence agencies continue to attempt to meddle in our elections, this time in the 2018 midterms, according to a court filing by Robert Mueller. He’s using this as a reason to withhold certain evidence from Russians who have been charged.
  2. Newly released memos in the Paul Manafort case describe his attempts to influence Congress and the media on behalf of the Ukrainian president.
  3. Mueller requests 150 blank subpoenas in the Manafort case, which could mean up to 75 witnesses.
  4. Court filings in the Mueller investigation reveal the names of members of the Hapsburg group, European politicians who participated in Manafort’s Ukraine lobbying efforts. They include former Italian Prime Minister Romano Prodi, former Austrian Chancellor Alfred Gusenbauer, former Spanish NATO head Javier Solana, Belgian Judge Jean-Paul Moerman, and the head of the German Federal Chancellory Bodo Hombach.
  5. The same filings reveal some of the content of the texts Manafort sent in an alleged attempt to tamper with witness testimony.
  6. In the context of alleged witness tampering, a judge revokes Manafort’s bail and sends him to jail until his trial starts.
  7. Shortly after Manafort goes to jail, Giuliani dangles the possibility of a pardon, saying that when this is all over, things will get “cleaned up with a few presidential pardons.”
  8. A network of companies related to Cambridge Analytica is being investigated in Canada and the UK. One of these companies, AggregateIQ, based in British Columbia, Canada, is a vendor that had an exclusive intellectual property license with a company that is part of the network funded by Robert Mercer and run by Steve Bannon (which also includes the now defunct Cambridge Analytica).
  9. It turns out that Roger Stone did meet with at least one Russian national in 2016 despite testifying that he hadn’t. The Russian national offered Stone dirt on Hillary in return for $2 million dollars, but Stone didn’t rise to the bait.
  10. A judge refuses to grant a restraining order for Michael Cohen against Michael Avenatti. The restraining order was to force Avenatti to stop talking about the Stormy Daniels case.
  11. Cohen mentions to friends that he might be willing to cooperate with the prosecution. So the White House launches a campaign to discredit him before he does cooperate.
  12. Cohen’s lawyers will all stop representing him in the coming weeks. Rumor has it that this is because of an issue with high fees.
  13. We learn that White House counsel Don McGahn recused his entire staff from the Russia investigation because they were all involved in it at some level (mostly in the firings of White House officials).
  14. DOJ officials say that Rod Rosenstein will ask the House general counsel to launch an investigation into the conduct of House Intelligence Committee staffers in their handling of the Russia investigation.
  15. The DOJ inspector general releases his report on FBI and DOJ integrity in investigating Hillary Clinton’s emails. Just for reference, the IG is a Republican politician.
    • The IG did find evidence of anti-Trump sentiment among some of the investigators. However…
    • The IG also found that there was no impropriety in how the investigation was conducted, including no political bias.
    • Even though there was no bias, Comey’s actions were still damaging to America’s perception of the FBI, and he deviated from standard procedures to the point of insubordination in his public announcements around the Hillary Clinton email investigation.
    • The text messages between agents Strzok and Page, while biased, had no influence or effect on the integrity of the investigation.
    • And also, Comey was using personal email for government business while investigating Hillary for using personal email for government business.
  1. Here are a few reactions to the IG report:
    • James Comey disagrees with parts but says the conclusions are reasonable (even though the report didn’t take it easy on him).
    • Republicans on the Hill say the report shows there are serious problems with the FBI and the DOJ and how they handled the email investigation.
    • Democrats on the Hill say the report shows the FBI didn’t follow the rules and that ended up hurting Clinton’s campaign and helping Trump’s.
    • Trump thinks the report exonerates him, even though it had nothing to do with him. It was solely about the investigation into Hillary’s emails, though there are a few mentions of the Russia investigation since they were concurrent.
  1. After the IG releases his report, FBI agent Peter Strzok says he’s willing to testify in front of Congress without immunity and without invoking the 5th amendment.
  2. Devin Nunes continues to push the DOJ and FBI to release classified documents relevant to their ongoing investigations.

Courts/Justice:

  1. The Supreme Court avoids ruling on the legality of partisan gerrymandering by sending the Wisconsin case back to the lower courts and asking that the plaintiffs do more work to prove injury from the gerrymandering.
  2. In a second gerrymandering case, the Supreme Court rules that the plaintiffs in Maryland waited too long to file a suit and that the gerrymandered districts will remain for the 2018 midterms. There is a third case, involving North Carolina, still to be heard.
  3. My take on it: These cases involved both Republican and Democratic gerrymandering, both of which should be illegal. Repressing anybody’s vote is simply unAmerican.
  4. The state of New York brings a lawsuit against Trump, Ivanka, Eric, and Don Jr. alleging illegal conduct by the Trump Foundation, including campaign fraud and self-dealing. The state request that the charity be dissolved and the family be prevented from running another charity in the state for 10 years. Trump says he won’t settle the suit. The New York’s AG refers some of their findings to the IRS, so keep an eye on this one.

Healthcare:

  1. Joel McElvain, a senior DOJ official, resigns just one week after the Trump administration announced it would stop defending the ACA and would actually argue that parts of the ACA are unconstitutional. It hasn’t been confirmed whether there was cause and effect here.
  2. Massachusetts sues Purdue Pharma, the company that makes OxyContin, saying the company purposefully misled both doctors and consumers about how dangerous Oxy really is.

International:

  1. After a contentious weekend with the G7, where Trump pretty much isolated us from all our allies, Trump continues to push his idea of inviting Russia back to the G7, or G8 as it would then be. He feels Putin is a better friend to him than our allies.
  2. Trump aides say that the reason Trump came across so tough at the G7 was to give him the upper hand in the North Korea negotiations.
  3. A coalition of Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and the U.S. military bomb a Doctors Without Borders cholera facility in Yemen.
  4. Trump meets with Kim Jung-Un in a historic summit. They sign a joint statement agreeing to work toward nuclear disarmament.
  5. Trump does not bring up North Korea’s human rights violations during the summit.
  6. Trump is open to having a U.S. embassy in North Korea.
  7. Afterward, Trump says they have a special bond and a terrific relationship.
  8. Trump announces that he agreed to suspend certain military exercises with South Korea, much to the surprise of South Korea and to the U.S. military.
  9. Trump says people have it rough in North Korea, but there are other places where it’s just as rough. According to Human Rights Watch, North Korea is “one of the most repressive authoritarian states in the world.”
  10. The White House produces and releases a bizarre short propaganda film about the summit that you have to see to believe.
  11. Here are the key points of the joint statement:
    • It establishes U.S.-DPRK relations.
    • It affirms that the two countries will work together toward peace.
    • It reaffirms that North Korea will work toward denuclearization.
    • Both countries commit to recovering and repatriating missing POW remains.
  1. Mike Pompeo says that the only outcome we’ll accept from the North Korea negotiations is “complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization” of the Korean peninsula.
  2. Even though North Korea announced an incremental plan of give and take between the two countries, Mike Pompeo says that sanctions will remain in place until North Korea is completely denuclearized.
  3. News agencies obtain a classified Israeli report casting doubt on the progress touted by the Trump administration in North Korea. But however this goes, the report says this process will not be quick.
  4. Our unmanned drone policy is more unrestrained and less transparent than before, and Trump is on track to outpace Obama in drone strikes. We had plenty of complaints about Obama’s use of drones, but Trump has reversed measures intended to make the use of drones more transparent, to narrow the scope of the targets, and to reduce collateral damage.
  5. Italy blocks a rescue boat with around 600 refugees on board from docking on their shores. Spain agrees to take in the migrants. And THEN, Italy blocks two more ships from docking.
  6. The Korean peace talks have laid the groundwork for Russian energy company Gazprom to start planning an oil pipeline through North Korea to deliver fuel to South Korea.
  7. The U.S. is expected to pull out of the UN’s human rights council because of what Trump sees as an anti-Israel bias. This will take away our leadership role in preventing human rights abuses around the world.
  8. Trade advisor Peter Navarro apologizes for his comments about Justin Trudeau that “there’s a special place in hell” for leaders who cross Trump.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. Democrats in Congress introduce a bill to stop Trump from separating families at the border.

Separating Families:

This issue hit a fever pitch this week, with congressional and press visits to the detention facilities. So I figure it deserves its own section.

  1. The Trump administration continues its policy of separating families at the border, as announced by Jeff Sessions in April. As of this week, around 2,000 children have been separated from the parents at our southern border. They are being held in makeshift detention centers, including an old Walmart. The administration is also looking at tent cities.
  2. Why is this happening? No, it’s not a Democratic law or policy. It’s the Trump administration’s decision to start treating border crossings as criminal cases rather than civil cases, which requires the separation of children from their parents who are charged. He could treat these as civil cases and send them to immigration courts instead. His administration brought this idea up in early 2017, so it’s something they’ve wanted for a while.
  3. Workers at the detention centers are not allowed to hold and comfort the children, and some have even prevented the children from comforting each other.
  4. Trump blames Democrats for this policy, even though they literally have nothing to do with it. Nearly every legal expert agrees that this is 100% a result of Trump’s policies and if he wanted to stop it, he just needs to make a phone call.
  5. Trump himself says he’s using this as a negotiating tool (in other words, he’s treating people like animals for political gain).
  6. Democrats and Republicans in Congress put forth a bipartisan plan (this is the third one since last fall) that would give Trump most of what he wants, including $25 billion toward his wall. But Trump says he won’t sign it. There’s another more conservative plan going around that is also likely to fail.
  7. In response, the White House says that Trump misunderstood the question, but it could be too late because Republicans in the House are already saying they’ll stop supporting the bill if they can’t get it past Trump.
  8. Lawmakers from both parties have denounced the policy of separating families, and every single Democratic Senator has signed on to a law preventing it. No Republicans have signed on yet.
  9. Republicans say the bills they’re putting forth will help families; Democrats say those bills will make it worse for families. I haven’t read any of the bills yet to find out if either are right.
  10. For more than a decade, the Office of Refugee Resettlement has funded organizations that represent unaccompanied minors in immigration court. Now that the new zero-tolerance policy is creating even more unaccompanied minors, the ORR has told these organizations to stop taking new cases because the program is being defunded.
  11. The administration started separating families months before they officially announced it, and the ACLU brought a suit against them over family separation, saying the government isn’t doing this to protect the children. A judge rules that the case has merit and that it can go forward.
  12. Members of the Bush and Obama families call on Trump to stop this heartless policy.
  13. The UN commissioner on human rights calls for an immediate stop to this practice that he characterizes as abuse.
  14. Jeff Sessions and Sarah Huckabee Sanders both quote passages from the Bible to justify the separation of families. Notably, the passage Sessions quoted is followed by “Love your neighbor as yourself. 10 Love does no harm to a neighbor. Therefore love is the fulfillment of the law.”
  15. Ted Cruz defends the policy of separating families.
  16. Anne Coulter accuses these children of being child actors. And exactly how would a child actor get themselves detained?
  17. Don Jr. liked a tweet that accused the children of being coached by liberals and given scripts to read. This is either extremely disingenuous or extremely dumb.
  18. In an informal poll, 56% of Americans oppose this policy and 27% approve of it. Which just goes to prove Trump’s point that he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue and not lose his base.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Jeff Sessions ends asylum protections for immigrants trying to escape domestic violence or gang violence.
  2. As part of a lawsuit, the Commerce Department releases over 1,300 documents about the decision to add a citizenship question to the next census.
    • It will be a costly change.
    • The change was pushed by Steven Bannon and Kris Kobach, both of whom are explicitly anti-immigrant.
    • One of the reasons for the change seems to be concern over determining the number of congressional seats for each state.
  1. The Trump administration is combing through decades of fingerprint records in order to find and deport immigrants who might have lied on their forms. This is a rare and drastic action usually only used for deporting people who commit egregious crimes. And yes, this is what they are spending our tax money on.
  2. South Carolina’s governor Henry McMaster seeks an exemption for the Miracle Hill Ministries foster care agency to allow the agency to discriminate against non-Christians. I predicted that allowing foster agencies to discriminate based on closely held religious beliefs would not just hit the LGBTQ community but also communities of faiths other than Christian.

Climate/EPA:

  1. Several House Republicans send Trump a letter urging him to forward the (Obama-era) Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol to the Senate for approval. This amendment phases down refrigerant in appliances, and would help U.S. manufactures secure a lead in the global market. The letter makes no mention of climate change, though that is the point of the amendment.
  2. Republicans in Congress finally start deserting scandal-ridden Scott Pruitt after we learn that he used his influence to get his wife a job. It’s interesting that his efforts at undoing what the military considers our national security (climate change mitigation) aren’t what upset legislators. Also interesting that his previous scandals didn’t make them blink.
  3. An exhaustive study of Antarctica’s ice sheet shows that it’s losing ice faster than originally thought, and that there were sharp increases in ice loss in 2010 and 2012. The sheet lost over 3 trillion tons of ice over the last 25 years. Much of this loss comes from ice that is below sea level, a result of warming oceans.

Budget/Economy:

  1. May numbers show that inflation increased at its highest pace in 6 years while wages remained flat.
  2. The courts allow the merger between AT&T and Time-Warner and just like that, the deal is done.
  3. The Fed raises interest rates and predicts two more raises by year end.
  4. The Senate blocks Trump’s efforts to save Chinese company ZTE from the sanctions we placed on them.
  5. The U.S. and China have been playing at trade wars since March, but now Trump announces a 25% tariff on $50 billion in Chinese imports. China retaliates with its own announcements of equivalent tariffs on U.S. imports.

Elections:

  1. The courts uphold Ohio’s voter roll purge. The rule is if you don’t vote for two years, you’re sent a notice. If you don’t return the notice and you don’t vote in the next four years, they remove you from the voter rolls. Records show that this affects Democratic districts twice as much as Republican districts, and really hits poor black neighborhoods.
  2. Maine tries out ranked-choice voting for the first time, and ranked-choice voting itself is on the ballot. They vote to keep it. Keep an eye on how it worked out for them.
  3. Because lesson not learned, Trump’s 2020 campaign hires Data Propria for voter targeting similar to what Cambridge Analytica did in 2016. But of course they did. The company is run by former Cambridge Analytica officials.

Miscellaneous:

  1. After criticizing Prime Minister Trudeau for his words about trade with the U.S., economic advisor Larry Kudlow suffers a heart attack, landing himself in the hospital. Kudlow says Trudeau was trying to make Trump look weak on his way into his summit with North Korea.
  2. Mari Stull, who was hired by the White House two months ago, makes lists of government officials and employees of international organizations who are loyal to Trump. Any support of any of Obama’s policies is considered disloyal. He was appointed two months ago. Stull is a former food lobbyist and a wine blogger.
  3. Financial disclosures show that Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump made at least $82 million last year, including income from Trump businesses and properties.
  4. Chief of Staff John Kelly calls the White House a miserable place to work.
  5. Apparently Trump has long had a habit of tearing up papers during meetings, and his staff is having a hard time training him that any document he touches cannot be destroyed and must go to the national archives. So the White House has a group of staffers whose job is to tape back together the pieces of paper that he tears apart before they get forwarded to the national archives.
  6. New Jersey signs six new gun bills that include improvements to background checks, limits on magazine sizes, and the ability to remove guns from people considered an extreme danger.
  7. The White House is holding a job fair to get staffed up.
  8. Trump orders Giuliani’s son Andrew to be personal assistant to the president, but John Kelly revokes Andrew’s access to the West Wing.
  9. Andrew McCabe sues the FBI and the DOJ for additional information around his firing.

Polls:

  1. 54% of Americans don’t think the Korean summit will lead to denuclearization.
  2. 42% of Americans do think the summit reduced the chance of war.
  3. 57% of Americans approve of Trudeau’s handling of the trade dispute. 37% approve of how Trump is handling it.

Stupid Things Politicians Say:

If you don’t think Trump lies, he tells you all the time that he does. On whether Kim Jong Un will follow through with agreement, here’s what he says:

“I may be wrong, I mean I may stand before you in 6 months and say, ‘Hey, I was wrong.’ I don’t know that I’ll ever admit that, but I’ll find some kind of an excuse.”

Week 71 in Trump

Posted on June 18, 2018 in Legislation, Taxes, Uncategorized

As of this week, Trump’s said something false or misleading 3,251 times. This averages out to 6.5 times a day. He could probably cut his lie rate in half if he’d just stop tweeting. We all know people lie and politicians probably lie more than most, but I do expect some level of truthfulness from our president.

Here’s what really happened this week in politics…

Russia:

  1. We learn that Trump asked Jeff Sessions to unrecuse himself from the Russia investigation last year. Trump asked him at least four times to take back control of the investigation.
  2. Trump reiterates that he wishes he wouldn’t have appointed Jeff Sessions because of his recusal from the Russia investigation.
  3. Trump again denies that he fired Comey over Russia, even though he said in a live interview that he was thinking about Russia when he fired him.
  4. Trump alleges that Bob Mueller will use the investigation into 2016 election meddling to meddle in the midterm elections to tip the scales toward Democrats. For the record, Mueller’s a Republican.
  5. After meeting with FBI and DOJ officials about their intelligence sources during the 2016 campaign, House Oversight Committee Chairman Trey “Benghazi” Gowdy (R-SC) says he’s convinced that the FBI acted appropriately. Meaning the FBI was likely not spying on the campaign as Trump has claimed.
  6. Andrew McCabe turns over a draft memo about Comey’s firing to Mueller, along with private memos about his conversations with Comey and Rod Rosenstein. This includes a memo saying that Trump asked Rosenstein to mention Russia in his memo justifying Comey’s firing.
  7. Trump’s lawyers send Mueller a 20-page letter saying that Trump doesn’t have to sit down for an interview with him because of presidential power. The argument basically is that since Trump has the power to stop the investigation, he can’t possibly obstruct it.
  8. Tech companies say that Russians tied to the Russian troll farm are working to set up new servers to interfere with the midterm elections.
  9. Contradicting what Trump and his lawyers have said in the past, his lawyers now say that Trump did dictate the misleading message for Donald Trump Jr. to respond to the revelations of his Trump Tower meeting with Russians.
  10. Rudy Giuliani admits that Trump’s accusations that his campaign was being spied on is a PR ploy.
  11. Michael Cohen’s lawyers are pouring through the documents seized from his home and offices to figure out what to claim as attorney-client privilege.
  12. So far, Mueller’s investigation has cost about the same amount as Trump’s trips to Mar-a-Lago.
  13. Giuliani says that Trump probably could pardon himself but that it would be unthinkable and likely impeachable.

Healthcare:

  1. Republicans’ heavy losses in last year’s Virginia state elections finally pushed them to accept Medicaid expansion under the ACA. Nearly half a million Virginians will gain coverage because of this.
  2. The Supreme Court refuses to hear a challenge to Arkansas’ abortion restriction that requires doctors who provide pharmaceutical abortions to have admitting privileges to a hospital.
  3. A scheduled tax cut for coal companies will reduce funding for the already struggling Black Lung Disability Trust Fund. The fund provides healthcare assistance for coal miners diagnosed with the disease. The rate of black lung diagnoses has hit an all-time high. Coal companies, for their part, keep insisting that they end up covering smoking-related lung problems, even though medical science has thoroughly debunked that.

International:

  1. The State Department issues new guidelines that allow for shortening the length of visa stays for Chinese citizens. Student visas will be valid for a year, and other travelers will need clearance from multiple agencies depending on their employment.
  2. After Trump’s announcement that the North Korean summit was off, Mike Pompeo is still working with North Korean officials to come to an agreement that will let the summit continue.
  3. And just like that, the summit is back on again. They say Trump’s cancellation letter was a negotiating technique.
  4. An intelligence assessment says that North Korea won’t give up it’s nuclear program any time soon.
  5. An inmate on two-day leave in Belgium kills two police officers with a knife, takes their guns, shoots a passerby, and takes a woman hostage. Prosecutors consider it to be an act of terror.
  6. Italy’s president rejects the proposed populist government because a key minister supports leaving the European Union. But the president does approve a second, more moderate proposal (which still doesn’t ease fears that Italy might also look to exit the European Union).
  7. This falls under “irony alert” and “this is seriously messed up.” Nigel Lawson, who chaired a group pushing for Brexit, applies for residency in France.
  8. As the U.K. moves forward with plans to exit the EU, British people living in EU countries are scrambling to get residency in countries other than Britain. Understandable, because immigration and travel will get tougher. But this Lawson guy… that’s the height of hypocrisy.
  9. In a presser, Trump says he got a very nice letter from Kim Jong Un. And then later in the same presser (like 10 minutes later) he says he hasn’t opened it.
  10. The finance ministers of the other six members of the G7 condemn Trump’s recent trade moves.

Legislation/Congress:

  1. GOP Senators are working on ways to make sure Trump doesn’t overstep his authority. They’re specifically alarmed by the tariffs Trump is imposing and by Trump’s plans to bail out failing coal and nuclear plants.

Travel Ban/Immigration/Discrimination:

  1. Even though Jeff Sessions announced the policy to separate children and parents seeking entry into the U.S. a few weeks ago, Trump says it’s the Democrats fault that they have to do this because Democrats won’t change the law. Two things wrong here.
    • There is no law to change, it’s Trump’s and Session’s policy.
    • Democrats are pushing Trump to reverse the policy.
    • This is full-on deflection of fault for a horrible policy.
  1. So far, the Office of Refugee Resettlement has lost track of almost 1,500 minors that they released in the last few months of 2017. This doesn’t mean anything is wrong; the ORR just couldn’t reach them. But also the ORR says they aren’t responsible for finding them.
  2. ABC cancels Rosanne after a Twitter rant where she compares Obama aide Valerie Jarrett to a child of the “Muslim Brotherhood” and “Planet of the Apes.” Rosanne also hit Chelsea Clinton and George Soros, popular targets of the right. And also, what’s with the right’s obsession with Valerie Jarrett?
  3. In response Trump wonders why ABC hasn’t stood up for him and apologized for all the horrible things they said about him. I’m not sure what they said, but there’s no doubt it wasn’t as racist as Roseanne’s tweet.
  4. Trump proposes canceling Obama’s visa program that helped foreigners start new businesses in the U.S. Fun fact: Immigrants founded or cofounded over half of the startups that were worth over $1 billion in 2016.
  5. In the past month, the number of immigrant children housed by the government has increased by 22% due to the “zero-tolerance” immigration policy of the Trump administration.
  6. There’s a growing movement of liberal Christians who have banded together to promise not to call the police unless it’s a matter of life and death. This was spurred by a series of highly publicized 911 calls made by white people against people of color who were just living their life.
  7. Border crossings remain high despite crackdowns. This is why Trump’ is so pissed off about immigration.
  8. That we know of, at least eight white nationalists are currently candidates for federal and state offices in the U.S. Most of them aren’t even hiding their racist views anymore, and one is a self-described Nazi.

Climate/EPA:

  1. In emails from a co-founder of the Heartland Institute, he touts the victories of ‘climate change realists.” Under Trump, climate change has been mostly removed from official documents, the EPA no longer has a strategic plan to minimize climate change, and FEMA no longer has a plan to mitigate the effects of climate change or deal with the aftermath of extreme weather. So. Much. Winning.
  2. Meanwhile, the east coast is hit with flash flooding from extreme thunderstorms, and Tropical Storm Alberto hits the panhandle and leaves two journalists dead in North Carolina. Washington state experienced severe flooding last week.
  3. Trump orders Department of Energy Secretary Rick Perry to help struggling coal and nuclear power plants. Both nuclear and coal plants have been closing down because other forms of energy are now cheaper. A draft plan is circulating to force energy grid operators to purchase some of their power from failing plants.
  4. A new study claims that storm-related deaths from Hurricane Maria is up to 4,645 even though the official estimate is just 64. This is a hard number to pin down, but not that hard.
  5. The Climate Action Tracker studies how well countries are meeting their Paris agreement goals. Even though Trump withdrew the U.S. from the accord, it turns out we’re still reducing carbon from electricity because of market forces that call for bringing more renewable sources online and fewer coal sources. And most of Trump’s efforts to roll back Obama’s climate change mitigation strategies are being held up by litigation.
  6. We’re currently on course to achieve 50% of our emissions goals by 2025. Trump hasn’t laid out a clear climate policy.
  7. The Trump administration will only consider the following options when it comes to climate change: debate established climate science, try to cast doubt on scientific conclusions, or ignore scientific conclusions altogether.

Budget/Economy:

  1. Markets are volatile again this week mostly because of Italy’s threat to leave the EU and by trade war threats all around.
  2. After Trump again threatens to apply tariffs to $50 billion in Chinese imports, China accuses Trump of acting erratically and says they’ll fight back it the tariffs are put in place. China also says that Trump is hurting the credibility of the U.S.
  3. Trumps threatens to put in place investment restrictions on China, to file a suit against China at the WTO, and to impose tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese goods.
  4. Trump announces steep tariffs on steel and aluminum against some of our closest allies in the EU. The EU has been working for months to get a waiver on the tariffs.
  5. He then announces Canada and Mexico will no longer be exempted from the tariffs. The EU is our number one source of imported steel, and Canada is our number one source of imported aluminum.
  6. In response, Justin Trudeau says Canada will impose tariffs on U.S. goods. He says it’s inconceivable that the U.S. would consider Canada a security threat.
  7. Even Republicans in Congress criticize the move.
  8. Trump tells French President Emmanuel Macron that he plans to stop the sale of all German luxury cars in the U.S. He says you won’t see any more Mercedes Benz driving down 5th Avenue.
  9. At this point in his presidency, Trump has placed more tariffs on our allies than on China.
  10. The EU announces countermeasures in retaliation to Trump’s announcement. The EU plans to file a complaint with the World Trade Organization (WTO) and to implement retaliatory tariffs by the end of this month.
  11. Unemployment hits an 18-year low of 3.8%. Wages rose 2.7%, but are still stagnant for this level of unemployment. There are now more jobs available than there are unemployed people (for the first time ever), based on people who haven’t given up on the job market altogether.
  12. According to Justin Trudeau, NAFTA negotiations blew up when VP Pence added a demand that the deal sunset in five years. Negotiations had been intense up until that point.
  13. Breaking with protocol, Trump tweets about the BLS report 70 minutes before it’s release, causing Treasury yields to spike. Officials are prohibited from commenting on these reports until at least one hour after they’re released.
  14. The national debt passes the $21 trillion mark this week.
  15. At a Dallas Fed conference, executives at major U.S. companies say that the days when most employees get pay raises, even cost-of-living raises, are past and that they’ll likely be reducing their work forces even more.
  16. Just before Trump promised to find a way to bail out Chinese telecom company ZTE, China awarded seven new trademarks to Ivanka’s company.
  17. The Fed proposes weakening the Volcker Rule, easing the rules guarding against another bank-related financial collapse like 2008.

Elections:

  1. Two Republican Members of the House announce they won’t seek re-election in November.
    • Thomas Garrett (VA) says he’s an alcoholic and needs to address that problem.
    • Ryan Costello (PA) says all he ever does is answer questions about Trump. He also said that the court-mandated redistricting in PA played a role in his decision.
  1. Trump tweets that Mueller will be meddling in our midterm elections. Not sure what he means by this.

Miscellaneous:

  1. Mississippi Governor Eric Greitens retires, finally, after a bunch of personal and political scandals around sexual misconduct and campaign finance fraud.
  2. Trump pardons right-wing propaganda artist Dinesh D’Souza. D’Souza pleaded guilty to campaign finance fraud, and has spread numerous falsehoods about Obama, Hillary, mass shootings, and 9/11 to name a few.
  3. Trump also considers pardoning Martha Stewart and commuting Rod Blagojevich’s sentence. Analysts assume this is to signal to targets of the Russia investigation that they, too, will be pardoned. He can’t pardon those Russian nationals though. I mean he could, but it’s hard to believe even Trump would go that far.
  4. At a fundraiser, Trump brags about a classified skirmish between U.S. forces and Russian mercenaries in Syria.
  5. The district attorney in D.C. interviews James Comey as part of the investigation into whether Andrew McCabe leaked information to the media and then lied to cover it up.
  6. MISC: Gun violence protest
  7. Former President Bush is in the hospital for observation after his blood pressure dropped.
  8. Trump says that Democrats side with MS-13 gang members. Seriously folks. This guy cannot find the truth with both hands.
  9. The American Association of Government Employees, the largest federal employee union, sues the Trump administration to block his executive order restricting time spent on union activities.

Polls:

  1. About 80% of both gun owners and non-gun owners support stronger gun control, including: universal background checks, more accountability for missing guns, safety tests for concealed carry, better reporting on mental health, and gun violence restraining orders, including for domestic abusers.

Things Politicians Say:

Former Speaker of the House John Boehner says the Republican party has lost its identity.

“There is no Republican party. There’s a Trump party.”